Data Source: from January 1970 to October 2022 (~53 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 October 2022
Live Update: Nov 29 2022, 04:00PM Eastern Time
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.24%
1 Day
Nov 29 2022, 04:00PM Eastern Time
3.73%
Current Month
November 2022
The Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 4 ETFs.
It's exposed for 75% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio obtained a 7.65% compound annual return, with a 11.54% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
| Weight | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.00 % | IJR | iShares Core S&P Small-Cap | Equity, U.S., Small Cap | |
| 25.00 % | VEU | Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US | Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap | |
| 25.00 % | VV | Vanguard Large-Cap | Equity, U.S., Large Cap | |
| 25.00 % | SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond | Bond, U.S., Short Term |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Oct 31, 2022
The Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
Portfolio returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
BILL BERNSTEIN NO BRAINER PORTFOLIO RETURNS
Consolidated returns as of 31 October 2022
Live Update: Nov 29 2022, 04:00PM Eastern Time
Swipe left to see all data
| Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Oct 31, 2022 |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | Time ET(*) | Nov 2022 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~53Y) |
|
| Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio | 0.24 | 3.73 | 5.53 | -5.34 | -14.36 | 4.62 | 7.34 | 7.65 | 9.38 | |
| US Inflation Adjusted return | 5.11 | -8.17 | -20.52 | 0.74 | 4.65 | 5.02 | 5.18 | |||
| Components | ||||||||||
|
IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap |
0.39 |
03:59PM Nov 29 2022 |
1.59 | 12.31 | -0.69 | -11.96 | 7.08 | 11.60 | 10.54 | 11.68 |
|
VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US |
0.79 |
03:59PM Nov 29 2022 |
10.81 | 3.40 | -13.38 | -24.31 | -0.30 | 3.59 | 5.18 | 6.31 |
|
VV Vanguard Large-Cap |
-0.18 |
03:59PM Nov 29 2022 |
2.13 | 7.89 | -5.89 | -16.73 | 10.24 | 12.65 | 9.85 | 10.35 |
|
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond |
-0.04 |
04:00PM Nov 29 2022 |
0.40 | -0.13 | -1.72 | -4.91 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 3.11 | 5.33 |
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1970
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Oct 2022. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 7.75% , 5Y: 3.85% , 10Y: 2.57% , 30Y: 2.51%
Live update: World Markets and Indexes
Portfolio Metrics as of Oct 31, 2022
Metrics of Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio, updated as of 31 October 2022.
Portfolio metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
BILL BERNSTEIN NO BRAINER PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1970 - 31 October 2022 (~53 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Metrics as of Oct 31, 2022 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~53Y) |
|
| Portfolio Return (%) |
5.53 | -5.31 | -5.34 | -14.36 | 4.52 | 4.62 | 7.34 | 7.61 | 7.65 | 9.38 |
| US Inflation (%) | 0.41 | 0.59 | 3.08 | 7.75 | 5.01 | 3.85 | 2.57 | 2.52 | 2.51 | 3.99 |
| Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
5.11 | -5.86 | -8.17 | -20.52 | -0.47 | 0.74 | 4.65 | 4.97 | 5.02 | 5.18 |
| Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
| RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
| Standard Deviation (%) | 14.58 | 15.12 | 13.63 | 11.04 | 11.86 | 11.54 | 12.07 | |||
