Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Live Update: Mar 20 2023
The Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 1 ETF.
It's exposed for 100% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio obtained a 5.83% compound annual return, with a 23.11% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
100.00 % | EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets | Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap |
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 28, 2023
The Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Feb 28, 2023 |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Mar 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~47Y) |
|
Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio | 0.37 | -1.26 | -7.57 | -1.58 | -16.23 | -2.35 | 0.92 | 5.83 | 7.41 | |
US Inflation Adjusted return | -8.08 | -3.10 | -21.00 | -5.98 | -1.66 | 3.24 | 3.63 | |||
Components | ||||||||||
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets |
0.37 | Mar 20 2023 | -1.26 | -7.57 | -1.58 | -16.23 | -2.35 | 0.92 | 5.83 | 7.41 |
US Inflation is updated to Feb 2023. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 6.04% , 5Y: 3.86% , 10Y: 2.63% , 30Y: 2.51%
Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023
Metrics of Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio, updated as of 28 February 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~47Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
-7.57 | -1.80 | -1.58 | -16.23 | 0.03 | -2.35 | 0.92 | 8.29 | 5.83 | 7.41 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 6.04 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 2.63 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 3.65 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-8.08 | -2.82 | -3.10 | -21.00 | -4.88 | -5.98 | -1.66 | 5.63 | 3.24 | 3.63 |
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 24.24 | 20.69 | 19.10 | 17.23 | 21.48 | 23.11 | 24.18 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.75 | -0.03 | -0.18 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 0.16 | 0.14 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -1.32 | -0.05 | -0.27 | 0.02 | 0.46 | 0.21 | 0.20 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -26.20 | -36.52 | -36.52 | -36.52 | -60.44 | -60.44 | -60.44 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 03 | 2021 07 | 2021 07 | 2021 07 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 8 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 12
|
> 20
|
> 20
|
> 20
|
120
|
120
|
120
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 111.70 | 60.25 | 49.02 | 25.17 | 18.64 | 12.59 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -54.34 | -18.57 | -10.37 | -2.16 | 4.57 | 5.66 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 65% | 69% | 74% | 97% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 29 | 61 | 133 | 200 | 316 |
Negative | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 59 | 107 | 160 | 250 |
% Positive | 0% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 53% | 48% | 51% | 55% | 56% | 56% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 36.01 | 18.21 | 9.81 | 15.31 | 6.40 | 3.69 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.33 | 3.14 | 3.50 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Dividends
In 2022, the Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio granted a 1.95% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2603.41$, with a net total return of 160.34% (3.24% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 5364.26$, with a net total return of 436.43% (3.63% annualized).
