Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio vs Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1976 - June 2025 (~50 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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The minimum date range must be at least 12 months. 'Date To' cannot be beyond June 2025.
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Results
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1976/01 - 2025/06)
Inflation Adjusted:
Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
5.61$
Final Capital
June 2025
5.92%
Yearly Return
5.52%
Std Deviation
-15.96%
Max Drawdown
49months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
2.66$
Final Capital
June 2025
3.31%
Yearly Return
5.52%
Std Deviation
-25.23%
Max Drawdown
49months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1976
57.32$
Final Capital
June 2025
8.52%
Yearly Return
6.73%
Std Deviation
-15.96%
Max Drawdown
49months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1976
9.91$
Final Capital
June 2025
4.74%
Yearly Return
6.73%
Std Deviation
-25.23%
Max Drawdown
49months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
8.45$
Final Capital
June 2025
7.37%
Yearly Return
7.45%
Std Deviation
-20.58%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
4.00$
Final Capital
June 2025
4.73%
Yearly Return
7.45%
Std Deviation
-27.85%
Max Drawdown
46months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1976
71.82$
Final Capital
June 2025
9.02%
Yearly Return
8.00%
Std Deviation
-20.58%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1976
12.42$
Final Capital
June 2025
5.22%
Yearly Return
8.00%
Std Deviation
-27.85%
Max Drawdown
46months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of June 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio obtained a 5.92% compound annual return, with a 5.52% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -15.96% that required 49 months to be recovered.

As of June 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio obtained a 7.37% compound annual return, with a 7.45% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -20.58% that required 42 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
15.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
7.50
DLS
WisdomTree International SmallCp Div
7.50
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
70.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
40.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
15.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
7.50
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking
7.50
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
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Portfolio Returns as of Jun 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1976/01 - 2025/06)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio
Larry Swedroe
1 $ 5.61 $ 461.12% 5.92%
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio
1 $ 8.45 $ 744.53% 7.37%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio
Larry Swedroe
1 $ 2.66 $ 165.92% 3.31%
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio
1 $ 4.00 $ 300.23% 4.73%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio
Larry Swedroe
1 $ 57.32 $ 5 632.03% 8.52%
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio
1 $ 71.82 $ 7 081.61% 9.02%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio
Larry Swedroe
1 $ 9.91 $ 891.04% 4.74%
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio
1 $ 12.42 $ 1 141.66% 5.22%

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Return (%) as of Jun 30, 2025
YTD
(6M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~50Y)
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_larry_swedroe.webp Larry Portfolio
Larry Swedroe
4.93 2.33 4.93 8.38 2.71 3.11 5.92 8.52
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ray_dalio.webp All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio
5.58 3.08 5.58 8.88 3.14 5.41 7.37 9.02
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of Jun 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 June 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 July 2024 - 30 June 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 July 2020 - 30 June 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 June 2025 (~50 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
30 Years
All (1976/01 - 2025/06)
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Larry Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Larry Swedroe Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 55%
Commodities 0% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.38 8.88
Infl. Adjusted (%) 5.50 5.99
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.61 -3.45
Start to Recovery (months) 9 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.61 -1.94
Start to Recovery (months) 9 4
Longest Negative Period (months) 8 8
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.64 7.03
Sharpe Ratio 0.66 0.60
Sortino Ratio 0.88 0.76
Ulcer Index 1.26 1.43
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.49 1.26
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.21 2.57
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2024 - 30 June 2025
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Larry Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Larry Swedroe Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 55%
Commodities 0% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 2.71 3.14
Infl. Adjusted (%) -1.79 -1.38
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.96 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 49 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.96 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 49 42
Longest Negative Period (months) 49 45
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.20 10.40
Sharpe Ratio 0.00 0.04
Sortino Ratio 0.01 0.06
Ulcer Index 7.13 9.55
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.38 0.30
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.17 0.15
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2020 - 30 June 2025
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Larry Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Larry Swedroe Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 55%
Commodities 0% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 3.11 5.41
Infl. Adjusted (%) 0.04 2.27
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.96 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 49 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.96 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 49 42
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 46
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.93 8.45
Sharpe Ratio 0.22 0.42
Sortino Ratio 0.30 0.58
Ulcer Index 5.17 6.92
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.52 0.64
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.19 0.26
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025
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Larry Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Larry Swedroe Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 55%
Commodities 0% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.92 7.37
Infl. Adjusted (%) 3.31 4.73
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.96 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 49 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.96 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 49 42
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 46
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.52 7.45
Sharpe Ratio 0.66 0.68
Sortino Ratio 0.90 0.92
Ulcer Index 3.30 4.46
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.07 0.99
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.37 0.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025
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Larry Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Larry Swedroe Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 55%
Commodities 0% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.52 9.02
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.74 5.22
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.96 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 49 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.96 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 49 42
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 46
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.73 8.00
Sharpe Ratio 0.64 0.60
Sortino Ratio 0.90 0.83
Ulcer Index 2.99 3.88
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.27 1.13
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.53 0.44
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1976 - 30 June 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 June 2025 (~50 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)

