Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Data Source: from January 1985 to February 2024 (~39 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 29 February 2024
Live Update: Mar 01 2024
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.38%
1 Day
Mar 01 2024
0.38%
Current Month
March 2024

The Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio is a Low Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 12 ETFs.

It's exposed for 19.4% on the Stock Market and for 0.6% on Commodities.

In the last 30 Years, the Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio obtained a 5.09% compound annual return, with a 4.12% standard deviation.

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Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

19.4% Stocks
80% Fixed Income
0.6% Commodities

The Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight (%) Ticker Currency ETF Name Investment Themes
5.00
VTV
USD Vanguard Value Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Value
4.00
VV
USD Vanguard Large-Cap Equity, U.S., Large Cap
3.00
IJS
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Value
2.00
VNQ
USD Vanguard Real Estate Real Estate, U.S.
1.40
EFV
USD iShares MSCI EAFE Value Equity, EAFE, Large Cap, Value
1.00
EEM
USD iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap
1.00
IJR
USD iShares Core S&P Small-Cap Equity, U.S., Small Cap
1.00
VGK
USD Vanguard FTSE Europe Equity, Developed Europe, Large Cap
1.00
VPL
USD Vanguard FTSE Pacific Equity, Developed Asia Pacific, Large Cap
48.00
SHY
USD iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Bond, U.S., Short Term
32.00
TIP
USD iShares TIPS Bond Bond, U.S., All-Term
0.60
GLTR
USD Aberdeen Standard Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares Commodity, Broad Precious Metals

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 29, 2024

The Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming: March 2024 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.
BILL BERNSTEIN SHELTERED SAM 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Consolidated returns as of 29 February 2024
Live Update: Mar 01 2024
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Feb 29, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Mar 2024 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio 0.38 0.38 0.11 3.47 5.25 3.12 2.74 5.09 6.63
US Inflation Adjusted return 0.11 2.30 2.47 -0.94 -0.03 2.51 3.73
Components
VTV
USD Vanguard Value 0.65 Mar 01 2024 0.65 3.34 10.04 14.57 10.52 10.17 9.36 10.90
VV
USD Vanguard Large-Cap 0.91 Mar 01 2024 0.91 5.24 14.22 31.09 14.61 12.53 10.42 11.55
IJS
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value 0.32 Mar 01 2024 0.32 2.37 5.01 0.91 6.96 7.54 10.17 11.79
VNQ
USD Vanguard Real Estate 1.19 Mar 01 2024 1.19 1.98 6.13 4.14 4.12 6.04 8.49 9.18
EFV
USD iShares MSCI EAFE Value 0.81 Mar 01 2024 0.81 1.18 7.54 12.46 5.34 2.87 5.30 8.90
EEM
USD iShares MSCI Emerging Markets 1.23 Mar 01 2024 1.23 4.17 4.06 7.46 1.11 2.35 4.45 8.66
IJR
USD iShares Core S&P Small-Cap 0.51 Mar 01 2024 0.51 3.22 7.33 6.39 7.65 8.48 9.83 10.93
VGK
USD Vanguard FTSE Europe 0.84 Mar 01 2024 0.84 2.40 8.31 12.91 7.52 4.24 6.89 9.84
VPL
USD Vanguard FTSE Pacific 1.32 Mar 01 2024 1.32 3.68 9.21 16.20 5.33 5.04 2.73 6.23
SHY
USD iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond 0.20 Mar 01 2024 0.20 -0.39 2.35 4.12 1.03 0.87 3.03 4.33
TIP
USD iShares TIPS Bond 0.37 Mar 01 2024 0.37 -1.05 1.78 1.82 2.23 1.77 4.98 6.69
GLTR
USD Aberdeen Standard Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares 1.84 Mar 01 2024 1.84 -0.28 -1.13 5.28 5.97 2.07 5.59 6.92
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1985
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Jan 2024. Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.71% , 5Y: 4.10% , 10Y: 2.77% , 30Y: 2.52%

In 2023, the Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio granted a 2.88% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Feb 29, 2024

An investment of 1$, since March 1994, now would be worth 4.44$, with a total return of 343.95% (5.09% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2.10$, with a net total return of 110.30% (2.51% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 12.34$, with a total return of 1134.13% (6.63% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4.20$, with a net total return of 320.43% (3.73% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 29, 2024

