The Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 4 ETFs.
It's exposed for 60% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio obtained a 7.07% compound annual return, with a 9.37% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
36.00 % | VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
24.00 % | VEU | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US | Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap | |
28.00 % | BND | Vanguard Total Bond Market | Bond, U.S., All-Term | |
12.00 % | BNDX | Vanguard Total International Bond | Bond, Developed Markets, All-Term |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Dec 31, 2022
The Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Dec 31, 2022 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Jan 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~38Y) |
|
Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio | -0.87 | 4.91 | -3.17 | -0.05 | -15.97 | 3.58 | 5.95 | 7.07 | 8.61 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | -2.87 | -0.22 | -21.06 | -0.20 | 3.26 | 4.47 | 5.69 | |||
Components | ||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market |
-1.34 | Jan 30 2023 | 5.24 | -5.85 | 2.30 | -19.51 | 8.68 | 12.07 | 9.54 | 9.01 |
VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US |
-1.08 | Jan 30 2023 | 8.24 | -2.19 | 2.16 | -15.59 | 1.20 | 3.95 | 5.49 | 7.98 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market |
-0.28 | Jan 30 2023 | 2.84 | -0.81 | -3.09 | -13.11 | -0.03 | 1.00 | 4.37 | 4.49 |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond |
-0.41 | Jan 30 2023 | 2.07 | -2.75 | -3.23 | -12.76 | -0.21 | 1.47 | 4.95 | 6.58 |
US Inflation is updated to Dec 2022. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 6.45% , 5Y: 3.78% , 10Y: 2.60% , 30Y: 2.49%
Portfolio Metrics as of Dec 31, 2022
Metrics of Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio, updated as of 31 December 2022.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Dec 31, 2022 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~38Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
-3.17 | 6.15 | -0.05 | -15.97 | 1.58 | 3.58 | 5.95 | 6.97 | 7.07 | 8.61 |
US Inflation (%) | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 6.45 | 4.92 | 3.78 | 2.60 | 2.51 | 2.49 | 2.76 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-2.87 | 6.16 | -0.22 | -21.06 | -3.18 | -0.20 | 3.26 | 4.36 | 4.47 | 5.69 |
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 14.53 | 13.19 | 11.49 | 9.21 | 9.62 | 9.37 | 9.59 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -1.20 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 0.52 | 0.48 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -1.86 | 0.10 | 0.29 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.68 | 0.63 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -20.84 | -20.84 | -20.84 | -20.84 | -33.52 | -33.52 | -33.52 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 12
|
> 12
|
> 12
|
> 12
|
36
|
36
|
36
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 43.03 | 22.74 | 20.17 | 13.21 | 11.07 | 9.62 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -28.61 | -6.84 | -0.49 | 2.00 | 5.02 | 6.94 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 83% | 93% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 80 | 157 | 235 | 306 |
Negative | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 40 | 83 | 125 | 150 |
% Positive | 0% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 56% | 62% | 67% | 65% | 65% | 67% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 35.33 | 22.07 | 13.67 | 8.92 | 7.37 | 9.62 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.16 | 4.18 | 4.28 | 5.38 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | BND | BNDX | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.81
|
0.68
|
0.81
|
|
VEU |
0.81
|
1.00
|
0.86
|
0.81
|
|
BND |
0.68
|
0.86
|
1.00
|
0.87
|
|
BNDX |
0.81
|
0.81
|
0.87
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | BND | BNDX | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.88
|
0.41
|
0.45
|
|
VEU |
0.88
|
1.00
|
0.43
|
0.41
|
|
BND |
0.41
|
0.43
|
1.00
|
0.86
|
|
BNDX |
0.45
|
0.41
|
0.86
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | BND | BNDX | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.85
|
0.30
|
0.36
|
|
VEU |
0.85
|
1.00
|
0.36
|
0.33
|
|
BND |
0.30
|
0.36
|
1.00
|
0.86
|
|
BNDX |
0.36
|
0.33
|
0.86
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | BND | BNDX | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.82
|
0.12
|
0.14
|
|
VEU |
0.82
|
1.00
|
0.13
|
0.15
|
|
BND |
0.12
|
0.13
|
1.00
|
0.66
|
|
BNDX |
0.14
|
0.15
|
0.66
