Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio vs Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Conservative Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - June 2025 (~41 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/06)
Inflation Adjusted:
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
7.69$
Final Capital
June 2025
7.04%
Yearly Return
7.03%
Std Deviation
-19.17%
Max Drawdown
25months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
3.66$
Final Capital
June 2025
4.42%
Yearly Return
7.03%
Std Deviation
-24.11%
Max Drawdown
46months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
25.29$
Final Capital
June 2025
8.30%
Yearly Return
7.25%
Std Deviation
-19.17%
Max Drawdown
25months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
8.32$
Final Capital
June 2025
5.37%
Yearly Return
7.25%
Std Deviation
-24.11%
Max Drawdown
46months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Conservative Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
6.98$
Final Capital
June 2025
6.69%
Yearly Return
6.87%
Std Deviation
-20.48%
Max Drawdown
25months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
3.32$
Final Capital
June 2025
4.08%
Yearly Return
6.87%
Std Deviation
-24.69%
Max Drawdown
46months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
25.45$
Final Capital
June 2025
8.32%
Yearly Return
7.10%
Std Deviation
-20.48%
Max Drawdown
25months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
8.37$
Final Capital
June 2025
5.39%
Yearly Return
7.10%
Std Deviation
-24.69%
Max Drawdown
46months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of June 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio obtained a 7.04% compound annual return, with a 7.03% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -19.17% that required 25 months to be recovered.

As of June 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Conservative Portfolio obtained a 6.69% compound annual return, with a 6.87% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -20.48% that required 25 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
40.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
60.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
14.00
VUG
Vanguard Growth
9.00
VTV
Vanguard Value
9.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
3.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
1.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
1.00
IJT
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth
17.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
15.00
MBB
iShares MBS
15.00
LQD
iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond
9.00
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond
5.00
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond
2.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
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Portfolio Returns as of Jun 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/06)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Stocks/Bonds 40/60
1 $ 7.69 $ 669.49% 7.04%
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Merrill Lynch
1 $ 6.98 $ 597.54% 6.69%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Stocks/Bonds 40/60
1 $ 3.66 $ 265.71% 4.42%
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Merrill Lynch
1 $ 3.32 $ 231.52% 4.08%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Stocks/Bonds 40/60
1 $ 25.29 $ 2 428.74% 8.30%
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Merrill Lynch
1 $ 25.45 $ 2 445.02% 8.32%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Stocks/Bonds 40/60
1 $ 8.32 $ 731.97% 5.37%
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Merrill Lynch
1 $ 8.37 $ 737.33% 5.39%

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Return (%) as of Jun 30, 2025
YTD
(6M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~41Y)
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_us_author.webp Stocks/Bonds 40/60
-- Market Benchmark
4.65 2.96 4.65 9.91 5.91 6.36 7.04 8.30
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_merrill_lynch.webp Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Merrill Lynch
6.11 2.72 6.11 10.40 5.48 5.71 6.69 8.32
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of Jun 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 June 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 July 2024 - 30 June 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 July 2020 - 30 June 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
30 Years
All (1985/01 - 2025/06)
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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Author Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 37%
Fixed Income 60% 63%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.91 10.40
Infl. Adjusted (%) 7.30 7.78
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.59 -2.05
Start to Recovery (months) 7 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.59 -1.87
Start to Recovery (months) 7 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 7 7
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.62 5.70
Sharpe Ratio 0.80 1.01
Sortino Ratio 1.02 1.24
Ulcer Index 1.32 0.93
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.50 1.83
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.83 5.08
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2024 - 30 June 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Author Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 37%
Fixed Income 60% 63%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.91 5.48
Infl. Adjusted (%) 1.33 0.91
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.63 -18.53
Start to Recovery (months) 30 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.63 -18.53
Start to Recovery (months) 30 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 38 39
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.46 9.00
Sharpe Ratio 0.34 0.31
Sortino Ratio 0.46 0.42
Ulcer Index 7.38 6.98
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.63 0.61
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.32 0.30
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2020 - 30 June 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Author Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 37%
Fixed Income 60% 63%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.36 5.71
Infl. Adjusted (%) 3.22 2.59
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.63 -18.53
Start to Recovery (months) 30 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.63 -18.53
Start to Recovery (months) 30 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 38 39
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.09 7.68
Sharpe Ratio 0.56 0.51
Sortino Ratio 0.75 0.68
Ulcer Index 5.39 5.12
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.79 0.74
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.34 0.31
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Author Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 37%
Fixed Income 60% 63%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.04 6.69
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.42 4.08
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.17 -20.48
Start to Recovery (months) 25 25
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -8.59 -18.53
Start to Recovery (months) 33 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 50 50
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.03 6.87
Sharpe Ratio 0.68 0.64
Sortino Ratio 0.90 0.85
Ulcer Index 4.21 4.12
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.00 0.97
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.37 0.33
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025
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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Author Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 37%
Fixed Income 60% 63%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.30 8.32
Infl. Adjusted (%) 5.37 5.39
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.17 -20.48
Start to Recovery (months) 25 25
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -8.59 -18.53
Start to Recovery (months) 33 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 50 50
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.25 7.10
Sharpe Ratio 0.71 0.73
Sortino Ratio 0.94 0.98
Ulcer Index 3.88 3.75
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.15 1.17
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.43 0.41
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)