Metrics of Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio, updated as of 29 February 2024.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
BILL BERNSTEIN SHELTERED SAM 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 29 February 2024 (~39 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Feb 29, 2024
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
Investment Return (%) 0.11 2.78 3.47 5.25 0.77 3.12 2.74 3.72 5.09 6.63
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 0.11 2.23 2.30 2.47 -4.50 -0.94 -0.03 1.13 2.51 3.73
US Inflation (%) 0.00 0.54 1.14 2.71 5.52 4.10 2.77 2.56 2.52 2.79
Pending updates, the monthly inflation after Jan 2024 is set at 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.04 -11.24 -11.24 -11.24 -11.24 -11.24 -11.24
Start to Recovery (# months) details 5 26* 26* 26* 26* 26* 26*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 9 9 9
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 2 17 17 17 17 17 17
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - - - -
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 9 9 9
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 2 17 17 17 17 17 17
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - - - -
Longest negative period (# months) details 8 33 35 35 35 35 35
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 03 2021 03 2020 12 2020 12 2020 12 2020 12 2020 12
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 11 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10
Annualized Return (%) -0.94 -0.16 -0.49 -0.49 -0.49 -0.49 -0.49
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.08 -18.11 -18.11 -18.11 -18.11 -18.11 -18.11
Start to Recovery (# months) details 9 33* 33* 33* 33* 33* 33*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 04 2021 06 2021 06 2021 06 2021 06 2021 06 2021 06
Start to Bottom (# months) 7 29 29 29 29 29 29
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10
Bottom to End (# months) 2 4 4 4 4 4 4
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - - - -
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 04 2021 06 2021 06 2021 06 2021 06 2021 06 2021 06
Start to Bottom (# months) 7 29 29 29 29 29 29
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10
Bottom to End (# months) 2 4 4 4 4 4 4
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - - - -
Longest negative period (# months) details 8 36* 60* 120* 150 150 150
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 03 2021 03 2019 03 2014 03 2011 05 2011 05 2011 05
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2024 02 2024 02 2024 02 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10
Annualized Return (%) -3.83 -4.50 -0.94 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 4.91 5.84 5.24 4.17 4.21 4.12 4.50
Sharpe Ratio 0.01 -0.27 0.25 0.38 0.56 0.69 0.59
Sortino Ratio 0.02 -0.37 0.32 0.50 0.73 0.91 0.80
Ulcer Index 1.15 5.36 4.21 3.07 2.68 2.25 2.11
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.07 0.13 0.59 0.66 0.88 1.24 1.47
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.72 0.07 0.28 0.24 0.33 0.45 0.59
% Positive Months details 58% 55% 65% 64% 67% 68% 69%
Positive Months 7 20 39 77 163 247 326
Negative Months 5 16 21 43 77 113 144
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.74 5.01 8.63 10.67
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.27 2.27 2.27
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -0.03 2.87 6.00 6.86
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -0.49 -0.49 -0.49
ROLLING PERIODS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 18.36 11.90 9.35 8.63 6.60 5.09
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -10.83 0.42 1.84 2.27 3.67
% Positive Periods 89% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 91.22 30.28 20.10 10.37 5.98 5.58
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 1.18 2.92
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 15.44 9.14 6.82 6.00 4.18 2.51
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -16.25 -5.02 -1.85 -0.49 1.06
% Positive Periods 81% 91% 92% 95% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 91.22 30.28 20.10 10.37 5.98 5.58
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 1.18 2.92
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Over all the available data source (Jan 1985 - Feb 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 28.71 14.65 12.97 10.67 9.56 7.83
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -10.83 0.42 1.84 2.27 3.67 4.89