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | BND | BNDX | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.72
|
0.18
|
0.19
|
|
VEU |
0.72
|
1.00
|
0.16
|
0.19
|
|
BND |
0.18
|
0.16
|
1.00
|
0.74
|
|
BNDX |
0.19
|
0.19
|
0.74
|
1.00
|
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio granted a 1.88% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Dec 31, 2022
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3709.95$, with a net total return of 271.00% (4.47% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 8177.13$, with a net total return of 717.71% (5.69% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-33.52% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 36 |
-20.87% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Dec 2003 | 15 | 45 |
-20.84% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 3 | 12 |
-12.56% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 7 |
-11.06% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 |
-8.89% | Jul 1998 | Aug 1998 | 2 | Nov 1998 | 3 | 5 |
-7.60% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 14 |
-7.06% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 14 |
-5.08% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 |
-4.62% | Feb 1994 | Mar 1994 | 2 | Mar 1995 | 12 | 14 |
-3.76% | Aug 1997 | Aug 1997 | 1 | Sep 1997 | 1 | 2 |
-3.38% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 3 |
-3.22% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
-3.10% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-2.95% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-2.90% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 |
-2.89% | Oct 1997 | Oct 1997 | 1 | Jan 1998 | 3 | 4 |
-2.66% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Jul 2013 | 1 | 3 |
-2.55% | Feb 1999 | Feb 1999 | 1 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 2 |
-2.46% | Jul 1996 | Jul 1996 | 1 | Sep 1996 | 2 | 3 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-33.52% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 36 |
-20.87% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Dec 2003 | 15 | 45 |
-20.84% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 3 | 12 |
-14.69% | Sep 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | Oct 1988 | 11 | 14 |
-12.56% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 7 |
-11.27% | Jan 1990 | Sep 1990 | 9 | Feb 1991 | 5 | 14 |
-11.06% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Feb 2012 | 5 | 10 |
-8.89% | Jul 1998 | Aug 1998 | 2 | Nov 1998 | 3 | 5 |
-7.60% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 14 |
-7.06% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 14 |
-5.08% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 |
-4.62% | Feb 1994 | Mar 1994 | 2 | Mar 1995 | 12 | 14 |
-4.08% | Jan 1992 | Mar 1992 | 3 | Aug 1992 | 5 | 8 |
-3.93% | Sep 1986 | Oct 1986 | 2 | Jan 1987 | 3 | 5 |
-3.76% | Aug 1997 | Aug 1997 | 1 | Sep 1997 | 1 | 2 |
-3.38% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 3 |
-3.35% | Jun 1991 | Jun 1991 | 1 | Aug 1991 | 2 | 3 |
-3.22% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
-3.10% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-2.95% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
9.15 |
43.03 Sep 1985 - Aug 1986 |
-28.61 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
17.30% |
2 Years |
8.74 |
33.65 May 1985 - Apr 1987 |
-14.29 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
10.62% |
3 Years |
8.37 |
22.74 Mar 1985 - Feb 1988 |
-6.84 Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
6.65% |
5 Years |
8.11 |
20.17 Jan 1985 - Dec 1989 |
-0.49 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.25% |
7 Years |
7.99 |
16.31 Jan 1985 - Dec 1991 |
2.06 Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
7.91 |
13.21 Jan 1985 - Dec 1994 |
2.00 Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
7.55 |
13.91 Jan 1985 - Dec 1999 |
4.76 Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
7.53 |
11.07 Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
5.02 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
7.94 |
9.62 Jan 1985 - Dec 2014 |
6.94 Oct 1992 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.85
40% |
-1.23
40% |
-1.33
40% |
1.10
80% |
0.40
80% |
0.42
60% |
2.30
100% |
0.30
60% |
-2.10
40% |
0.37
60% |
3.03
80% |
0.08
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.85
|
99.61
|
98.29
|
99.37
|
99.77
|
100.18
|
102.49
|
102.79
|
100.63
|
101.01
|
104.07
|
104.15
|
Best |
5.3 2019 |
1.7 2019 |
1.5 2019 |
6.9 2020 |
3.1 2020 |
4.6 2019 |
5.1 2022 |
3.2 2020 |
1.1 2019 |
3.3 2022 |
7.5 2020 |
3.2 2020 |
Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.9 2020 |
-9.0 2020 |
