Data Source: from January 1987 to September 2021
Last Update: 30 September 2021
The JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio is exposed for 75% on the Stock Market.
It's a High Risk portfolio and it can be replicated with 2 ETFs.
In the last 10 years, the portfolio obtained a 13.21% compound annual return, with a 10.28% standard deviation.
In the last 25 years, a 8.92% compound annual return, with a 11.68% standard deviation.
In 2020, the portfolio granted a 1.92% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio can be replicated with the following ETFs:
| Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75.00 % | VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
| 25.00 % | BND | Vanguard Total Bond Market | Bond, U.S., All-Term |
Portfolio and ETF Returns
The JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y(*) | 5Y(*) | 10Y(*) | 20Y(*) | 25Y(*) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio | -3.72 | -0.03 | +6.66 | +23.38 | +13.49 | +13.44 | +13.21 | +8.89 | +8.92 |
| Components | |||||||||
|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market |
-4.46 | -0.03 | +8.10 | +32.16 | +16.05 | +16.88 | +16.60 | +10.07 | +9.79 |
|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market |
-1.01 | -0.05 | +1.88 | -1.04 | +5.36 | +2.88 | +2.88 | +4.09 | +4.86 |
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (i.e. at every January 1st)
- the reinvestment of dividends
If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Historical Returns
JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio - Historical returns and stats.
| Period | Returns Sep 2021 |
Standard Deviation * |
Max Drawdown |
Months Pos - Neg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1M
|
-3.72%
|
-3.72%
Sep 2021 - Sep 2021
|
0 - 1 | |
|
3M
|
-0.03%
|
-3.72%
Sep 2021 - Sep 2021
|
2 - 1 | |
|
6M
|
+6.66%
|
-3.72%
Sep 2021 - Sep 2021
|
5 - 1 | |
|
YTD
|
+10.93%
|
-3.72%
Sep 2021 - Sep 2021
|
7 - 2 | |
|
1Y
|
+23.38%
|
10.57%
|
-3.72%
Sep 2021 - Sep 2021
|
9 - 3 |
|
3Y
|
+13.49%
annualized
|
14.55%
|
-15.47%
Feb 2020 - Mar 2020
|
26 - 10 |
|
5Y
|
+13.44%
annualized
|
11.77%
|
-15.47%
Feb 2020 - Mar 2020
|
47 - 13 |
|
10Y
|
+13.21%
annualized
|
10.28%
|
-15.47%
Feb 2020 - Mar 2020
|
90 - 30 |
|
20Y
|
+8.89%
annualized
|
11.09%
|
-38.54%
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
165 - 75 |
|
25Y
|
+8.92%
annualized
|
11.68%
|
-38.54%
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
199 - 101 |
|
MAX
01 Jan 1987
|
+9.90%
annualized
|
11.56%
|
-38.54%
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
279 - 138 |
Best Classic Portfolios, with High Risk, ordered by 25 Years annualized return.
25 Years Stats |
% Allocation |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm. | ||
| Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.94% | -39.46% | 70 | 30 | 0 | Compare | |
| Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.92% | -38.54% | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
| Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson |
+8.85% | -40.18% | 66.67 | 33.33 | 0 | Compare | |
| Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.64% | -41.80% | 71 | 29 | 0 | Compare | |
| Lazy Portfolio David Swensen |
+8.43% | -40.88% | 70 | 30 | 0 | Compare | |
Capital Growth
Drawdowns
Rolling Returns ( more details)
JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
| Return (*) | Negative Periods |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolling Period | Average | Best | Worst | |
| 1 Year |
+10.31% |
+44.15% Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
-32.25% Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
17.49% |
| 2 Years |
+9.90% |
+30.60% Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-18.16% Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
11.93% |
| 3 Years |
+9.64% |
+25.25% Apr 1995 - Mar 1998 |
-9.99% Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
12.30% |
| 5 Years |
+9.48% |
+22.05% Jan 1995 - Dec 1999 |
-3.08% Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
1.40% |
| 7 Years |
+9.28% |
+17.50% Oct 1990 - Sep 1997 |
-0.47% Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
0.30% |
| 10 Years |
+9.04% |
+16.22% Oct 1990 - Sep 2000 |
+0.03% Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
| 15 Years |
+8.17% |
+11.69% Jan 1987 - Dec 2001 |
+5.00% Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
0.00% |
| 20 Years |
+8.17% |
+11.07% Dec 1987 - Nov 2007 |
+5.35% Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality and Yearly/Monthly Returns
JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio Seasonality: in which months is it better to invest?
In the table below, the average monthly return is represented.
Below each return, it's also mentioned the probability of obtaining a positive monthly result (Win %).