% Positive Periods 91% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 91.22 30.28 20.10 10.37 5.98 5.43
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 1.18 2.72
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 26.00 11.25 8.98 6.86 6.34 4.99
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -16.25 -5.02 -1.85 -0.49 1.06 2.31
% Positive Periods 81% 93% 94% 96% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 91.22 30.28 20.10 10.37 5.98 5.43
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 1.18 2.72
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 29 February 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Asset
VTV
VV
IJS
VNQ
EFV
EEM
IJR
VGK
VPL
SHY
TIP
GLTR
VTV
-
0.88
0.88
0.90
0.94
0.81
0.86
0.92
0.89
0.16
0.56
0.17
VV
0.88
-
0.76
0.86
0.76
0.85
0.77
0.88
0.93
0.23
0.64
0.29
IJS
0.88
0.76
-
0.93
0.84
0.78
1.00
0.77
0.83
0.09
0.44
0.01
VNQ
0.90
0.86
0.93
-
0.86
0.81
0.91
0.90
0.88
0.29
0.63
0.23
EFV
0.94
0.76
0.84
0.86
-
0.82
0.80
0.93
0.85
0.23
0.57
0.21
EEM
0.81
0.85
0.78
0.81
0.82
-
0.77
0.85
0.95
0.25
0.57
0.42
IJR
0.86
0.77
1.00
0.91
0.80
0.77
-
0.74
0.83
0.07
0.43
-0.02
VGK
0.92
0.88
0.77
0.90
0.93
0.85
0.74
-
0.92
0.41
0.75
0.43
VPL
0.89
0.93
0.83
0.88
0.85
0.95
0.83
0.92
-
0.35
0.71
0.36
SHY
0.16
0.23
0.09
0.29
0.23
0.25
0.07
0.41
0.35
-
0.88
0.70
TIP
0.56
0.64
0.44
0.63
0.57
0.57
0.43
0.75
0.71
0.88
-
0.63
GLTR
0.17
0.29
0.01
0.23
0.21
0.42
-0.02
0.43
0.36
0.70
0.63
-
Asset
VTV
VV
IJS
VNQ
EFV
EEM
IJR
VGK
VPL
SHY
TIP
GLTR
VTV
-
0.91
0.90
0.81
0.90
0.71
0.90
0.91
0.84
0.00
0.46
0.30
VV
0.91
-
0.82
0.85
0.80
0.73
0.87
0.89
0.85
0.14
0.62
0.36
IJS
0.90
0.82
-
0.78
0.86
0.74
0.99
0.83
0.82
-0.04
0.41
0.20
VNQ
0.81
0.85
0.78
-
0.74
0.67
0.80
0.83
0.76
0.16
0.67
0.35
EFV
0.90
0.80
0.86
0.74
-
0.81
0.85
0.95
0.90
0.07
0.41
0.31
EEM
0.71
0.73
0.74
0.67
0.81
-
0.75
0.82
0.87
0.20
0.45
0.47
IJR
0.90
0.87
0.99
0.80
0.85
0.75
-
0.85
0.84
0.00
0.47
0.23
VGK
0.91
0.89
0.83
0.83
0.95
0.82
0.85
-
0.92
0.20
0.57
0.41
VPL
0.84
0.85
0.82
0.76
0.90
0.87
0.84
0.92
-
0.25
0.56
0.38
SHY
0.00
0.14
-0.04
0.16
0.07
0.20
0.00
0.20
0.25
-
0.64
0.29
TIP
0.46
0.62
0.41
0.67
0.41
0.45
0.47
0.57
0.56
0.64
-
0.45
GLTR
0.30
0.36
0.20
0.35
0.31
0.47
0.23
0.41
0.38
0.29
0.45
-
Asset
VTV
VV
IJS
VNQ
EFV
EEM
IJR
VGK
VPL
SHY
TIP
GLTR
VTV
-
0.93
0.88
0.71
0.85
0.68
0.88
0.85
0.80
-0.08
0.35
0.17
VV
0.93
-
0.82
0.75
0.79
0.69
0.85
0.85
0.83
0.04
0.50
0.22
IJS
0.88
0.82
-
0.69
0.77
0.64
0.99
0.74
0.74
-0.10
0.32
0.10
VNQ
0.71
0.75
0.69
-
0.60
0.56
0.71
0.68
0.66
0.18
0.63
0.27
EFV
0.85
0.79
0.77
0.60
-
0.79
0.75
0.95
0.89
-0.01
0.35
0.22
EEM
0.68
0.69
0.64
0.56
0.79
-
0.63
0.78
0.86
0.15
0.44
0.42
IJR
0.88
0.85
0.99
0.71
0.75
0.63
-
0.75
0.76
-0.07
0.36
0.10
VGK
0.85
0.85
0.74
0.68
0.95
0.78
0.75
-
0.87
0.11
0.49
0.29
VPL
0.80
0.83
0.74
0.66
0.89
0.86
0.76
0.87
-
0.14
0.48
0.29
SHY
-0.08
0.04
-0.10
0.18
-0.01
0.15
-0.07
0.11
0.14
-
0.64
0.32
TIP
0.35
0.50
0.32
0.63
0.35
0.44
0.36
0.49
0.48
0.64
-
0.47
GLTR
0.17
0.22
0.10
0.27
0.22
0.42
0.10
0.29
0.29
0.32
0.47
-
Asset
VTV
VV
IJS
VNQ
EFV
EEM
IJR
VGK
VPL
SHY
TIP
GLTR
VTV
-
0.95
0.85
0.64
0.82
0.72
0.80
0.83
0.68
-0.15
0.16
0.37
VV
0.95
-
0.82
0.62
0.78
0.73
0.82
0.84
0.71
-0.13
0.21
0.38
IJS
0.85
0.82
-
0.69
0.75
0.68
0.96
0.74
0.63
-0.17
0.13
0.38
VNQ
0.64
0.62
0.69
-
0.62
0.53
0.65
0.61
0.51
-0.02
0.33
0.39
EFV
0.82
0.78
0.75
0.62
-
0.78
0.73
0.94
0.84
-0.14
0.17
0.47
EEM
0.72
0.73
0.68
0.53
0.78
-
0.71
0.78
0.77
-0.11
0.18
0.61
IJR
0.80
0.82
0.96
0.65
0.73
0.71
-
0.74
0.65
-0.18
0.12
0.40
VGK
0.83
0.84
0.74
0.61
0.94
0.78
0.74
-
0.74
-0.10
0.20
0.44
VPL
0.68
0.71
0.63
0.51
0.84
0.77
0.65
0.74
-
-0.11
0.21
0.50
SHY
-0.15
-0.13
-0.17
-0.02
-0.14
-0.11
-0.18
-0.10
-0.11
-
0.62
0.04
TIP
0.16
0.21
0.13
0.33
0.17
0.18
0.12
0.20
0.21
0.62
-
0.29
GLTR
0.37
0.38
0.38
0.39
0.47
0.61
0.40
0.44
0.50
0.04
0.29
-
Asset
VTV
VV
IJS
VNQ
EFV
EEM
IJR
VGK
VPL
SHY
TIP
GLTR
VTV
-
0.95
0.85
0.64
0.83
0.68
0.81
0.79
0.55
-0.03
0.21
0.32
VV
0.95
-
0.83
0.61
0.81
0.69
0.83
0.79
0.57
-0.02
0.24
0.32
IJS
0.85
0.83
-
0.70
0.76
0.64
0.96
0.71
0.51
-0.10
0.15
0.33
VNQ
0.64
0.61
0.70
-
0.61
0.49
0.66
0.57
0.42
0.02
0.30
0.33
EFV
0.83
0.81
0.76
0.61
-
0.71
0.74
0.89
0.71
-0.01
0.22
0.41
EEM
0.68
0.69
0.64
0.49
0.71
-
0.66
0.68
0.59
0.02
0.21
0.44
IJR
0.81
0.83
0.96
0.66
0.74
0.66
-
0.70
0.52
-0.11
0.13
0.33
VGK
0.79
0.79
0.71
0.57
0.89
0.68
0.70
-
0.68
0.02
0.23
0.41
VPL
0.55
0.57
0.51
0.42
0.71
0.59
0.52
0.68
-
0.02
0.21
0.42
SHY
-0.03
-0.02
-0.10
0.02
-0.01
0.02
-0.11
0.02
0.02
-
0.71
-0.02
TIP
0.21
0.24
0.15
0.30
0.22
0.21
0.13
0.23
0.21
0.71
-
0.14
GLTR
0.32
0.32
0.33
0.33
0.41
0.44
0.33
0.41
0.42
-0.02
0.14
-

