Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV): Historical Returns

Data Source: from January 1871 to March 2024 (~153 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024
Live Update: Apr 18 2024
Category: Fixed Income
Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF
ETF • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.09%
1 Day
Apr 18 2024
0.81%
Current Month
April 2024

In the last 30 Years, the Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF obtained a 3.58% compound annual return, with a 2.25% standard deviation.

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The ETF is related to the following investment themes:

  • Asset Class: Bond
  • Region: North America
  • Country: U.S.
  • Bond - Duration: Short Term

The Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF is part of the following Lazy Portfolios:

Portfolio Name Author BSV Weight Currency
Robo Advisor 0 Betterment 20.00% USD
Aim comfortable trip Aim Ways 17.00% USD
Robo Advisor 10 Betterment 15.40% USD
Robo Advisor 20 Betterment 10.70% USD

Investment Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

The Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
VANGUARD SHORT-TERM BOND (BSV) ETF
Consolidated returns as of 31 March 2024
Live Update: Apr 18 2024
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Apr 2024 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~153Y)
Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF -0.09 -0.81 0.42 3.51 2.95 1.18 1.34 3.58 4.51
US Inflation Adjusted return 0.04 1.87 -0.51 -2.89 -1.46 1.01 2.34
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1871
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Mar 2024. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.48% , 5Y: 4.19% , 10Y: 2.84% , 30Y: 2.54%

In 2023, the Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF granted a 2.54% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

An investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 2.87$, with a total return of 187.12% (3.58% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 1.35$, with a net total return of 35.27% (1.01% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 860.67$, with a total return of 85967.10% (4.51% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 34.40$, with a net total return of 3339.74% (2.34% annualized).

Investment Metrics as of Mar 31, 2024

Metrics of Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF, updated as of 31 March 2024.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
VANGUARD SHORT-TERM BOND (BSV) ETF
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2024 (~153 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Mar 31, 2024
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~153Y)
Investment Return (%) 0.42 0.05 3.51 2.95 -0.42 1.18 1.34 2.28 3.58 4.51
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 0.04 -1.07 1.87 -0.51 -5.73 -2.89 -1.46 -0.30 1.01 2.34
US Inflation (%) 0.38 1.13 1.61 3.48 5.63 4.19 2.84 2.59 2.54 2.12
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -1.03 -7.84 -7.84 -7.84 -7.84 -7.84 -12.08
Start to Recovery (# months) details 7 32* 32* 32* 32* 32* 10
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 05 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 1979 07
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 15 15 15 15 15 8
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 06 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 1980 02
Bottom to End (# months) 5 17 17 17 17 17 2
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - - - - 1980 04
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-7.84
Start to Recovery (# months) details 32*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 05 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08 2021 08
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 15 15 15 15 15 15
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 06 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10
Bottom to End (# months) 5 17 17 17 17 17 17
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 - - - - - -
Longest negative period (# months) details 7 36* 50 50 50 50 50
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 04 2021 04 2019 09 2019 09 2019 09 2019 09 2019 09
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2024 03 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10
Annualized Return (%) -0.88 -0.42 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.39 -17.81 -20.36 -20.36 -20.36 -20.36 -46.34
Start to Recovery (# months) details 9 36* 46* 46* 46* 46* 155
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 04 2021 04 2020 06 2020 06 2020 06 2020 06 1915 04
Start to Bottom (# months) 7 31 41 41 41 41 63
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 1920 06
Bottom to End (# months) 2 5 5 5 5 5 92
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - - - 1928 02
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-5.66 -5.66 -40.90
Start to Recovery (# months) details 113 113 553
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 04 2021 04 2020 06 2020 06 2010 11 2010 11 1939 06
Start to Bottom (# months) 7 31 41 41 96 96 169
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2018 10 2018 10 1953 06
Bottom to End (# months) 2 5 5 5 17 17 384
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - 2020 03 2020 03 1985 06
Longest negative period (# months) details 12* 36* 60* 120* 240* 270* 621
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 04 2021 04 2019 04 2014 04 2004 04 2001 10 1932 10
Period End (yyyy mm) 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 1984 06
Annualized Return (%) -0.51 -5.73 -2.89 -1.46 -0.30 0.00 -0.01
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 2.61 3.19 2.69 2.12 2.30 2.25 3.99
Sharpe Ratio -0.87 -0.92 -0.26 0.06 0.40 0.58 0.13
Sortino Ratio -1.43 -1.34 -0.36 0.08 0.61 0.87 0.20
Ulcer Index 0.56 4.27 3.33 2.40 1.74 1.43 1.47
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.13 -0.13 0.44 0.63 0.99 1.59 1.13
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.87 -0.05 0.15 0.17 0.29 0.46 0.37
% Positive Months details 66% 47% 56% 58% 65% 71% 69%
Positive Months 8 17 34 70 158 256 1285
Negative Months 4 19 26 50 82 104 554
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 1.34 3.45 6.22 12.83
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 0.74 0.74 0.74
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -1.46 1.48 3.69 9.26
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -1.76 -1.76 -4.69
ROLLING PERIODS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 12.74 8.11 7.05 6.22 4.76 3.58
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -7.30 -1.67 0.46 0.74 2.21
% Positive Periods 90% 93% 100% 100% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 92.73 29.13 19.06 9.74 5.28 4.63
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - - 1.21
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 9.95 5.43 4.50 3.69 2.39 1.01
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -14.33 -7.00 -3.26 -1.76 -0.35
% Positive Periods 65% 70% 75% 85% 83% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 92.73 29.13 19.06 9.74 5.28 4.63
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - - 1.21
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Over all the available data source (Jan 1871 - Mar 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 34.01 19.92 17.18 12.83 9.82 8.48
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -7.30 -1.67 0.46 0.74 1.38 2.01
% Positive Periods 91% 98% 100% 100% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 88.56 26.68 14.36 7.66 3.51 2.38
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - - -
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 30.78 17.68 16.55 9.26 8.61 6.60
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -19.79 -12.84 -11.52 -4.69 -2.33 -0.97
% Positive Periods 64% 72% 73% 75% 82% 87%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 88.56 26.68 14.36 7.66 3.51 2.38
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - - -
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Correlations as of Mar 31, 2024

