Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio vs Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - May 2025 (~40 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2025
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/05)
Inflation Adjusted:
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
5.31$
Final Capital
May 2025
5.72%
Yearly Return
5.18%
Std Deviation
-16.58%
Max Drawdown
18months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
2.52$
Final Capital
May 2025
3.13%
Yearly Return
5.18%
Std Deviation
-18.58%
Max Drawdown
48months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
16.84$
Final Capital
May 2025
7.24%
Yearly Return
5.48%
Std Deviation
-16.58%
Max Drawdown
18months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
5.54$
Final Capital
May 2025
4.33%
Yearly Return
5.48%
Std Deviation
-18.58%
Max Drawdown
48months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
7.15$
Final Capital
May 2025
6.77%
Yearly Return
5.47%
Std Deviation
-14.72%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
June 1995
3.39$
Final Capital
May 2025
4.15%
Yearly Return
5.47%
Std Deviation
-21.07%
Max Drawdown
45months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
21.04$
Final Capital
May 2025
7.83%
Yearly Return
5.70%
Std Deviation
-14.72%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Invested Capital
January 1985
6.92$
Final Capital
May 2025
4.90%
Yearly Return
5.70%
Std Deviation
-21.07%
Max Drawdown
45months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of May 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio obtained a 5.72% compound annual return, with a 5.18% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -16.58% that required 18 months to be recovered.

As of May 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio obtained a 6.77% compound annual return, with a 5.47% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -14.72% that required 27 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
7.50
VTV
Vanguard Value
6.00
VV
Vanguard Large-Cap
4.50
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
3.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
2.10
EFV
iShares MSCI EAFE Value
1.50
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
1.50
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap
1.50
VGK
Vanguard FTSE Europe
1.50
VPL
Vanguard FTSE Pacific
42.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
28.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
0.90
GLTR
Aberdeen Standard Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
60.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
10.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
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Portfolio Returns as of May 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
Return Comparison
Capital Growth
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/05)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70
Bill Bernstein
1 $ 5.31 $ 431.28% 5.72%
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio
Gyroscopic Investing
1 $ 7.15 $ 614.62% 6.77%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70
Bill Bernstein
1 $ 2.52 $ 152.00% 3.13%
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio
Gyroscopic Investing
1 $ 3.39 $ 238.97% 4.15%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70
Bill Bernstein
1 $ 16.84 $ 1 583.55% 7.24%
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio
Gyroscopic Investing
1 $ 21.04 $ 2 004.38% 7.83%

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Initial Amount $ Final Amount $ Total Return (%) Annualized (%)
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70
Bill Bernstein
1 $ 5.54 $ 453.90% 4.33%
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio
Gyroscopic Investing
1 $ 6.92 $ 592.36% 4.90%

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Return (%) as of May 31, 2025
YTD
(5M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~40Y)
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_bernstein.webp Sheltered Sam 30/70
Bill Bernstein
2.81 0.88 0.73 6.87 4.53 3.90 5.72 7.24
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gyroscopic_investing.webp Desert Portfolio
Gyroscopic Investing
4.71 1.27 3.00 12.02 5.68 5.67 6.77 7.83
Returns over 1 year are annualized.
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Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 May 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 May 2025 (~40 years)
1 Year
5 Years
10 Years
30 Years
All (1985/01 - 2025/05)
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Sheltered Sam 30/70 Desert Portfolio
Author Bill Bernstein Gyroscopic Investing
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 29.1% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 60%
Commodities 0.9% 10%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.87 12.02
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.39 9.42
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.02 -1.63
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.02 -0.95
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Negative Period (months) 5 3
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 4.42 4.27
Sharpe Ratio 0.49 1.71
Sortino Ratio 0.63 2.09
Ulcer Index 0.72 0.53
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.55 2.81
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.40 7.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2024 - 31 May 2025
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Sheltered Sam 30/70 Desert Portfolio
Author Bill Bernstein Gyroscopic Investing
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 29.1% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 60%
Commodities 0.9% 10%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.53 5.68
Infl. Adjusted (%) -0.08 1.02
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -12.55 -14.72
Start to Recovery (months) 31 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -12.55 -14.72
Start to Recovery (months) 31 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 38
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.33 7.16
Sharpe Ratio 0.30 0.43
Sortino Ratio 0.40 0.57
Ulcer Index 4.44 5.30
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.72 0.79
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.36 0.39
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2020 - 31 May 2025
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Sheltered Sam 30/70 Desert Portfolio
Author Bill Bernstein Gyroscopic Investing
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 29.1% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 60%
Commodities 0.9% 10%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 3.90 5.67
Infl. Adjusted (%) 0.80 2.52
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -12.55 -14.72
Start to Recovery (months) 31 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -12.55 -14.72
Start to Recovery (months) 31 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 38
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.49 5.96
Sharpe Ratio 0.38 0.65
Sortino Ratio 0.51 0.88
Ulcer Index 3.34 3.86
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.71 0.95
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.31 0.39
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 2015 - 31 May 2025
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Sheltered Sam 30/70 Desert Portfolio
Author Bill Bernstein Gyroscopic Investing
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 29.1% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 60%
Commodities 0.9% 10%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.72 6.77
Infl. Adjusted (%) 3.13 4.15
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.58 -14.72
Start to Recovery (months) 18 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -12.55 -14.72
Start to Recovery (months) 31 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 41 38
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.18 5.47
Sharpe Ratio 0.67 0.82
Sortino Ratio 0.87 1.11
Ulcer Index 2.80 2.63
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.11 1.24
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.35 0.46
Metrics calculated over the period 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025
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Sheltered Sam 30/70 Desert Portfolio
Author Bill Bernstein Gyroscopic Investing
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 29.1% 30%
Fixed Income 70% 60%
Commodities 0.9% 10%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.24 7.83
Infl. Adjusted (%) 4.33 4.90
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.58 -14.72
Start to Recovery (months) 18 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -12.55 -14.72
Start to Recovery (months) 31 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 41 38
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.48 5.70
Sharpe Ratio 0.74 0.82
Sortino Ratio 0.99 1.12
Ulcer Index 2.61 2.49
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.32 1.37
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.44 0.53
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1985 - 31 May 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 June 1995 - 31 May 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 May 2025 (~40 years)
30 Years
(1995/06 - 2025/05)