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

BILL BERNSTEIN SHELTERED SAM 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 March 1994 - 29 February 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 29 February 2024 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-11.24% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 17 26 6.27
-11.12% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 9 Sep 2009 7 16 5.60
-3.84% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Jun 2020 3 5 1.69
-3.50% Mar 1994 Jun 1994 4 Feb 1995 8 12 2.32
-3.04% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Sep 2004 5 6 1.63
-2.85% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Nov 2013 5 7 1.60
-2.74% Aug 2011 Sep 2011 2 Dec 2011 3 5 1.18
-2.69% May 2015 Sep 2015 5 Apr 2016 7 12 1.60
-2.63% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 4 Feb 2019 2 6 1.45
-2.01% Feb 1999 Feb 1999 1 Apr 1999 2 3 1.13
-1.97% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 2 Sep 1998 1 3 1.00
-1.86% May 2010 Jun 2010 2 Sep 2010 3 5 1.00
-1.67% Sep 2014 Sep 2014 1 Jan 2015 4 5 0.78
-1.47% Feb 1996 Apr 1996 3 Sep 1996 5 8 0.99
-1.41% Aug 1997 Aug 1997 1 Sep 1997 1 2 0.81
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown (DD)
Occurrencies (EOM)
Drawdown (DD)
Range #Num Every (Avg) Frequency Cumulative Frequency
All Time High (DD=0%) 188 1.9 Months 52.08%
 
DD = 0% 52.08%
 
0% < DD <= -5% 149 2.4 Months 41.27%
 
DD <= -5% 93.35%
 
-5% < DD <= -10% 22 16.4 Months 6.09%
 
DD <= -10% 99.45%
 
-10% < DD <= -15% 2 180.5 Months 0.55%
 
DD <= -15% 100.00%
 
-15% < DD <= -20% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -20% 100.00%
 
-20% < DD <= -25% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -25% 100.00%
 
-25% < DD <= -30% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -30% 100.00%
 
-30% < DD <= -35% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -35% 100.00%
 
-35% < DD <= -40% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -40% 100.00%
 
-40% < DD <= -45% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -45% 100.00%
 
-45% < DD <= -50% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -50% 100.00%
 
-50% < DD <= -55% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -55% 100.00%
 
