Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND): Historical Returns

Last Update: 31 Aug 2021

Category: Fixed Income

ETF: Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND)

In the last 10 years, the Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF obtained a 3.05% compound annual return, with a 3.24% standard deviation.

In the last 20 years, a 4.19% compound annual return, with a 3.67% standard deviation.

In 2020, the portfolio granted a 2.53% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND): Dividend Yield page.

The ETF is related to the following investment themes:

Asset Class: Bond
Region: North America
Country: U.S.
Bond - Duration: All-Term

The Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF is present in the following Lazy Portfolios:

Portfolio Name	Author	ETF Weight
Five Asset	Roger Gibson	14.0%
Robo Advisor 80	Betterment	6.8%
Robo Advisor 90	Betterment	3.5%
Ivy Portfolio	Mebane Faber	20.0%
Stocks/Bonds 60/40		40.0%
Stocks/Bonds 40/60		60.0%
Core Four	Rick Ferri	20.0%
Coffee House	Bill Schultheis	40.0%
Three Funds	Bogleheads	20.0%
Four Funds	Bogleheads	10.0%
Lifepath Fund	iShares	50.8%
Simple Path to Wealth	JL Collins	25.0%
Second Grader's Starter	Paul Farrell	10.0%
Talmud Portfolio	Roger Gibson	33.3%
Conservative Income	Charles Schwab	40.0%
Robo Advisor 10	Betterment	3.8%
Robo Advisor 20	Betterment	7.6%
Robo Advisor 50	Betterment	14.7%
Gone Fishin' Portfolio	Alexander Green	10.0%
Stocks/Bonds 80/20		20.0%
Stocks/Bonds 20/80		80.0%
Total Bond US		100.0%
All Country World 80/20		10.0%
All Country World 60/40		20.0%
All Country World 40/60		30.0%
All Country World 20/80		40.0%
All Country World Bonds		50.0%

Capital Growth and Historical Returns

Capital growth, returns, stats are calculated assuming a reinvestment of dividends.

If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND): Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth:

ETF Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.

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Period	Returns Aug 2021	Standard Deviation *	Max Drawdown	Months Pos - Neg
1M	-0.19%		-0.19% Aug 2021 - Aug 2021	0 - 1
3M	+1.88%		-0.19% Aug 2021 - Aug 2021	2 - 1
6M	+1.61%		-1.27% Mar 2021 - Mar 2021	4 - 2
YTD	-0.82%		-3.64% Jan 2021 - Mar 2021	4 - 4
1Y	-0.12%	3.09%	-3.64% Jan 2021 - Mar 2021	6 - 6
3Y	+5.53% annualized	3.89%	-3.88% Aug 2020 - Mar 2021	21 - 15
5Y	+3.12% annualized	3.58%	-3.88% Aug 2020 - Mar 2021	34 - 26
10Y	+3.05% annualized	3.24%	-4.01% May 2013 - Aug 2013	72 - 48
MAX 01 Jan 1987	+5.76% annualized	3.90%	-5.86% Mar 1987 - Sep 1987	282 - 134

* Annualized St.Dev. of monthly returns

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Drawdowns

Drawdonws Chart:

Worst drawdowns since August 2001.

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	Drawdown period			Recovery period		Total
Drawdown	Start	Bottom	#Months	End	#Months	#Months
-4.01%	May 2013	Aug 2013	4	May 2014	9	13
-3.88%	Aug 2020	Mar 2021	8	in progress	5	13
-3.88%	Apr 2008	Oct 2008	7	Dec 2008	2	9
-3.68%	Aug 2016	Nov 2016	4	Aug 2017	9	13
-3.47%	Jun 2003	Jul 2003	2	Jan 2004	6	8
-3.03%	Apr 2004	May 2004	2	Aug 2004	3	5
-2.67%	Feb 2015	Jun 2015	5	Feb 2016	8	13
-2.66%	Jan 2009	Feb 2009	2	Jun 2009	4	6
-2.65%	Sep 2017	Oct 2018	14	Jan 2019	3	17
-1.91%	Nov 2001	Dec 2001	2	May 2002	5	7
-1.90%	Sep 2005	Oct 2005	2	Aug 2006	10	12
-1.69%	Nov 2010	Dec 2010	2	May 2011	5	7
-1.56%	Dec 2012	Jan 2013	2	Apr 2013	3	5
-1.45%	Dec 2009	Dec 2009	1	Feb 2010	2	3
-1.43%	Mar 2020	Mar 2020	1	Apr 2020	1	2
-1.17%	May 2007	Jun 2007	2	Aug 2007	2	4
-1.12%	Feb 2005	Mar 2005	2	Apr 2005	1	3
-0.99%	Jul 2005	Jul 2005	1	Aug 2005	1	2
-0.81%	Nov 2004	Nov 2004	1	Dec 2004	1	2
-0.61%	Oct 2002	Oct 2002	1	Dec 2002	2	3

Worst drawdowns since December 1986.

