Last Update: 31 May 2020
The Pinwheel Portfolio is exposed for 65% on the Stock Market and for 10% on Commodities.
It's a High Risk portfolio and it can be replicated with 8 ETFs.
In the last 10 years, the portfolio obtained a 6.38% compound annual return, with a 9.51% standard deviation.
In 2019, the portfolio granted a 2.58% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Pinwheel Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Pinwheel Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Pinwheel Portfolio can be replicated with the following ETFs:
| Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.00 % | EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE | Equity, EAFE, Large Cap | |
| 15.00 % | VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
| 15.00 % | VNQ | Vanguard Real Estate | Real Estate, U.S. | |
| 10.00 % | IJS | iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value | Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Value | |
| 10.00 % | EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets | Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap | |
| 15.00 % | IEI | iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond | Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term | |
| 10.00 % | BIL | SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill | Bond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term | |
| 10.00 % | GLD | SPDR Gold Trust | Commodity, Gold |
Portfolio and ETF Returns
The Pinwheel Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y(*) | 5Y(*) | 10Y(*) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinwheel Portfolio | +2.61 | -2.06 | -4.95 | +3.32 | +3.65 | +4.02 | +6.38 |
| Components | |||||||
| EFA - iShares MSCI EAFE | +5.43 | -4.18 | -11.55 | -2.83 | -0.42 | +0.70 | +5.24 |
| VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market | +5.40 | +2.65 | -2.97 | +11.28 | +9.52 | +9.14 | +12.78 |
| VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate | +1.73 | -10.67 | -15.29 | -7.67 | +2.11 | +3.86 | +8.83 |
| IJS - iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value | +2.55 | -13.30 | -24.94 | -14.11 | -3.46 | +1.41 | +8.08 |
| EEM - iShares MSCI Emerging Markets | +2.97 | -6.89 | -9.43 | -4.64 | -0.61 | +0.51 | +2.00 |
| IEI - iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond | +0.32 | +2.94 | +6.65 | +8.94 | +4.41 | +3.25 | +3.15 |
| BIL - SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill | -0.02 | +0.17 | +0.52 | +1.49 | +1.57 | +0.98 | +0.46 |
| GLD - SPDR Gold Trust | +2.59 | +9.79 | +18.17 | +32.09 | +10.54 | +7.38 | +3.20 |
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (i.e. at every January 1st)
- the reinvestment of dividends
If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Pinwheel Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Historical Returns
Pinwheel Portfolio - Historical returns and stats.
| Period | Returns May 2020 |
Standard Deviation * |
Max Drawdown |
Months Pos - Neg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1M
|
+2.61%
|
0.00%
|
1 - 0 | |
|
3M
|
-2.06%
|
-10.30%
Mar 2020 - Mar 2020
|
2 - 1 | |
|
6M
|
-4.95%
|
-14.99%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
3 - 3 | |
|
YTD
|
-7.18%
|
-14.99%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
2 - 3 | |
|
1Y
|
+3.32%
|
14.32%
|
-14.99%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
9 - 3 |
|
3Y
|
+3.65%
annualized
|
10.55%
|
-14.99%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
27 - 9 |
|
5Y
|
+4.02%
annualized
|
9.45%
|
-14.99%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
40 - 20 |
|
10Y
|
+6.38%
annualized
|
9.51%
|
-14.99%
Jan 2020 - Mar 2020
|
77 - 43 |
|
MAX
01 Jan 2002
|
+7.44%
annualized
|
10.87%
|
-36.89%
Nov 2007 - Feb 2009
|
144 - 77 |
* Annualized St.Dev. of monthly returns
Best High Risk Porftolios, ordered by 10Y annualized return.
| Portfolio | 10Y Return ▾ | #ETF | Stocks | Bonds | Comm. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+10.68% | 2 | 75 | 25 | 0 | Compare | |
| Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+9.37% | 2 | 60 | 40 | 0 | Compare | |
| Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.78% | 6 | 70 | 30 | 0 | Compare | |
| Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson |
+8.72% | 3 | 66.67 | 33.33 | 0 | Compare | |
| Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+8.50% | 12 | 69 | 31 | 0 | Compare |
Capital Growth
Drawdowns
Rolling Returns
Pinwheel Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
| Return (*) | Negative Periods |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolling Period | Average | Best | Worst | |
| 1 Year |
+8.64% |
+44.78% Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
-32.48% Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
18.57% |
| 2 Years |
+8.39% |
+31.96% Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-16.44% Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
10.61% |
| 3 Years |
+8.14% |
+22.39% Apr 2003 - Mar 2006 |
-6.91% Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
5.91% |
| 5 Years |
+7.56% |
+17.92% Nov 2002 - Oct 2007 |
+1.11% Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
| 7 Years |
+7.30% |
+11.82% Apr 2003 - Mar 2010 |
+3.52% Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
| 10 Years |
+7.57% |
+11.01% Apr 2003 - Mar 2013 |
+5.03% Dec 2006 - Nov 2016 |
0.00% |
| 15 Years |
+7.90% |
+9.34% Feb 2003 - Jan 2018 |
+6.08% Apr 2005 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods
Yearly Returns - Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Months | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Return | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| 2020 |
-7.18% | -0.8 | -4.5 | -10.3 | 6.4 | 2.6 | |||||||
| 2019 |
+19.31% | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | -3.2 | 4.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 2.4 |
| 2018 |
-6.39% | 2.0 | -3.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 1.8 | -4.3 |
| 2017 |
+14.08% | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 2016 |
+8.63% | -2.4 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.5 | 2.5 | 3.1 | -0.8 | 0.4 | -2.4 | -0.2 | 1.6 |
| 2015 |
-2.88% | 1.3 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -1.9 | -0.1 | -4.0 | -1.4 | 4.4 | -0.8 | -1.4 |
| 2014 |
+6.12% | -1.3 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.9 | -1.5 | 2.0 | -4.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | -0.3 |
| 2013 |
+9.02% | 2.3 | -0.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | -1.8 | -2.5 | 3.4 | -2.2 | 3.6 | 2.8 | -0.1 | 0.6 |
| 2012 |
+12.60% | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.2 | -5.7 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | -0.9 | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| 2011 |
-0.25% | 0.2 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.5 | 0.3 | -3.1 | -8.2 | 8.5 | -0.8 | -0.8 |
| 2010 |
+16.08% | -3.0 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 2.5 | -4.9 | -2.4 | 5.3 | -1.7 | 6.2 | 3.1 | -0.9 | 4.5 |
| 2009 |
+24.19% | -7.8 | -7.6 | 5.1 | 9.6 | 5.9 | -1.4 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 4.6 | -2.2 | 5.3 | 1.7 |
| 2008 |
-22.51% | -2.0 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | -5.3 | -0.4 | -1.0 | -3.9 | -15.8 | -4.5 | 5.7 |
| 2007 |
+7.60% | 2.3 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | -1.7 | -2.1 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 3.6 | -3.8 | -0.7 |
| 2006 |
+19.78% | 5.8 | -0.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 | -3.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| 2005 |
+11.02% | -2.6 | 2.8 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 2.4 | -2.5 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 2004 |
+15.19% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | -5.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | -1.9 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 4.7 | 2.5 |
| 2003 |
+28.19% | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.5 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| 2002 |
-2.13% | -0.2 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -2.3 | -5.8 | 0.8 | -4.1 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 |
* Note: Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
EEM - iShares MSCI Emerging Markets: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003
IEI - iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
BIL - SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
GLD - SPDR Gold Trust: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004