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.

Monthly correlations of Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF vs the main Asset Classes, over different timeframes. Columns are sortable (click on table header to sort).

VANGUARD SHORT-TERM BOND (BSV) ETF
Monthly correlations as of 31 March 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Correlation vs BSV
Asset Class 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 30 Years Since
Jan 1992
VTI
US Total Stock Market
0.45
0.34
0.22
0.08
0.08
SPY
US Large Cap
0.44
0.35
0.23
0.09
0.10
IJR
US Small Cap
0.51
0.23
0.11
0.02
0.02
VNQ
US REITs
0.66
0.38
0.38
0.21
0.22
QQQ
US Technology
0.34
0.43
0.30
0.03
0.03
PFF
Preferred Stocks
0.66
0.44
0.43
0.30
0.30
EFA
EAFE Stocks
0.59
0.44
0.32
0.12
0.13
VT
World All Countries
0.50
0.39
0.27
0.10
0.11
EEM
Emerging Markets
0.37
0.40
0.32
0.10
0.13
VGK
Europe
0.63
0.42
0.31
0.14
0.15
VPL
Pacific
0.52
0.46
0.32
0.12
0.13
FLLA
Latin America
0.46
0.13
0.12
0.07
0.06
BND
US Total Bond Market
0.92
0.91
0.91
0.89
0.89
TLT
Long Term Treasuries
0.84
0.76
0.76
0.69
0.69
BIL
US Cash
0.17
0.21
0.18
0.28
0.27
TIP
TIPS
0.93
0.79
0.78
0.73
0.74
LQD
Invest. Grade Bonds
0.88
0.82
0.81
0.75
0.75
HYG
High Yield Bonds
0.79
0.54
0.45
0.33
0.35
CWB
US Convertible Bonds
0.48
0.31
0.24
0.13
0.13
BNDX
International Bonds
0.88
0.81
0.78
0.58
0.59
EMB
Emerg. Market Bonds
0.71
0.57
0.57
0.47
0.47
GLD
Gold
0.34
0.48
0.47
0.35
0.32
DBC
Commodities
-0.11
-0.15
-0.14
0.03
0.04

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

VANGUARD SHORT-TERM BOND (BSV) ETF
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2024 (~153 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD SHORT-TERM BOND (BSV) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2024 (~153 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
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Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) ETF over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

VANGUARD SHORT-TERM BOND (BSV) ETF
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2024 (~153 years)
256 Positive Months (71%) - 104 Negative Months (29%)
1285 Positive Months (70%) - 554 Negative Months (30%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to December 2007, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

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