-55% < DD <= -60% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -60% 100.00%
 
-60% < DD <= -65% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -65% 100.00%
 
-65% < DD <= -70% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -70% 100.00%
 
-70% < DD <= -100% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -100% 100.00%
 
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-18.11% Jun 2021 Oct 2023 29 in progress 4 33 12.33
-10.84% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 12 Nov 2009 9 21 5.16
-5.28% Mar 1994 Nov 1994 9 Apr 1995 5 14 3.28
-3.55% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 May 2020 2 4 1.65
-3.40% May 2013 Aug 2013 4 May 2014 9 13 1.60
-3.40% Mar 2015 Sep 2015 7 Jul 2016 10 17 1.98
-3.40% Jan 2018 Dec 2018 12 Apr 2019 4 16 1.54
-3.25% Aug 2011 Sep 2011 2 Jan 2012 4 6 1.38
-3.19% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Dec 2004 8 9 1.84
-2.53% Jul 2005 Oct 2005 4 Jan 2006 3 7 1.10
-2.51% Feb 1996 Jul 1996 6 Oct 1996 3 9 1.76
-2.33% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 2 Sep 1998 1 3 1.20
-2.01% Feb 1999 Feb 1999 1 Apr 1999 2 3 1.15
-1.77% May 2010 Jun 2010 2 Sep 2010 3 5 1.00
-1.72% Dec 1996 Mar 1997 4 May 1997 2 6 0.75
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown (DD)
Occurrencies (EOM)
Drawdown (DD)
Range #Num Every (Avg) Frequency Cumulative Frequency
All Time High (DD=0%) 121 3.0 Months 33.52%
 
DD = 0% 33.52%
 
0% < DD <= -5% 205 1.8 Months 56.79%
 
DD <= -5% 90.30%
 
-5% < DD <= -10% 12 30.1 Months 3.32%
 
DD <= -10% 93.63%
 
-10% < DD <= -15% 13 27.8 Months 3.60%
 
DD <= -15% 97.23%
 
-15% < DD <= -20% 10 36.1 Months 2.77%
 
DD <= -20% 100.00%
 
-20% < DD <= -25% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -25% 100.00%
 
-25% < DD <= -30% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -30% 100.00%
 
-30% < DD <= -35% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -35% 100.00%
 
-35% < DD <= -40% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -40% 100.00%
 
-40% < DD <= -45% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -45% 100.00%
 
-45% < DD <= -50% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -50% 100.00%
 
-50% < DD <= -55% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -55% 100.00%
 
-55% < DD <= -60% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -60% 100.00%
 
-60% < DD <= -65% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -65% 100.00%
 
-65% < DD <= -70% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -70% 100.00%
 
-70% < DD <= -100% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -100% 100.00%
 
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-11.24% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 17 26 6.27
-11.12% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 9 Sep 2009 7 16 5.60
-5.52% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 5 Mar 1995 9 14 3.89
-4.40% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 3 Jan 1988 2 5 2.67
-3.84% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 Jun 2020 3 5 1.69
-3.05% Aug 1990 Sep 1990 2 Nov 1990 2 4 1.95
-3.04% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Sep 2004 5 6 1.63
-2.85% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Nov 2013 5 7 1.60
-2.74% Aug 2011 Sep 2011 2 Dec 2011 3 5 1.18
-2.69% May 2015 Sep 2015 5 Apr 2016 7 12 1.60
-2.65% Jan 1990 Apr 1990 4 May 1990 1 5 1.67
-2.63% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 4 Feb 2019 2 6 1.45
-2.27% Sep 1986 Sep 1986 1 Nov 1986 2 3 1.22
-2.01% Feb 1999 Feb 1999 1 Apr 1999 2 3 1.13
-1.97% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 2 Sep 1998 1 3 1.00
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown (DD)
Occurrencies (EOM)
Drawdown (DD)
Range #Num Every (Avg) Frequency Cumulative Frequency
All Time High (DD=0%) 255 1.8 Months 54.14%
 
DD = 0% 54.14%
 
0% < DD <= -5% 188 2.5 Months 39.92%
 
DD <= -5% 94.06%
 
-5% < DD <= -10% 26 18.1 Months 5.52%
 
DD <= -10% 99.58%
 
-10% < DD <= -15% 2 235.5 Months 0.42%
 
DD <= -15% 100.00%
 
-15% < DD <= -20% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -20% 100.00%
 
-20% < DD <= -25% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -25% 100.00%
 
-25% < DD <= -30% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -30% 100.00%
 
-30% < DD <= -35% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -35% 100.00%
 
-35% < DD <= -40% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -40% 100.00%
 
-40% < DD <= -45% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -45% 100.00%
 
