Bill Bernstein No Brainer vs Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio obtained a 7.69% compound annual return, with a 11.73% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio obtained a 8.42% compound annual return, with a 9.60% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio
Portfolio Risk High High
Asset Allocation Stocks 75% 60%
Fixed Income 25% 40%
Commodities 0% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +7.69% +8.42%
Std Dev 11.73% 9.60%
Max Drawdown -40.40% -30.55%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1970)
Return +9.54% +9.39%
Std Dev 12.08% 10.16%
Max Drawdown -40.40% -30.55%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1970

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio +2.40 +14.70 +15.47 +8.01 +6.96 +7.69 +9.54
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio +2.12 +16.12 +17.74 +8.77 +8.05 +8.42 +9.39
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 9.22$, with a total return of 822.34% (7.69% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 11.32$, with a total return of 1031.62% (8.42% annualized).

Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1970, now would be worth 139.90$, with a total return of 13889.98% (9.54% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1970, now would be worth 130.03$, with a total return of 12903.14% (9.39% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-40.40% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Feb 2011 (40) 18.40
-30.55% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Oct 2010 (36) 13.38
-24.46% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 (30) Dec 2003 (45) 13.30
-21.56% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Jan 2004 (41) 11.96
-20.69% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 11.44
-19.76% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 9.75
-18.24% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Aug 2020 (8) 8.70
-16.20% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Sep 2012 (17) 6.47
-13.95% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 6.45
-12.29% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jul 2020 (6) 5.29
-11.92% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Oct 2019 (14) 4.83
-10.18% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 4.93
-9.17% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (14) 4.70
-9.00% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Jan 2012 (9) 3.76
-8.38% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Mar 2019 (7) 3.89
-5.35% Apr 2000 May 2000 (2) Aug 2000 (5) 2.94
-5.24% Jun 2015 Sep 2015 (4) Apr 2016 (11) 2.81
-4.66% Jun 1996 Jul 1996 (2) Sep 1996 (4) 2.42
-4.07% Mar 2005 Apr 2005 (2) Jul 2005 (5) 1.92
-4.06% Oct 1997 Oct 1997 (1) Feb 1998 (5) 2.29

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1970.

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Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-40.40% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Feb 2011 (40) 18.40
-33.61% Jan 1973 Sep 1974 (21) Jan 1976 (37) 15.36
-30.55% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Oct 2010 (36) 13.38
-27.28% Jan 1973 Sep 1974 (21) Jan 1976 (37) 11.90
-24.46% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 (30) Dec 2003 (45) 13.30
-21.56% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Jan 2004 (41) 11.96
-20.69% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 11.44
-19.76% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 9.75
-19.71% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 9.28
-19.17% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 9.40
-18.24% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Aug 2020 (8) 8.70
-17.57% Jan 1970 Jun 1970 (6) Jan 1971 (13) 8.92
-16.20% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Sep 2012 (17) 6.47
-14.76% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 (9) Feb 1991 (14) 7.56
-13.95% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 6.45
-12.29% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jul 2020 (6) 5.29
-11.92% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Oct 2019 (14) 4.83
-11.52% Mar 1970 Jun 1970 (4) Nov 1970 (9) 5.99
-10.53% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jun 1980 (5) 4.89
-10.18% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 4.93

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+4.36%
-0.87%
+5.46%
0.00%
2023
+15.77%
-8.54%
+17.79%
-7.47%
2022
-13.89%
-19.76%
-16.95%
-20.69%
2021
+15.39%
-2.73%
+14.66%
-3.24%
2020
+11.61%
-18.24%
+15.70%
-12.29%
2019
+19.82%
-5.15%
+21.94%
-3.41%
2018
-6.41%
-11.92%
-3.17%
-8.38%
2017
+15.70%
-0.29%
+14.15%
0.00%
2016
+11.03%
-4.44%
+8.71%
-2.95%
2015
-1.35%
-7.81%
+0.44%
-5.24%
2014
+3.78%
-3.16%
+9.85%
-1.50%
2013
+22.10%
-1.89%
+19.23%
-2.27%
2012
+12.91%
-6.94%
+11.13%
-3.54%
2011
-2.59%
-16.20%
+3.75%
-9.00%
2010
+14.15%
-9.69%
+12.93%
-7.13%
2009
+22.80%
-15.37%
+18.79%
-11.70%
2008
-26.26%
-28.63%
-19.44%
-22.19%
2007
+7.14%
-4.50%
+5.99%
-3.07%
2006
+15.27%
-3.41%
+11.12%
-2.03%
2005
+7.66%
-4.07%
+4.74%
-2.34%
2004
+13.66%
-3.04%
+9.37%
-2.68%
2003
+27.39%
-4.14%
+20.04%
-1.99%
2002
-10.88%
-16.92%
-8.98%
-13.74%
2001
-4.49%
-14.84%
-3.21%
-11.68%
2000
-4.63%
-10.08%
-1.79%
-8.27%
1999
+18.99%
-3.58%
+13.98%
-3.76%
1998
+12.24%
-13.95%
+17.39%
-10.18%
1997
+15.88%
-4.06%
+22.37%
-3.12%
1996
+12.52%
-4.66%
+14.01%
-3.33%
1995
+20.57%
-1.62%
+28.74%
-0.20%
1994
+2.49%
-4.18%
-1.16%
-6.47%
1993
+16.21%
-3.68%
+10.25%
-1.36%
1992
+4.40%
-3.33%
+8.32%
-1.65%
1991
+24.11%
-4.26%
+25.53%
-2.86%
1990
-9.08%
-14.76%
-0.19%
-8.52%
1989
+18.78%
-2.53%
+22.33%
-1.36%
1988
+17.83%
-3.06%
+13.33%
-2.24%
1987
+8.39%
-19.71%
+2.18%
-19.17%
1986
+25.39%
-4.13%
+14.79%
-5.58%
1985
+32.35%
-2.40%
+27.66%
-2.15%
1984
+4.70%
-6.54%
+7.32%
-6.58%
1983
+21.16%
-2.72%
+15.69%
-2.85%
1982
+17.74%
-8.02%
+24.75%
-4.29%
1981
+2.36%
-9.62%
+1.27%
-8.82%
1980
+24.96%
-10.53%
+21.05%
-9.57%
1979
+19.11%
-7.00%
+16.69%
-6.65%
1978
+14.56%
-9.37%
+5.53%
-7.92%
1977
+6.69%
-2.39%
-1.60%
-4.89%
1976
+19.98%
-3.10%
+21.38%
-1.34%
1975
+32.96%
-10.04%
+25.64%
-8.13%
1974
-16.80%
-24.06%
-14.41%
-20.38%
1973
-13.98%
-14.44%
-9.12%
-9.87%
1972
+17.61%
-1.37%
+11.66%
-1.45%
1971
+18.87%
-5.26%
+14.37%
-5.73%
1970
-0.89%
-17.57%
+9.77%
-11.52%