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	Drawdown period			Recovery period		Total
Drawdown	Start	Bottom	#Months	End	#Months	#Months
-5.86%	Mar 1987	Sep 1987	7	Jan 1988	4	11
-5.01%	Feb 1994	Jun 1994	5	Mar 1995	9	14
-4.01%	May 2013	Aug 2013	4	May 2014	9	13
-3.88%	Aug 2020	Mar 2021	8	in progress	5	13
-3.88%	Apr 2008	Oct 2008	7	Dec 2008	2	9
-3.68%	Aug 2016	Nov 2016	4	Aug 2017	9	13
-3.47%	Jun 2003	Jul 2003	2	Jan 2004	6	8
-3.16%	Feb 1996	May 1996	4	Oct 1996	5	9
-3.03%	Apr 2004	May 2004	2	Aug 2004	3	5
-2.67%	Feb 2015	Jun 2015	5	Feb 2016	8	13
-2.66%	Jan 2009	Feb 2009	2	Jun 2009	4	6
-2.65%	Feb 1999	Aug 1999	7	Mar 2000	7	14
-2.65%	Mar 1988	May 1988	3	Sep 1988	4	7
-2.65%	Sep 2017	Oct 2018	14	Jan 2019	3	17
-1.97%	Jan 1990	Apr 1990	4	May 1990	1	5
-1.91%	Nov 2001	Dec 2001	2	May 2002	5	7
-1.90%	Sep 2005	Oct 2005	2	Aug 2006	10	12
-1.69%	Nov 2010	Dec 2010	2	May 2011	5	7
-1.60%	Aug 1989	Aug 1989	1	Oct 1989	2	3
-1.56%	Dec 2012	Jan 2013	2	Apr 2013	3	5

Rolling Returns ( more details)

Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns

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	*Return ()**			Negative Periods
Rolling Period	Average	Best	Worst	Negative Periods
1 Year	+6.02%	+18.18% Jan 1995 - Dec 1995	-3.73% Nov 1993 - Oct 1994	10.62%
2 Years	+6.01%	+13.88% Oct 1990 - Sep 1992	-0.88% Aug 2016 - Jul 2018	1.27%
3 Years	+5.94%	+12.82% May 1990 - Apr 1993	+0.94% May 2015 - Apr 2018	0.00%
5 Years	+5.87%	+11.58% Oct 1987 - Sep 1992	+1.35% May 2013 - Apr 2018	0.00%
7 Years	+5.79%	+9.80% Jan 1989 - Dec 1995	+1.69% Nov 2011 - Oct 2018	0.00%
10 Years	+5.82%	+9.20% Oct 1987 - Sep 1997	+3.05% Sep 2011 - Aug 2021	0.00%
15 Years	+5.79%	+8.59% Oct 1987 - Sep 2002	+3.57% Jun 2003 - May 2018	0.00%
20 Years	+5.79%	+7.43% Oct 1987 - Sep 2007	+4.19% Sep 2001 - Aug 2021	0.00%

* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality and Yearly/Monthly Returns

In the table below, for the Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF, the average monthly return is represented.

Below each return, it's also mentioned the probability of obtaining a positive monthly result (Win %).

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

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	Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%)	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Average Win %	0.62 74%	0.26 69%	-0.05 51%	0.34 63%	0.57 66%	0.64 74%	0.67 77%	0.65 69%	0.54 74%	0.40 65%	0.40 62%	0.66 71%
Best Year	3.1 1988	2.2 1995	1.9 2019	2.8 2020	4.0 1995	2.9 1989	2.8 1997	2.8 2019	2.7 2003	3.5 1987	3.9 2008	5.1 2008
Worst Year	-2.1 2009	-1.8 1994	-2.3 1994	-3.2 1987	-1.9 2013	-1.7 2013	-3.3 2003	-1.6 1989	-2.3 1987	-3.0 2008	-2.6 2016	-1.5 2009

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Investing in Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF: detail of monthly returns

