Roger Gibson Five Asset Portfolio vs Warren Buffett Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - June 2025 (~41 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/06)
Inflation Adjusted:
Roger Gibson Five Asset Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
9.14$
Final Capital
June 2025
7.65%
Yearly Return
11.32%
Std Deviation
-44.75%
Max Drawdown
33months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
4.34$
Final Capital
June 2025
5.02%
Yearly Return
11.32%
Std Deviation
-44.09%
Max Drawdown
35months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
32.42$
Final Capital
June 2025
8.97%
Yearly Return
10.58%
Std Deviation
-44.75%
Max Drawdown
33months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
10.67$
Final Capital
June 2025
6.02%
Yearly Return
10.58%
Std Deviation
-44.09%
Max Drawdown
35months
Recovery Period
Warren Buffett Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
17.22$
Final Capital
June 2025
9.95%
Yearly Return
13.74%
Std Deviation
-45.52%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
July 1995
8.19$
Final Capital
June 2025
7.26%
Yearly Return
13.74%
Std Deviation
-47.08%
Max Drawdown
149months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
72.48$
Final Capital
June 2025
11.16%
Yearly Return
13.73%
Std Deviation
-45.52%
Max Drawdown
42months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
23.85$
Final Capital
June 2025
8.15%
Yearly Return
13.73%
Std Deviation
-47.08%
Max Drawdown
149months
Recovery Period

As of June 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Roger Gibson Five Asset Portfolio obtained a 7.65% compound annual return, with a 11.32% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -44.75% that required 33 months to be recovered.

As of June 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Warren Buffett Portfolio obtained a 9.95% compound annual return, with a 13.74% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -45.52% that required 42 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
20.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
20.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
14.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
6.00
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond
20.00
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
90.00
VV
Vanguard Large-Cap
10.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Jun 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/06)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Roger Gibson Five Asset
Roger Gibson
1 $ 9.14 $ 814.13% 7.65%
Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
1 $ 17.22 $ 1 622.49% 9.95%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Roger Gibson Five Asset
Roger Gibson
1 $ 4.34 $ 334.45% 5.02%
Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
1 $ 8.19 $ 718.64% 7.26%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Roger Gibson Five Asset
Roger Gibson
1 $ 32.42 $ 3 142.04% 8.97%
Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
1 $ 72.48 $ 7 148.11% 11.16%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Roger Gibson Five Asset
Roger Gibson
1 $ 10.67 $ 966.65% 6.02%
Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
1 $ 23.85 $ 2 284.67% 8.15%

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Return (%) as of Jun 30, 2025
YTD
(6M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~41Y)
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_roger_gibson.webp Five Asset
Roger Gibson
6.26 3.05 6.26 9.84 9.92 6.61 7.65 8.97
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_warren_buffett.webp Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
6.09 4.81 6.09 14.77 15.04 12.44 9.95 11.16
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of Jun 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 June 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 July 2024 - 30 June 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 July 2020 - 30 June 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
30 Years
All (1985/01 - 2025/06)
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Five Asset Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Roger Gibson Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.84 14.77
Infl. Adjusted (%) 7.23 12.05
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.89 -6.82
Start to Recovery (months) 3 5
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.85 -6.82
Start to Recovery (months) 4 5
Longest Negative Period (months) 8 7
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.92 11.11
Sharpe Ratio 0.75 0.91
Sortino Ratio 0.93 1.25
Ulcer Index 1.30 2.72
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.42 1.33
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.41 2.16
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2024 - 30 June 2025
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Five Asset Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Roger Gibson Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.92 15.04
Infl. Adjusted (%) 5.16 10.06
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.29 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 24 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.29 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 24 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 30 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.53 14.83
Sharpe Ratio 0.63 0.83
Sortino Ratio 0.84 1.11
Ulcer Index 5.23 7.97
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.86 1.01
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.61 0.65
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2020 - 30 June 2025
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Five Asset Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Roger Gibson Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.61 12.44
Infl. Adjusted (%) 3.46 9.12
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.30 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 11 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.29 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 24 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 37 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.12 14.03
Sharpe Ratio 0.43 0.76
Sortino Ratio 0.56 1.00
Ulcer Index 5.08 6.35
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.59 0.89
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.34 0.54
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 2015 - 30 June 2025
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Five Asset Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Roger Gibson Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.65 9.95
Infl. Adjusted (%) 5.02 7.26
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.75 -45.52
Start to Recovery (months) 33 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.75 -39.67
Start to Recovery (months) 33 73
Longest Negative Period (months) 62 132
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.32 13.74
Sharpe Ratio 0.48 0.56
Sortino Ratio 0.61 0.74
Ulcer Index 8.25 12.59
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.68 0.72
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.17 0.22
Metrics calculated over the period 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025
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Five Asset Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Roger Gibson Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 60% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.97 11.16
Infl. Adjusted (%) 6.02 8.15
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.75 -45.52
Start to Recovery (months) 33 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -44.75 -39.67
Start to Recovery (months) 33 73
Longest Negative Period (months) 62 132
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.58 13.73
Sharpe Ratio 0.55 0.58
Sortino Ratio 0.70 0.76
Ulcer Index 7.23 11.35
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.85 0.81
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.20 0.25
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)