Drawdowns
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-60.44% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2017 | 104 | 120 |
-54.22% | Feb 1994 | Aug 1998 | 55 | Jan 2004 | 65 | 120 |
-36.52% | Jul 2021 | Oct 2022 | 16 | in progress | 4 | 20 |
-29.69% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2020 | 26 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 34 |
-11.25% | Apr 2004 | Jul 2004 | 4 | Oct 2004 | 3 | 7 |
-11.14% | May 2006 | May 2006 | 1 | Nov 2006 | 6 | 7 |
-9.06% | Mar 2005 | Apr 2005 | 2 | Jul 2005 | 3 | 5 |
-6.34% | Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | Dec 2005 | 2 | 3 |
-5.91% | May 1993 | May 1993 | 1 | Jun 1993 | 1 | 2 |
-3.85% | Feb 2006 | Feb 2006 | 1 | Apr 2006 | 2 | 3 |
-3.24% | Feb 2007 | Feb 2007 | 1 | Mar 2007 | 1 | 2 |
-2.61% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Dec 1993 | 1 | 2 |
-1.11% | Sep 1993 | Sep 1993 | 1 | Oct 1993 | 1 | 2 |
-0.73% | Mar 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | Apr 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-0.53% | Jan 2005 | Jan 2005 | 1 | Feb 2005 | 1 | 2 |
-0.39% | Nov 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | Dec 2017 | 1 | 2 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-60.44% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Oct 2017 | 104 | 120 |
-55.33% | Mar 1987 | Dec 1987 | 10 | Sep 1989 | 21 | 31 |
-55.05% | Dec 1980 | Jul 1982 | 20 | May 1986 | 46 | 66 |
-54.22% | Feb 1994 | Aug 1998 | 55 | Jan 2004 | 65 | 120 |
-36.52% | Jul 2021 | Oct 2022 | 16 | in progress | 4 | 20 |
-34.47% | Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 2 | Feb 1991 | 5 | 7 |
-29.69% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2020 | 26 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 34 |
-23.01% | Jun 1992 | Dec 1992 | 7 | Apr 1993 | 4 | 11 |
-13.68% | Feb 1980 | Mar 1980 | 2 | Nov 1980 | 8 | 10 |
-11.25% | Apr 2004 | Jul 2004 | 4 | Oct 2004 | 3 | 7 |
-11.14% | May 2006 | May 2006 | 1 | Nov 2006 | 6 | 7 |
-10.62% | Jan 1990 | Apr 1990 | 4 | Jun 1990 | 2 | 6 |
-9.07% | Sep 1986 | Sep 1986 | 1 | Jan 1987 | 4 | 5 |
-9.06% | Mar 2005 | Apr 2005 | 2 | Jul 2005 | 3 | 5 |
-7.97% | Feb 1976 | Nov 1976 | 10 | Nov 1977 | 12 | 22 |
-7.84% | Oct 1978 | Oct 1978 | 1 | Jan 1979 | 3 | 4 |
-7.61% | Jun 1991 | Jun 1991 | 1 | Aug 1991 | 2 | 3 |
-7.45% | Nov 1991 | Nov 1991 | 1 | Dec 1991 | 1 | 2 |
-6.39% | Oct 1979 | Oct 1979 | 1 | Dec 1979 | 2 | 3 |
-6.36% | Jul 1986 | Jul 1986 | 1 | Aug 1986 | 1 | 2 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
11.01 |
111.70 Jan 1991 - Dec 1991 |
-54.34 Dec 2007 - Nov 2008 |
35.14% |
2 Years |
9.52 |
64.67 Jan 1988 - Dec 1989 |
-29.06 Aug 1980 - Jul 1982 |
35.91% |
3 Years |
9.00 |
60.25 Jan 1989 - Dec 1991 |
-18.57 Oct 1979 - Sep 1982 |
31.07% |
5 Years |
8.56 |
49.02 Jan 1989 - Dec 1993 |
-10.37 Feb 1994 - Jan 1999 |
25.64% |
7 Years |
8.64 |
36.13 Nov 1987 - Oct 1994 |
-8.52 Dec 1980 - Nov 1987 |
16.36% |
10 Years |
9.05 |
25.17 Feb 1984 - Jan 1994 |
-2.16 Jan 1978 - Dec 1987 |
3.13% |
15 Years |
9.75 |
18.23 Aug 1982 - Jul 1997 |
-1.21 Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
0.52% |
20 Years |
9.51 |
18.64 Jan 1988 - Dec 2007 |
4.57 Feb 1994 - Jan 2014 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
9.83 |
12.59 Jan 1988 - Dec 2017 |
5.66 Nov 1992 - Oct 2022 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
3.29
60% |
-3.28
20% |
-3.64
40% |
0.39
60% |
-0.94
60% |
0.82
60% |
0.47
40% |
-0.88
40% |
-3.06
20% |
-0.82
60% |
