Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged vs The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - May 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
All Data
(2010/03 - 2025/05)
Inflation Adjusted:
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Invested Capital
March 2010
4.79$
Final Capital
May 2025
10.82%
Yearly Return
16.04%
Std Deviation
-37.02%
Max Drawdown
41months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Invested Capital
March 2010
3.25$
Final Capital
May 2025
8.03%
Yearly Return
16.04%
Std Deviation
-42.49%
Max Drawdown
41months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
March 2010
2.67$
Final Capital
May 2025
6.65%
Yearly Return
6.95%
Std Deviation
-16.43%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
March 2010
1.81$
Final Capital
May 2025
3.97%
Yearly Return
6.95%
Std Deviation
-23.36%
Max Drawdown
53months
Recovery Period

As of May 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 10.82% compound annual return, with a 16.04% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -37.02% which has been ongoing for 41 months and is still in progress.

As of May 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio obtained a 6.65% compound annual return, with a 6.95% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -16.43% that required 27 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
30.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
7.50
DIG
ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas
40.00
UBT
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
15.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
7.50
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
50.00
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond
25.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
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Portfolio Returns as of May 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
All Data
(2010/03 - 2025/05)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Ray Dalio
1 $ 4.79 $ 379.29% 10.82%
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio
The Lazy Team
1 $ 2.67 $ 167.12% 6.65%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Ray Dalio
1 $ 3.25 $ 224.77% 8.03%
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio
The Lazy Team
1 $ 1.81 $ 81.00% 3.97%

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Return (%) as of May 31, 2025
YTD
(5M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ray_dalio.webp All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Ray Dalio
0.96 -0.39 -7.32 6.86 2.06 6.20 10.82
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_lzp.webp Simplified Permanent Portfolio
The Lazy Team
8.23 0.75 5.81 16.46 5.83 6.26 6.65
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 May 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2025 (~15 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
All (2010/03 - 2025/05)
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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio The Lazy Team
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 37.5% 25%
Fixed Income 55% 50%
Commodities 7.5% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.86 16.46
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.38 13.76
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -8.21 -2.24
Start to Recovery (months) 6* 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -8.21 -0.55
Start to Recovery (months) 6* 2
Longest Negative Period (months) 10* 3
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.64 4.95
Sharpe Ratio 0.15 2.38
Sortino Ratio 0.19 2.93
Ulcer Index 4.28 0.64
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.47 3.33
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.84 7.35
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025
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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio The Lazy Team
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 37.5% 25%
Fixed Income 55% 50%
Commodities 7.5% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 2.06 5.83
Infl. Adjusted (%) -2.45 1.16
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -16.43
Start to Recovery (months) 41* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -16.43
Start to Recovery (months) 41* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 53 40
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 22.09 8.58
Sharpe Ratio -0.02 0.38
Sortino Ratio -0.03 0.51
Ulcer Index 17.48 5.95
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.09 0.68
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.06 0.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025
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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio The Lazy Team
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 37.5% 25%
Fixed Income 55% 50%
Commodities 7.5% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.20 6.26
Infl. Adjusted (%) 3.03 3.09
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -16.43
Start to Recovery (months) 41* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -16.43
Start to Recovery (months) 41* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 53 40
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 18.11 7.28
Sharpe Ratio 0.24 0.61
Sortino Ratio 0.33 0.86
Ulcer Index 13.00 4.45
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.34 0.86
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.17 0.38
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025
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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio The Lazy Team
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 37.5% 25%
Fixed Income 55% 50%
Commodities 7.5% 25%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 10.82 6.65
Infl. Adjusted (%) 8.03 3.97
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -16.43
Start to Recovery (months) 41* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -16.43
Start to Recovery (months) 41* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 53 40
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 16.04 6.95
Sharpe Ratio 0.60 0.79
Sortino Ratio 0.81 1.11
Ulcer Index 10.98 3.81
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.67 0.96
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.29 0.41
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2025 (~15 years)

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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-37.02 41* Jan 2022
In progress
-16.43 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-15.40 17 Feb 2015
Jun 2016
-14.01 16 Aug 2016
Nov 2017
-11.91 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-10.15 10 Aug 2020
May 2021
-9.99 9 May 2013
Jan 2014
-6.69 11 Apr 2013
Feb 2014
-6.23 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-5.27 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-4.76 3 Sep 2014
Nov 2014
-4.36 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-3.82 2 Jun 2011
Jul 2011
-3.81 5 Jan 2021
May 2021
-3.74 2 Mar 2020
Apr 2020

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
0.96 -6.11 8.23 0.00
2024
6.94 -8.21 12.30 -2.24
2023
12.73 -19.81 11.51 -5.16
2022
-29.60 -36.33 -12.67 -16.43
2021
19.72 -5.30 3.72 -3.81
2020
19.68 -10.15 16.46 -3.11
2019
34.09 -1.91 16.15 -0.99
2018
-10.77 -11.91 -1.29 -3.68
2017
21.37 -0.83 9.78 -0.96
2016
11.11 -14.01 5.72 -6.23
2015
-8.24 -15.40 -1.82 -5.27
2014
32.31 -4.76 7.12 -2.59
2013
8.66 -9.99 -1.76 -6.69
2012
12.34 -3.39 7.59 -1.89
2011
33.40 -3.82 10.45 -3.69
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