Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2023
The All Country World 60/40 Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 4 ETFs.
It's exposed for 60% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the All Country World 60/40 Portfolio obtained a 6.42% compound annual return, with a 10.00% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The All Country World 60/40 Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The All Country World 60/40 Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
60.00 % | VT | Vanguard Total World Stock | Equity, Global, Large Cap | |
20.00 % | BND | Vanguard Total Bond Market | Bond, U.S., All-Term | |
14.00 % | BNDX | Vanguard Total International Bond | Bond, Developed Markets, All-Term | |
6.00 % | EMB | iShares JP Morgan USD Em Mkts Bd | Bond, Emerging Markets, All-Term |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Mar 31, 2023
The All Country World 60/40 Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2023 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Apr 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~38Y) |
|
All Country World 60/40 Portfolio | n.a. | n.a. | 2.70 | 12.51 | -6.36 | 4.45 | 5.70 | 6.42 | 8.02 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | 2.70 | 11.00 | -10.51 | 0.62 | 3.02 | 3.83 | 5.09 | |||
Components | ||||||||||
VT Vanguard Total World Stock |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 2.85 | 18.00 | -7.03 | 6.87 | 8.25 | 6.43 | 8.33 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 2.68 | 4.69 | -4.95 | 0.89 | 1.31 | 4.33 | 4.51 |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 2.56 | 3.57 | -5.25 | 0.29 | 1.69 | 4.95 | 6.63 |
EMB iShares JP Morgan USD Em Mkts Bd |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 1.68 | 11.04 | -7.68 | -0.82 | 1.47 | 9.06 | 9.46 |
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Waiting for updates, inflation of Mar 2023 is set to 0%. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 4.64% , 5Y: 3.81% , 10Y: 2.60% , 30Y: 2.50%
Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2023
Metrics of All Country World 60/40 Portfolio, updated as of 31 March 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Mar 31, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~38Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
2.70 | 5.54 | 12.51 | -6.36 | 8.27 | 4.45 | 5.70 | 6.81 | 6.42 | 8.02 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.00 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 4.64 | 5.24 | 3.81 | 2.60 | 2.48 | 2.50 | 2.78 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
2.70 | 4.12 | 11.00 | -10.51 | 2.88 | 0.62 | 3.02 | 4.22 | 3.83 | 5.09 |
Waiting for updates, inflation of Mar 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 16.77 | 12.79 | 12.20 | 9.82 | 10.33 | 10.00 | 10.39 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.52 | 0.59 | 0.26 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 0.42 | 0.39 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -0.75 | 0.80 | 0.35 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.55 | 0.51 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -16.77 | -21.52 | -21.52 | -21.52 | -36.70 | -36.70 | -36.70 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 04 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 12
|
> 15
|
> 15
|
> 15
|
39
|
39
|
39
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 45.11 | 25.10 | 20.90 | 12.66 | 10.26 | 8.80 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -32.06 | -8.15 | -1.65 | 1.11 | 4.33 | 6.24 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 79% | 90% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 78 | 159 | 233 | 303 |
Negative | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 42 | 81 | 127 | 156 |
% Positive | 100% | 67% | 67% | 50% | 64% | 63% | 65% | 66% | 65% | 66% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 40.67 | 21.94 | 12.80 | 8.61 | 6.41 | 8.87 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 2.80 | 0.61 | 2.93 | 4.05 | 3.68 | 4.85 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VT | BND | BNDX | EMB | |
VT |
1.00
|
0.86
|
0.90
|
0.91
|
|
BND |
0.86
|
1.00
|
0.90
|
0.91
|
|
BNDX |
0.90
|
0.90
|
1.00
|
0.82
|
|
EMB |
0.91
|
0.91
|
0.82
