Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio vs Warren Buffett Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings

Period: January 1976 - January 2026 (~50 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 January 2026

Initial Amount: 1$

Rebalancing: at every Jan 1^st

Currency: USD

Inflation: US

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Results

30 Years
(1996/02 - 2026/01)

All Data
(1976/01 - 2026/01)

Inflation Adjusted:

Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio

1.00$
Invested Capital
February 1996
5.93$
Final Capital
January 2026
6.12%
Yearly Return
22.02%
Std Deviation
-60.44%
Max Drawdown
120months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
February 1996
2.82$
Final Capital
January 2026
3.51%
Yearly Return
22.02%
Std Deviation
-61.09%
Max Drawdown
159months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1976
48.41$
Final Capital
January 2026
8.05%
Yearly Return
23.67%
Std Deviation
-60.44%
Max Drawdown
120months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1976
8.25$
Final Capital
January 2026
4.30%
Yearly Return
23.67%
Std Deviation
-62.18%
Max Drawdown
131months
Recovery Period

Warren Buffett Portfolio

1.00$
Invested Capital
February 1996
16.37$
Final Capital
January 2026
9.77%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-45.52%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
February 1996
7.77$
Final Capital
January 2026
7.07%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-47.08%
Max Drawdown
149months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1976
221.99$
Final Capital
January 2026
11.39%
Yearly Return
13.53%
Std Deviation
-45.52%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period

1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1976
37.85$
Final Capital
January 2026
7.52%
Yearly Return
13.53%
Std Deviation
-47.08%
Max Drawdown
149months
Recovery Period

As of January 2026, in the previous 30 Years, the Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio obtained a 6.12% compound annual return, with a 22.02% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -60.44% that required 120 months to be recovered.

As of January 2026, in the previous 30 Years, the Warren Buffett Portfolio obtained a 9.77% compound annual return, with a 13.71% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -45.52% that required 42 months to be recovered.

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Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.

Resources & Extras

Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio

Weight (%)	Ticker	Name
100.00	EEM	iShares MSCI Emerging Markets

Warren Buffett Portfolio

Weight (%)	Ticker	Name
90.00	VV	Vanguard Large-Cap
10.00	SHY	iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

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Portfolio Returns as of Jan 31, 2026

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:

no fees or capital gain taxes.
rebalancing: at every Jan 1^st.
dividend reinvestment, when applicable.

Return Comparison

Capital Growth

30 Years
(1996/02 - 2026/01)

All Data
(1976/01 - 2026/01)

Inflation Adjusted:

Swipe left to see all data

	Initial Amount $	Final Amount $	Total Return (%)	Annualized (%)
Emerging Markets Stocks	1 $	5.93 $	493.49%	6.12%
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett	1 $	16.37 $	1 536.91%	9.77%
	Feb 1996	Jan 2026

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	Initial Amount $	Final Amount $	Total Return (%)	Annualized (%)
Emerging Markets Stocks	1 $	2.82 $	181.53%	3.51%
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett	1 $	7.77 $	676.51%	7.07%
	Feb 1996	Jan 2026

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	Initial Amount $	Final Amount $	Total Return (%)	Annualized (%)
Emerging Markets Stocks	1 $	48.41 $	4 740.52%	8.05%
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett	1 $	221.99 $	22 099.48%	11.39%
	Jan 1976	Jan 2026

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	Initial Amount $	Final Amount $	Total Return (%)	Annualized (%)
Emerging Markets Stocks	1 $	8.25 $	725.27%	4.30%
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett	1 $	37.85 $	3 684.84%	7.52%
	Jan 1976	Jan 2026

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		Return (%) as of Jan 31, 2026
		YTD (1M)	1M	6M	1Y	5Y	10Y	30Y	MAX (~50Y)
	Emerging Markets Stocks -- Market Benchmark	8.02	8.02	23.45	41.68	4.50	9.21	6.12	8.05
	Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett	1.05	1.05	8.93	14.88	13.23	14.24	9.77	11.39
Returns over 1 year are annualized.

