Data Source: from January 1976 to March 2023 (~47 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2023
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2023
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
1.42%
March 2023
The Pinwheel Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 8 ETFs.
It's exposed for 65% on the Stock Market and for 10% on Commodities.
In the last 30 Years, the Pinwheel Portfolio obtained a 7.38% compound annual return, with a 10.40% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Pinwheel Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Pinwheel Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
| Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.00 % | EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE | Equity, EAFE, Large Cap | |
| 15.00 % | VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
| 15.00 % | VNQ | Vanguard Real Estate | Real Estate, U.S. | |
| 10.00 % | EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets | Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap | |
| 10.00 % | IJS | iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value | Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Value | |
| 15.00 % | IEI | iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond | Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term | |
| 10.00 % | BIL | SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill | Bond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term | |
| 10.00 % | GLD | SPDR Gold Trust | Commodity, Gold |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Mar 31, 2023
The Pinwheel Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
Portfolio returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
PINWHEEL PORTFOLIO RETURNS
Consolidated returns as of 31 March 2023
Swipe left to see all data
| Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2023 |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | Time ET(*) | Apr 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~47Y) |
|
| Pinwheel Portfolio | n.a. | n.a. | 1.42 | 12.36 | -5.96 | 4.87 | 5.32 | 7.38 | 9.94 | |
| US Inflation Adjusted return | 1.42 | 10.85 | -10.13 | 1.02 | 2.65 | 4.77 | 6.08 | |||
| Components | ||||||||||
|
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 3.13 | 28.20 | -0.24 | 3.50 | 4.96 | 5.17 | 8.04 |
|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 2.71 | 14.74 | -8.80 | 10.36 | 11.68 | 9.65 | 9.04 |
|
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate |
n.a. | - | n.a. | -2.18 | 6.08 | -20.17 | 5.79 | 5.77 | 8.27 | 6.99 |
|
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 3.22 | 14.84 | -10.51 | -1.84 | 1.35 | 5.59 | 7.46 |
|
IJS iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value |
n.a. | - | n.a. | -6.48 | 14.24 | -7.17 | 6.05 | 9.23 | 10.37 | 12.82 |
|
IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 2.92 | 3.76 | -2.27 | 0.92 | 0.86 | 4.28 | 4.50 |
|
BIL SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 0.40 | 1.88 | 2.43 | 1.23 | 0.70 | 2.19 | 3.99 |
|
GLD SPDR Gold Trust |
n.a. | - | n.a. | 7.92 | 18.46 | 1.42 | 7.81 | 1.72 | 5.78 | 2.92 |
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1976
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Waiting for updates, inflation of Mar 2023 is set to 0%. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 4.64% , 5Y: 3.81% , 10Y: 2.60% , 30Y: 2.50%
Live update: World Markets and Indexes
Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2023
Metrics of Pinwheel Portfolio, updated as of 31 March 2023.
Portfolio metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
PINWHEEL PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1976 - 31 March 2023 (~47 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Metrics as of Mar 31, 2023 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~47Y) |
|
| Portfolio Return (%) |
1.42 | 4.66 | 12.36 | -5.96 | 9.65 | 4.87 | 5.32 | 8.13 | 7.38 | 9.94 |
| US Inflation (%) | 0.00 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 4.64 | 5.24 | 3.81 | 2.60 | 2.48 | 2.50 | 3.64 |
| Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
1.42 | 3.25 | 10.85 | -10.13 | 4.19 | 1.02 | 2.65 | 5.51 | 4.77 | 6.08 |
| Waiting for updates, inflation of Mar 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
| RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