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VT | BND | BNDX | EMB | |
VT |
1.00
|
0.48
|
0.50
|
0.79
|
|
BND |
0.48
|
1.00
|
0.88
|
0.70
|
|
BNDX |
0.50
|
0.88
|
1.00
|
0.69
|
|
EMB |
0.79
|
0.70
|
0.69
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VT | BND | BNDX | EMB | |
VT |
1.00
|
0.38
|
0.39
|
0.73
|
|
BND |
0.38
|
1.00
|
0.87
|
0.70
|
|
BNDX |
0.39
|
0.87
|
1.00
|
0.67
|
|
EMB |
0.73
|
0.70
|
0.67
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VT | BND | BNDX | EMB | |
VT |
1.00
|
0.15
|
0.16
|
0.60
|
|
BND |
0.15
|
1.00
|
0.66
|
0.49
|
|
BNDX |
0.16
|
0.66
|
1.00
|
0.36
|
|
EMB |
0.60
|
0.49
|
0.36
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VT | BND | BNDX | EMB | |
VT |
1.00
|
0.19
|
0.20
|
0.57
|
|
BND |
0.19
|
1.00
|
0.74
|
0.51
|
|
BNDX |
0.20
|
0.74
|
1.00
|
0.42
|
|
EMB |
0.57
|
0.51
|
0.42
|
1.00
|
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the All Country World 60/40 Portfolio granted a 1.94% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the All Country World 60/40 Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3083.85$, with a net total return of 208.39% (3.83% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 6688.21$, with a net total return of 568.82% (5.09% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-36.70% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Jan 2011 | 23 | 39 |
-23.34% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Jan 2004 | 16 | 46 |
-21.52% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 6 | 15 |
-13.80% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 7 |
-12.04% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Mar 2012 | 6 | 11 |
-9.85% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Nov 1998 | 3 | 7 |
-8.49% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 15 |
-7.73% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 14 |
-5.70% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 |
-5.55% | Feb 1994 | Mar 1994 | 2 | Apr 1995 | 13 | 15 |
-4.76% | Aug 1997 | Oct 1997 | 3 | Feb 1998 | 4 | 7 |
-3.73% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 5 |
-3.53% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-3.47% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Dec 1993 | 1 | 2 |
-3.21% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
-3.08% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-3.06% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 |
-3.00% | May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | Oct 1999 | 5 | 6 |
-2.85% | May 2006 | Jun 2006 | 2 | Aug 2006 | 2 | 4 |
-2.77% | Mar 2004 | Jul 2004 | 5 | Oct 2004 | 3 | 8 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-36.70% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Jan 2011 | 23 | 39 |
-23.34% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Jan 2004 | 16 | 46 |
-21.52% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 6 | 15 |
-17.68% | Sep 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | Dec 1988 | 13 | 16 |
-14.70% | Jan 1990 | Sep 1990 | 9 | May 1991 | 8 | 17 |
-13.80% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 7 |
-12.04% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Mar 2012 | 6 | 11 |
-9.85% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Nov 1998 | 3 | 7 |
-8.49% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 15 |
-7.73% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 14 |
-5.70% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Aug 2012 | 3 | 5 |
-5.55% | Feb 1994 | Mar 1994 | 2 | Apr 1995 | 13 | 15 |
-5.40% | Jan 1992 | Mar 1992 | 3 | Jan 1993 | 10 | 13 |
-4.76% | Aug 1997 | Oct 1997 | 3 | Feb 1998 | 4 | 7 |
-4.45% | Sep 1986 | Sep 1986 | 1 | Oct 1986 | 1 | 2 |
-4.03% | Jun 1991 | Jun 1991 | 1 | Sep 1991 | 3 | 4 |
-3.73% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 5 |
-3.53% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-3.47% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Dec 1993 | 1 | 2 |
-3.21% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
All Country World 60/40 Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
8.42 |
45.11 Sep 1985 - Aug 1986 |
-32.06 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
20.76% |
2 Years |
7.95 |
37.66 Sep 1985 - Aug 1987 |
-16.26 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