5.06
60% |
2.05
60% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
103.29
|
99.91
|
96.27
|
96.64
|
95.73
|
96.52
|
96.97
|
96.11
|
93.17
|
92.41
|
97.08
|
99.07
|
Best |
10.3 2019 |
0.8 2021 |
1.1 2019 |
7.4 2020 |
3.0 2020 |
6.6 2020 |
8.3 2020 |
2.9 2020 |
1.7 2019 |
4.2 2019 |
15.6 2022 |
7.7 2019 |
Worst |
-6.2 2020 |
-7.6 2023 |
-15.8 2020 |
-6.1 2022 |
-7.3 2019 |
-5.1 2022 |
-6.4 2021 |
-3.8 2019 |
-11.5 2022 |
-8.8 2018 |
-4.1 2021 |
-3.5 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
1.71
50% |
-1.36
40% |
-0.02
50% |
1.29
80% |
-1.15
50% |
0.37
60% |
0.99
60% |
-0.97
50% |
-1.65
30% |
1.03
70% |
1.62
30% |
0.55
40% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
101.71
|
100.32
|
100.30
|
101.60
|
100.43
|
100.80
|
101.80
|
100.81
|
99.14
|
100.17
|
101.79
|
102.35
|
Best |
10.3 2019 |
4.4 2015 |
13.0 2016 |
7.4 2020 |
3.0 2020 |
6.6 2020 |
8.3 2020 |
2.9 2020 |
7.2 2013 |
6.4 2015 |
15.6 2022 |
7.7 2019 |
Worst |
-8.6 2014 |
-7.6 2023 |
-15.8 2020 |
-6.1 2022 |
-7.3 2019 |
-5.3 2013 |
-6.4 2021 |
-8.8 2015 |
-11.5 2022 |
-8.8 2018 |
-4.4 2016 |
-4.0 2014 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
2.05
56% |
0.08
50% |
-0.21
49% |
2.30
68% |
0.25
51% |
0.45
57% |
1.17
53% |
-0.15
53% |
-0.88
51% |
0.81
62% |
1.40
57% |
2.86
62% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
102.05
|
102.13
|
101.92
|
104.26
|
104.52
|
104.99
|
106.22
|
106.06
|
105.12
|
105.98
|
107.47
|
110.54
|
Best |
20.8 1988 |
13.7 1991 |
16.9 2009 |
15.6 2009 |
15.9 2009 |
16.1 1988 |
18.4 1987 |
16.9 1989 |
13.4 1989 |
21.3 1990 |
15.6 2022 |
32.8 1991 |
Worst |
-10.7 1995 |
-13.6 1994 |
-21.6 1987 |
-9.8 2004 |
-12.5 1998 |
-14.6 1992 |
-9.7 1982 |
-26.1 1998 |
-17.9 2011 |
-36.0 1987 |
-9.8 2000 |
-8.1 1994 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio data source starts from January 1976: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+0.87 | -0.48 | 9.1 | -7.6 | ||||||||||
2022 |
-20.56 | -25.37 | 0.0 | -4.3 | -3.4 | -6.1 | 0.6 | -5.1 | -0.3 | -1.3 | -11.5 | -2.0 | 15.6 | -2.6 |
2021 |
-3.61 | -9.95 | 3.2 | 0.8 | -0.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | -6.4 | 1.6 | -3.9 | 1.1 | -4.1 | 1.5 |
2020 |
+17.03 | +15.46 | -6.2 | -3.8 | -15.8 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 6.6 | 8.3 | 2.9 | -1.0 | 1.4 | 9.0 | 7.1 |
2019 |
+18.20 | +15.56 | 10.3 | -1.5 | 1.1 | 2.4 | -7.3 | 6.2 | -2.7 | -3.8 | 1.7 | 4.2 | -0.1 | 7.7 |
2018 |
-15.31 | -16.90 | 8.3 | -5.9 | 0.5 | -2.8 | -2.6 | -4.5 | 3.5 | -3.8 | -0.6 | -8.8 | 4.9 | -3.5 |
2017 |
+37.28 | +34.45 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 3.3 | -0.4 | 3.8 |
2016 |
+10.87 | +8.62 | -5.0 | -0.8 | 13.0 | 0.4 | -3.7 | 4.6 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 2.5 | -0.8 | -4.4 | -0.2 |
2015 |
-16.18 | -16.79 | -0.7 | 4.4 | -1.5 | 6.9 | -4.1 | -2.9 | -6.3 | -8.8 | -3.1 | 6.4 | -2.5 | -3.8 |
2014 |
-3.93 | -4.65 | -8.6 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 2.8 | -7.8 | 1.4 | -1.5 | -4.0 |
2013 |
-3.69 | -5.11 | -0.3 | -2.3 | -1.0 | 1.2 | -4.8 | -5.3 | 1.3 | -2.5 | 7.2 | 4.2 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
2012 |
+19.10 | +17.06 | 11.0 | 5.3 | -3.1 | -1.7 | -10.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5.2 | -0.4 | 1.6 | 6.8 |
2011 |
-18.82 | -21.15 | -3.8 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 2.7 | -2.9 | -0.9 | -1.0 | -9.3 | -17.9 | 16.3 | -2.0 | -4.3 |
2010 |
+16.51 | +14.79 | -7.8 | 1.8 | 8.1 | -0.2 | -9.4 | -1.4 | 10.9 | -3.2 | 11.8 | 3.0 | -2.9 | 7.3 |
2009 |