| Standard Deviation (%) | 15.83 | 12.24 | 12.05 | 9.79 | 11.16 | 10.40 | 10.40 | |||
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.53 | 0.73 | 0.30 | 0.47 | 0.63 | 0.50 | 0.57 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | -0.79 | 0.99 | 0.40 | 0.63 | 0.82 | 0.65 | 0.75 | |||
| MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
| Drawdown Depth (%) | -16.31 | -19.49 | -19.49 | -19.49 | -36.89 | -36.89 | -36.89 | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 04 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 12
|
> 15
|
> 15
|
> 15
|
36
|
36
|
36
|
|||
| ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
| Best Return (%) | 45.76 | 25.84 | 23.34 | 17.19 | 13.74 | 12.39 | ||||
| Worst Return (%) | -32.48 | -6.91 | 1.11 | 4.72 | 6.36 | 7.38 | ||||
| % Positive Periods | 83% | 97% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| MONTHS | ||||||||||
| Positive | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 76 | 157 | 235 | 379 |
| Negative | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 44 | 83 | 125 | 188 |
| % Positive | 100% | 67% | 67% | 42% | 61% | 63% | 63% | 65% | 65% | 67% |
| WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
| Safe WR (%) | 41.35 | 21.91 | 12.23 | 10.59 | 7.08 | 8.22 | ||||
| Perpetual WR (%) | 4.02 | 1.01 | 2.59 | 5.22 | 4.55 | 5.73 | ||||
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 31 March 2023
Swipe left to see all data
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | EFA | VTI | VNQ | EEM | IJS | IEI | BIL | GLD | |
| EFA |
1.00
|
0.90
|
0.88
|
0.87
|
0.79
|
0.82
|
0.28
|
0.63
|
|
| VTI |
0.90
|
1.00
|
0.89
|
0.67
|
0.89
|
0.73
|
0.14
|
0.37
|
|
| VNQ |
0.88
|
0.89
|
1.00
|
0.75
|
0.85
|
0.73
|
0.04
|
0.48
|
|
| EEM |
0.87
|
0.67
|
0.75
|
1.00
|
0.52
|
0.81
|
0.31
|
0.79
|
|
| IJS |
0.79
|
0.89
|
0.85
|
0.52
|
1.00
|
0.48
|
-0.09
|
0.13
|
|
| IEI |
0.82
|
0.73
|
0.73
|
0.81
|
0.48
|
1.00
|
0.21
|
0.75
|
|
| BIL |
0.28
|
0.14
|
0.04
|
0.31
|
-0.09
|
0.21
|
1.00
|
0.59
|
|
| GLD |
0.63
|
0.37
|
0.48
|
0.79
|
0.13
|
0.75
|
0.59
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | EFA | VTI | VNQ | EEM | IJS | IEI | BIL | GLD | |
| EFA |
1.00
|
0.89
|
0.78
|
0.84
|
0.83
|
0.17
|
-0.07
|
0.26
|
|
| VTI |
0.89
|
1.00
|
0.85
|
0.72
|
0.88
|
0.10
|
-0.18
|
0.18
|
|
| VNQ |
0.78
|
0.85
|
1.00
|
0.63
|
0.76
|
0.16
|
-0.19
|
0.23
|
|
| EEM |
0.84
|
0.72
|
0.63
|
1.00
|
0.71
|
0.18
|
-0.08
|
0.35
|
|
| IJS |
0.83
|
0.88
|
0.76
|
0.71
|
1.00
|
-0.12
|
-0.27
|
0.01
|
|
| IEI |
0.17
|
0.10
|
0.16
|
0.18
|
-0.12
|
1.00
|
0.26
|
0.45
|
|
| BIL |
-0.07
|
-0.18
|
-0.19
|
-0.08
|
-0.27
|
0.26
|
1.00
|
0.15
|
|
| GLD |
0.26
|
0.18
|
0.23
|
0.35
|
0.01
|
0.45
|
0.15
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | EFA | VTI | VNQ | EEM | IJS | IEI | BIL | GLD | |
| EFA |
1.00
|
0.86
|
0.65
|
0.82
|
0.74
|
0.11
|
-0.04
|
0.14
|
|
| VTI |
0.86
|
1.00
|
0.72
|
0.69
|
0.86
|
0.01
|
-0.14
|
0.08
|
|
| VNQ |
0.65
|
0.72
|
1.00
|
0.52
|
0.63
|
0.27
|
-0.15
|
0.18
|
|
| EEM |
0.82
|
0.69
|
0.52
|
1.00
|
0.61
|
0.15
|
-0.04
|
0.28
|
|
| IJS |
0.74
|
0.86
|
0.63
|
0.61
|
1.00
|
-0.17
|
-0.21
|
-0.05
|
|
| IEI |
0.11
|
0.01
|
0.27
|
0.15
|
-0.17
|
1.00
|
0.17
|
0.44
|
|
| BIL |
-0.04
|
-0.14
|
-0.15
|
-0.04
|
-0.21
|
0.17
|
1.00
|
0.18
|
|
| GLD |
0.14
|
0.08
|
0.18
|
0.28
|
-0.05
|
0.44
|
0.18
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | EFA | VTI | VNQ | EEM | IJS | IEI | BIL | GLD | |
| EFA |
1.00
|
0.82
|
0.58
|
0.79
|
0.73
|
-0.12
|
-0.04
|
0.18
|
|
| VTI |
0.82
|
1.00
|
0.62
|
0.74
|
0.86
|
-0.13
|
-0.03
|
0.05
|
|
| VNQ |
0.58
|
0.62
|
1.00
|
0.51
|
0.68
|
0.02
|
-0.02
|
0.13
|
|
| EEM |
0.79
|
0.74
|
0.51
|
1.00
|
0.66
|
-0.09
|
-0.03
|
0.26
|
|
| IJS |
0.73
|
0.86
|
0.68
|
0.66
|
1.00
|
-0.20
|
-0.04
|
0.02
|
|
| IEI |
-0.12
|
-0.13
|
0.02
|
-0.09
|
-0.20
|
1.00
|
0.19
|
0.21
|
|
| BIL |
-0.04
|
-0.03
|
-0.02
|
-0.03
|
-0.04
|
0.19
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
|
| GLD |
0.18
|
0.05
|
0.13
|
0.26
|
0.02
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | EFA | VTI | VNQ | EEM | IJS | IEI | BIL | GLD | |
| EFA |
1.00
|
0.75
|
0.54
|
0.69
|
0.67
|
0.06
|
0.01
|
0.15
|
|
| VTI |
0.75
|
1.00
|
0.63
|
0.72
|
0.87
|
0.08
|
-0.01
|
0.05
|
|
| VNQ |
0.54
|
0.63
|
1.00
|
0.49
|
0.70
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
|
| EEM |
0.69
|
0.72
|
0.49
|
1.00
|
0.64
|
0.06
|
-0.03