12.39% |
3 Years |
7.55 |
25.10 Mar 1985 - Feb 1988 |
-8.15 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
9.91% |
5 Years |
7.20 |
20.90 Jan 1985 - Dec 1989 |
-1.65 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
1.00% |
7 Years |
7.09 |
15.78 Jan 1985 - Dec 1991 |
0.97 Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
7.02 |
12.66 Jan 1985 - Dec 1994 |
1.11 Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
6.66 |
13.10 Jan 1985 - Dec 1999 |
3.95 Mar 1994 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
6.67 |
10.26 Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
4.33 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
7.04 |
8.80 Jan 1985 - Dec 2014 |
6.24 Oct 1992 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the All Country World 60/40 Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in All Country World 60/40 Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.40
40% |
-1.31
40% |
-0.89
80% |
1.07
60% |
0.43
80% |
0.31
60% |
2.38
100% |
0.22
60% |
-2.19
40% |
0.40
60% |
3.08
80% |
0.19
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.40
|
100.07
|
99.18
|
100.24
|
100.68
|
100.99
|
103.40
|
103.63
|
101.36
|
101.77
|
104.91
|
105.11
|
Best |
5.8 2023 |
1.8 2019 |
2.7 2023 |
6.8 2020 |
3.5 2020 |
4.5 2019 |
5.2 2022 |
3.2 2020 |
1.1 2019 |
3.5 2022 |
7.8 2020 |
3.2 2020 |
Worst |
-3.6 2022 |
-3.9 2020 |
-10.1 2020 |
-6.5 2022 |
-3.2 2019 |
-5.8 2022 |
0.2 2019 |
-3.6 2022 |
-7.2 2022 |
-5.1 2018 |
-1.6 2021 |
-3.7 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.63
40% |
-0.10
50% |
0.10
70% |
1.17
80% |
0.46
80% |
-0.02
60% |
1.95
90% |
-0.21
60% |
-0.95
50% |
0.99
70% |
1.82
70% |
0.21
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.63
|
100.52
|
100.62
|
101.80
|
102.27
|
102.24
|
104.24
|
104.02
|
103.03
|
104.05
|
105.94
|
106.17
|
Best |
5.8 2023 |
3.4 2014 |
5.1 2016 |
6.8 2020 |
3.5 2020 |
4.5 2019 |
5.2 2022 |
3.2 2020 |
4.0 2013 |
4.5 2015 |
7.8 2020 |
3.2 2020 |
Worst |
-3.6 2022 |
-3.9 2020 |
-10.1 2020 |
-6.5 2022 |
-3.2 2019 |
-5.8 2022 |
-1.1 2014 |
-4.2 2015 |
-7.2 2022 |
-5.1 2018 |
-1.6 2021 |
-3.7 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.70
59% |
0.49
64% |
0.61
64% |
1.31
76% |
0.68
66% |
0.20
61% |
1.28
74% |
-0.14
61% |
-0.37
53% |
0.82
66% |
1.10
68% |
1.63
82% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.70
|
101.19
|
101.80
|
103.14
|
103.84
|
104.05
|
105.38
|
105.23
|
104.84
|
105.69
|
106.85
|
108.59
|
Best |
9.2 1987 |
7.2 1986 |
5.7 1986 |
7.7 2009 |
7.2 1990 |
4.5 2019 |
7.3 1989 |
6.4 1986 |
5.8 2010 |
6.6 2011 |
7.8 2020 |
6.1 1991 |
Worst |
-7.2 2009 |
-6.1 2009 |
-10.1 2020 |
-6.5 2022 |
-5.7 2010 |
-5.8 2022 |
-5.0 2002 |
-9.6 1998 |
-8.3 2008 |
-13.0 2008 |
-4.0 1987 |
-3.7 2018 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
All Country World 60/40 Portfolio data source starts from January 1985: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+5.54 | +4.12 | 5.8 | -2.9 | 2.7 | |||||||||
2022 |
-16.34 | -21.41 | -3.6 | -2.4 | 0.2 | -6.5 | 0.4 | -5.8 | 5.2 | -3.6 | -7.2 | 3.5 | 6.5 | -3.3 |
2021 |
+10.14 | +2.90 | -0.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | -3.1 | 3.2 | -1.6 | 2.4 |
2020 |
+12.48 | +10.97 | -0.2 | -3.9 | -10.1 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 3.2 | -1.8 | -1.3 | 7.8 | 3.2 |
2019 |
+19.89 | +17.21 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.2 | -3.2 | 4.5 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
2018 |
-5.81 | -7.58 | 2.9 | -3.0 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -5.1 | 1.2 | -3.7 |
2017 |
+16.36 | +13.96 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
2016 |
+6.82 | +4.64 | -3.1 | -0.2 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -1.7 | -0.2 | 1.3 |
2015 |
-0.78 | -1.49 | -0.1 | 3.3 | -0.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | -1.9 | 0.7 | -4.2 | -2.0 | 4.5 | -0.1 | -1.5 |
2014 |
+4.95 | +4.17 | -2.2 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | -1.1 | 2.1 | -2.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | -1.2 |
2013 |
+12.77 | +11.10 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | -1.3 | -2.5 | 3.4 | -1.9 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
2012 |