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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-20.48 25 Nov 2007
Nov 2009
-19.17 25 Nov 2007
Nov 2009
-18.63 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-18.53 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-8.59 33 Sep 2000
May 2003
-8.09 4 Feb 2020
May 2020
-7.78 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-6.25 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-6.14 27 Feb 2001
Apr 2003
-5.80 8 Jun 2011
Jan 2012
-5.36 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-5.01 4 Jul 1998
Oct 1998
-4.76 7 Jun 2011
Dec 2011
-4.75 6 Sep 2018
Feb 2019
-4.35 13 May 2015
May 2016

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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-20.48 25 Nov 2007
Nov 2009
-19.17 25 Nov 2007
Nov 2009
-18.63 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-18.53 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-13.08 14 Sep 1987
Oct 1988
-10.69 13 Sep 1987
Sep 1988
-8.59 33 Sep 2000
May 2003
-8.09 4 Feb 2020
May 2020
-7.78 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-7.56 6 Aug 1990
Jan 1991
-6.25 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-6.14 27 Feb 2001
Apr 2003
-5.98 13 Feb 1994
Feb 1995
-5.80 8 Jun 2011
Jan 2012
-5.70 5 Aug 1990
Dec 1990

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Edge Select Moderately Conservative
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
4.65 -2.35 6.11 -1.54
2024
10.35 -3.23 8.33 -2.70
2023
13.66 -6.58 13.70 -6.23
2022
-15.67 -18.63 -14.91 -18.53
2021
9.15 -2.56 6.44 -2.24
2020
13.04 -8.09 11.65 -7.78
2019
17.57 -1.77 16.41 -1.82
2018
-2.15 -5.36 -2.89 -4.75
2017
10.63 0.00 11.44 0.00
2016
6.64 -1.57 6.14 -1.87
2015
0.48 -3.41 -0.48 -4.33
2014
8.51 -1.20 6.29 -1.64
2013
12.12 -1.84 8.82 -3.06
2012
8.47 -2.11 9.99 -2.86
2011
5.14 -4.76 3.41 -5.80
2010
10.69 -3.96 10.48 -3.50
2009
13.74 -8.68 17.30 -8.37
2008
-10.67 -14.39 -11.92 -16.14
2007
6.30 -1.93 6.98 -1.47
2006
8.84 -1.40 9.60 -1.69
2005
3.96 -1.77 5.47 -1.53
2004
7.66 -2.46 8.54 -2.54
2003
14.68 -1.08 16.19 -1.02
2002
-3.23 -6.97 -0.79 -4.95
2001
0.67 -5.62 0.35 -5.56
2000
2.61 -4.51 2.03 -3.51
1999
9.07 -2.57 9.63 -2.17
1998
14.45 -6.25 13.94 -5.01
1997
18.06 -2.41 12.19 -3.09
1996
10.53 -2.15 9.06 -1.42
1995
25.22 0.00 21.86 0.00
1994
-1.66 -5.98 -1.15 -5.18
1993
10.06 -1.23 15.17 -1.67
1992
7.93 -1.27 6.09 -2.25
1991
22.10 -1.98 24.65 -2.13
1990
2.76 -5.70 1.69 -7.56
1989
19.43 -1.12 19.80 -0.51
1988
11.34 -1.71 12.42 -1.76
1987
1.97 -13.08 3.90 -10.69
1986
14.89 -4.37 19.56 -3.61
1985
25.86 -1.17 27.56 -0.71
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