|
0.12
|
|
| IJS |
0.67
|
0.87
|
0.70
|
0.64
|
1.00
|
0.02
|
0.01
|
0.02
|
|
| IEI |
0.06
|
0.08
|
0.09
|
0.06
|
0.02
|
1.00
|
0.20
|
0.09
|
|
| BIL |
0.01
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
0.01
|
0.20
|
1.00
|
-0.01
|
|
| GLD |
0.15
|
0.05
|
0.10
|
0.12
|
0.02
|
0.09
|
-0.01
|
1.00
|
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the Pinwheel Portfolio granted a 1.60% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Pinwheel Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Readings that may interest you
Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2023
An investment of 1000$, since April 1993,
now would be worth 8470.78$, with a total return of 747.08% (7.38% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4043.36$, with a net total return of 304.34% (4.77% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4043.36$, with a net total return of 304.34% (4.77% annualized).
An investment of 1000$, since January 1976,
now would be worth 87991.07$, with a total return of 8699.11% (9.94% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 16232.90$, with a net total return of 1523.29% (6.08% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 16232.90$, with a net total return of 1523.29% (6.08% annualized).
Drawdowns
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
| -36.89% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 36 |
| -19.49% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 6 | 15 |
| -14.99% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Aug 2020 | 5 | 8 |
| -14.05% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Apr 1999 | 8 | 12 |
| -12.72% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Mar 2012 | 6 | 11 |
| -11.06% | Jun 2002 | Sep 2002 | 4 | Jun 2003 | 9 | 13 |
| -8.88% | Feb 2001 | Sep 2001 | 8 | Mar 2002 | 6 | 14 |
| -8.24% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 15 |
| -7.70% | Mar 2015 | Jan 2016 | 11 | Jun 2016 | 5 | 16 |
| -6.85% | Feb 1994 | Jan 1995 | 12 | May 1995 | 4 | 16 |
| -5.90% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 6 |
| -5.84% | Sep 2000 | Nov 2000 | 3 | Jan 2001 | 2 | 5 |
| -5.84% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Sep 2004 | 5 | 6 |
| -4.25% | Oct 1997 | Oct 1997 | 1 | Feb 1998 | 4 | 5 |
| -4.25% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Sep 2013 | 3 | 5 |
| -3.95% | Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | Jan 2015 | 4 | 5 |
| -3.67% | Jun 2007 | Jul 2007 | 2 | Sep 2007 | 2 | 4 |
| -3.33% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Dec 1993 | 1 | 2 |
| -3.25% | May 2006 | May 2006 | 1 | Sep 2006 | 4 | 5 |
| -3.16% | May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
| -36.89% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 36 |
| -19.49% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 6 | 15 |
| -14.99% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Aug 2020 | 5 | 8 |
| -14.91% | Sep 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | Dec 1988 | 13 | 16 |
| -14.05% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Apr 1999 | 8 | 12 |
| -12.72% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Mar 2012 | 6 | 11 |
| -12.51% | Jan 1990 | Sep 1990 | 9 | Feb 1991 | 5 | 14 |
| -12.10% | Dec 1980 | Jul 1982 | 20 | Oct 1982 | 3 | 23 |
| -11.81% | Feb 1980 | Mar 1980 | 2 | Jun 1980 | 3 | 5 |
| -11.06% | Jun 2002 | Sep 2002 | 4 | Jun 2003 | 9 | 13 |
| -8.88% | Feb 2001 | Sep 2001 | 8 | Mar 2002 | 6 | 14 |
| -8.24% | Feb 2018 | Dec 2018 | 11 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 15 |
| -7.70% | Mar 2015 | Jan 2016 | 11 | Jun 2016 | 5 | 16 |
| -6.94% | Oct 1979 | Oct 1979 | 1 | Dec 1979 | 2 | 3 |
| -6.85% | Feb 1994 | Jan 1995 | 12 | May 1995 | 4 | 16 |
| -5.90% | Apr 2012 | May 2012 | 2 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 6 |
| -5.84% | Sep 2000 | Nov 2000 | 3 | Jan 2001 | 2 | 5 |
| -5.84% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Sep 2004 | 5 | 6 |
| -5.44% | Oct 1978 | Nov 1978 | 2 | Jan 1979 | 2 | 4 |
| -4.25% | Oct 1997 | Oct 1997 | 1 | Feb 1998 | 4 | 5 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Pinwheel Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
| 1 Year |
10.46 |
45.76 Jul 1982 - Jun 1983 |
-32.48 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
16.91% |
| 2 Years |
10.30 |