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Portfolio Metrics as of Jan 31, 2026

The following metrics, updated as of 31 January 2026, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON

Period: 1 February 2025 - 31 January 2026 (1 year)

Period: 1 February 2021 - 31 January 2026 (5 years)

Period: 1 February 2016 - 31 January 2026 (10 years)

Period: 1 February 1996 - 31 January 2026 (30 years)

Period: 1 January 1976 - 31 January 2026 (~50 years)

1 Year

5 Years

10 Years

30 Years

All (1976/01 - 2026/01)

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	Emerging Markets Stocks	Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author		Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	100%	90%
Fixed Income	0%	10%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	41.68	14.88
Infl. Adjusted (%)	38.66	12.44
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-1.77	-6.82
Start to Recovery (months)	2	5
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-1.77	-6.82
Start to Recovery (months)	2	5
Longest Negative Period (months)	1	4
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	10.18	9.62
Sharpe Ratio	3.69	1.12
Sortino Ratio	5.68	1.50
Ulcer Index	0.49	2.64
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	4.10	1.55
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	23.52	2.18
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 2025 - 31 January 2026

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	Emerging Markets Stocks	Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author		Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	100%	90%
Fixed Income	0%	10%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	4.50	13.23
Infl. Adjusted (%)	0.06	8.42
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-36.52	-23.08
Start to Recovery (months)	51	24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-36.52	-23.08
Start to Recovery (months)	51	24
Longest Negative Period (months)	52	28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	15.70	13.70
Sharpe Ratio	0.09	0.74
Sortino Ratio	0.13	0.96
Ulcer Index	18.52	7.92
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	0.29	0.97
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	0.12	0.57
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 2021 - 31 January 2026

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	Emerging Markets Stocks	Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author		Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	100%	90%
Fixed Income	0%	10%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	9.21	14.24
Infl. Adjusted (%)	5.81	10.68
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-36.52	-23.08
Start to Recovery (months)	51	24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-36.52	-23.08
Start to Recovery (months)	51	24
Longest Negative Period (months)	85	28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	16.65	13.57
Sharpe Ratio	0.43	0.90
Sortino Ratio	0.60	1.18
Ulcer Index	15.49	6.22
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	0.55	1.05
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	0.25	0.62
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 2016 - 31 January 2026

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	Emerging Markets Stocks	Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author		Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	100%	90%
Fixed Income	0%	10%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	6.12	9.77
Infl. Adjusted (%)	3.51	7.07
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-60.44	-45.52
Start to Recovery (months)	120	42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-60.44	-39.67
Start to Recovery (months)	120	73
Longest Negative Period (months)	195	132
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	22.02	13.71
Sharpe Ratio	0.18	0.55
Sortino Ratio	0.24	0.72
Ulcer Index	21.50	12.59
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	0.28	0.71
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	0.10	0.21
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 1996 - 31 January 2026

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	Emerging Markets Stocks	Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author		Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks	100%	90%
Fixed Income	0%	10%
Commodities	0%	0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%)	8.05	11.39
Infl. Adjusted (%)	4.30	7.52
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)	-60.44	-45.52
Start to Recovery (months)	120	42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)	-54.22	-39.67
Start to Recovery (months)	120	73
Longest Negative Period (months)	195	132
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%)	23.67	13.53
Sharpe Ratio	0.16	0.53
Sortino Ratio	0.22	0.71
Ulcer Index	22.50	10.43
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation	0.34	0.84
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown	0.13	0.25
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1976 - 31 January 2026

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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON

Period: 1 February 1996 - 31 January 2026 (30 years)

Period: 1 January 1976 - 31 January 2026 (~50 years)

30 Years
(1996/02 - 2026/01)

Chart Table

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Emerging Markets Stocks			Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown (%)	Recovery (#Months)	From To	Drawdown (%)	Recovery (#Months)	From To
-60.44	120	Nov 2007 Oct 2017
-53.99	78	Aug 1997 Jan 2004
			-45.52	42	Nov 2007 Apr 2011
			-39.67	73	Sep 2000 Sep 2006
-36.52	51	Jul 2021 Sep 2025
-29.69	34	Feb 2018 Nov 2020
			-23.08	24	Jan 2022 Dec 2023
			-17.49	6	Feb 2020 Jul 2020
			-15.04	10	May 2011 Feb 2012
			-13.83	5	Jul 1998 Nov 1998
			-12.09	7	Oct 2018 Apr 2019
-11.25	7	Apr 2004 Oct 2004
-11.14	7	May 2006 Nov 2006
-9.06	5	Mar 2005 Jul 2005
			-7.73	10	Aug 2015 May 2016