-6.3 2022 |
-3.2 2019 |
-5.4 2022 |
0.3 2019 |
-3.6 2022 |
-7.0 2022 |
-5.0 2018 |
-1.5 2021 |
-3.9 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.32
40% |
0.22
60% |
0.03
60% |
1.12
90% |
0.49
80% |
0.09
60% |
1.92
90% |
-0.18
60% |
-0.89
50% |
1.02
70% |
1.89
80% |
0.20
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.32
|
100.54
|
100.57
|
101.70
|
102.20
|
102.29
|
104.25
|
104.07
|
103.14
|
104.19
|
106.15
|
106.36
|
Best |
5.3 2019 |
3.2 2014 |
4.7 2016 |
6.9 2020 |
3.1 2020 |
4.6 2019 |
5.1 2022 |
3.2 2020 |
3.7 2013 |
4.4 2015 |
7.5 2020 |
3.2 2020 |
Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.9 2020 |
-9.0 2020 |
-6.3 2022 |
-3.2 2019 |
-5.4 2022 |
-1.1 2014 |
-4.3 2015 |
-7.0 2022 |
-5.0 2018 |
-1.5 2021 |
-3.9 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.70
61% |
0.60
61% |
0.73
68% |
1.34
82% |
0.76
68% |
0.28
61% |
1.15
71% |
0.06
63% |
-0.26
55% |
0.65
63% |
1.18
71% |
1.55
82% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.70
|
101.31
|
102.05
|
103.42
|
104.21
|
104.50
|
105.70
|
105.76
|
105.49
|
106.17
|
107.42
|
109.09
|
Best |
8.0 1987 |
6.5 1986 |
6.6 1986 |
7.1 2009 |
6.9 1990 |
4.6 2019 |
6.4 1989 |
5.5 1986 |
5.6 2010 |
6.4 2011 |
7.5 2020 |
6.4 1991 |
Worst |
-6.5 2009 |
-6.1 2009 |
-9.0 2020 |
-6.3 2022 |
-5.0 2010 |
-5.4 2022 |
-4.9 2002 |
-8.4 1998 |
-7.0 2022 |
-11.9 2008 |
-3.8 2000 |
-3.9 2018 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio data source starts from January 1985: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2022 |
-15.97 | -21.06 | -3.5 | -2.1 | 0.0 | -6.3 | 0.5 | -5.4 | 5.1 | -3.6 | -7.0 | 3.3 | 6.2 | -3.2 |
2021 |
+10.43 | +3.17 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | -2.9 | 3.2 | -1.5 | 2.2 |
2020 |
+12.96 | +11.44 | -0.1 | -3.9 | -9.0 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 3.2 | -1.6 | -1.3 | 7.5 | 3.2 |
2019 |
+19.70 | +17.02 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | -3.2 | 4.6 | 0.3 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
2018 |
-4.98 | -6.76 | 2.8 | -2.9 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | -5.0 | 1.3 | -3.9 |
2017 |
+15.50 | +13.11 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
2016 |
+7.06 | +4.88 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -1.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
2015 |
-0.72 | -1.44 | -0.1 | 3.0 | -0.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | -1.8 | 0.9 | -4.3 | -1.7 | 4.4 | -0.2 | -1.4 |
2014 |
+6.10 | +5.31 | -1.9 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | -1.1 | 2.2 | -2.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | -0.8 |
2013 |
+14.76 | +13.06 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | -0.6 | -2.0 | 3.5 | -2.0 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
2012 |
+12.49 | +10.56 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | -0.3 | -4.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | -0.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
2011 |
+0.23 | -2.65 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.9 | -0.8 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -3.7 | -5.3 | 6.4 | -0.8 | 0.5 |
2010 |
+11.87 | +10.22 | -2.1 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 0.9 | -5.0 | -1.8 | 5.1 | -1.6 | 5.6 | 2.4 | -1.1 | 4.0 |
2009 |
+22.28 | +19.04 | -6.5 | -6.1 | 5.4 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 3.5 | -1.7 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
2008 |
-22.10 | -22.17 | -3.4 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 2.8 | 0.6 | -5.0 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -6.7 | -11.9 | -2.4 | 4.6 |
2007 |
+8.20 | +3.95 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.8 | -0.6 | -1.2 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 2.5 | -2.2 | -0.7 |
2006 |
+13.59 | +10.78 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | -2.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
2005 |
+7.28 | +3.73 | -1.0 | 1.6 | -1.4 | -0.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | -2.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
2004 |
+11.52 | +8.01 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -2.4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -1.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
2003 |
+22.34 | +20.08 | -1.8 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 3.9 |
2002 |
-7.56 | -9.71 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 2.1 | -0.9 | 0.1 | -3.2 | -4.9 | 0.9 | -5.0 | 3.3 | 3.0 | -1.5 |
2001 |
-5.13 | -6.57 | 2.4 | -4.9 | -3.6 | 4.3 | -0.2 | -1.3 | -0.1 | -2.1 | -4.9 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
2000 |
