Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio vs Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 2011 - October 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 October 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
All Data
(2011/01 - 2025/10)
Inflation Adjusted:
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 2011
2.87$
Final Capital
October 2025
7.38%
Yearly Return
7.95%
Std Deviation
-17.79%
Max Drawdown
30months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 2011
1.95$
Final Capital
October 2025
4.62%
Yearly Return
7.95%
Std Deviation
-23.47%
Max Drawdown
51months
Recovery Period
Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 2011
11.21$
Final Capital
October 2025
17.70%
Yearly Return
35.12%
Std Deviation
-39.02%
Max Drawdown
28months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 2011
7.62$
Final Capital
October 2025
14.67%
Yearly Return
35.12%
Std Deviation
-39.66%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period

As of October 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio obtained a 7.38% compound annual return, with a 7.95% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -17.79% that required 30 months to be recovered.

As of October 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio obtained a 17.70% compound annual return, with a 35.12% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -39.02% that required 28 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
20.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
20.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
20.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
20.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
20.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
20.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
20.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
18.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
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Portfolio Returns as of Oct 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
All Data
(2011/01 - 2025/10)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Tyler Golden Butterfly
Tyler
1 $ 2.87 $ 187.43% 7.38%
Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Tyler
1 $ 11.21 $ 1 021.22% 17.70%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Tyler Golden Butterfly
Tyler
1 $ 1.95 $ 95.31% 4.62%
Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Tyler
1 $ 7.62 $ 661.89% 14.67%

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Return (%) as of Oct 31, 2025
YTD
(10M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_tyler.webp Golden Butterfly
Tyler
16.52 1.60 14.09 16.04 8.14 7.79 7.38
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_tyler.webp Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Tyler
15.82 1.43 13.95 16.61 9.61 11.36 17.70
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of Oct 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 October 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 November 2024 - 31 October 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 November 2020 - 31 October 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 November 2015 - 31 October 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2011 - 31 October 2025 (~15 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
All (2011/01 - 2025/10)
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Golden Butterfly Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Author Tyler Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 40%
Fixed Income 40% 40%
Commodities 20% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 16.04 16.61
Infl. Adjusted (%) 12.82 13.37
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.42 -3.45
Start to Recovery (months) 7 7
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.42 -3.45
Start to Recovery (months) 7 7
Longest Negative Period (months) 6 6
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.07 7.45
Sharpe Ratio 1.66 1.65
Sortino Ratio 2.18 2.19
Ulcer Index 1.15 1.30
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 2.27 2.23
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 4.69 4.81
Metrics calculated over the period 1 November 2024 - 31 October 2025
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Golden Butterfly Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Author Tyler Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 40%
Fixed Income 40% 40%
Commodities 20% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.14 9.61
Infl. Adjusted (%) 3.47 4.88
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -17.79 -18.76
Start to Recovery (months) 30 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -17.79 -18.76
Start to Recovery (months) 30 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 35 34
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.89 10.62
Sharpe Ratio 0.52 0.63
Sortino Ratio 0.71 0.86
Ulcer Index 6.40 6.71
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.82 0.91
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.46 0.51
Metrics calculated over the period 1 November 2020 - 31 October 2025
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Golden Butterfly Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Author Tyler Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 40%
Fixed Income 40% 40%
Commodities 20% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.79 11.36
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.49 7.95
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -17.79 -18.76
Start to Recovery (months) 30 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -17.79 -18.76
Start to Recovery (months) 30 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 39 34
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.61 9.75
Sharpe Ratio 0.68 0.96
Sortino Ratio 0.93 1.36
Ulcer Index 4.75 4.96
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.90 1.17
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.44 0.61
Metrics calculated over the period 1 November 2015 - 31 October 2025
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Golden Butterfly Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Author Tyler Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 40%
Fixed Income 40% 40%
Commodities 20% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.38 17.70
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.62 14.67
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -17.79 -39.02
Start to Recovery (months) 30 28
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -17.79 -23.09
Start to Recovery (months) 30 44
Longest Negative Period (months) 39 43
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.95 35.12
Sharpe Ratio 0.76 0.47
Sortino Ratio 1.07 1.31
Ulcer Index 4.07 13.36
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.93 0.50
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.41 0.45
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2011 - 31 October 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 November 2015 - 31 October 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2011 - 31 October 2025 (~15 years)

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Golden Butterfly Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-39.02 28 Jul 2011
Oct 2013
-23.09 44 Dec 2013
Jul 2017
-18.76 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-17.79 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-7.90 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-7.16 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-7.00 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-6.37 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-6.25 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-3.84 6 Apr 2013
Sep 2013
-3.45 7 Dec 2024
Jun 2025
-3.42 7 Dec 2024
Jun 2025
-3.38 4 Apr 2024
Jul 2024
-3.36 7 Aug 2016
Feb 2017
-3.27 4 Sep 2014
Dec 2014

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2011 - 31 October 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Golden Butterfly Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
16.52 -0.53 15.82 -0.98
2024
10.73 -3.42 12.62 -3.45
2023
11.98 -8.08 14.83 -7.40
2022
-13.35 -17.79 -14.62 -18.76
2021
9.35 -2.45 10.62 -2.57
2020
13.93 -7.16 19.50 -7.90
2019
18.03 -1.83 19.52 -0.42
2018
-4.03 -6.37 -5.46 -7.00
2017
10.96 -0.32 38.09 -0.53
2016
10.82 -3.36 13.14 -2.92
2015
-3.71 -6.25 -2.81 -5.90
2014
9.13 -3.27 8.05 -3.49
2013
6.26 -3.84 130.58 -23.09
2012
8.84 -2.43 12.33 -2.22
2011
8.86 -3.00 38.12 -39.02
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