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.03 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.62 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 0.45 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | -1.53 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.80 | 0.72 | 0.61 | 0.60 | |||
| MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
| Drawdown Depth (%) | -19.76 | -19.76 | -19.76 | -19.76 | -40.40 | -40.40 | -40.40 | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2022 01 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | 2007 11 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | 2009 02 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 10
|
> 10
|
> 10
|
> 10
|
40
|
40
|
40
|
|||
| ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
| Best Return (%) | 54.85 | 31.90 | 27.35 | 19.28 | 15.24 | 13.06 | ||||
| Worst Return (%) | -34.04 | -9.55 | -1.78 | 1.74 | 4.80 | 7.26 | ||||
| % Positive Periods | 80% | 91% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| MONTHS | ||||||||||
| Positive | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 81 | 155 | 230 | 402 |
| Negative | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | 85 | 130 | 232 |
| % Positive | 100% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 61% | 63% | 68% | 65% | 64% | 63% |
| WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
| Safe WR (%) | 38.06 | 22.07 | 14.11 | 8.81 | 7.42 | 5.17 | ||||
| Perpetual WR (%) | 0.00 | 0.74 | 4.45 | 4.74 | 4.78 | 4.92 | ||||
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 31 October 2022
Swipe left to see all data
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | IJR | VEU | VV | SHY | |
| IJR |
1.00
|
0.90
|
0.95
|
0.57
|
|
| VEU |
0.90
|
1.00
|
0.91
|
0.57
|
|
| VV |
0.95
|
0.91
|
1.00
|
0.46
|
|
| SHY |
0.57
|
0.57
|
0.46
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | IJR | VEU | VV | SHY | |
| IJR |
1.00
|
0.88
|
0.89
|
-0.10
|
|
| VEU |
0.88
|
1.00
|
0.89
|
-0.03
|
|
| VV |
0.89
|
0.89
|
1.00
|
-0.02
|
|
| SHY |
-0.10
|
-0.03
|
-0.02
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | IJR | VEU | VV | SHY | |
| IJR |
1.00
|
0.77
|
0.87
|
-0.15
|
|
| VEU |
0.77
|
1.00
|
0.85
|
-0.02
|
|
| VV |
0.87
|
0.85
|
1.00
|
-0.06
|
|
| SHY |
-0.15
|
-0.02
|
-0.06
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | IJR | VEU | VV | SHY | |
| IJR |
1.00
|
0.74
|
0.82
|
-0.20
|
|
| VEU |
0.74
|
1.00
|
0.81
|
-0.16
|
|
| VV |
0.82
|
0.81
|
1.00
|
-0.15
|
|
| SHY |
-0.20
|
-0.16
|
-0.15
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | IJR | VEU | VV | SHY | |
| IJR |
1.00
|
0.70
|
0.85
|
0.05
|
|
| VEU |
0.70
|
1.00
|
0.78
|
0.09
|
|
| VV |
0.85
|
0.78
|
1.00
|
0.11
|
|
| SHY |
0.05
|
0.09
|
0.11
|
1.00
|
Portfolio Dividends
In 2021, the Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio granted a 1.74% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Readings that may interest you
Capital Growth as of Oct 31, 2022
An investment of 1000$, since November 1992,
now would be worth 9125.48$, with a total return of 812.55% (7.65% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4342.09$, with a net total return of 334.21% (5.02% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4342.09$, with a net total return of 334.21% (5.02% annualized).
An investment of 1000$, since January 1970,
now would be worth 113874.32$, with a total return of 11287.43% (9.38% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 14405.67$, with a net total return of 1340.57% (5.18% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 14405.67$, with a net total return of 1340.57% (5.18% annualized).
Drawdowns
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
| -40.40% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Feb 2011 | 24 | 40 |
