Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023, 04:00PM Eastern Time
The Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 5 ETFs.
It's exposed for 60% on the Stock Market and for 20% on Commodities.
In the last 30 Years, the Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio obtained a 6.88% compound annual return, with a 11.52% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
20.00 % | VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
20.00 % | VEU | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US | Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap | |
20.00 % | VNQ | Vanguard Real Estate | Real Estate, U.S. | |
20.00 % | BND | Vanguard Total Bond Market | Bond, U.S., All-Term | |
20.00 % | GSG | iShares S&P GSCI Commodity Indexed Trust | Commodity, Broad Diversified |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 28, 2023
The Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Feb 28, 2023 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Mar 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~53Y) |
|
Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio | 0.65 | -2.46 | -3.98 | -1.69 | -7.31 | 5.52 | 4.57 | 6.88 | 9.51 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | -4.51 | -3.22 | -12.59 | 1.60 | 1.89 | 4.27 | 5.32 | |||
Components | ||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market |
0.87 |
04:00PM Mar 20 2023 |
-1.32 | -2.40 | 1.41 | -8.31 | 9.34 | 11.82 | 9.64 | 9.03 |
VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US |
1.01 |
04:00PM Mar 20 2023 |
-1.77 | -4.39 | 7.42 | -7.28 | 1.97 | 4.24 | 5.50 | 8.03 |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate |
1.14 |
04:00PM Mar 20 2023 |
-4.96 | -5.86 | -5.50 | -13.27 | 7.07 | 6.31 | 8.64 | 7.02 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market |
-0.43 |
04:00PM Mar 20 2023 |
2.08 | -2.90 | -2.30 | -9.97 | 0.49 | 1.05 | 4.25 | 4.49 |
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity Indexed Trust |
0.69 |
04:00PM Mar 20 2023 |
-6.35 | -4.24 | -8.72 | -2.40 | 4.54 | -4.60 | 1.29 | 2.14 |
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 6.04% , 5Y: 3.86% , 10Y: 2.63% , 30Y: 2.51%
Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023
Metrics of Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio, updated as of 28 February 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~53Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
-3.98 | -1.35 | -1.69 | -7.31 | 7.31 | 5.52 | 4.57 | 6.53 | 6.88 | 9.51 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 6.04 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 2.63 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 3.98 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-4.51 | -2.37 | -3.22 | -12.59 | 2.04 | 1.60 | 1.89 | 3.91 | 4.27 | 5.32 |
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 16.19 | 16.22 | 14.14 | 11.28 | 12.80 | 11.52 | 10.70 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.58 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.41 | 0.52 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -0.80 | 0.50 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.67 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -16.46 | -16.46 | -21.77 | -21.77 | -47.39 | -47.39 | -47.39 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 04 | 2022 04 | 2020 01 | 2020 01 | 2008 06 | 2008 06 | 2008 06 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2020 03 | 2020 03 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 9 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 11
|
> 11
|
12
|
12
|
56
|
56
|
56
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 47.92 | 27.90 | 24.05 | 17.53 | 14.41 | 13.11 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -42.92 | -11.80 | -2.73 | 2.23 | 4.71 | 6.55 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 84% | 94% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 41 | 77 | 158 | 235 | 431 |
Negative | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 43 | 82 | 125 | 207 |
% Positive | 0% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 68% | 64% | 66% | 65% | 68% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 37.97 | 22.07 | 11.41 | 8.78 | 7.09 | 6.41 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 2.00 | 1.58 | 1.86 | 3.77 | 4.09 | 5.05 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | VNQ | BND | GSG | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.84