+68.93 | +64.46 | -9.3 | -6.3 | 16.9 | 15.6 | 15.9 | -2.3 | 11.0 | -1.3 | 10.2 | -3.4 | 7.9 | 3.3 |
2008 |
-48.88 | -48.93 | -8.9 | 2.0 | -3.8 | 9.1 | 3.2 | -9.3 | -5.5 | -6.3 | -14.7 | -25.6 | -9.8 | 10.3 |
2007 |
+33.31 | +28.08 | 0.1 | -3.2 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 11.6 | 11.9 | -7.6 | -1.4 |
2006 |
+31.19 | +27.94 | 14.2 | -3.8 | 2.2 | 6.5 | -11.1 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 1.6 | -0.9 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 5.4 |
2005 |
+32.62 | +28.24 | -0.5 | 9.7 | -7.9 | -1.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 8.7 | -6.3 | 5.8 | 6.1 |
2004 |
+24.63 | +20.70 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 0.6 | -9.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | -3.6 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 9.9 | 4.7 |
2003 |
+57.65 | +54.74 | 0.1 | -3.8 | -2.0 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 7.8 |
2002 |
-7.43 | -9.58 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 0.3 | -0.4 | -8.2 | -8.5 | 1.4 | -10.7 | 6.6 | 7.1 | -3.3 |
2001 |
-2.88 | -4.36 | 11.8 | -8.7 | -10.4 | 9.3 | 1.5 | -2.1 | -6.7 | -1.0 | -15.6 | 6.6 | 9.3 | 7.7 |
2000 |
-27.56 | -29.93 | -4.9 | 3.5 | -0.9 | -7.5 | -5.3 | 6.3 | -5.2 | 1.5 | -6.1 | -7.6 | -9.8 | 6.0 |
1999 |
+61.57 | +57.35 | -2.9 | 2.2 | 11.7 | 15.4 | -4.2 | 7.9 | -3.4 | -1.0 | -0.5 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 14.3 |
1998 |
-18.12 | -19.42 | -8.0 | 11.9 | 3.6 | -1.0 | -12.5 | -9.3 | 1.8 | -26.1 | 9.4 | 15.4 | 6.3 | -3.1 |
1997 |
-16.82 | -18.22 | 5.1 | 3.0 | -3.2 | -1.6 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 | -15.1 | 5.2 | -18.1 | -1.4 | 1.3 |
1996 |
+15.83 | +12.10 | 10.2 | -1.6 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -6.7 | 3.1 | 2.3 | -1.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
1995 |
+0.56 | -1.93 | -10.7 | 0.4 | -1.0 | 5.2 | 7.7 | -0.5 | 2.9 | -2.4 | 0.2 | -4.3 | 0.4 | 4.1 |
1994 |
-20.17 | -22.25 | 6.3 | -13.6 | -14.2 | 6.9 | 2.7 | -2.6 | 4.8 | 10.2 | -4.2 | 2.5 | -9.1 | -8.1 |
1993 |
+100.42 | +95.06 | 14.7 | 0.7 | 10.5 | 3.4 | -5.9 | 11.1 | 5.7 | 6.5 | -1.1 | 12.9 | -2.6 | 18.8 |
1992 |
-10.90 | -13.41 | 2.3 | -5.5 | -0.6 | 4.1 | 15.7 | -14.6 | 6.8 | -6.9 | -5.2 | 1.9 | -0.8 | -5.5 |
1991 |
+111.70 | +105.41 | 6.8 | 13.7 | -2.4 | 3.3 | 14.3 | -7.6 | 2.2 | 14.7 | 3.2 | 10.2 | -7.5 | 32.8 |
1990 |
-1.92 | -7.56 | -5.7 | -1.7 | -1.8 | -1.8 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 16.0 | -21.4 | -16.6 | 21.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 |
1989 |
+98.20 | +89.40 | 12.7 | 8.5 | -6.5 | 8.3 | 10.3 | -4.7 | 1.3 | 16.9 | 13.4 | -4.5 | 4.9 | 13.4 |
1988 |
+36.81 | +31.02 | 20.8 | 3.5 | -6.7 | 1.9 | -1.8 | 16.1 | -3.1 | -3.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.7 |
1987 |
-46.69 | -48.95 | 14.1 | 4.6 | -21.6 | 0.0 | -11.5 | -1.4 | 18.4 | 0.0 | -4.4 | -36.0 | -7.3 | -2.8 |
1986 |
+11.58 | +10.36 | -0.1 | 7.1 | 5.0 | -1.9 | 5.1 | 1.2 | -6.4 | 7.2 | -9.1 | 5.4 | 2.2 | -3.3 |
1985 |
+27.58 | +22.91 | 7.3 | 1.1 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 5.8 | 1.2 | -0.5 | -1.0 | -3.5 | 4.2 | 6.9 | 4.6 |
1984 |
+16.85 | +12.42 | 0.4 | -2.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | -4.3 | 3.0 | -0.5 | 11.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 3.2 |
1983 |
+14.20 | +10.03 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 7.2 | -1.4 | 3.3 | -3.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | -2.0 | 1.9 | -1.2 |
1982 |
-31.65 | -34.17 | -5.9 | -10.0 | -5.9 | -0.7 | -9.0 | -8.2 | -9.7 | 11.5 | -5.0 | 11.2 | 0.6 | -3.3 |
1981 |
