Last Update: 30 September 2020

The Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio is exposed for 90% on the Stock Market.

It's a Very High Risk portfolio and it can be replicated with 3 ETFs.

In the last 10 years, the portfolio obtained a 9.82% compound annual return, with a 12.27% standard deviation.

In 2019, the portfolio granted a 2.78% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

90% Stocks
10% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

The Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio can be replicated with the following ETFs:

Weight Ticker ETF Name Investment Themes
60.00 % VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market Equity, U.S., Large Cap
30.00 % VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap
10.00 % BND Vanguard Total Bond Market Bond, U.S., All-Term
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns

The Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

PAUL FARRELL SECOND GRADER'S STARTER PORTFOLIO RETURNS (%)
Last Update: 30 September 2020
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1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y(*) 5Y(*) 10Y(*)
Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio -2.68 +7.54 +27.11 +10.88 +7.99 +10.63 +9.82
Components
VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market -3.54 +9.24 +33.25 +14.90 +11.63 +13.68 +13.48
VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US -1.68 +6.69 +24.48 +3.78 +1.42 +6.45 +4.26
BND - Vanguard Total Bond Market -0.10 +0.40 +4.56 +7.06 +5.26 +4.17 +3.50
(*) annualized
Portfolio returns are calculated assuming:
  • a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (i.e. at every January 1st)
  • the reinvestment of dividends

If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Historical Returns

Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio - Historical returns and stats.

PAUL FARRELL SECOND GRADER'S STARTER PORTFOLIO
Last Update: 30 September 2020
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Period Returns
Sep 2020		 Standard
Deviation *		 Max
Drawdown		 Months
Pos - Neg
1M
-2.68%
-2.68%
Sep 2020 - Sep 2020
0 - 1
3M
+7.54%
-2.68%
Sep 2020 - Sep 2020
2 - 1
6M
+27.11%
-2.68%
Sep 2020 - Sep 2020
5 - 1
YTD
+2.56%
-19.32%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
5 - 4
1Y
+10.88%
20.17%
-19.32%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
8 - 4
3Y
+7.99%
annualized
15.40%
-19.32%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
25 - 11
5Y
+10.63%
annualized
13.08%
-19.32%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
44 - 16
10Y
+9.82%
annualized
12.27%
-19.32%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
83 - 37
MAX
01 Jan 1987
+8.77%
annualized
13.56%
-48.52%
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
265 - 140

* Annualized St.Dev. of monthly returns

Best Very High Risk Porftolios, ordered by 10Y annualized return.

Portfolio 10Y Return ▾ Stocks Bonds Comm.
Technology
 +20.14% 100 0 0 Compare
US Stocks
 +13.48% 100 0 0 Compare
Warren Buffett
 +12.62% 90 10 0 Compare
Second Grader's Starter
Paul Farrell		 +9.82% 90 10 0
Edge Select Aggressive
Merrill Lynch		 +9.41% 84 16 0 Compare

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Capital Growth

Time Range:

Drawdowns

Time Range:

Rolling Returns

Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

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Return (*) Negative
Periods
Rolling Period Average Best Worst
1 Year
 +9.18% +53.68%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 		-41.49%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 		20.30%
2 Years
 +8.75% +36.66%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 		-23.51%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 		14.40%
3 Years
 +8.56% +23.86%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 		-14.58%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 		14.32%
5 Years
 +8.37% +20.30%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 		-3.66%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 		4.62%
7 Years
 +8.31% +16.89%
Jan 1993 - Dec 1999 		-0.39%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 		0.31%
10 Years
 +8.06% +14.67%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2000 		-0.63%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 		0.70%
15 Years
 +7.45% +10.64%
Nov 1992 - Oct 2007 		+4.25%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2009 		0.00%

* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Seasonality and Yearly/Monthly Returns

Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio Seasonality

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Months
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average 0.8 0.6 0.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 1.3 -0.4 -0.1 0.5 1.0 1.9
Best 11.3
1987 		7.5
1991 		8.0
2009 		10.5
2009 		8.9
1990 		6.2
2019 		8.3
1989 		5.5
2020 		8.7
2010 		10.1
2011 		5.4
1998 		8.0
1991
Worst -8.9
2009 		-9.1
2009 		-12.9
2020 		-4.8
2000 		-7.9
2010 		-7.4
2008 		-7.8
2002 		-13.4
1998 		-9.2
2008 		-17.2
1987 		-7.1
2000 		-6.9
2018
Gain
Frequency		 62 56 65 82 68 47 68 62 62 64 70 82