|
0.90
|
0.72
|
0.45
|
|
VEU |
0.84
|
1.00
|
0.83
|
0.89
|
0.36
|
|
VNQ |
0.90
|
0.83
|
1.00
|
0.72
|
0.50
|
|
BND |
0.72
|
0.89
|
0.72
|
1.00
|
0.09
|
|
GSG |
0.45
|
0.36
|
0.50
|
0.09
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | VNQ | BND | GSG | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.88
|
0.85
|
0.44
|
0.50
|
|
VEU |
0.88
|
1.00
|
0.77
|
0.49
|
0.58
|
|
VNQ |
0.85
|
0.77
|
1.00
|
0.53
|
0.47
|
|
BND |
0.44
|
0.49
|
0.53
|
1.00
|
-0.07
|
|
GSG |
0.50
|
0.58
|
0.47
|
-0.07
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | VNQ | BND | GSG | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.85
|
0.72
|
0.33
|
0.44
|
|
VEU |
0.85
|
1.00
|
0.64
|
0.40
|
0.51
|
|
VNQ |
0.72
|
0.64
|
1.00
|
0.57
|
0.23
|
|
BND |
0.33
|
0.40
|
0.57
|
1.00
|
-0.12
|
|
GSG |
0.44
|
0.51
|
0.23
|
-0.12
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | VNQ | BND | GSG | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.82
|
0.62
|
0.14
|
0.36
|
|
VEU |
0.82
|
1.00
|
0.58
|
0.15
|
0.45
|
|
VNQ |
0.62
|
0.58
|
1.00
|
0.29
|
0.26
|
|
BND |
0.14
|
0.15
|
0.29
|
1.00
|
0.01
|
|
GSG |
0.36
|
0.45
|
0.26
|
0.01
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asset | VTI | VEU | VNQ | BND | GSG | |
VTI |
1.00
|
0.79
|
0.64
|
0.22
|
0.19
|
|
VEU |
0.79
|
1.00
|
0.55
|
0.19
|
0.26
|
|
VNQ |
0.64
|
0.55
|
1.00
|
0.23
|
0.16
|
|
BND |
0.22
|
0.19
|
0.23
|
1.00
|
-0.04
|
|
GSG |
0.19
|
0.26
|
0.16
|
-0.04
|
1.00
|
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio granted a 1.79% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3500.99$, with a net total return of 250.10% (4.27% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 15709.59$, with a net total return of 1470.96% (5.32% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-47.39% | Jun 2008 | Feb 2009 | 9 | Jan 2013 | 47 | 56 |
-21.77% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Dec 2020 | 9 | 12 |
-16.46% | Apr 2022 | Sep 2022 | 6 | in progress | 5 | 11 |
-15.89% | Jul 2014 | Feb 2016 | 20 | Jul 2017 | 17 | 37 |
-13.25% | Apr 1998 | Aug 1998 | 5 | Apr 1999 | 8 | 13 |
-11.43% | Feb 2001 | Oct 2001 | 9 | May 2003 | 19 | 28 |
-11.00% | Oct 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 7 |
-6.49% | Feb 1994 | Nov 1994 | 10 | May 1995 | 6 | 16 |
-6.08% | Nov 2007 | Jan 2008 | 3 | Apr 2008 | 3 | 6 |
-5.89% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Sep 2004 | 5 | 6 |
-5.04% | Oct 1993 | Nov 1993 | 2 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 4 |
-4.27% | Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 1 | Jul 2018 | 5 | 6 |
-4.02% | Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-3.82% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
-3.80% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Oct 2013 | 4 | 6 |
-3.60% | Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | Dec 2005 | 2 | 3 |
-3.23% | Oct 1997 | Nov 1997 | 2 | Mar 1998 | 4 | 6 |
-2.94% | Sep 2000 | Oct 2000 | 2 | Jan 2001 | 3 | 5 |
-2.75% | Jun 2007 | Jul 2007 | 2 | Sep 2007 | 2 | 4 |
-2.64% | Jul 1996 | Jul 1996 | 1 | Sep 1996 | 2 | 3 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-47.39% | Jun 2008 | Feb 2009 | 9 | Jan 2013 | 47 | 56 |
-21.77% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Dec 2020 | 9 | 12 |
-16.46% | Apr 2022 | Sep 2022 | 6 | in progress | 5 | 11 |
-15.89% | Jul 2014 | Feb 2016 | 20 | Jul 2017 | 17 | 37 |
-13.25% | Apr 1998 | Aug 1998 | 5 | Apr 1999 | 8 | 13 |
-12.61% | Mar 1974 | Aug 1974 | 6 | Mar 1975 | 7 | 13 |
-11.43% | Feb 2001 | Oct 2001 | 9 | May 2003 | 19 | 28 |
-11.40% | Sep 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | Jun 1988 | 7 | 10 |
-11.16% | Apr 1970 | Jun 1970 | 3 | Nov 1970 | 5 | 8 |
-11.00% | Oct 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 7 |
-10.97% | Feb 1980 | Mar 1980 | 2 | Jun 1980 | 3 | 5 |
-10.82% | Dec 1980 | Sep 1981 | 10 | Oct 1982 | 13 | 23 |
-7.21% | Jan 1990 | Apr 1990 | 4 | Jan 1991 | 9 | 13 |
-6.97% | Oct 1979 | Oct 1979 | 1 | Jan 1980 | 3 | 4 |
-6.49% | Feb 1994 | Nov 1994 | 10 | May 1995 | 6 | 16 |
-6.08% | Nov 2007 | Jan 2008 | 3 | Apr 2008 | 3 | 6 |
-6.06% | Oct 1973 | Nov 1973 | 2 | Jan 1974 | 2 | 4 |
-5.89% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Sep 2004 | 5 | 6 |
-5.46% | Jul 1975 | Sep 1975 | 3 | Jan 1976 | 4 | 7 |
