As of June 2026, in the previous 30 Years, the Tyler Pinwheel Portfolio obtained a 7.91% compound annual return, with a 10.65% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -36.89% that required 36 months to be recovered.

As of June 2026, in the previous 30 Years, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Portfolio obtained a 8.23% compound annual return, with a 11.27% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -38.23% that required 38 months to be recovered.

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Table of contents

Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
15.00
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE
15.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
15.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
10.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
10.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
15.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
10.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
10.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
VUG
Vanguard Growth
17.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
16.00
VTV
Vanguard Value
7.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
2.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
2.00
IJT
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth
9.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
9.00
LQD
iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond
7.00
MBB
iShares MBS
3.00
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond
2.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
1.00
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond

Portfolio Returns as of Jun 30, 2026

Return Comparison
Capital Growth
Inflation Adj:
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Return (%) as of Jun 30, 2026
YTD
(6M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~42Y)
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/lzp-assets/img/author/avatar_tyler.webp Pinwheel
Tyler
8.92 -0.24 8.92 20.09 7.66 8.41 7.91 9.32
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/lzp-assets/img/author/avatar_merrill_lynch.webp Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Merrill Lynch
9.46 -0.01 9.46 19.22 8.37 10.41 8.23 10.20
Returns over 1 year are annualized.

Portfolio Metrics as of Jun 30, 2026

The following metrics, updated as of 30 June 2026, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
1Y
5Y
10Y
30Y
MAX
Period: ()
Swipe left to see all data
Pinwheel Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Author Tyler Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 69%
Fixed Income 25% 31%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 20.09 19.22
Infl. Adjusted (%) 15.60 14.76
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.62 -4.80
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -5.62 -4.80
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Negative Period (months) 2 5
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.50 9.12
Sharpe Ratio 1.71 1.69
Sortino Ratio 2.13 2.29
Ulcer Index 1.56 1.33
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 2.11 2.11
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.58 4.00
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2025 - 30 June 2026
Swipe left to see all data
Pinwheel Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Author Tyler Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 69%
Fixed Income 25% 31%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.66 8.37
Infl. Adjusted (%) 3.23 3.90
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.49 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 27 26
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.49 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 27 26
Longest Negative Period (months) 32 29
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.13 11.93
Sharpe Ratio 0.38 0.41
Sortino Ratio 0.51 0.55
Ulcer Index 6.61 7.72
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.69 0.70
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.39 0.38
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2021 - 30 June 2026
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Pinwheel Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Author Tyler Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 69%
Fixed Income 25% 31%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.41 10.41
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.90 6.83
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.49 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 27 26
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.49 -22.31
Start to Recovery (months) 27 26
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 34
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.35 11.19
Sharpe Ratio 0.60 0.73
Sortino Ratio 0.79 0.96
Ulcer Index 5.22 5.90
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.81 0.93
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.43 0.47
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2016 - 30 June 2026
Swipe left to see all data
Pinwheel Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Author Tyler Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 69%
Fixed Income 25% 31%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.91 8.23
Infl. Adjusted (%) 5.22 5.54
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -36.89 -38.23
Start to Recovery (months) 36 38
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -36.89 -25.60
Start to Recovery (months) 36 41
Longest Negative Period (months) 51 110
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.65 11.27
Sharpe Ratio 0.53 0.53
Sortino Ratio 0.70 0.70
Ulcer Index 6.56 8.51
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.74 0.73
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.21 0.22
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 1996 - 30 June 2026
Swipe left to see all data
Pinwheel Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Author Tyler Merrill Lynch
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 69%
Fixed Income 25% 31%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.32 10.20
Infl. Adjusted (%) 6.32 7.18
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -36.89 -38.23
Start to Recovery (months) 36 38
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -36.89 -25.60
Start to Recovery (months) 36 41
Longest Negative Period (months) 51 110
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.28 11.19
Sharpe Ratio 0.60 0.63
Sortino Ratio 0.78 0.82
Ulcer Index 5.90 7.57
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.91 0.91
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.25 0.27
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2026
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Inflation Adj:

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart

Time to Target

What it shows: Months to reach your target capital from each historical entry point, accounting for your initial investment and periodic contributions.

Time to Target Comparison
Time to reach your Target Capital

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

Swipe left to see all data
Pinwheel Edge Select Moderately Aggressive
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2026
8.92 -5.62 9.46 -4.80
2025
19.66 -0.60 17.70 -2.56
2024
9.66 -3.29 13.17 -3.06
2023
13.20 -8.07 19.24 -8.08
2022
-13.57 -19.49 -17.08 -22.31
2021
13.53 -3.10 12.88 -3.28
2020
9.12 -14.99 16.02 -14.29
2019
19.31 -3.16 22.30 -4.24
2018
-6.39 -8.24 -5.68 -9.25
2017
14.08 0.00 18.60 0.00
2016
8.63 -2.93 8.18 -3.80
2015
-2.88 -7.37 -1.40 -7.75
2014
6.12 -3.95 6.31 -2.65
2013
9.02 -4.25 16.88 -2.57
2012
12.60 -5.90 13.59 -5.96
2011
-0.25 -12.72 -0.71 -13.38
2010
16.08 -7.26 13.09 -8.24
2009
24.19 -14.81 26.40 -13.32
2008
-22.51 -27.78 -25.92 -29.30
2007
7.60 -4.41 9.49 -3.81
2006
19.78 -3.25 14.56 -3.15
2005
11.02 -2.58 8.32 -3.32
2004
15.19 -5.84 11.86 -3.19
2003
28.19 -3.19 25.92 -2.76
2002
-2.13 -11.06 -9.91 -15.72
2001
-0.61 -8.88 -6.23 -15.50
2000
1.80 -5.84 -5.49 -9.00
1999
15.18 -2.13 18.91 -2.47
1998
3.43 -14.05 16.84 -10.89
1997
8.85 -4.25 16.20 -5.14
1996
13.00 -2.47 13.20 -3.20
1995
14.60 -1.63 23.22 -0.43
1994
-2.32 -6.30 0.12 -6.49
1993
24.96 -3.33 19.47 -2.68
1992
4.01 -2.90 3.95 -3.09
1991
29.20 -3.25 31.55 -3.84
1990
-7.14 -12.51 -3.49 -13.23
1989
21.94 -1.96 26.95 -1.61
1988
14.95 -2.14 16.80 -3.01
1987
2.63 -14.91 4.39 -19.36
1986
21.90 -2.21 23.79 -5.19
1985
27.17 -1.91 32.17 -2.00
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