+13.25 | +11.32 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 0.7 | -0.3 | -5.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 | -0.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
2011 |
-1.26 | -4.10 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.2 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -3.9 | -6.2 | 6.6 | -0.9 | 0.2 |
2010 |
+10.93 | +9.29 | -2.6 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 0.2 | -5.7 | -0.9 | 5.7 | -1.4 | 5.8 | 2.4 | -2.1 | 4.2 |
2009 |
+23.38 | +20.11 | -7.2 | -6.1 | 5.5 | 7.7 | 6.9 | -0.7 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 4.0 | -1.5 | 3.7 | 0.7 |
2008 |
-25.21 | -25.28 | -4.3 | 0.3 | -1.1 | 2.9 | 0.3 | -5.1 | -1.4 | -1.0 | -8.3 | -13.0 | -1.7 | 5.1 |
2007 |
+8.21 | +3.96 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 2.8 | -2.4 | -0.5 |
2006 |
+13.12 | +10.32 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
2005 |
+7.18 | +3.64 | -1.0 | 1.8 | -1.6 | -0.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | -2.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
2004 |
+10.41 | +6.93 | 1.3 | 1.4 | -0.1 | -2.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | -1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
2003 |
+22.27 | +20.02 | -1.5 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 4.4 |
2002 |
-8.59 | -10.71 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 2.1 | -1.4 | 0.1 | -3.9 | -5.0 | 1.1 | -5.7 | 4.1 | 3.2 | -1.5 |
2001 |
-5.46 | -6.91 | 2.4 | -4.8 | -3.6 | 3.8 | -0.4 | -1.6 | 0.1 | -1.9 | -4.9 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
2000 |
-4.61 | -7.73 | -3.5 | 0.9 | 4.4 | -2.9 | -1.7 | 2.8 | -1.3 | 2.3 | -3.0 | -1.1 | -2.9 | 1.7 |
1999 |
+16.48 | +13.44 | 1.4 | -2.0 | 3.2 | 3.3 | -3.0 | 2.9 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 5.4 |
1998 |
+15.37 | +13.54 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | -1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -9.6 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
1997 |
+9.98 | +8.14 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -1.9 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 3.2 | -4.7 | 4.0 | -3.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
1996 |
+10.14 | +6.60 | 1.5 | -0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -1.9 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4.1 | -1.1 |
1995 |
+18.30 | +15.37 | -0.8 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -0.8 | 2.1 | -0.6 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
1994 |
-0.34 | -2.94 | 4.2 | -1.9 | -3.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | -1.9 | 1.6 | -2.7 | 0.1 |
1993 |
+18.90 | +15.72 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 3.6 | -1.0 | 2.1 | -3.5 | 3.9 |
1992 |
-0.34 | -3.15 | -1.7 | -0.8 | -3.0 | 0.9 | 3.1 | -1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | -0.2 | -2.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
1991 |
+17.68 | +14.18 | 2.6 | 6.1 | -1.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | -4.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | -2.5 | 6.1 |
1990 |
-8.25 | -13.53 | -3.7 | -2.5 | -3.6 | -1.4 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | -6.5 | -5.9 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
1989 |
+14.23 | +9.15 | 2.5 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 2.1 | -0.6 | 0.2 | 7.3 | -2.1 | 1.8 | -1.2 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
1988 |
+15.88 | +10.98 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | -1.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -3.4 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
1987 |
+10.47 | +5.78 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 2.1 | -1.2 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 2.8 | -1.7 | -12.7 | -4.0 | 5.3 |
1986 |
+31.62 | +30.19 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 3.0 | -1.9 | 6.4 | -4.5 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 0.1 |
1985 |
+34.19 | +29.28 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | -1.1 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 4.4 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2013, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- VT - Vanguard Total World Stock: simulated historical serie, up to December 2008