Detail of Monthly Returns

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Months
Year Return Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2020
 +2.56% -0.9 -6.6 -12.9 10.0 4.6 2.7 4.8 5.5 -2.7
2019
 +25.83% 7.5 2.6 1.3 3.2 -5.4 6.2 0.4 -1.7 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.9
2018
 -7.40% 4.7 -4.0 -1.3 0.4 1.1 -0.2 2.9 1.5 0.2 -7.0 1.7 -6.9
2017
 +21.30% 2.4 2.7 0.9 1.4 1.6 0.7 2.2 0.4 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.4
2016
 +9.42% -5.0 -0.6 6.8 1.1 0.8 0.2 3.7 0.3 0.6 -1.9 1.8 1.8
2015
 -1.16% -1.4 5.0 -1.1 1.8 0.4 -2.0 1.0 -6.0 -2.9 6.7 -0.1 -2.1
2014
 +6.75% -3.5 4.6 0.4 0.6 1.9 2.1 -1.7 2.9 -2.8 1.8 1.5 -1.1
2013
 +24.11% 3.9 0.4 2.6 2.2 0.4 -2.1 5.0 -2.6 4.7 3.7 1.8 2.1
2012
 +15.86% 5.2 4.2 1.5 -0.8 -7.1 4.4 0.8 2.4 2.6 -0.9 1.0 2.2
2011
 -2.83% 1.5 3.1 0.2 3.5 -1.5 -1.5 -1.9 -6.0 -8.2 10.1 -1.0 0.1
2010
 +14.62% -3.7 2.5 5.8 0.9 -7.9 -3.8 7.4 -3.7 8.7 3.5 -1.0 6.5
2009
 +28.98% -8.9 -9.1 8.0 10.5 7.9 -0.4 8.0 3.2 4.4 -2.6 5.0 2.0
2008
 -34.54% -5.9 -1.6 -0.5 4.6 1.5 -7.4 -1.5 -0.5 -9.2 -17.1 -6.0 4.0
2007
 +8.57% 1.4 -0.8 1.5 3.6 3.1 -0.9 -2.4 0.8 4.3 3.0 -4.0 -1.1
2006
 +17.83% 4.0 -0.1 2.1 2.1 -3.3 0.0 0.4 2.3 1.5 3.4 2.7 1.7
2005
 +8.70% -1.9 2.6 -2.1 -1.8 2.4 0.9 3.6 0.3 1.8 -2.5 3.6 1.7
2004
 +14.35% 2.1 1.7 -0.4 -2.5 1.0 2.0 -3.1 0.5 1.9 2.1 5.0 3.5
2003
 +30.95% -2.8 -1.5 -0.1 8.1 5.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 0.4 5.6 1.6 4.9
2002
 -15.98% -1.8 -0.7 3.7 -2.4 -0.4 -5.3 -7.8 0.6 -8.9 5.9 4.9 -3.7
2001
 -11.78% 2.8 -7.9 -6.1 7.1 -0.4 -2.0 -1.5 -4.2 -8.3 2.6 5.3 1.4
2000
 -9.89% -4.4 2.5 4.6 -4.8 -2.9 4.1 -2.4 4.9 -4.2 -2.0 -7.1 2.3
1999
 +23.19% 2.1 -3.1 3.9 4.4 -2.8 4.4 -1.3 -0.5 -1.1 4.9 3.3 7.4
1998
 +19.50% 1.3 6.5 4.1 0.9 -2.0 2.1 -1.1 -13.4 3.5 7.6 5.4 4.9
1997
 +19.31% 2.6 0.5 -2.9 2.9 6.3 4.4 5.5 -4.8 5.3 -4.5 1.9 1.4
1996
 +14.34% 1.8 0.9 1.2 2.6 1.2 -0.3 -4.2 1.9 4.1 0.7 5.3 -1.4
1995
 +24.48% 0.3 1.2 3.5 2.7 2.0 1.5 4.0 -0.1 2.8 -1.3 3.5 2.1
1994
 +2.56% 5.0 -1.4 -3.8 1.5 0.5 -1.0 2.1 3.1 -2.1 1.8 -3.9 1.1
1993
 +16.32% 0.8 1.5 4.6 1.7 2.9 -0.6 1.3 4.0 -1.0 1.4 -4.2 3.1
1992
 +1.74% -0.9 -0.3 -3.6 0.7 2.4 -2.3 1.7 0.6 0.0 -0.9 2.9 1.4
1991
 +23.80% 3.6 7.5 0.4 0.8 2.4 -4.7 4.3 1.0 1.1 1.7 -3.8 8.0
1990
 -10.22% -5.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.6 8.9 -0.3 0.1 -8.6 -6.9 3.7 1.9 2.4
1989
 +22.09% 4.7 -1.0 0.6 3.5 1.3 -0.5 8.3 0.2 1.3 -2.6 2.3 2.3
1988
 +18.82% 4.0 5.2 0.9 1.2 -0.9 2.2 0.1 -3.5 3.3 3.0 1.0 1.1
1987
 +10.87% 11.3 3.7 4.7 2.2 0.4 1.5 2.5 4.9 -1.8 -17.2 -3.8 4.8

* Note:
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

In particular, it has been used:

VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001

VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007

BND - Vanguard Total Bond Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007

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