-20.21 | -26.74 | -5.7 | 0.8 | 2.5 | -3.6 | -0.7 | -2.3 | -1.4 | -7.4 | -7.1 | 4.4 | 3.5 | -4.7 |
1980 |
+6.80 | -5.08 | 3.9 | -1.6 | -12.3 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 5.3 | -0.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 11.2 | -5.6 |
1979 |
+19.35 | +5.34 | 4.2 | -2.8 | 5.8 | 0.5 | -1.6 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 0.3 | -6.4 | 5.2 | 1.8 |
1978 |
+14.19 | +4.75 | -5.3 | -1.0 | 3.3 | 9.1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 6.1 | 3.9 | 0.1 | -7.8 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
1977 |
+6.78 | +0.08 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | -0.2 | 5.5 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 1.2 | -2.5 | 4.3 | 1.6 |
1976 |
+6.79 | +1.84 | 10.7 | -2.1 | 1.5 | -2.3 | -2.4 | 4.0 | -2.1 | -1.1 | 1.4 | -3.7 | -1.1 | 4.8 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2003, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- EEM - iShares MSCI Emerging Markets: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Emerging Markets Stocks Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
US Stocks Momentum |
+11.99 | 15.12 | -53.85 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum |
+10.78 | 12.19 | -43.61 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
US Stocks |
+9.64 | 15.38 | -50.84 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Value |
+9.57 | 15.20 | -55.41 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Minimum Volatility |
+9.51 | 13.66 | -43.27 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.38 | 9.41 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 100/0 Bill Bernstein |
+9.26 | 15.17 | -54.91 | 97 | 0 | 3 | ||
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett |
+9.21 | 13.51 | -45.52 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
Aggressive Global Income |
+8.99 | 14.36 | -52.63 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 90/10 Bill Bernstein |
+8.85 | 13.61 | -50.12 | 87.3 | 10 | 2.7 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 |
+8.84 | 12.34 | -41.09 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Robust Alpha Architect |
+8.81 | 10.97 | -44.20 | 70 | 20 | 10 | ||
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.61 | 11.61 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Paul Merriman |
+8.54 | 15.60 | -57.21 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 100 Betterment |
+8.51 | 15.75 | -54.55 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Mid-Fifties Burton Malkiel |
+8.51 | 12.91 | -46.21 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Late Thirties to Early Forties Burton Malkiel |
+8.45 | 13.54 | -48.28 | 85 | 15 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 80/20 Bill Bernstein |
+8.41 | 12.09 | -45.06 | 77.6 | 20 | 2.4 | ||
Robo Advisor 90 Betterment |
+8.37 | 14.39 | -50.07 | 90.1 | 9.9 | 0 | ||
Mid-Twenties Burton Malkiel |
+8.37 | 13.87 | -49.50 | 87 | 13 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+8.34 | 13.17 | -45.65 | 84 | 16 | 0 | ||
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.34 | 11.59 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.23 | 10.84 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 80 Betterment |
+8.18 | 13.01 | -45.47 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Second Grader's Starter Paul Farrell |
+8.15 | 13.77 | -48.52 | 90 | 10 | 0 | ||
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.14 | 11.26 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 | ||
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson |
