US Stocks Momentum Portfolio vs Warren Buffett Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1982 - May 2025 (~43 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)
All Data
(1982/01 - 2025/05)
Inflation Adjusted:
US Stocks Momentum Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
38.87$
Final Capital
May 2025
12.98%
Yearly Return
15.61%
Std Deviation
-53.85%
Max Drawdown
63months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
18.44$
Final Capital
May 2025
10.20%
Yearly Return
15.61%
Std Deviation
-54.61%
Max Drawdown
67months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1982
291.45$
Final Capital
May 2025
13.96%
Yearly Return
15.42%
Std Deviation
-53.85%
Max Drawdown
63months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1982
85.53$
Final Capital
May 2025
10.79%
Yearly Return
15.42%
Std Deviation
-54.61%
Max Drawdown
67months
Recovery Period
Warren Buffett Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
16.79$
Final Capital
May 2025
9.86%
Yearly Return
13.72%
Std Deviation
-45.52%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
7.96$
Final Capital
May 2025
7.16%
Yearly Return
13.72%
Std Deviation
-47.08%
Max Drawdown
149months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1982
107.47$
Final Capital
May 2025
11.37%
Yearly Return
13.68%
Std Deviation
-45.52%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1982
31.54$
Final Capital
May 2025
8.27%
Yearly Return
13.68%
Std Deviation
-47.08%
Max Drawdown
149months
Recovery Period

As of May 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the US Stocks Momentum Portfolio obtained a 12.98% compound annual return, with a 15.61% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -53.85% that required 63 months to be recovered.

As of May 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Warren Buffett Portfolio obtained a 9.86% compound annual return, with a 13.72% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -45.52% that required 42 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
100.00
MTUM
iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
90.00
VV
Vanguard Large-Cap
10.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of May 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)
All Data
(1982/01 - 2025/05)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
US Stocks Momentum
1 $ 38.87 $ 3 787.49% 12.98%
Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
1 $ 16.79 $ 1 578.78% 9.86%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
US Stocks Momentum
1 $ 18.44 $ 1 743.95% 10.20%
Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
1 $ 7.96 $ 696.30% 7.16%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
US Stocks Momentum
1 $ 291.45 $ 29 045.02% 13.96%
Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
1 $ 107.47 $ 10 647.39% 11.37%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
US Stocks Momentum
1 $ 85.53 $ 8 452.74% 10.79%
Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
1 $ 31.54 $ 3 053.87% 8.27%

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Return (%) as of May 31, 2025
YTD
(5M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~43Y)
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_us_author.webp US Stocks Momentum
-- Market Benchmark
12.19 10.45 7.59 25.24 14.22 13.78 12.98 13.96
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_warren_buffett.webp Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
1.22 5.74 -1.04 13.25 14.39 11.72 9.86 11.37
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 May 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1982 - 31 May 2025 (~43 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
30 Years
All (1982/01 - 2025/05)
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US Stocks Momentum Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 100% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 25.24 13.25
Infl. Adjusted (%) 22.33 10.62
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -7.52 -6.82
Start to Recovery (months) 4 4*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -7.52 -6.82
Start to Recovery (months) 4 4*
Longest Negative Period (months) 5 7
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 16.49 10.74
Sharpe Ratio 1.25 0.80
Sortino Ratio 1.68 1.09
Ulcer Index 2.69 2.72
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.53 1.23
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.36 1.94
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025
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US Stocks Momentum Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 100% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 14.22 14.39
Infl. Adjusted (%) 9.18 9.34
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -30.16 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 29 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -30.16 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 29 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 38 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 18.50 14.74
Sharpe Ratio 0.63 0.80
Sortino Ratio 0.88 1.07
Ulcer Index 14.21 7.97
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.77 0.98
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.47 0.62
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025
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US Stocks Momentum Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 100% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 13.78 11.72
Infl. Adjusted (%) 10.39 8.39
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -30.16 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 29 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -30.16 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 29 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 38 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 16.47 14.01
Sharpe Ratio 0.73 0.71
Sortino Ratio 1.00 0.94
Ulcer Index 10.61 6.35
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.84 0.84
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.46 0.51
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025
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US Stocks Momentum Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 100% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 12.98 9.86
Infl. Adjusted (%) 10.20 7.16
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -53.85 -45.52
Start to Recovery (months) 63 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -53.85 -39.67
Start to Recovery (months) 63 73
Longest Negative Period (months) 126 132
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 15.61 13.72
Sharpe Ratio 0.69 0.55
Sortino Ratio 0.91 0.73
Ulcer Index 16.18 12.59
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.83 0.72
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.24 0.22
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025
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US Stocks Momentum Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 100% 90%
Fixed Income 0% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 13.96 11.37
Infl. Adjusted (%) 10.79 8.27
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -53.85 -45.52
Start to Recovery (months) 63 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -53.85 -39.67
Start to Recovery (months) 63 73
Longest Negative Period (months) 126 132
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 15.42 13.68
Sharpe Ratio 0.67 0.57
Sortino Ratio 0.90 0.75
Ulcer Index 14.14 10.99
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.91 0.83
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.26 0.25
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1982 - 31 May 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1982 - 31 May 2025 (~43 years)
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)