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Sheltered Sam 30/70 Desert Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-16.58 18 Jun 2008
Nov 2009
-14.72 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-12.55 31 Jan 2022
Jul 2024
-10.15 19 Mar 2008
Sep 2009
-6.24 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-4.42 3 Jul 1998
Sep 1998
-4.37 9 May 2011
Jan 2012
-4.01 4 Jul 1998
Oct 1998
-3.98 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-3.94 13 Feb 2001
Feb 2002
-3.56 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.54 12 May 2015
Apr 2016
-3.44 7 Apr 2004
Oct 2004
-3.32 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-3.26 6 Apr 2004
Sep 2004

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Sheltered Sam 30/70 Desert Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-16.58 18 Jun 2008
Nov 2009
-14.72 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-12.55 31 Jan 2022
Jul 2024
-10.15 19 Mar 2008
Sep 2009
-8.49 14 Sep 1987
Oct 1988
-7.59 10 Sep 1987
Jun 1988
-6.24 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-5.67 15 Feb 1994
Apr 1995
-5.63 13 Feb 1994
Feb 1995
-4.64 5 Aug 1990
Dec 1990
-4.42 3 Jul 1998
Sep 1998
-4.37 9 May 2011
Jan 2012
-4.01 4 Jul 1998
Oct 1998
-3.98 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-3.94 13 Feb 2001
Feb 2002

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 May 2025 (~40 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Sheltered Sam 30/70 Desert Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
2.81 -0.49 4.71 -0.40
2024
5.87 -2.02 10.90 -2.08
2023
7.25 -4.05 11.64 -4.01
2022
-9.07 -12.55 -11.64 -14.72
2021
8.27 -1.49 5.76 -2.29
2020
6.68 -6.24 12.96 -3.56
2019
11.29 -1.23 14.41 -0.95
2018
-2.35 -3.98 -0.94 -2.77
2017
6.35 0.00 8.38 -0.12
2016
6.14 -0.94 5.39 -2.63
2015
-1.08 -3.54 0.02 -2.57
2014
3.87 -1.94 5.45 -1.59
2013
5.39 -2.64 6.10 -2.64
2012
6.92 -1.73 6.70 -2.16
2011
3.74 -4.37 6.23 -3.24
2010
8.08 -3.32 11.95 -1.56
2009
11.17 -7.71 10.05 -5.76
2008
-8.30 -12.57 -2.92 -8.78
2007
7.21 -0.78 10.64 -0.86
2006
8.56 -1.09 8.85 -1.61
2005
4.67 -1.32 5.06 -1.48
2004
8.30 -3.26 6.34 -3.44
2003
14.34 -0.69 12.64 -1.46
2002
3.99 -2.62 4.90 -2.20
2001
3.89 -2.11 1.31 -3.94
2000
9.31 -1.23 4.70 -2.78
1999
4.74 -2.18 5.12 -2.91
1998
8.32 -4.01 13.26 -4.42
1997
12.35 -1.75 12.53 -2.44
1996
8.07 -1.16 6.98 -2.04
1995
19.30 0.00 23.10 0.00
1994
-2.28 -5.67 -2.86 -5.63
1993
14.75 -1.45 11.81 -1.14
1992
8.20 -1.27 6.83 -2.19
1991
19.59 -1.56 18.44 -1.44
1990
2.91 -4.64 3.54 -3.71
1989
17.14 -0.61 16.86 -1.08
1988
10.47 -1.19 6.82 -1.71
1987
3.06 -7.59 4.17 -8.49
1986
17.32 -2.63 15.33 -2.55
1985
23.63 -0.55 23.33 -1.21
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