-5.04% | Oct 1993 | Nov 1993 | 2 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 4 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
10.51 |
47.92 Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
-42.92 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
16.11% |
2 Years |
10.17 |
33.83 Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-22.66 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
8.78% |
3 Years |
9.89 |
27.90 Aug 1984 - Jul 1987 |
-11.80 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
5.97% |
5 Years |
9.81 |
24.05 Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
-2.73 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.86% |
7 Years |
9.84 |
20.24 Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 |
0.72 Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
9.97 |
17.53 Sep 1977 - Aug 1987 |
2.23 Dec 2006 - Nov 2016 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
10.06 |
15.77 Oct 1974 - Sep 1989 |
3.13 Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
10.10 |
14.41 Jul 1970 - Jun 1990 |
4.71 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
10.04 |
13.11 Jul 1970 - Jun 2000 |
6.55 Apr 1990 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
2.10
60% |
-0.79
60% |
-1.57
80% |
2.00
80% |
0.94
80% |
0.59
80% |
1.96
100% |
0.09
60% |
-2.14
40% |
0.63
60% |
1.97
60% |
0.63
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
102.10
|
101.29
|
99.70
|
101.69
|
102.65
|
103.25
|
105.28
|
105.37
|
103.12
|
103.77
|
105.82
|
106.49
|
Best |
7.5 2019 |
3.6 2021 |
3.3 2022 |
5.2 2020 |
4.6 2020 |
4.0 2019 |
3.9 2022 |
3.0 2020 |
1.5 2019 |
4.7 2021 |
9.1 2020 |
5.1 2021 |
Worst |
-2.2 2020 |
-5.5 2020 |
-15.4 2020 |
-3.2 2022 |
-3.8 2019 |
-6.7 2022 |
0.2 2019 |
-3.9 2022 |
-8.5 2022 |
-5.2 2018 |
-4.0 2021 |
-5.5 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.80
50% |
-0.07
60% |
-0.16
70% |
1.74
90% |
0.50
70% |
0.30
70% |
1.30
80% |
-0.44
50% |
-1.17
50% |
1.05
70% |
0.86
50% |
0.43
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.80
|
100.72
|
100.56
|
102.31
|
102.82
|
103.13
|
104.46
|
104.00
|
102.78
|
103.86
|
104.75
|
105.21
|
Best |
7.5 2019 |
4.1 2014 |
6.2 2016 |
5.2 2020 |
4.6 2020 |
4.0 2019 |
3.9 2022 |
3.0 2020 |
2.6 2013 |
4.7 2021 |
9.1 2020 |
5.1 2021 |
Worst |
-3.8 2016 |
-5.5 2020 |
-15.4 2020 |
-3.2 2022 |
-3.8 2019 |
-6.7 2022 |
-1.8 2014 |
-4.2 2015 |
-8.5 2022 |
-5.2 2018 |
-4.0 2021 |
-5.5 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.01
65% |
0.46
65% |
1.05
74% |
1.51
79% |
0.42
58% |
0.57
62% |
1.02
68% |
0.65
70% |
0.17
66% |
0.26
55% |
1.01
68% |
1.59
81% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.01
|
101.47
|
102.54
|
104.08
|
104.52
|
105.12
|
106.20
|
106.88
|
107.06
|
107.33
|
108.42
|
110.14
|
Best |
7.5 2019 |
4.5 1970 |
6.2 2016 |
9.6 2009 |
8.9 2009 |
4.2 1986 |
8.5 1973 |
7.4 1979 |
6.2 2010 |
9.2 2011 |
9.1 2020 |
6.1 1971 |
Worst |
-10.2 2009 |
-9.1 2009 |
-15.4 2020 |
-6.5 1970 |
-7.2 2010 |
-6.7 2022 |
-3.8 2008 |
-8.9 1998 |
-8.6 2011 |
-21.0 2008 |
-8.8 2008 |
-5.5 2018 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio data source starts from January 1970: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+1.64 | +0.27 | 5.8 | -4.0 | ||||||||||
2022 |
-10.08 | -15.53 | -1.4 | 0.1 | 3.3 | -3.2 | 1.2 | -6.7 | 3.9 | -3.9 | -8.5 | 4.1 | 4.6 | -2.9 |
2021 |
+22.27 | +14.24 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | -1.6 | 4.7 | -4.0 | 5.1 |
2020 |
+2.25 | +0.88 | -2.2 | -5.5 | -15.4 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 3.0 | -2.3 | -2.1 | 9.1 | 3.7 |
2019 |
+21.16 | +18.46 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | -3.8 | 4.0 | 0.2 | -0.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 2.8 |
2018 |
-7.88 | -9.61 | 1.8 | -4.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | -5.2 | -0.6 | -5.5 |
2017 |
+12.20 | +9.88 | 0.9 | 1.8 | -0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
2016 |
+7.80 | +5.61 | -3.8 | -0.8 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | -0.3 | 0.8 | -2.5 | 0.1 | 2.8 |
2015 |
-7.10 | -7.77 | -0.4 | 2.3 | -1.3 | 1.8 | -0.5 | -2.1 | -1.2 | -4.2 | -1.7 | 4.1 | -1.9 | -1.9 |
2014 |
+2.25 | +1.48 | -1.1 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | -1.8 | 1.6 | -4.0 | 1.9 | -0.6 | -2.3 |
2013 |