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US Stocks Momentum Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-53.85 63 Nov 2007
Jan 2013
-45.52 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-43.19 59 Sep 2000
Jul 2005
-39.67 73 Sep 2000
Sep 2006
-30.16 29 Nov 2021
Mar 2024
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-17.90 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-15.44 9 Oct 2018
Jun 2019
-15.04 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-13.83 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-12.09 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-11.51 3 Aug 1998
Oct 1998
-7.82 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-7.78 10 Aug 2015
May 2016

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US Stocks Momentum Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-53.85 63 Nov 2007
Jan 2013
-45.52 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-43.19 59 Sep 2000
Jul 2005
-39.67 73 Sep 2000
Sep 2006
-30.55 23 Sep 1987
Jul 1989
-30.16 29 Nov 2021
Mar 2024
-27.35 21 Sep 1987
May 1989
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-17.90 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-15.44 9 Oct 2018
Jun 2019
-15.04 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-13.83 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-12.77 9 Jun 1990
Feb 1991
-12.56 8 Jun 1990
Jan 1991

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1982 - 31 May 2025 (~43 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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US Stocks Momentum Warren Buffett Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
12.19 -7.52 1.22 -6.82
2024
32.89 -5.47 23.12 -3.67
2023
9.15 -6.59 24.86 -7.55
2022
-18.26 -26.94 -18.29 -23.08
2021
13.37 -4.41 24.59 -4.32
2020
29.85 -17.90 19.19 -17.49
2019
27.26 -2.20 28.46 -5.73
2018
-1.66 -15.44 -3.84 -12.09
2017
37.50 0.00 19.83 0.00
2016
5.00 -5.03 10.69 -4.87
2015
8.93 -7.78 0.96 -7.73
2014
14.61 -4.38 12.08 -2.97
2013
34.58 -2.81 29.44 -2.62
2012
14.94 -6.80 14.59 -6.10
2011
5.93 -14.50 1.43 -15.04
2010
18.02 -12.13 14.55 -11.71
2009
17.45 -19.56 24.66 -16.03
2008
-40.96 -41.23 -32.35 -33.45
2007
17.64 -2.82 6.30 -4.37
2006
10.56 -3.64 14.32 -2.48
2005
19.14 -1.25 5.58 -3.97
2004
16.70 -2.66 9.73 -2.96
2003
25.99 -4.14 25.87 -3.66
2002
-12.28 -22.85 -19.13 -24.82
2001
-17.35 -26.75 -10.04 -20.31
2000
-9.61 -13.35 -7.27 -11.55
1999
40.42 -1.57 19.15 -5.59
1998
48.76 -11.51 26.49 -13.83
1997
36.86 -4.89 30.52 -5.15
1996
29.83 -3.81 21.03 -3.99
1995
42.32 -0.02 34.91 -0.25
1994
-1.09 -7.23 1.01 -6.47
1993
13.22 -2.14 9.53 -2.10
1992
4.32 -3.35 7.36 -2.36
1991
36.90 -4.00 28.35 -4.14
1990
1.49 -12.56 -2.00 -12.77
1989
42.76 -1.57 29.38 -2.30
1988
7.07 -5.33 15.17 -3.40
1987
2.34 -30.55 4.71 -27.35
1986
22.70 -7.79 17.29 -7.59
1985
32.38 -3.74 29.49 -3.46
1984
-0.83 -10.30 6.99 -6.07
1983
16.95 -3.61 19.96 -3.02
1982
30.44 -4.93 21.09 -7.70
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