31.96 Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-16.44 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
6.25% |
| 3 Years |
10.17 |
25.84 Aug 1984 - Jul 1987 |
-6.91 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
2.63% |
| 5 Years |
9.97 |
23.34 Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
1.11 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
| 7 Years |
9.94 |
18.57 Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 |
3.52 Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
| 10 Years |
9.92 |
17.19 Sep 1977 - Aug 1987 |
4.72 Oct 2012 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
| 15 Years |
9.70 |
14.67 Nov 1978 - Oct 1993 |
4.46 Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
0.00% |
| 20 Years |
9.64 |
13.74 Jan 1976 - Dec 1995 |
6.36 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
| 30 Years |
9.71 |
12.39 Nov 1977 - Oct 2007 |
7.38 Apr 1993 - Mar 2023 |
0.00% |
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Pinwheel Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Pinwheel Portfolio?
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
1.96
60% |
-1.21
40% |
-1.05
80% |
1.32
80% |
0.41
60% |
0.30
40% |
1.96
100% |
0.18
80% |
-2.42
20% |
0.62
60% |
2.72
80% |
0.72
60% |
| Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
|
100
|
101.96
|
100.72
|
99.66
|
100.98
|
101.40
|
101.70
|
103.69
|
103.87
|
101.36
|
101.98
|
104.76
|
105.51
|
| Best |
7.0 2023 |
1.8 2021 |
2.1 2021 |
6.4 2020 |
2.6 2020 |
4.5 2019 |
4.0 2020 |
2.4 2020 |
1.3 2019 |
3.4 2022 |
6.9 2020 |
4.1 2020 |
| Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-4.5 2020 |
-10.3 2020 |
-4.7 2022 |
-3.2 2019 |
-5.2 2022 |
0.1 2019 |
-3.5 2022 |
-7.3 2022 |
-4.5 2018 |
-2.0 2021 |
-4.3 2018 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Apr 2018 - Mar 2023
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
1.13
60% |
-0.18
60% |
0.10
80% |
1.11
90% |
0.15
50% |
0.21
50% |
1.66
80% |
-0.36
60% |
-1.24
40% |
1.13
70% |
1.44
60% |
0.51
60% |
| Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
|
100
|
101.13
|
100.95
|
101.05
|
102.18
|
102.33
|
102.55
|
104.25
|
103.88
|
102.60
|
103.76
|
105.25
|
105.79
|
| Best |
7.0 2023 |
3.8 2014 |
5.6 2016 |
6.4 2020 |
2.6 2020 |
4.5 2019 |
4.0 2020 |
2.4 2020 |
3.6 2013 |
4.4 2015 |
6.9 2020 |
4.1 2020 |
| Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-4.5 2020 |
-10.3 2020 |
-4.7 2022 |
-3.2 2019 |
-5.2 2022 |
-1.5 2014 |
-4.0 2015 |
-7.3 2022 |
-4.5 2018 |
-2.0 2021 |
-4.3 2018 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Apr 2013 - Mar 2023
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
1.23
63% |
0.29
60% |
0.73
75% |
1.57
85% |
0.56
62% |
0.59
62% |
1.03
62% |
0.52
66% |
0.08
62% |
0.26
60% |
1.40
70% |
1.81
77% |
| Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
|
100
|
101.23
|
101.53
|
102.26
|
103.87
|
104.45
|
105.06
|
106.14
|
106.69
|
106.78
|
107.06
|
108.56
|
110.52
|
| Best |
7.9 1976 |
5.4 1991 |
5.7 1986 |
9.6 2009 |
5.9 2009 |
5.1 1980 |
6.9 2009 |
8.6 1982 |
6.2 2010 |
8.6 1982 |
6.9 2020 |
8.9 1991 |
| Worst |
-7.8 2009 |
-7.6 2009 |
-10.4 1980 |
-5.8 2004 |
-5.7 2012 |
-5.3 2008 |
-5.8 2002 |
-9.8 1998 |
-8.2 2011 |
-15.8 2008 |
-4.5 2008 |
-4.3 2018 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Jan 1976 - Mar 2023
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Pinwheel Portfolio data source starts from January 1976: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
We are providing two different views:
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
Jan 1976 - Mar 2023
379 Positive Months (67%) - 188 Negative Months (33%)
MONTHLY RETURNS TABLE
Jan 1976 - Mar 2023
(Scroll down to see all data)
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Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| 2023 |
+4.66 | +3.25 | 7.0 | -3.5 | 1.4 | |||||||||
| 2022 |
-13.57 | -18.81 | -3.5 | -1.0 | 0.8 | -4.7 | -0.4 | -5.2 | 4.0 | -3.5 | -7.3 | 3.4 | 6.4 | -2.4 |
| 2021 |
+13.53 | +6.07 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | -3.1 | 3.2 | -2.0 | 3.8 |
| 2020 |
+9.12 | +7.65 | -0.8 | -4.5 | -10.3 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 2.4 | -2.3 | -0.9 | 6.9 | 4.1 |
| 2019 |
+19.31 | +16.65 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | -3.2 | 4.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 2.4 |
| 2018 |
-6.39 | -8.14 | 2.0 | -3.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 1.8 | -4.3 |