-45% < DD <= -50% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -50% 100.00%
 
-50% < DD <= -55% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -55% 100.00%
 
-55% < DD <= -60% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -60% 100.00%
 
-60% < DD <= -65% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -65% 100.00%
 
-65% < DD <= -70% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -70% 100.00%
 
-70% < DD <= -100% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -100% 100.00%
 
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months Ulcer Index
-18.11% Jun 2021 Oct 2023 29 in progress 4 33 12.33
-10.84% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 12 Nov 2009 9 21 5.16
-7.52% Feb 1994 Nov 1994 10 May 1995 6 16 5.07
-6.07% Mar 1987 Nov 1987 9 Oct 1988 11 20 2.46
-5.05% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 9 Jan 1991 4 13 2.96
-3.55% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 2 May 2020 2 4 1.65
-3.40% May 2013 Aug 2013 4 May 2014 9 13 1.60
-3.40% Mar 2015 Sep 2015 7 Jul 2016 10 17 1.98
-3.40% Jan 2018 Dec 2018 12 Apr 2019 4 16 1.54
-3.25% Aug 2011 Sep 2011 2 Jan 2012 4 6 1.38
-3.19% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Dec 2004 8 9 1.84
-2.62% Sep 1986 Sep 1986 1 Jan 1987 4 5 1.28
-2.53% Jul 2005 Oct 2005 4 Jan 2006 3 7 1.10
-2.51% Feb 1996 Jul 1996 6 Oct 1996 3 9 1.76
-2.33% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 2 Sep 1998 1 3 1.20
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown (DD)
Occurrencies (EOM)
Drawdown (DD)
Range #Num Every (Avg) Frequency Cumulative Frequency
All Time High (DD=0%) 171 2.8 Months 36.31%
 
DD = 0% 36.31%
 
0% < DD <= -5% 253 1.9 Months 53.72%
 
DD <= -5% 90.02%
 
-5% < DD <= -10% 24 19.6 Months 5.10%
 
DD <= -10% 95.12%
 
-10% < DD <= -15% 13 36.2 Months 2.76%
 
DD <= -15% 97.88%
 
-15% < DD <= -20% 10 47.1 Months 2.12%
 
DD <= -20% 100.00%
 
-20% < DD <= -25% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -25% 100.00%
 
-25% < DD <= -30% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -30% 100.00%
 
-30% < DD <= -35% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -35% 100.00%
 
-35% < DD <= -40% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -40% 100.00%
 
-40% < DD <= -45% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -45% 100.00%
 
-45% < DD <= -50% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -50% 100.00%
 
-50% < DD <= -55% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -55% 100.00%
 
-55% < DD <= -60% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -60% 100.00%
 
-60% < DD <= -65% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -65% 100.00%
 
-65% < DD <= -70% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -70% 100.00%
 