+9.20 | +7.59 | 3.1 | -0.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | -2.1 | -1.8 | 3.5 | -2.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | -0.5 | 1.1 |
2012 |
+11.11 | +9.21 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | -6.8 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.4 | -1.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
2011 |
+0.04 | -2.84 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -2.5 | 0.3 | -4.1 | -8.6 | 9.2 | -1.1 | 0.6 |
2010 |
+14.19 | +12.51 | -4.3 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 2.4 | -7.2 | -2.3 | 6.7 | -2.5 | 6.2 | 3.1 | -1.0 | 5.4 |
2009 |
+22.28 | +19.04 | -10.2 | -9.1 | 5.4 | 9.6 | 8.9 | -0.9 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 3.2 | -1.3 | 4.0 | 2.3 |
2008 |
-31.26 | -31.33 | -2.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.3 | -2.7 | -3.8 | -1.8 | -6.4 | -21.0 | -8.8 | 3.9 |
2007 |
+8.59 | +4.33 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | -1.5 | -1.3 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 3.5 | -3.3 | -0.1 |
2006 |
+15.77 | +12.90 | 3.8 | -0.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | -2.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | -0.1 | 3.8 | 3.7 | -1.0 |
2005 |
+11.34 | +7.67 | -2.3 | 3.2 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | -3.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
2004 |
+17.00 | +13.31 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.1 | -5.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | -0.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
2003 |
+28.11 | +25.74 | -0.3 | 1.4 | -2.1 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 4.7 |
2002 |
+3.82 | +1.41 | -1.6 | 1.3 | 5.5 | -0.1 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -3.6 | 2.2 | -2.4 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
2001 |
-8.45 | -9.85 | 0.4 | -3.9 | -3.2 | 4.4 | -0.4 | -1.0 | -0.7 | -0.4 | -6.2 | -0.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
2000 |
+12.26 | +8.59 | -0.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | -1.0 | 1.5 | 4.2 | -1.0 | 4.3 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 0.6 | 2.1 |
1999 |
+17.97 | +14.88 | 0.4 | -2.8 | 5.1 | 4.7 | -2.3 | 2.8 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 5.0 |
1998 |
-0.93 | -2.50 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.2 | -0.7 | -1.7 | 0.3 | -2.8 | -8.9 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
1997 |
+8.87 | +7.05 | 0.4 | -1.1 | -0.8 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 3.9 | -2.5 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -0.9 | 0.2 |
1996 |
+19.40 | +15.56 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 1.3 | -2.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 |
1995 |
+18.09 | +15.16 | -1.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 | -0.9 | 2.5 | 4.4 |
1994 |
+0.77 | -1.86 | 4.9 | -1.2 | -3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | -2.1 | 0.3 | -3.3 | 2.7 |
1993 |
+11.51 | +8.53 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -4.7 | 1.5 |
1992 |
+4.09 | +1.16 | 0.8 | -1.1 | -2.1 | 0.8 | 3.2 | -1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | -1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
1991 |
+17.33 | +13.85 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | -3.3 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -2.5 | 3.9 |
1990 |
-1.70 | -7.35 | -3.4 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | -1.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 0.5 |
1989 |
+20.35 | +15.00 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 2.1 | -1.5 | 1.6 | 3.2 |
1988 |
+18.35 | +13.34 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -2.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
1987 |
+10.95 | +6.24 | 7.4 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | -1.1 | -9.8 | -0.7 | 2.0 |
1986 |
+22.86 | +21.52 | -0.2 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | -1.1 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 5.7 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 2.2 | 0.2 |
1985 |
+26.65 | +22.01 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.5 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
1984 |
+8.40 | +4.29 | 0.9 | -1.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | -2.5 | 0.5 | -1.7 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