| -24.46% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Dec 2003 | 15 | 45 |
| -19.76% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 1 | 10 |
| -18.24% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Aug 2020 | 5 | 8 |
| -16.20% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Sep 2012 | 12 | 17 |
| -13.95% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Dec 1998 | 4 | 8 |
| -11.92% | Sep 2018 | Dec 2018 | 4 | Oct 2019 | 10 | 14 |
| -9.17% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 14 |
| -4.66% | Jun 1996 | Jul 1996 | 2 | Sep 1996 | 2 | 4 |
| -4.18% | Feb 1994 | Mar 1994 | 2 | Aug 1994 | 5 | 7 |
| -4.07% | Mar 2005 | Apr 2005 | 2 | Jul 2005 | 3 | 5 |
| -4.06% | Oct 1997 | Oct 1997 | 1 | Feb 1998 | 4 | 5 |
| -3.74% | Sep 1994 | Nov 1994 | 3 | Mar 1995 | 4 | 7 |
| -3.68% | Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 3 |
| -3.58% | Feb 1999 | Feb 1999 | 1 | Apr 1999 | 2 | 3 |
| -3.45% | Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 2 | Jul 2018 | 4 | 6 |
| -3.41% | May 2006 | Jul 2006 | 3 | Oct 2006 | 3 | 6 |
| -3.29% | Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | Feb 2000 | 1 | 2 |
| -3.16% | Jan 2014 | Jan 2014 | 1 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 2 |
| -3.10% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
| -40.40% | Nov 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 | Feb 2011 | 24 | 40 |
| -33.61% | Jan 1973 | Sep 1974 | 21 | Jan 1976 | 16 | 37 |
| -24.46% | Apr 2000 | Sep 2002 | 30 | Dec 2003 | 15 | 45 |
| -19.76% | Jan 2022 | Sep 2022 | 9 | in progress | 1 | 10 |
| -19.71% | Sep 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | Jan 1989 | 14 | 17 |
| -18.24% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | Aug 2020 | 5 | 8 |
| -17.57% | Jan 1970 | Jun 1970 | 6 | Jan 1971 | 7 | 13 |
| -16.20% | May 2011 | Sep 2011 | 5 | Sep 2012 | 12 | 17 |
| -14.76% | Jan 1990 | Sep 1990 | 9 | Feb 1991 | 5 | 14 |
| -13.95% | May 1998 | Aug 1998 | 4 | Dec 1998 | 4 | 8 |
| -11.92% | Sep 2018 | Dec 2018 | 4 | Oct 2019 | 10 | 14 |
| -10.53% | Feb 1980 | Mar 1980 | 2 | Jun 1980 | 3 | 5 |
| -9.99% | Jun 1981 | Jul 1982 | 14 | Oct 1982 | 3 | 17 |
| -9.37% | Sep 1978 | Oct 1978 | 2 | Mar 1979 | 5 | 7 |
| -9.17% | Jun 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 14 |
| -7.24% | Jul 1983 | May 1984 | 11 | Aug 1984 | 3 | 14 |
| -7.00% | Sep 1979 | Oct 1979 | 2 | Dec 1979 | 2 | 4 |
| -5.26% | May 1971 | Jul 1971 | 3 | Dec 1971 | 5 | 8 |
| -4.66% | Jun 1996 | Jul 1996 | 2 | Sep 1996 | 2 | 4 |
| -4.26% | Jun 1991 | Jun 1991 | 1 | Aug 1991 | 2 | 3 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
| 1 Year |
10.69 |
54.85 Jul 1982 - Jun 1983 |
-34.04 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
20.06% |
| 2 Years |
10.28 |
35.14 Oct 1985 - Sep 1987 |
-18.55 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
11.13% |
| 3 Years |
10.00 |
31.90 Aug 1984 - Jul 1987 |
-9.55 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
9.35% |
| 5 Years |
10.09 |
27.35 Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
-1.78 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.87% |
| 7 Years |
10.18 |
21.87 Apr 1980 - Mar 1987 |
1.23 Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
| 10 Years |
10.30 |
19.28 Sep 1977 - Aug 1987 |
1.74 Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
| 15 Years |
10.26 |
17.95 Oct 1974 - Sep 1989 |
4.83 Mar 1994 - Feb 2009 |
0.00% |
| 20 Years |
10.14 |
15.24 Oct 1974 - Sep 1994 |
4.80 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
| 30 Years |
10.12 |
13.06 Jul 1970 - Jun 2000 |
7.26 Apr 1990 - Mar 2020 |
0.00% |
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio?