| 2017 |
+14.08 | +11.72 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 2016 |
+8.63 | +6.42 | -2.4 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.5 | 2.5 | 3.1 | -0.8 | 0.4 | -2.4 | -0.2 | 1.5 |
| 2015 |
-2.88 | -3.58 | 1.3 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -1.9 | -0.1 | -4.0 | -1.3 | 4.4 | -0.8 | -1.3 |
| 2014 |
+6.12 | +5.32 | -1.3 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.9 | -1.5 | 2.0 | -4.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | -0.3 |
| 2013 |
+9.02 | +7.41 | 2.3 | -0.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | -1.8 | -2.5 | 3.4 | -2.2 | 3.6 | 2.8 | -0.1 | 0.6 |
| 2012 |
+12.60 | +10.68 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.2 | -5.7 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | -0.9 | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| 2011 |
-0.25 | -3.12 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.5 | 0.3 | -3.1 | -8.2 | 8.5 | -0.8 | -0.8 |
| 2010 |
+16.08 | +14.37 | -3.0 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 2.4 | -4.9 | -2.4 | 5.3 | -1.7 | 6.2 | 3.1 | -0.9 | 4.5 |
| 2009 |
+24.19 | +20.90 | -7.8 | -7.6 | 5.1 | 9.6 | 5.9 | -1.4 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 4.6 | -2.2 | 5.3 | 1.7 |
| 2008 |
-22.51 | -22.58 | -1.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | -5.3 | -0.4 | -1.0 | -3.9 | -15.8 | -4.5 | 5.7 |
| 2007 |
+7.60 | +3.39 | 2.3 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | -1.7 | -2.0 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 3.6 | -3.8 | -0.7 |
| 2006 |
+19.78 | +16.81 | 5.8 | -0.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | -3.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| 2005 |
+11.02 | +7.35 | -2.6 | 2.8 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 2.4 | -2.5 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 2004 |
+15.19 | +11.56 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | -5.8 | 1.7 | 2.0 | -1.9 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 4.7 | 2.5 |
| 2003 |
+28.19 | +25.83 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.5 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| 2002 |
-2.13 | -4.40 | -0.2 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -2.3 | -5.8 | 0.8 | -4.1 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 |
| 2001 |
-0.61 | -2.13 | 2.5 | -3.9 | -3.6 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | -1.2 | -0.3 | -5.0 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| 2000 |
+1.80 | -1.53 | -2.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | -1.3 | -1.3 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 1.5 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -2.6 | 4.6 |
| 1999 |
+15.18 | +12.17 | 0.0 | -2.1 | 2.3 | 5.7 | -1.5 | 2.5 | -1.2 | -0.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 5.0 |
| 1998 |
+3.43 | +1.79 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 0.2 | -2.6 | -0.1 | -2.1 | -9.8 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 1997 |
+8.85 | +7.02 | 0.5 | 0.9 | -1.8 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 2.8 | -3.1 | 4.7 | -4.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1996 |
+13.00 | +9.36 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | -2.5 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 1995 |
+14.60 | +11.76 | -1.6 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.5 | -1.6 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| 1994 |
-2.32 | -4.87 | 3.2 | -2.1 | -3.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | -0.8 | 1.4 | 2.6 | -1.7 | 0.0 | -3.2 | 1.1 |
| 1993 |
+24.96 | +21.61 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 2.3 | -3.3 | 4.8 |
| 1992 |
+4.01 | +1.08 | 1.0 | -0.7 | -2.2 | 0.4 | 3.9 | -2.5 | 2.8 | -0.6 | 0.4 | -0.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 1991 |
+29.20 | +25.36 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.9 | -3.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | -2.6 | 8.9 |
| 1990 |
-7.14 | -12.48 | -3.3 | -0.9 | -1.9 | -1.8 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 2.1 | -7.0 | -5.2 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 1989 |
+21.94 | +16.53 | 3.2 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 2.6 | -2.0 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| 1988 |