1983 |
+19.70 | +15.33 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | -1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
1982 |
+16.68 | +12.37 | 0.4 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 3.2 | -1.1 | -3.0 | 0.4 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
1981 |
-3.14 | -11.07 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 2.7 | -1.1 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 0.1 | -4.0 | -3.5 | 4.7 | 3.6 | -2.7 |
1980 |
+18.97 | +5.73 | 4.7 | -1.4 | -9.7 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 3.6 | -2.9 |
1979 |
+21.71 | +7.43 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 1.5 | -1.6 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 7.4 | 0.3 | -7.0 | 5.1 | 2.1 |
1978 |
+16.56 | +6.92 | -1.7 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 2.1 | -2.4 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 1.4 | -5.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
1977 |
+9.30 | +2.43 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -0.6 | 2.8 | -1.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 | -0.7 | 3.8 | 2.0 |
1976 |
+15.62 | +10.26 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | -1.2 | 2.4 | -1.5 | 0.4 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 1.6 | 4.6 |
1975 |
+15.63 | +8.13 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 3.9 | -2.5 | 0.0 | -3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | -0.2 |
1974 |
-4.73 | -15.19 | 3.1 | 0.9 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -5.5 | 0.3 | 8.9 | -1.0 | -3.1 |
1973 |
+6.86 | -1.70 | 0.1 | -1.8 | -0.1 | -1.2 | 3.1 | -0.3 | 8.5 | -0.5 | 1.8 | -1.3 | -4.8 | 3.8 |
1972 |
+21.95 | +17.93 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 2.2 |
1971 |
+16.81 | +13.12 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 1.9 | -1.9 | -0.2 | -2.2 | 3.3 | 0.4 | -1.0 | 0.7 | 6.1 |
1970 |
+5.11 | -0.44 | -4.3 | 4.5 | 0.1 | -6.5 | -4.3 | -0.8 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.6 | -0.8 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001
- VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
- BND - Vanguard Total Bond Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- GSG - iShares S&P GSCI Commodity Indexed Trust: simulated historical serie, up to December 2006
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum |
+10.78 | 12.19 | -43.61 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Minimum Volatility |
+9.51 | 13.66 | -43.27 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.38 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett |
+9.21 | 13.51 | -45.52 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 |
+8.84 | 12.34 | -41.09 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Robust Alpha Architect |
+8.81 | 10.97 | -44.20 | 70 | 20 | 10 | ||
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.61 | 11.61 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Mid-Fifties Burton Malkiel |
+8.51 | 12.91 | -46.21 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 80/20 Bill Bernstein |
+8.41 | 12.09 | -45.06 | 77.6 | 20 | 2.4 | ||
Edge Select Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+8.34 | 13.17 | -45.65 | 84 | 16 | 0 | ||
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.34 | 11.59 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.23 | 10.84 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 80 Betterment |
+8.18 | 13.01 | -45.47 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.14 | 11.26 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 | ||
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson |
+8.06 | 10.67 | -40.17 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Core Four Rick Ferri |
+7.96 | 12.09 | -44.44 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 70/30 Bill Bernstein |
+7.95 | 10.60 | -39.73 | 67.9 | 30 | 2.1 | ||
Family Taxable Portfolio Ted Aronson |
+7.94 | 11.56 | -38.46 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Six Ways from Sunday Scott Burns |
+7.90 | 10.87 | -39.14 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+7.88 | 9.46 | -30.55 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Lazy Portfolio David Swensen |
+7.88 | 10.78 | -40.89 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+7.86 | 11.04 | -38.23 | 69 | 31 | 0 | ||