-70% < DD <= -100% 0 - 0.00%
 
DD <= -100% 100.00%
 

Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

BILL BERNSTEIN SHELTERED SAM 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 March 1994 - 29 February 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 29 February 2024 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -10.83 03/2008
02/2009
0.89$ 1.74 1.01$ 5.39 1.05$ 9.12 1.09$ 18.36 01/1995
12/1995
1.18$ 5.25 10.03%
2Y -3.87 11/2021
10/2023
0.92$ 1.98 1.03$ 5.55 1.11$ 8.61 1.17$ 13.10 12/1994
11/1996
1.27$ -0.54 6.23%
3Y 0.42 11/2020
10/2023
1.01$ 2.48 1.07$ 5.58 1.17$ 7.65 1.24$ 11.90 01/1995
12/1997
1.40$ 0.77 0.00%
5Y 1.84 10/2017
09/2022
1.09$ 2.81 1.14$ 4.78 1.26$ 7.62 1.44$ 9.35 12/1994
11/1999
1.56$ 3.12 0.00%
7Y 2.32 11/2016
10/2023
1.17$ 3.09 1.23$ 4.94 1.40$ 7.29 1.63$ 9.01 12/1994
11/2001
1.82$ 2.89 0.00%
10Y 2.27 10/2012
09/2022
1.25$ 3.49 1.40$ 5.00 1.62$ 7.22 2.00$ 8.63 01/1995
12/2004
2.28$ 2.74 0.00%
15Y 2.98 10/2007
09/2022
1.55$ 3.94 1.78$ 4.83 2.02$ 6.51 2.57$ 7.30 12/1994
11/2009
2.87$ 4.16 0.00%
20Y 3.67 11/2003
10/2023
2.05$ 4.22 2.28$ 4.95 2.63$ 5.86 3.12$ 6.60 07/1994
06/2014
3.58$ 3.72 0.00%
30Y 5.09 03/1994
02/2024
4.43$ 5.09 4.43$ 5.09 4.43$ 5.09 4.43$ 5.09 03/1994
02/2024
4.43$ 5.09 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -16.25 10/2021
09/2022
0.83$ -0.37 0.99$ 3.09 1.03$ 6.55 1.06$ 15.44 01/1995
12/1995
1.15$ 2.47 18.05%
2Y -8.86 11/2021
10/2023
0.83$ 0.43 1.00$ 2.78 1.05$ 5.96 1.12$ 9.89 12/1994
11/1996
1.20$ -4.67 10.68%
3Y -5.02 11/2020
10/2023
0.85$ 0.92 1.02$ 2.90 1.08$ 5.15 1.16$ 9.14 01/1995
12/1997
1.29$ -4.50 8.31%
5Y -1.85 10/2017
09/2022
0.91$ 1.09 1.05$ 2.65 1.13$ 5.04 1.27$ 6.82 12/1994
11/1999
1.39$ -0.94 7.64%
7Y -1.16 10/2016
09/2023
0.92$ 1.40 1.10$ 2.59 1.19$ 4.67 1.37$ 6.40 12/1994
11/2001
1.54$ -0.55 7.22%
10Y -0.49 11/2013
10/2023
0.95$ 1.79 1.19$ 2.58 1.29$ 4.61 1.56$ 6.00 01/1995
12/2004
1.79$ -0.03 4.56%
15Y 0.60 10/2007
09/2022
1.09$ 1.79 1.30$ 2.68 1.48$ 4.01 1.80$ 4.68 12/1994
11/2009
1.98$ 1.58 0.00%
20Y 1.06 11/2003
10/2023
1.23$ 1.65 1.38$ 2.77 1.72$ 3.61 2.03$ 4.18 12/1994
11/2014
2.26$ 1.13 0.00%
30Y 2.51 03/1994
02/2024
2.10$ 2.51 2.10$ 2.51 2.10$ 2.51 2.10$ 2.51 03/1994
02/2024
2.10$ 2.51 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -10.83 03/2008
02/2009
0.89$ 2.24 1.02$ 6.12 1.06$ 12.14 1.12$ 28.71 04/1985
03/1986
1.28$ 5.25 8.71%
2Y -3.87 11/2021
10/2023
0.92$ 2.43 1.04$ 6.38 1.13$ 9.97 1.20$ 20.29 03/1985
02/1987
1.44$ -0.54 4.70%
3Y 0.42 11/2020
10/2023
1.01$ 3.00 1.09$ 6.65 1.21$ 9.66 1.31$ 14.65 10/1990
09/1993
1.50$ 0.77 0.00%
5Y 1.84 10/2017
09/2022
1.09$ 2.99 1.15$ 6.61 1.37$ 9.28 1.55$ 12.97 01/1985
12/1989
1.84$ 3.12 0.00%
7Y 2.32 11/2016
10/2023
1.17$ 3.46 1.26$ 6.60 1.56$ 9.48 1.88$ 12.48 01/1985
12/1991
2.27$ 2.89 0.00%
10Y 2.27 10/2012
09/2022
1.25$ 3.76 1.44$ 6.07 1.80$ 9.13 2.39$ 10.67 03/1985
02/1995
2.75$ 2.74 0.00%
15Y 2.98 10/2007
09/2022
1.55$ 4.10 1.82$ 6.29 2.49$ 8.64 3.46$ 10.11 01/1985
12/1999
4.24$ 4.16 0.00%
20Y 3.67 11/2003
10/2023
2.05$ 4.80 2.55$ 6.32 3.40$ 8.19 4.82$ 9.56 01/1985
12/2004
6.21$ 3.72 0.00%
30Y 4.89 11/1993
10/2023
4.19$ 5.36 4.79$ 6.33 6.30$ 6.85 7.30$ 7.83 01/1985
12/2014
9.59$ 5.09 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -16.25 10/2021
09/2022
0.83$ -0.53 0.99$ 3.43 1.03$ 9.00 1.08$ 26.00 04/1985
03/1986
1.25$ 2.47 18.30%
2Y -8.86 11/2021
10/2023
0.83$ 0.67 1.01$ 3.38 1.06$ 7.01 1.14$ 17.29 03/1985
02/1987
1.37$ -4.67 8.05%
3Y -5.02 11/2020
10/2023
0.85$ 1.20 1.03$ 3.59 1.11$ 6.29 1.20$ 11.25 10/1990
09/1993
1.37$ -4.50 6.21%
5Y -1.85 10/2017
09/2022
0.91$ 1.39 1.07$ 3.96 1.21$ 6.07 1.34$ 8.98 01/1985
12/1989
1.53$ -0.94 5.60%
7Y -1.16 10/2016
09/2023
0.92$ 1.73 1.12$ 3.75 1.29$ 6.08 1.51$ 8.22 01/1985
12/1991
1.73$ -0.55 5.17%
10Y -0.49 11/2013
10/2023
0.95$ 1.98 1.21$ 3.47 1.40$ 5.90 1.77$ 6.86 03/1985
02/1995
1.94$ -0.03 3.13%
15Y 0.60 10/2007
09/2022
1.09$ 2.06 1.35$ 3.76 1.74$ 5.52 2.23$ 6.71 01/1985
12/1999
2.65$ 1.58 0.00%
20Y 1.06 11/2003
10/2023
1.23$ 2.60 1.66$ 3.95 2.16$ 4.98 2.64$ 6.34 01/1985
12/2004
3.41$ 1.13 0.00%
30Y 2.31 11/1993
10/2023
1.98$ 2.79 2.28$ 3.88 3.13$ 4.11 3.34$ 4.99 03/1985
02/2015
4.30$ 2.51 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.30
60%
-0.44
40%
-0.09
60%
0.58
80%
0.02
60%
0.12
80%
1.28
100%
-0.18
60%
-1.53
20%
0.51
60%
1.62
80%
1.01
80%
Best 2.5
2023
0.4
2021
1.7
2023
2.7
2020
0.9
2021
1.8
2019
2.7
2022
1.1
2020
0.2
2019
1.9
2022
3.0
2023
2.7
2023
Worst -1.7
2022
-1.6
2023
-3.0
2020
-2.2
2022
-1.3
2023
-2.8
2022
0.2
2019
-2.3
2022
-4.4
2022
-0.7
2023
-0.4
2021
-1.1
2022
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Feb 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.56
70%
-0.16
60%
0.19
60%
0.45
80%
0.15
60%
0.20
70%
0.83
90%
-0.07
60%
-0.96
30%
0.28
60%
0.95
70%
0.37
60%
Best 2.5
2023
0.7
2017
2.1
2016
2.7
2020
1.0
2014
1.8
2019
2.7
2022
1.1
2020
0.4
2016
1.9
2022
3.0
2023
2.7
2023
Worst -1.7
2022
-1.6
2023
-3.0
2020
-2.2
2022
-1.3
2023
-2.8
2022
-0.5
2014
-2.3
2022
-4.4
2022
-1.8
2018
-0.4
2021
-1.1
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Feb 2024
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Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.74
78%
0.33
73%
0.45
69%
0.59
77%
0.59
62%
0.52
67%
0.75
69%
0.37
67%
0.11
56%
0.45
69%
0.71
72%
0.93
74%
Best 3.2
1988
4.2
1986
4.1
1986
2.7
2020
4.8
1985
3.1
1986
3.2
1997
3.4
1986
2.6
1998
2.8
2011
3.0
2023
4.8
1991
Worst -2.6
2009
-3.0
2009
-3.0
2020
-3.0
2004
-1.5
2010
-2.8
2022
-1.0
2003
-2.5
1990
-4.4
2022
-5.6
2008
-1.2
1993
-1.1
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Feb 2024