+14.95 | +10.08 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | -0.9 | 3.2 | -0.1 | -2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| 1987 |
+2.63 | -1.73 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | -1.0 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1.9 | -1.3 | -13.2 | -0.7 | 2.3 |
| 1986 |
+21.90 | +20.58 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 3.1 | -0.7 | 5.2 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | -0.3 |
| 1985 |
+27.17 | +22.52 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | -1.9 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| 1984 |
+8.12 | +4.01 | 0.5 | -1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -2.9 | 1.1 | -1.2 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| 1983 |
+17.25 | +12.97 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 0.2 | 1.1 | -1.0 | 2.5 | -0.1 |
| 1982 |
+13.76 | +9.57 | -1.9 | -3.5 | -2.3 | 3.6 | -2.6 | -2.7 | -0.1 | 8.6 | 1.5 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 1981 |
-0.90 | -9.02 | -2.6 | 0.5 | 3.6 | -1.0 | 0.9 | -0.7 | -1.0 | -3.3 | -3.6 | 4.7 | 4.1 | -2.1 |
| 1980 |
+18.33 | +5.17 | 6.5 | -1.6 | -10.4 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4.3 | -2.1 |
| 1979 |
+29.93 | +14.69 | 3.8 | -0.5 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 5.9 | 2.4 | -6.9 | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| 1978 |
+15.63 | +6.07 | -1.8 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 1.9 | -0.2 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 0.6 | -5.4 | -0.1 | 3.4 |
| 1977 |
+10.76 | +3.80 | -0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 3.7 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | -0.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 1976 |
+19.79 | +14.23 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -1.8 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 2.1 | -0.5 | 1.9 | 4.6 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- EFA - iShares MSCI EAFE: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001
- VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001
- VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
- EEM - iShares MSCI Emerging Markets: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003
- IJS - iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value: simulated historical serie, up to December 2000
- IEI - iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- BIL - SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- GLD - SPDR Gold Trust: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Pinwheel Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
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30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
|
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.37 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
|
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+7.92 | 9.47 | -30.55 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
|
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.90 | 8.66 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
|
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.85 | 6.85 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
|
Golden Butterfly |
+7.67 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
|
Coffeehouse Bill Schultheis |
+7.53 | 9.52 | -33.93 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
|
Robo Advisor 50 Betterment |
+7.40 | 9.23 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
|
Pinwheel |
+7.38 | 10.40 | -36.89 | 65 | 25 | 10 | ||
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and High Risk categorization.
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30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
|
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.37 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
|
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.64 | 11.61 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
|
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.24 | 11.57 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
|
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.14 | 10.82 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
|
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.03 | 11.24 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 | ||
