Vanguard Large-Cap (VV): Historical Returns

Category: Stocks
Period: January 1871 - September 2024 (~154 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 September 2024
Live Update: Oct 21 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time
Currency: USD
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1.00$
Initial Capital
October 1994
22.11$
Final Capital
September 2024
10.87%
Yearly Return
15.26
Std Deviation
-50.39%
Max Drawdown
53 months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
644631.95$
Final Capital
September 2024
9.09%
Yearly Return
16.53
Std Deviation
-83.65%
Max Drawdown
186 months
Recovery Period
Live update: October 2024 (USD)
-0.15%
1 day - Oct 21 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time
1.77%
Month - October 2024

The Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF covers to the following investment themes:

  • Asset Class: Equity
  • Size: Large Cap
  • Style: Blend
  • Region: North America
  • Country: U.S.

As of September 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF obtained a 10.87% compound annual return, with a 15.26% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -50.39% that required 53 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the ETFs/Assets issuers. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative and entertainment purposes only.

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The Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF is part of the following Lazy Portfolios:

Portfolio Name Author VV Weight Currency
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett 90.00% USD
No Brainer Portfolio Bill Bernstein 25.00% USD
Lifepath Fund iShares 22.09% USD
Sandwich Portfolio Bob Clyatt 20.00% USD
Sheltered Sam 100/0 Bill Bernstein 20.00% USD
GAA Global Asset Allocation Mebane Faber 18.00% USD
Sheltered Sam 90/10 Bill Bernstein 18.00% USD
Sheltered Sam 80/20 Bill Bernstein 16.00% USD
Coward's Portfolio Bill Bernstein 15.00% USD
Family Taxable Portfolio Ted Aronson 15.00% USD
Sheltered Sam 70/30 Bill Bernstein 14.00% USD
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber 13.00% USD
Sheltered Sam 60/40 Bill Bernstein 12.00% USD
Coffeehouse Bill Schultheis 10.00% USD
Rob Arnott Portfolio Rob Arnott 10.00% USD
Sheltered Sam 50/50 Bill Bernstein 10.00% USD
Big Rocks Portfolio Larry Swedroe 9.00% USD
7Twelve Portfolio Craig Israelsen 8.34% USD
Sheltered Sam 40/60 Bill Bernstein 8.00% USD
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer 7.50% USD
Ideal Index Frank Armstrong 6.25% USD
Ultimate Buy&Hold FundAdvice 6.00% USD
Sheltered Sam 30/70 Bill Bernstein 6.00% USD
Sheltered Sam 20/80 Bill Bernstein 4.00% USD
Sheltered Sam 10/90 Bill Bernstein 2.00% USD
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Investment Returns as of Sep 30, 2024

The Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
VANGUARD LARGE-CAP (VV) ETF
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 30 September 2024 (~154 years)
Live Update: Oct 21 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Sep 30, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Oct 2024 YTD
(9M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~154Y)
Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF -0.15 1.77 21.89 2.09 10.53 36.46 15.85 13.24 10.87 9.09
US Inflation Adjusted return 19.59 1.90 9.66 33.25 11.20 10.10 8.15 6.82
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Sep 2024. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.41% , 5Y: 4.18% , 10Y: 2.86% , 30Y: 2.52%

In 2023, the Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF granted a 1.78% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF: Dividend Yield page.

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Capital Growth as of Sep 30, 2024

An investment of 1$, from October 1994 to September 2024, would be worth 22.11$, with a total return of 2111.47% (10.87% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 10.49$, with a net total return of 949.21% (8.15% annualized).

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An investment of 1$, from January 1871 to September 2024, would be worth 644631.95$, with a total return of 64463094.89% (9.09% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 25562.14$, with a net total return of 2556113.59% (6.82% annualized).