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 20/80 Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

BILL BERNSTEIN SHELTERED SAM 20/80 PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 March 1994 - 29 February 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 29 February 2024 (~39 years)
247 Positive Months (69%) - 113 Negative Months (31%)
326 Positive Months (69%) - 144 Negative Months (31%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to December 2010, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
  • VTV - Vanguard Value (VTV), up to December 2004
  • VV - Vanguard Large-Cap (VV), up to December 2004
  • IJS - iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value (IJS), up to December 2000
  • VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate (VNQ), up to December 2004
  • EFV - iShares MSCI EAFE Value (EFV), up to December 2005
  • EEM - iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), up to December 2003
  • IJR - iShares Core S&P Small-Cap (IJR), up to December 2000
  • VGK - Vanguard FTSE Europe (VGK), up to December 2005
  • VPL - Vanguard FTSE Pacific (VPL), up to December 2005
  • SHY - iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY), up to December 2002
  • TIP - iShares TIPS Bond (TIP), up to December 2003
  • GLTR - Aberdeen Standard Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares (GLTR), up to December 2010

Portfolio efficiency

No other portfolio in our database granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

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30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Sheltered Sam 20/80 Bill Bernstein +5.09 4.12 -11.24 19.4 80 0.6

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Low Risk categorization.

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30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Ulcer Free Strategy Aim Ways +6.61 5.50 -17.05 7 82 11
High Yield Bonds Income +6.50 8.82 -23.97 0 100 0
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum +6.20 4.95 -17.91 20 80 0
All Country World 20/80 +5.70 5.63 -17.97 20 80 0
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 +5.66 4.92 -16.57 20 80 0
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