+8.06 | 10.67 | -40.17 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Core Four Rick Ferri |
+7.96 | 12.09 | -44.44 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 70/30 Bill Bernstein |
+7.95 | 10.60 | -39.73 | 67.9 | 30 | 2.1 | ||
Family Taxable Portfolio Ted Aronson |
+7.94 | 11.56 | -38.46 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Six Ways from Sunday Scott Burns |
+7.90 | 10.87 | -39.14 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+7.88 | 9.46 | -30.55 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Lazy Portfolio David Swensen |
+7.88 | 10.78 | -40.89 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+7.86 | 11.04 | -38.23 | 69 | 31 | 0 | ||
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+7.85 | 8.66 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Four Funds Bogleheads |
+7.83 | 12.36 | -44.08 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+7.82 | 6.84 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Gone Fishin' Portfolio Alexander Green |
+7.77 | 12.03 | -43.02 | 65 | 30 | 5 | ||
Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio Jane Bryant Quinn |
+7.75 | 10.66 | -39.55 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Three Funds Bogleheads |
+7.73 | 12.29 | -43.68 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
LifeStrategy Growth Fund Vanguard |
+7.68 | 12.32 | -44.18 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Golden Butterfly |
+7.66 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
Coffeehouse Bill Schultheis |
+7.64 | 9.53 | -33.93 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Long Term Portfolio Ben Stein |
+7.64 | 12.36 | -45.92 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
No Brainer Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.60 | 11.65 | -40.40 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Perfect Portfolio Ben Stein |
+7.54 | 12.33 | -44.81 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Pinwheel |
+7.51 | 10.43 | -36.89 | 65 | 25 | 10 | ||
Sheltered Sam 60/40 Bill Bernstein |
+7.45 | 9.15 | -34.12 | 58.2 | 40 | 1.8 | ||
Gretchen Tai Portfolio Gretchen Tai |
+7.45 | 11.61 | -41.80 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Robo Advisor 50 Betterment |
+7.45 | 9.24 | -30.72 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 0 | ||
Tilt Toward Value Time Inc |
+7.42 | 9.30 | -34.63 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Marc Faber Portfolio Marc Faber |
+7.39 | 9.55 | -28.82 | 50 | 25 | 25 | ||
European Stocks |
+7.38 | 17.83 | -59.77 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Five Fold Scott Burns |
+7.37 | 9.66 | -37.94 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Dimensional 2030 Retirement Income DFA |
+7.36 | 9.17 | -31.78 | 55.9 | 44.1 | 0 | ||
Five Asset Roger Gibson |
+7.34 | 11.23 | -44.75 | 60 | 20 | 20 | ||
Margaritaville Scott Burns |
+7.32 | 10.79 | -38.70 | 67 | 33 | 0 | ||
Simple Money Portfolio Tim Maurer |
+7.26 | 9.00 | -32.39 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderate Merrill Lynch |
+7.25 | 8.84 | -29.58 | 53 | 47 | 0 | ||
Nano Portfolio John Wasik |
+7.24 | 9.56 | -36.66 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
All Weather Portfolio Ray Dalio |
+7.19 | 7.18 | -20.19 | 30 | 55 | 15 | ||
Sandwich Portfolio Bob Clyatt |
+7.18 | 8.23 | -28.96 | 55 | 45 | 0 | ||
Simple and Cheap Time Inc |
+7.18 | 9.30 | -34.84 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Ultimate Buy&Hold FundAdvice |