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
1.15
60% |
-0.96
40% |
-1.82
60% |
1.45
80% |
0.49
80% |
0.41
60% |
2.25
80% |
0.38
60% |
-2.22
20% |
0.75
60% |
2.65
80% |
0.94
80% |
| Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
|
100
|
101.15
|
100.18
|
98.36
|
99.78
|
100.27
|
100.68
|
102.94
|
103.34
|
101.05
|
101.81
|
104.51
|
105.48
|
| Best |
6.6 2019 |
3.2 2021 |
2.3 2021 |
7.5 2020 |
3.4 2020 |
5.2 2019 |
5.4 2022 |
4.0 2020 |
2.0 2019 |
5.5 2022 |
10.1 2020 |
4.5 2020 |
| Worst |
-4.1 2022 |
-5.8 2020 |
-11.7 2020 |
-6.0 2022 |
-5.2 2019 |
-6.1 2022 |
-0.4 2021 |
-3.3 2022 |
-7.2 2022 |
-6.5 2018 |
-2.0 2021 |
-6.4 2018 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
0.18
50% |
0.49
60% |
-0.02
70% |
1.13
80% |
0.62
90% |
0.31
60% |
1.87
80% |
-0.22
50% |
-0.86
40% |
1.35
70% |
2.09
90% |
0.77
70% |
| Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
|
100
|
100.18
|
100.67
|
100.65
|
101.79
|
102.42
|
102.74
|
104.66
|
104.44
|
103.53
|
104.94
|
107.13
|
107.95
|
| Best |
6.6 2019 |
4.3 2015 |
5.8 2016 |
7.5 2020 |
3.4 2020 |
5.2 2019 |
5.4 2022 |
4.0 2020 |
4.4 2013 |
5.5 2022 |
10.1 2020 |
4.5 2020 |
| Worst |
-4.1 2016 |
-5.8 2020 |
-11.7 2020 |
-6.0 2022 |
-5.2 2019 |
-6.1 2022 |
-2.1 2014 |
-4.8 2015 |
-7.2 2022 |
-6.5 2018 |
-2.0 2021 |
-6.4 2018 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
1.02
60% |
0.70
60% |
0.94
70% |
1.36
74% |
0.52
62% |
0.48
53% |
0.73
51% |
0.34
62% |
-0.23
53% |
0.59
62% |
1.55
75% |
1.76
79% |
| Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
|
100
|
101.02
|
101.73
|
102.69
|
104.08
|
104.63
|
105.13
|
105.90
|
106.25
|
106.01
|
106.63
|
108.29
|
110.19
|
| Best |
12.2 1975 |
7.6 1991 |
6.5 1986 |
9.8 2009 |
7.2 1990 |
5.2 2019 |
7.1 2009 |
8.8 1982 |
7.7 2010 |
11.4 1974 |
10.1 2020 |
6.9 1971 |
| Worst |
-8.3 2009 |
-7.7 2009 |
-11.7 2020 |
-8.5 1970 |
-6.5 2010 |
-6.1 2022 |
-7.4 2002 |
-11.5 1998 |
-7.6 2001 |
-16.1 1987 |
-9.0 1973 |
-6.4 2018 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Jan 1970 - Oct 2022
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio data source starts from January 1970: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
We are providing two different views:
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
Jan 1970 - Oct 2022
402 Positive Months (63%) - 232 Negative Months (37%)
MONTHLY RETURNS TABLE
Jan 1970 - Oct 2022
(Scroll down to see all data)
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Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| 2022 |
-15.32 | -20.78 | -4.1 | -1.3 | 0.5 | -6.0 | 1.0 | -6.1 | 5.4 | -3.3 | -7.2 | 5.5 | ||
| 2021 |
+15.39 | +7.80 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 1.6 | -2.7 | 3.4 | -2.0 | 3.2 |
| 2020 |
+11.61 | +10.11 | -1.6 | -5.8 | -11.7 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 4.0 | -2.5 | -0.6 | 10.1 | 4.5 |
| 2019 |
+19.82 | +17.14 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 2.8 | -5.2 | 5.2 | 0.2 | -2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 2018 |
-6.41 | -8.17 | 3.4 | -3.3 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1.8 | -0.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 | -0.7 | -6.5 | 1.3 | -6.4 |
| 2017 |
+15.70 | +13.31 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | -0.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 2016 |
+11.03 | +8.78 | -4.1 | -0.3 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | -2.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| 2015 |
-1.35 | -2.07 | -1.5 | 4.3 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -0.9 | 0.2 | -4.8 | -2.5 | 5.1 | 0.4 | -2.3 |
| 2014 |
+3.78 | +3.00 | -3.2 | 3.6 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 1.2 | 2.1 | -2.1 | 2.4 | -2.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | -0.4 |
| 2013 |
+22.10 | +20.29 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | -1.3 | 4.4 | -1.9 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 2012 |
+12.91 | +10.98 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.3 | -0.9 | -6.1 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | -0.9 | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 2011 |
-2.59 | -5.39 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 2.9 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.8 | -5.4 | -7.5 | 9.0 | -0.5 | 0.0 |
| 2010 |
+14.15 | +12.47 | -2.9 | 2.2 | 5.1 | 1.6 | -6.5 | -3.5 | 5.9 | -3.9 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.7 |