- BND - Vanguard Total Bond Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- BNDX - Vanguard Total International Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2013
- EMB - iShares JP Morgan USD Em Mkts Bd: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the All Country World 60/40 Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.37 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+7.92 | 9.47 | -30.55 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.90 | 8.66 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.85 | 6.85 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Golden Butterfly |
+7.67 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
Coffeehouse Bill Schultheis |
+7.53 | 9.52 | -33.93 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 50 Betterment |
+7.40 | 9.23 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 60/40 Bill Bernstein |
+7.37 | 9.14 | -34.12 | 58.2 | 40 | 1.8 | ||
Dimensional 2030 Retirement Income DFA |
+7.35 | 9.17 | -31.78 | 55.9 | 44.1 | 0 | ||
Tilt Toward Value Time Inc |
+7.35 | 9.28 | -34.63 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber |
+7.32 | 9.53 | -28.82 | 50 | 25 | 25 | ||
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio |
+7.28 | 7.20 | -20.19 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Edge Select Moderate Merrill Lynch |
+7.25 | 8.84 | -29.58 | 53 | 47 | 0 | ||
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer |
+7.19 | 8.99 | -32.39 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Nano Portfolio John Wasik |
+7.15 | 9.54 | -36.66 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Sandwich Portfolio Bob Clyatt |
+7.14 | 8.22 | -28.96 | 55 | 45 | 0 | ||
Simple and Cheap Time Inc |
+7.13 | 9.28 | -34.84 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Global Market Portfolio Credit Suisse |
+7.07 | 8.13 | -25.90 | 45 | 55 | 0 | ||
Ultimate Buy&Hold FundAdvice |
+7.06 | 9.19 | -34.23 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Vanguard |
+7.04 | 9.43 | -33.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Coward's Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.03 | 9.01 | -32.68 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
GAA Global Asset Allocation Mebane Faber |
+6.96 | 7.92 | -24.91 | 40.5 | 49.5 | 10 | ||
Big Rocks Portfolio Larry Swedroe |
+6.95 | 9.05 | -33.80 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Dynamic 40/60 Income |
+6.93 | 8.01 | -29.84 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Simplified Permanent Portfolio |
+6.90 | 6.79 | -16.43 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Sheltered Sam 50/50 Bill Bernstein |
+6.87 | 7.74 | -28.23 | 48.5 | 50 | 1.5 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 |
+6.85 | 6.83 | -19.17 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel |
+6.84 | 8.25 | -31.96 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Four Square Scott Burns |
+6.80 | 8.39 | -29.95 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
High Yield Bonds Income |
+6.66 | 8.70 | -23.97 | 0 | 100 | 0 | ||
Rob Arnott Portfolio Rob Arnott |
+6.60 | 7.10 | -24.27 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
Edge Select Moderately Conservative Merrill Lynch |
+6.58 | 6.73 | -20.48 | 37 | 63 | 0 | ||
Desert Portfolio Gyroscopic Investing |
+6.54 | 5.42 | -14.72 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
Permanent Portfolio Harry Browne |
+6.53 | 6.47 | -15.92 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Paul Boyer Portfolio Paul Boyer |
+6.49 | 7.42 | -18.04 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Lifepath Fund iShares |
+6.47 | 6.89 | -21.23 | 40.4 | 59.6 | 0 | ||
Andrew Tobias Portfolio Andrew Tobias |
+6.46 | 9.91 | -36.42 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
All Country World 60/40 |
+6.42 | 10.00 | -36.70 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and High Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.37 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.64 | 11.61 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.24 | 11.57 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.14 | 10.82 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.03 | 11.24 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 |