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		Months
Year	Return	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
2021	-0.82%	-0.9	-1.6	-1.3	0.9	0.2	0.9	1.2	-0.2
2020	+7.71%	2.0	1.7	-1.4	2.8	0.7	0.7	1.5	-0.9	-0.1	-0.6	1.2	0.2
2019	+8.83%	1.1	-0.1	1.9	0.0	1.8	1.3	0.2	2.8	-0.6	0.3	0.0	-0.1
2018	-0.12%	-1.2	-1.0	0.7	-0.9	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.7	-0.6	-0.9	0.6	1.9
2017	+3.57%	0.2	0.6	0.0	0.8	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.9	-0.5	0.0	-0.1	0.5
2016	+2.52%	1.2	0.9	0.9	0.4	0.0	2.0	0.6	-0.3	0.1	-0.9	-2.6	0.3
2015	+0.56%	2.4	-1.3	0.6	-0.3	-0.5	-1.1	0.9	-0.3	0.8	0.0	-0.4	-0.2
2014	+5.82%	1.6	0.5	-0.2	0.8	1.1	0.1	-0.3	1.1	-0.6	0.7	0.8	0.1
2013	-2.10%	-0.7	0.5	0.1	1.0	-1.9	-1.7	0.4	-0.9	1.1	0.9	-0.3	-0.6
2012	+3.16%	0.6	0.0	-0.5	1.1	0.9	0.1	1.2	0.2	0.2	-0.1	0.3	-0.9
2011	+7.92%	0.1	0.3	-0.2	1.5	1.2	-0.4	1.6	1.7	0.7	0.1	-0.1	1.2
2010	+6.20%	1.3	0.3	-0.2	1.1	1.1	1.5	0.9	1.6	0.0	0.3	-0.7	-1.0
2009	+3.64%	-2.1	-0.6	1.1	0.5	0.7	0.6	1.3	1.0	1.0	0.3	1.3	-1.5
2008	+6.86%	1.3	0.1	0.4	-0.3	-1.0	0.0	0.0	0.8	-0.5	-3.0	3.9	5.1
2007	+6.92%	-0.1	1.5	0.0	0.5	-0.8	-0.4	0.8	1.3	0.7	0.9	1.9	0.2
2006	+4.27%	-0.1	0.4	-1.0	-0.2	-0.1	0.1	1.4	1.6	0.8	0.7	1.1	-0.5
2005	+2.40%	0.7	-0.6	-0.5	1.4	1.1	0.6	-1.0	1.4	-1.1	-0.8	0.5	1.0
2004	+4.24%	0.9	1.0	0.8	-2.6	-0.4	0.6	1.0	1.9	0.2	0.9	-0.8	0.9
2003	+3.97%	0.1	1.4	-0.1	0.9	1.8	-0.1	-3.3	0.6	2.7	-1.0	0.3	0.9
2002	+8.26%	0.7	0.9	-1.5	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.5	1.7	1.5	-0.6	0.0	2.1
2001	+8.43%	1.8	0.9	0.5	-0.5	0.7	0.5	2.2	1.1	0.9	1.9	-1.3	-0.6
2000	+11.39%	-0.2	1.2	1.4	-0.5	-0.2	2.2	0.9	1.4	0.8	0.6	1.6	1.8
1999	-0.76%	0.8	-1.8	0.6	0.4	-0.8	-0.6	-0.4	-0.1	1.3	0.3	0.0	-0.5
1998	+8.58%	1.3	-0.1	0.3	0.5	1.0	0.8	0.2	1.9	2.0	-0.6	0.5	0.4
1997	+9.44%	0.3	0.1	-1.0	1.5	0.9	1.2	2.8	-0.9	1.5	1.5	0.3	1.0
1996	+3.58%	0.6	-1.8	-0.8	-0.5	-0.2	1.3	0.3	-0.2	1.7	2.2	1.8	-0.9
1995	+18.18%	1.9	2.2	0.7	1.3	4.0	0.7	-0.3	1.2	1.0	1.5	1.4	1.4
1994	-2.66%	1.4	-1.8	-2.3	-0.8	0.0	-0.2	1.8	0.1	-1.4	-0.1	-0.2	0.8
1993	+9.68%	1.8	2.0	0.4	0.7	0.1	1.8	0.6	1.7	0.4	0.3	-1.0	0.5
1992	+7.14%	-1.4	0.6	-0.5	0.7	1.8	1.3	1.9	1.0	1.3	-1.2	0.0	1.5
1991	+15.25%	1.1	0.8	0.7	1.0	0.7	-0.1	1.3	2.1	2.0	1.0	0.7	3.0
1990	+8.65%	-1.9	0.8	0.1	-0.9	2.9	1.6	1.3	-1.2	0.7	1.5	2.2	1.5
1989	+13.64%	0.9	-0.6	0.3	2.0	2.5	2.9	2.2	-1.6	0.5	2.5	0.8	0.7
1988	+7.35%	3.1	1.2	-1.2	-0.6	-1.0	2.7	-0.5	0.2	2.2	1.5	-0.9	0.5
1987	+1.54%	1.3	0.5	-0.6	-3.2	-0.4	1.4	-0.1	-0.8	-2.3	3.5	0.7	1.6

ETF Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.