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Investment Metrics as of Sep 30, 2024

Metrics of Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF, updated as of 30 September 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
VANGUARD LARGE-CAP (VV) ETF
Advanced Metrics
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 30 September 2024 (~154 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Sep 30, 2024
YTD
(9M)
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~154Y)
Investment Return (%)
21.89 2.09 5.80 10.53 36.46 11.08 15.85 13.24 10.80 10.87 9.09
Growth of 1$ 1.22 1.02 1.06 1.11 1.36 1.37 2.09 3.47 7.78 22.11 644.6K
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
19.59 1.90 5.25 9.66 33.25 6.06 11.20 10.10 8.04 8.15 6.82
US Inflation (%) 1.93 0.18 0.52 0.79 2.41 4.74 4.18 2.86 2.56 2.52 2.12
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -3.99 -25.14 -25.14 -25.14 -50.39 -50.39 -83.65
Start to Recovery (# months)
2 24 24 24 53 53 186
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 1929 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 9 9 9 16 16 34
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 1932 06
Bottom to End (# months) 1 15 15 15 37 37 152
End (yyyy mm) 2024 05 2023 12 2023 12 2023 12 2012 03 2012 03 1945 02
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.15
same

same

same

same
-44.82
same
Start to Recovery (# months)
2 74
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 09 1929 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 9 9 9 16 25 34
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2002 09 1932 06
Bottom to End (# months) 1 15 15 15 37 49 152
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2023 12 2023 12 2023 12 2012 03 2006 10 1945 02
Longest negative period (# months)
2 25 28 28 66 141 187
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 03 2021 10 2021 07 2021 07 2005 01 2000 01 1929 09
End (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2010 06 2011 09 1945 03
Annualized Return (%) -6.64 -0.82 -0.57 -0.57 -0.39 -0.18 -0.12
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -4.29 -29.07 -29.07 -29.07 -51.21 -53.21 -79.35
Start to Recovery (# months)
2 27 27 27 64 151 188
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 09 1929 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 9 9 9 16 102 33
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 1932 05
Bottom to End (# months) 1 18 18 18 48 49 155
End (yyyy mm) 2024 05 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2013 02 2013 03 1945 04
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.23
same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
2
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 09 1929 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 9 9 9 16 102 33
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 1932 05
Bottom to End (# months) 1 18 18 18 48 49 155
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2013 02 2013 03 1945 04
Longest negative period (# months)
2 30 34 34 82 162 256
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 03 2021 11 2021 01 2021 01 2004 12 1998 04 1911 03
End (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2024 04 2023 10 2023 10 2011 09 2011 09 1932 06
Annualized Return (%) -10.43 -0.74 -1.19 -1.19 -0.50 -0.33 -0.07
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 11.57 17.49 18.12 15.33 15.08 15.26 16.53
Sharpe Ratio 2.69 0.44 0.75 0.77 0.62 0.56 0.31
Sortino Ratio 3.68 0.58 0.99 1.02 0.81 0.74 0.43
Ulcer Index 1.26 10.92 9.10 6.91 12.05 14.68 17.99
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.15 0.63 0.87 0.86 0.72 0.71 0.55
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 9.13 0.44 0.63 0.53 0.21 0.22 0.11
Positive Months (%)
83.33 61.11 66.66 70.00 68.33 66.94 61.62
Positive Months 10 22 40 84 164 241 1137
Negative Months 2 14 20 36 76 119 708
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 13.24 16.75 16.75 21.28
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 6.56 -3.23 -5.38
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 10.10 14.65 14.65 20.08
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 4.72 -5.68 -5.68
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· As of Sep 2024 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 58.93 32.68 28.49 16.75 10.80 10.87
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -42.98 -16.14 -6.19 -3.23 4.89
Positive Periods (%) 79.9 82.1 85.0 91.2 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 54.87 29.66 25.51 14.65 8.04 8.15
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -42.99 -18.15 -8.60 -5.68 2.75
Positive Periods (%) 77.3 78.7 72.4 88.3 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
6.28 9.66 11.98 22.15 27.90 10.82 7.32 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.11 12.83 16.45 30.85 33.53 14.86 17.05 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
9.28 14.86 19.33 38.02 37.71 17.65 25.08 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 11.20 18.17 24.01 40.65 39.45 23.83 28.01 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 72.47 23.13 14.09 7.25 4.53 9.19
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.90 8.32
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jan 1871 - Sep 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 160.57 42.43 35.15 21.28 17.94 14.57
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -67.84 -42.65 -17.97 -5.38 1.60 3.02
Positive Periods (%) 72.1 84.4 89.3 96.6 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 179.03 40.17 33.81 20.08 13.55 11.59
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -64.30 -38.10 -13.67 -5.68 -0.64 1.22
Positive Periods (%) 68.8 78.4 80.9 88.2 99.6 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
7.01 11.07 14.18 19.36 17.48 12.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.99 14.50 19.03 30.74 37.49 34.77 8.72 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
10.26 16.71 22.15 37.93 55.34 49.38 19.95 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 12.33 20.29 27.22 47.91 68.61 55.94 28.89 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 57.80 16.42 9.43 5.56 3.30 2.87
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- --- 1.44
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Correlations as of Sep 30, 2024