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Larry Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-20.58 42 Jan 2022
Jun 2025
-15.96 49 Jun 2021
Jun 2025
-11.57 9 Jan 2009
Sep 2009
-11.47 16 Apr 2008
Jul 2009
-11.38 6 Jul 2008
Dec 2008
-6.66 17 Feb 2015
Jun 2016
-6.42 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-5.38 7 Jan 2020
Jul 2020
-5.29 9 May 2013
Jan 2014
-5.14 7 May 1998
Nov 1998
-4.83 4 Jul 1998
Oct 1998
-4.76 6 Apr 2004
Sep 2004
-4.74 4 Jun 2003
Sep 2003
-4.71 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-4.61 19 Feb 2001
Aug 2002

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Larry Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-20.58 42 Jan 2022
Jun 2025
-15.96 49 Jun 2021
Jun 2025
-12.31 21 Dec 1980
Aug 1982
-11.57 9 Jan 2009
Sep 2009
-11.47 16 Apr 2008
Jul 2009
-11.38 6 Jul 2008
Dec 2008
-10.89 4 Feb 1980
May 1980
-9.49 9 Sep 1979
May 1980
-9.16 10 Sep 1987
Jun 1988
-8.78 13 Sep 1987
Sep 1988
-7.44 16 Feb 1994
May 1995
-7.10 16 May 1983
Aug 1984
-6.83 14 Feb 1994
Mar 1995
-6.66 17 Feb 2015
Jun 2016
-6.63 6 Aug 1990
Jan 1991

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 June 2025 (~50 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Larry Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
4.93 -0.29 5.58 -1.94
2024
3.09 -2.61 6.36 -3.73
2023
6.94 -6.22 9.95 -9.25
2022
-11.20 -14.55 -18.39 -20.58
2021
3.41 -2.64 8.27 -3.74
2020
6.44 -5.38 15.88 -3.68
2019
10.64 -1.45 17.93 -0.83
2018
-3.54 -4.08 -3.02 -4.71
2017
7.74 0.00 11.55 -0.49
2016
6.87 -1.26 6.50 -6.42
2015
-0.54 -3.22 -3.23 -6.66
2014
2.38 -2.37 12.89 -2.52
2013
6.31 -2.41 1.71 -5.29
2012
7.27 -2.25 7.02 -1.33
2011
3.23 -3.97 15.64 -2.00
2010
10.82 -2.16 12.88 -0.69
2009
10.12 -7.76 2.71 -11.57
2008
-2.44 -7.60 2.38 -11.38
2007
8.99 -0.45 11.88 -1.20
2006
9.57 -2.17 6.93 -1.71
2005
6.71 -1.81 8.55 -2.99
2004
10.23 -3.98 9.41 -4.76
2003
16.93 -0.92 13.96 -4.74
2002
7.68 -1.92 7.77 -1.56
2001
6.47 -2.38 -2.77 -4.61
2000
10.81 -1.59 10.15 -2.26
1999
4.08 -3.38 6.28 -3.79
1998
6.06 -5.14 11.05 -4.83
1997
8.62 -1.80 13.54 -2.89
1996
5.81 -1.78 8.27 -2.11
1995
18.99 0.00 27.44 0.00
1994
-4.77 -7.44 -3.28 -6.83
1993
20.95 -1.55 12.02 -1.98
1992
9.36 -1.05 6.76 -2.23
1991
26.47 -2.04 17.98 -1.86
1990
1.93 -6.63 3.85 -5.51
1989
22.14 0.00 20.45 -1.14
1988
12.93 -1.48 10.59 -1.93
1987
-0.86 -9.16 3.47 -8.78
1986
17.85 -3.07 20.56 -3.75
1985
27.10 -0.72 28.68 -2.13
1984
12.87 -5.07 8.03 -6.61
1983
13.15 -1.80 7.06 -3.16
1982
24.76 -2.37 31.65 -3.13
1981
7.24 -5.83 -3.74 -11.76
1980
8.19 -8.91 10.35 -10.89
1979
11.24 -7.04 19.26 -6.57
1978
7.42 -5.66 7.24 -3.43
1977
5.31 -1.98 2.14 -2.83
1976
18.63 -1.58 15.78 -1.12
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