| 2009 |
+22.80 | +19.54 | -8.3 | -7.7 | 6.0 | 9.8 | 5.7 | -0.2 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 3.9 | -2.8 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| 2008 |
-26.26 | -26.32 | -4.4 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 | -5.9 | -0.5 | 0.3 | -6.4 | -13.6 | -5.5 | 3.3 |
| 2007 |
+7.14 | +2.94 | 1.2 | -0.4 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.8 | -0.6 | -2.1 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 | -3.6 | -1.0 |
| 2006 |
+15.27 | +12.42 | 4.4 | -0.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | -3.0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 2005 |
+7.66 | +4.11 | -1.7 | 2.4 | -1.8 | -2.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | -2.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 2004 |
+13.66 | +10.08 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | -2.4 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -3.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 2.5 |
| 2003 |
+27.39 | +25.04 | -2.4 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 4.0 |
| 2002 |
-10.88 | -12.95 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 4.1 | -0.2 | -0.9 | -3.9 | -7.4 | 0.5 | -6.1 | 3.9 | 3.5 | -2.5 |
| 2001 |
-4.49 | -5.95 | 2.7 | -5.5 | -4.2 | 5.7 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -2.3 | -7.6 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| 2000 |
-4.63 | -7.75 | -3.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | -3.6 | -2.5 | 4.3 | -2.1 | 4.0 | -3.1 | -1.8 | -5.3 | 3.4 |
| 1999 |
+18.99 | +15.88 | 1.3 | -3.6 | 2.8 | 4.5 | -1.6 | 4.0 | -0.8 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 6.9 |
| 1998 |
+12.24 | +10.46 | 0.9 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 0.7 | -2.1 | 1.1 | -1.8 | -11.5 | 3.2 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| 1997 |
+15.88 | +13.94 | 1.6 | 0.1 | -2.3 | 1.9 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.2 | -3.1 | 4.9 | -4.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| 1996 |
+12.52 | +8.90 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 1.4 | -0.6 | -4.1 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 4.1 | -0.4 |
| 1995 |
+20.57 | +17.58 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 | -1.6 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| 1994 |
+2.49 | -0.18 | 4.4 | -0.9 | -3.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -0.8 | 1.6 | 2.8 | -1.5 | 1.3 | -3.5 | 1.3 |
| 1993 |
+16.21 | +13.10 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 2.6 | -0.5 | 1.3 | 3.5 | -0.3 | 1.6 | -3.7 | 2.9 |
| 1992 |
+4.40 | +1.45 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | -2.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -0.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 1991 |
+24.11 | +20.42 | 3.8 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.4 | -4.3 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -3.5 | 6.5 |
| 1990 |
-9.08 | -14.31 | -4.7 | -0.8 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 7.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -7.8 | -6.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1989 |
+18.78 | +13.50 | 3.8 | -0.3 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | -0.6 | 6.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | -2.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 1988 |
+17.83 | +12.85 | 3.3 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -0.9 | 2.5 | -0.1 | -3.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| 1987 |
+8.39 | +3.79 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 4.2 | -1.6 | -16.1 | -2.8 | 4.2 |
| 1986 |
+25.39 | +24.03 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3.0 | -1.7 | 5.3 | -4.1 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| 1985 |
+32.35 | +27.50 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | -2.4 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 4.1 |
| 1984 |
+4.70 | +0.72 | -0.4 | -3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | -4.3 | 2.0 | -1.2 | 8.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 2.2 |
| 1983 |
+21.16 | +16.74 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 3.3 | -2.4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | -2.2 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 1982 |
+17.74 | +13.40 | -2.1 | -3.9 | -0.7 | 3.6 | -2.1 | -2.1 | -0.9 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 |