-3.26 | -6.43 | -3.1 | 2.1 | 3.4 | -3.3 | -1.8 | 3.3 | -1.4 | 3.3 | -2.4 | -1.2 | -3.8 | 2.1 |
1999 |
+15.58 | +12.55 | 1.7 | -2.5 | 2.8 | 3.2 | -2.4 | 2.7 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 5.2 |
1998 |
+16.58 | +14.73 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | -1.1 | 1.4 | -0.5 | -8.4 | 3.2 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
1997 |
+13.04 | +11.14 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -2.1 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 3.9 | -3.8 | 4.2 | -2.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
1996 |
+10.23 | +6.69 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -2.5 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -1.2 |
1995 |
+21.48 | +18.47 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 2.2 | -0.4 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
1994 |
+0.66 | -1.96 | 3.9 | -1.5 | -3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | -0.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | -1.8 | 1.3 | -2.7 | 0.8 |
1993 |
+15.69 | +12.59 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.4 | -0.7 | 1.2 | -3.4 | 2.7 |
1992 |
+3.16 | +0.25 | -1.2 | -0.1 | -2.7 | 0.6 | 2.6 | -1.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -1.3 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
1991 |
+20.78 | +17.18 | 2.6 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | -3.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | -2.4 | 6.4 |
1990 |
-4.85 | -10.33 | -4.2 | -0.8 | -1.4 | -2.1 | 6.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -6.2 | -4.5 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
1989 |
+18.36 | +13.10 | 3.3 | -0.7 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 6.4 | -0.7 | 1.2 | -1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
1988 |
+15.51 | +10.62 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | -0.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | -2.4 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
1987 |
+9.10 | +4.47 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.6 | -1.9 | -11.2 | -2.1 | 3.5 |
1986 |
+26.65 | +25.27 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 1.9 | -0.1 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 5.5 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
1985 |
+32.63 | +27.78 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | -1.5 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 4.2 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2013, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001
- VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- BND - Vanguard Total Bond Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- BNDX - Vanguard Total International Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2013
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Vanguard LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.59 | 9.38 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+8.00 | 6.81 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.89 | 8.62 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+7.87 | 9.40 | -30.55 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Golden Butterfly |
+7.65 | 7.41 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
Robo Advisor 50 Betterment |
+7.53 | 9.19 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber |
+7.48 | 9.45 | -28.82 | 50 | 25 | 25 | ||
Dimensional 2030 Retirement Income DFA |
+7.42 | 9.12 | -31.78 | 55.9 | 44.1 | 0 | ||
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer |
+7.29 | 8.94 | -32.39 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderate Merrill Lynch |
+7.27 | 8.77 | -29.58 | 53 | 47 | 0 | ||
Sandwich Portfolio Bob Clyatt |
+7.27 | 8.17 | -28.96 | 55 | 45 | 0 | ||
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio |
+7.26 | 7.08 | -20.19 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Coward's Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.18 | 8.98 | -32.68 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Global Market Portfolio Credit Suisse |
+7.15 | 8.04 | -25.90 | 45 | 55 | 0 | ||
LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Vanguard |
+7.07 | 9.37 | -33.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and High Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.59 | 9.38 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.57 | 11.55 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.43 | 11.53 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.32 | 11.22 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 | ||
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.32 | 10.75 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 |