+7.16 | 9.20 | -34.23 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Coward's Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.12 | 9.02 | -32.68 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Global Market Portfolio Credit Suisse |
+7.07 | 8.13 | -25.90 | 45 | 55 | 0 | ||
LifeStrategy Moderate Growth Vanguard |
+7.07 | 9.44 | -33.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Big Rocks Portfolio Larry Swedroe |
+7.06 | 9.06 | -33.80 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
GAA Global Asset Allocation Mebane Faber |
+6.96 | 7.92 | -24.91 | 40.5 | 49.5 | 10 | ||
Dynamic 40/60 Income |
+6.95 | 8.02 | -29.84 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Dynamic 60/40 Income |
+6.95 | 9.22 | -41.44 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Ideal Index Frank Armstrong |
+6.95 | 10.62 | -40.11 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 50/50 Bill Bernstein |
+6.93 | 7.75 | -28.23 | 48.5 | 50 | 1.5 | ||
One-Decision Portfolio Marvin Appel |
+6.92 | 8.26 | -31.96 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Ivy Portfolio Mebane Faber |
+6.88 | 11.52 | -47.39 | 60 | 20 | 20 | ||
Four Square Scott Burns |
+6.81 | 8.40 | -29.95 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
Simplified Permanent Portfolio |
+6.80 | 6.75 | -16.43 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 |
+6.80 | 6.82 | -19.17 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
7Twelve Portfolio Craig Israelsen |
+6.79 | 9.74 | -37.96 | 50 | 33.3 | 16.7 | ||
High Yield Bonds Income |
+6.61 | 8.69 | -23.97 | 0 | 100 | 0 | ||
Rob Arnott Portfolio Rob Arnott |
+6.60 | 7.10 | -24.27 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
All Country World 80/20 |
+6.56 | 12.71 | -47.32 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
Edge Select Moderately Conservative Merrill Lynch |
+6.54 | 6.72 | -20.48 | 37 | 63 | 0 | ||
All Country World Stocks |
+6.52 | 15.60 | -57.06 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Andrew Tobias Portfolio Andrew Tobias |
+6.52 | 9.93 | -36.42 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
Paul Boyer Portfolio Paul Boyer |
+6.47 | 7.41 | -18.04 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Desert Portfolio Gyroscopic Investing |
+6.46 | 5.39 | -14.72 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
Lifepath Fund iShares |
+6.45 | 6.88 | -21.23 | 40.4 | 59.6 | 0 | ||
Permanent Portfolio Harry Browne |
+6.45 | 6.44 | -15.92 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
All Country World 60/40 |
+6.44 | 10.00 | -36.70 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
Sheltered Sam 40/60 Bill Bernstein |
+6.38 | 6.41 | -22.05 | 38.8 | 60 | 1.2 | ||
LifeStrategy Conservative Growth Vanguard |
+6.32 | 6.78 | -21.90 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
All Country World 40/60 |
+6.18 | 7.54 | -25.16 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
Larry Portfolio Larry Swedroe |
+6.14 | 5.50 | -15.96 | 30 | 70 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum |
+6.11 | 4.79 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
Emerging Markets Stocks |
+5.83 | 23.11 | -60.44 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Very High Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Technology |
+13.03 | 23.91 | -81.08 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Momentum |
+11.99 | 15.12 | -53.85 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum |
+10.78 | 12.19 | -43.61 | 80 | 20 | 0 | ||
US Stocks |
+9.64 | 15.38 | -50.84 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||
US Stocks Value |
+9.57 | 15.20 | -55.41 | 100 | 0 | 0 |