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Emerging Markets Stocks			Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown (%)	Recovery (#Months)	From To	Drawdown (%)	Recovery (#Months)	From To
-60.44	120	Nov 2007 Oct 2017
-55.33	31	Mar 1987 Sep 1989
-55.05	66	Dec 1980 May 1986
-54.22	120	Feb 1994 Jan 2004
			-45.52	42	Nov 2007 Apr 2011
			-39.67	73	Sep 2000 Sep 2006
-36.52	51	Jul 2021 Sep 2025
-34.47	7	Aug 1990 Feb 1991
-29.69	34	Feb 2018 Nov 2020
			-27.35	21	Sep 1987 May 1989
			-23.08	24	Jan 2022 Dec 2023
-23.01	11	Jun 1992 Apr 1993
			-17.49	6	Feb 2020 Jul 2020
			-15.04	10	May 2011 Feb 2012
			-13.83	5	Jul 1998 Nov 1998

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison

Annualized Rolling Returns Chart

Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted

Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 31 January 2026 (~50 years)

Rolling Period:

Emerging Markets Stocks
Warren Buffett Portfolio

Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):

US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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	Emerging Markets Stocks		Warren Buffett Portfolio
Year	Return (%)	Drawdown (%)	Return (%)	Drawdown (%)
2026	8.02	0.00	1.05	0.00
2025	33.98	-1.77	16.79	-6.82
2024	6.49	-7.27	23.12	-3.67
2023	8.95	-12.51	24.86	-7.55
2022	-20.56	-29.40	-18.29	-23.08
2021	-3.61	-11.44	24.59	-4.32
2020	17.03	-23.94	19.19	-17.49
2019	18.20	-7.82	28.46	-5.73
2018	-15.31	-22.75	-3.84	-12.09
2017	37.28	-0.39	19.83	0.00
2016	10.87	-5.81	10.69	-4.87
2015	-16.18	-23.20	0.96	-7.73
2014	-3.93	-11.58	12.08	-2.97
2013	-3.69	-13.17	29.44	-2.62
2012	19.10	-14.96	14.59	-6.10
2011	-18.82	-29.09	1.43	-15.04
2010	16.51	-10.81	14.55	-11.71
2009	68.93	-14.98	24.66	-16.03
2008	-48.88	-53.98	-32.35	-33.45
2007	33.31	-8.97	6.30	-4.37
2006	31.19	-11.14	14.32	-2.48
2005	32.62	-9.06	5.58	-3.97
2004	24.63	-11.25	9.73	-2.96
2003	57.65	-5.76	25.87	-3.66
2002	-7.43	-24.27	-19.13	-24.82
2001	-2.88	-30.79	-10.04	-20.31
2000	-27.56	-31.63	-7.27	-11.55
1999	61.57	-4.87	19.15	-5.59
1998	-18.12	-40.98	26.49	-13.83
1997	-16.82	-27.85	30.52	-5.15
1996	15.83	-6.73	21.03	-3.99
1995	0.56	-11.22	34.91	-0.25
1994	-20.17	-25.83	1.01	-6.47
1993	100.42	-5.91	9.53	-2.10
1992	-10.90	-23.01	7.36	-2.36
1991	111.70	-7.61	28.35	-4.14
1990	-1.92	-34.47	-2.00	-12.77
1989	98.20	-6.54	29.38	-2.30
1988	36.81	-6.67	15.17	-3.40
1987	-46.69	-55.33	4.71	-27.35
1986	11.58	-9.07	17.29	-7.59
1985	27.58	-4.87	29.49	-3.46
1984	16.85	-4.31	6.99	-6.07
1983	14.20	-3.85	19.96	-3.02
1982	-31.65	-40.30	21.09	-7.70
1981	-20.21	-22.51	-3.26	-10.93
1980	6.80	-13.68	29.60	-8.82
1979	19.35	-6.39	17.05	-6.17
1978	14.19	-7.84	5.62	-8.58
1977	6.78	-3.89	-6.77	-10.10
1976	6.79	-7.97	22.58	-1.97

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Table of contents

Resources & Extras

Asset Allocations and ETFs

Portfolio Returns as of Jan 31, 2026

Portfolio Metrics as of Jan 31, 2026

Drawdowns

Rolling Returns

Yearly Returns