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.85 | 8.66 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Four Funds Bogleheads |
+7.83 | 12.36 | -44.08 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.82 | 6.84 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Gone Fishin' Portfolio Alexander Green |
+7.77 | 12.03 | -43.02 | 65 | 30 | 5 | ||
Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio Jane Bryant Quinn |
+7.75 | 10.66 | -39.55 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Three Funds Bogleheads |
+7.73 | 12.29 | -43.68 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
LifeStrategy Growth Fund Vanguard |
+7.68 | 12.32 | -44.18 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Golden Butterfly |
+7.66 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
Coffeehouse Bill Schultheis |
+7.64 | 9.53 | -33.93 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Long Term Portfolio Ben Stein |
+7.64 | 12.36 | -45.92 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
No Brainer Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.60 | 11.65 | -40.40 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Perfect Portfolio Ben Stein |
+7.54 | 12.33 | -44.81 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Pinwheel |
+7.51 | 10.43 | -36.89 | 65 | 25 | 10 | ||
Sheltered Sam 60/40 Bill Bernstein |
+7.45 | 9.15 | -34.12 | 58.2 | 40 | 1.8 | ||
Gretchen Tai Portfolio Gretchen Tai |
+7.45 | 11.61 | -41.80 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 50 Betterment |
+7.45 | 9.24 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
Tilt Toward Value Time Inc |
+7.42 | 9.30 | -34.63 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber |
+7.39 | 9.55 | -28.82 | 50 | 25 | 25 | ||
Five Fold Scott Burns |
+7.37 | 9.66 | -37.94 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Dimensional 2030 Retirement Income DFA |
+7.36 | 9.17 | -31.78 | 55.9 | 44.1 | 0 | ||
Five Asset Roger Gibson |
+7.34 | 11.23 | -44.75 | 60 | 20 | 20 | ||
Margaritaville Scott Burns |
+7.32 | 10.79 | -38.70 | 67 | 33 | 0 | ||
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer |
+7.26 | 9.00 | -32.39 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderate Merrill Lynch |
+7.25 | 8.84 | -29.58 | 53 | 47 | 0 | ||
Nano Portfolio John Wasik |
+7.24 | 9.56 | -36.66 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio |
+7.19 | 7.18 | -20.19 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Sandwich Portfolio Bob Clyatt |
+7.18 | 8.23 | -28.96 | 55 | 45 | 0 | ||
Simple and Cheap Time Inc |
+7.18 | 9.30 | -34.84 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Ultimate Buy&Hold FundAdvice |
+7.16 | 9.20 | -34.23 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Coward's Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.12 | 9.02 | -32.68 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Global Market Portfolio Credit Suisse |
+7.07 | 8.13 | -25.90 | 45 | 55 | 0 | ||
LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Vanguard |
+7.07 | 9.44 | -33.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Big Rocks Portfolio Larry Swedroe |
+7.06 | 9.06 | -33.80 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
GAA Global Asset Allocation Mebane Faber |
+6.96 | 7.92 | -24.91 | 40.5 | 49.5 | 10 | ||
Dynamic 40/60 Income |
+6.95 | 8.02 | -29.84 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Dynamic 60/40 Income |
+6.95 | 9.22 | -41.44 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Ideal Index Frank Armstrong |
+6.95 | 10.62 | -40.11 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 50/50 Bill Bernstein |
+6.93 | 7.75 | -28.23 | 48.5 | 50 | 1.5 | ||
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel |
+6.92 | 8.26 | -31.96 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Ivy Portfolio Mebane Faber |
+6.88 | 11.52 | -47.39 | 60 | 20 | 20 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Very High Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Technology |
+13.03 | 23.91 | -81.08 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Momentum |
+11.99 | 15.12 | -53.85 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum |
+10.78 | 12.19 | -43.61 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
US Stocks |
+9.64 | 15.38 | -50.84 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Value |
+9.57 | 15.20 | -55.41 | 100 | 0 | 0 |