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Win % |
1.01 63% |
0.63 66% |
0.70 69% |
1.59 77% |
1.01 71% |
0.51 63% |
1.18 60% |
0.12 63% |
-0.01 54% |
0.30 62% |
1.44 74% |
1.71 82% |
| Best Year |
10.0 1987 |
5.5 1998 |
6.2 2009 |
10.0 2020 |
7.3 1990 |
5.7 2019 |
6.7 1997 |
5.7 2000 |
6.9 2010 |
8.2 2011 |
9.1 2020 |
8.8 1991 |
| Worst Year |
-6.6 2009 |
-7.9 2009 |
-10.5 2020 |
-4.0 2000 |
-5.7 2010 |
-6.0 2008 |
-5.9 2002 |
-11.5 1998 |
-6.9 2008 |
-17.3 1987 |
-6.8 2000 |
-6.5 2018 |
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Returns of JL Collins Simple Path to Wealth Portfolio
| Months | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Return | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| 2021 |
+10.93% | -0.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2.2 | -3.7 | |||
| 2020 |
+17.70% | 0.5 | -5.6 | -10.5 | 10.0 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 5.0 | -2.7 | -1.6 | 9.1 | 3.6 |
| 2019 |
+25.21% | 6.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 3.0 | -4.6 | 5.7 | 1.1 | -1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 2018 |
-3.94% | 3.6 | -3.1 | -1.3 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.0 | -5.9 | 1.7 | -6.5 |
| 2017 |
+16.80% | 1.4 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 2016 |
+10.25% | -4.0 | 0.2 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -1.9 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| 2015 |
+0.41% | -1.5 | 3.9 | -0.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | -1.5 | 1.5 | -4.7 | -2.0 | 5.8 | 0.4 | -1.7 |
| 2014 |
+10.86% | -2.0 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | -1.6 | 3.4 | -1.7 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
| 2013 |
+24.56% | 3.9 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | -1.5 | 4.6 | -2.6 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 2012 |
+13.13% | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | -0.2 | -4.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | -1.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| 2011 |
+2.71% | 1.6 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 2.6 | -0.5 | -1.5 | -1.3 | -4.2 | -5.4 | 8.2 | -0.3 | 1.0 |
| 2010 |
+14.62% | -2.4 | 2.6 | 4.7 | 1.9 | -5.7 | -4.0 | 5.4 | -3.1 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 5.0 |
| 2009 |
+22.58% | -6.6 | -7.9 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 3.4 | -2.0 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| 2008 |
-26.02% | -4.3 | -1.8 | -0.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | -6.0 | -0.5 | 1.3 | -6.9 | -13.2 | -4.1 | 3.0 |
| 2007 |
+5.76% | 1.4 | -0.9 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 2.6 | -1.4 | -2.5 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | -3.0 | -0.5 |
| 2006 |
+12.84% | 2.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | -2.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 2005 |
+5.33% | -1.7 | 1.4 | -1.5 | -1.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 3.0 | -0.5 | 0.3 | -2.0 | 3.6 | 0.3 |
| 2004 |
+10.65% | 2.2 | 1.3 | -0.6 | -2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | -2.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| 2003 |
+24.06% | -2.1 | -0.8 | 0.5 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -0.2 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| 2002 |
-13.29% | -0.5 | -1.1 | 2.4 | -2.9 | -0.8 | -5.0 | -5.9 | 1.0 | -6.6 | 4.9 | 4.2 | -3.0 |
| 2001 |
-6.12% | 3.3 | -6.9 | -4.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -4.0 | -6.1 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 1.1 |
| 2000 |
-5.08% | -3.2 | 2.2 | 4.6 | -4.0 | -2.6 | 3.8 | -1.2 | 5.7 | -3.3 | -1.4 | -6.8 | 1.8 |
| 1999 |
+17.67% | 2.9 | -3.3 | 3.1 | 3.6 | -1.7 | 3.8 | -2.6 | -0.7 | -1.6 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 5.8 |
| 1998 |
+19.59% | 0.7 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.0 | -1.9 | 2.9 | -1.7 | -11.5 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| 1997 |
+25.61% | 4.2 | -0.1 | -3.6 | 3.8 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 6.7 | -3.1 | 4.8 | -2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| 1996 |
+16.62% | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -4.1 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 5.7 | -1.2 |
| 1995 |
+31.38% | 2.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 | -0.6 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 1994 |
-0.79% | 2.7 | -2.1 | -3.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | -2.1 | 2.8 | 3.3 | -1.8 | 1.2 | -2.8 | 1.1 |
| 1993 |
+10.39% | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | -1.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | -1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1992 |
+8.62% | -0.4 | 1.1 | -1.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | -1.1 | 3.4 | -1.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 1991 |
+28.11% | 4.0 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 3.2 | -3.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 1.5 | -2.8 | 8.8 |
| 1990 |
-2.40% | -5.7 | 1.4 | 1.9 | -2.4 | 7.3 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -7.0 | -3.6 | -0.5 | 5.2 | 2.5 |
| 1989 |
+24.50% | 5.2 | -1.5 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 6.3 | 1.4 | -0.1 | -1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1988 |
+14.83% | 4.1 | 4.2 | -1.4 | 0.7 | -0.3 | 4.4 | -0.6 | -2.1 | 3.4 | 1.6 | -1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1987 |
+2.34% | 10.0 | 3.8 | 1.6 | -1.9 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 2.9 | -2.1 | -17.3 | -5.3 | 5.8 |
* Note: Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001
- BND - Vanguard Total Bond Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007