| 1981 |
+2.36 | -6.02 | -2.2 | 1.3 | 4.5 | -0.7 | 1.7 | -0.7 | -0.8 | -4.5 | -3.9 | 5.9 | 4.3 | -2.0 |
| 1980 |
+24.96 | +11.06 | 4.6 | -1.5 | -9.1 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 7.3 | -1.9 |
| 1979 |
+19.11 | +5.14 | 4.3 | -2.2 | 5.5 | 0.7 | -1.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -6.9 | 5.3 | 2.6 |
| 1978 |
+14.56 | +5.08 | -3.3 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 6.7 | 2.7 | -0.2 | 4.9 | 4.4 | -0.1 | -9.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 1977 |
+6.69 | -0.01 | -2.0 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 4.5 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 0.8 | -2.1 | 4.2 | 1.2 |
| 1976 |
+19.98 | +14.41 | 10.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | -1.2 | -1.9 | 3.6 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 1.9 | -1.8 | 1.6 | 5.3 |
| 1975 |
+32.96 | +24.34 | 12.2 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 5.5 | 4.7 | -4.9 | -2.3 | -3.2 | 5.2 | 2.3 | -0.2 |
| 1974 |
-16.80 | -25.93 | 1.4 | 0.2 | -1.8 | -3.5 | -2.5 | -1.5 | -4.9 | -6.1 | -6.5 | 11.4 | -2.0 | -1.3 |
| 1973 |
-13.98 | -20.87 | -2.6 | -3.6 | -0.7 | -3.7 | -2.4 | -0.9 | 3.8 | -1.6 | 5.5 | 0.5 | -9.0 | 0.5 |
| 1972 |
+17.61 | +13.74 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 2.4 | -0.5 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 0.7 |
| 1971 |
+18.87 | +15.11 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 2.4 | -2.9 | 0.2 | -2.6 | 4.4 | 0.7 | -2.1 | 0.4 | 6.9 |
| 1970 |
-0.89 | -6.12 | -5.8 | 5.2 | -0.6 | -8.5 | -5.2 | -3.5 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | -1.4 | 5.2 | 4.0 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2007, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- IJR - iShares Core S&P Small-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2000
- VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
- VV - Vanguard Large-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
- SHY - iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2002
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
|
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.67 | 9.35 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
|
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.74 | 11.50 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
|
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.35 | 10.67 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
|
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson |
+8.27 | 10.53 | -40.17 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
|
Six Ways from Sunday Scott Burns |
+8.16 | 10.79 | -39.14 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | ||
|
Sheltered Sam 70/30 Bill Bernstein |
+8.10 | 10.51 | -39.73 | 67.9 | 30 | 2.1 | ||
|
Couch Potato Scott Burns |
+8.06 | 8.58 | -27.04 | 50 | 50 | 0 | ||
|
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum |
+8.04 | 6.77 | -21.11 | 40 | 60 | 0 | ||
|
Family Taxable Portfolio Ted Aronson |
+8.00 | 11.40 | -38.46 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
|
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 |
+8.00 | 9.35 | -30.55 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
|
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Merrill Lynch |
+7.87 | 10.89 | -38.23 | 69 | 31 | 0 | ||
|
Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio Jane Bryant Quinn |
+7.82 | 10.53 | -39.55 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||
|
Coffeehouse Bill Schultheis |
+7.78 | 9.41 | -33.93 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
|
Golden Butterfly |
+7.70 | 7.36 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
|
No Brainer Portfolio Bill Bernstein |
+7.65 | 11.54 | -40.40 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and High Risk categorization.
Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
|
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum |
+9.67 | 9.35 | -32.52 | 60 | 40 | 0 | ||
|
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins |
+8.74 | 11.50 | -38.53 | 75 | 25 | 0 | ||
|
Seven Value Scott Burns |
+8.41 | 11.18 | -41.22 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 0 | ||
|
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel |
+8.41 | 11.45 | -41.80 | 71 | 29 | 0 | ||
|
Yale Endowment David Swensen |
+8.35 | 10.67 | -39.48 | 70 | 30 | 0 | ||