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of two assets move in relation to each other. It is a statistical measure that describes the extent to which the returns of one asset are related to the returns of another asset.

The following table shows the monthly correlations of Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF vs the main Asset Classes, over different timeframes. Columns are sortable (click on table header to sort).

VANGUARD LARGE-CAP (VV) ETF
Monthly correlations as of 30 September 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Correlation vs VV
Asset Class 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 30 Years
VTI
US Total Stock Market 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.99
SPY
US Large Cap Blend 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
IJH
US Mid Cap Blend 0.80 0.91 0.91 0.91
IJR
US Small Cap Blend 0.62 0.84 0.84 0.81
VNQ
US REITs 0.78 0.87 0.75 0.62
QQQ
US Technology 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.83
PFF
US Preferred Stocks 0.86 0.82 0.74 0.47
EFA
EAFE Stocks 0.84 0.88 0.87 0.83
VT
World All Countries 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97
EEM
Emerging Markets 0.71 0.71 0.69 0.73
BND
US Total Bond Market 0.73 0.60 0.40 0.17
TLT
US Long Term Treasuries 0.79 0.32 0.11 -0.10
BIL
US Cash 0.33 -0.01 0.01 0.00
TIP
US TIPS 0.68 0.69 0.51 0.20
LQD
US Invest. Grade Bonds 0.76 0.73 0.58 0.33
HYG
US High Yield Bonds 0.78 0.84 0.81 0.68
CWB
US Convertible Bonds 0.81 0.86 0.87 0.85
BNDX
International Bonds 0.62 0.62 0.43 0.15
EMB
Emerg. Market Bonds 0.79 0.80 0.68 0.57
GLD
Gold -0.34 0.26 0.09 0.05
DBC
Commodities -0.29 0.41 0.39 0.32
Terms and Definitions
Correlation values range between -1 and +1
  • A correlation of +1 indicates that the returns of the two assets move in perfect synchrony; when one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns also go up by the same percentage, and vice versa. This perfect positive correlation implies that the assets perform similarly in different market conditions.
  • A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between the returns of the two assets. When one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns go down by the same percentage. This perfect negative correlation suggests that the assets move in opposite directions, providing a diversification benefit by reducing overall portfolio risk.
  • A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the returns of the two assets. The returns of one asset do not predict the returns of the other.
Learn about historical correlations here: see how the main asset classes relate to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

VANGUARD LARGE-CAP (VV) ETF
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 30 September 2024 (~154 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Returns

For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF: Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD LARGE-CAP (VV) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 30 September 2024 (~154 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and the 15th and 85th percentiles. These percentiles give insight into the distribution of the data, indicating the range within which the central 70% of the values lie, while the median represents the middle value.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from January 1871 to September 2024.

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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Vanguard Large-Cap (VV) ETF over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

VANGUARD LARGE-CAP (VV) ETF
Monthly Returns Distribution
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 30 September 2024 (~154 years)
241 Positive Months (67%) - 119 Negative Months (33%)
1137 Positive Months (62%) - 708 Negative Months (38%)

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Methodology

Returns, up to December 2004, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

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