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Five Asset Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-45.52 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-44.75 33 Jun 2008
Feb 2011
-39.67 73 Sep 2000
Sep 2006
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-19.30 11 Jan 2020
Nov 2020
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-16.29 24 Apr 2022
Mar 2024
-15.14 16 May 2011
Aug 2012
-15.04 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-13.83 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-13.25 13 Apr 1998
Apr 1999
-13.03 29 Sep 2014
Jan 2017
-12.09 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-11.36 28 Feb 2001
May 2003
-10.00 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019

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Five Asset Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-45.52 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-44.75 33 Jun 2008
Feb 2011
-39.67 73 Sep 2000
Sep 2006
-27.35 21 Sep 1987
May 1989
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-19.30 11 Jan 2020
Nov 2020
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-16.29 24 Apr 2022
Mar 2024
-15.14 16 May 2011
Aug 2012
-15.04 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-13.83 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-13.25 13 Apr 1998
Apr 1999
-13.03 29 Sep 2014
Jan 2017
-12.77 9 Jun 1990
Feb 1991
-12.09 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Five Asset Warren Buffett Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
6.26 -2.85 6.09 -6.82
2024
7.68 -3.03 23.12 -3.67
2023
10.79 -7.73 24.86 -7.55
2022
-11.00 -16.29 -18.29 -23.08
2021
22.77 -3.55 24.59 -4.32
2020
5.29 -19.30 19.19 -17.49
2019
20.35 -3.32 28.46 -5.73
2018
-7.26 -10.00 -3.84 -12.09
2017
12.32 -0.50 19.83 0.00
2016
9.61 -3.95 10.69 -4.87
2015
-5.77 -8.86 0.96 -7.73
2014
3.39 -4.13 12.08 -2.97
2013
8.12 -4.34 29.44 -2.62
2012
12.31 -6.55 14.59 -6.10
2011
0.22 -15.14 1.43 -15.04
2010
15.28 -9.00 14.55 -11.71
2009
23.98 -16.95 24.66 -16.03
2008
-29.02 -36.68 -32.35 -33.45
2007
8.47 -3.75 6.30 -4.37
2006
15.69 -2.03 14.32 -2.48
2005
11.50 -3.59 5.58 -3.97
2004
17.11 -5.79 9.73 -2.96
2003
28.11 -2.15 25.87 -3.66
2002
3.88 -5.15 -19.13 -24.82
2001
-8.31 -11.36 -10.04 -20.31
2000
12.13 -2.94 -7.27 -11.55
1999
18.03 -2.76 19.15 -5.59
1998
-0.41 -13.25 26.49 -13.83
1997
8.02 -3.37 30.52 -5.15
1996
19.46 -2.51 21.03 -3.99
1995
18.27 -1.10 34.91 -0.25
1994
0.49 -6.61 1.01 -6.47
1993
11.92 -4.90 9.53 -2.10
1992
4.38 -3.09 7.36 -2.36
1991
17.71 -3.33 28.35 -4.14
1990
-1.78 -7.29 -2.00 -12.77
1989
20.20 -1.50 29.38 -2.30
1988
18.43 -1.97 15.17 -3.40
1987
11.07 -11.38 4.71 -27.35
1986
22.93 -2.98 17.29 -7.59
1985
26.81 -0.45 29.49 -3.46
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