Xtrackers Physical Silver EUR Hedged (XAD2): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1950 - November 2025 (~76 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Xtrackers Physical Silver EUR Hedged (XAD2) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~76 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 551 months (from January 1980 to November 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

XTRACKERS PHYSICAL SILVER EUR HEDGED (XAD2) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 December 1995 - 30 November 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 30 November 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/12 - 2025/11)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/11)

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As of Nov 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 11.03%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

XTRACKERS PHYSICAL SILVER EUR HEDGED (XAD2) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 December 1995 - 30 November 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 30 November 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/12 - 2025/11)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/11)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

XTRACKERS PHYSICAL SILVER EUR HEDGED (XAD2) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 30 November 2025 (~76 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-66.34%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1981
+2.24% +405.80%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979
41.44%
373 out of 900
-68.08%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1981
+0.17% +379.88%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979
49.44%
445 out of 900
-55.57%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982
+2.68% +153.60%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980
35.36%
314 out of 888
-57.96%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982
+1.59% +144.03%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980
43.69%
388 out of 888
-35.41%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1983
+3.04% +91.48%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
36.30%
318 out of 876
-38.56%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1983
+1.24% +84.83%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
43.49%
381 out of 876
-32.93%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1984
+4.47% +66.75%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980
32.41%
280 out of 864
-36.00%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1984
+2.01% +60.82%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980
37.85%
327 out of 864
-33.73%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
+4.23% +49.35%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980
29.93%
255 out of 852
-36.34%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
+2.18% +43.62%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980
36.27%
309 out of 852
-29.38%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986
+4.45% +42.95%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1979
28.93%
243 out of 840
-31.80%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986
+2.07% +36.98%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1979
36.19%
304 out of 840
-26.22%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
+4.02% +47.19%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
28.26%
234 out of 828
-28.34%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
+1.60% +40.49%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
38.89%
322 out of 828
-22.24%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988
+3.81% +45.84%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980
29.78%
243 out of 816
-24.29%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988
+1.62% +38.81%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980
39.83%
325 out of 816
-20.94%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1989
+3.87% +38.81%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980
28.86%
232 out of 804
-23.07%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1989
+1.54% +32.17%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980
41.29%
332 out of 804
-20.21%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990
+4.20% +32.21%
Mar 1970 - Feb 1980
27.40%
217 out of 792
-22.29%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990
+1.70% +25.91%
Feb 1970 - Jan 1980
41.79%
331 out of 792
-20.85%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1991
+4.76% +29.10%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1980
29.10%
227 out of 780
-23.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1991
+2.62% +23.17%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1980
40.13%
313 out of 780
-18.39%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992
+5.18% +25.35%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1980
29.82%
229 out of 768
-20.72%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992
+3.00% +20.00%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1980
37.76%
290 out of 768
-17.63%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993
+5.03% +27.15%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980
28.97%
219 out of 756
-20.01%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993
+2.91% +22.00%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980
36.51%
276 out of 756
-14.07%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994
+4.99% +25.05%
Mar 1966 - Feb 1980
28.09%
209 out of 744
-16.60%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994
+2.66% +20.08%
Feb 1966 - Jan 1980
33.33%
248 out of 744
-13.87%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995
+5.73% +23.17%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1980
24.86%
182 out of 732
-16.33%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995
+2.84% +18.29%
Feb 1965 - Jan 1980
32.38%
237 out of 732
-12.00%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
+5.68% +21.64%
Mar 1964 - Feb 1980
24.31%
175 out of 720
-14.49%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
+3.33% +16.98%
Feb 1964 - Jan 1980
31.25%
225 out of 720
-11.95%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1997
+5.68% +20.88%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979
22.88%
162 out of 708
-14.44%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1997
+3.13% +16.29%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979
32.91%
233 out of 708
-10.23%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1998
+5.27% +20.73%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979
22.13%
154 out of 696
-12.68%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1998
+2.84% +16.23%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979
29.17%
203 out of 696
-10.58%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1999
+5.03% +20.19%
Mar 1961 - Feb 1980
20.91%
143 out of 684
-12.93%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1999
+2.76% +15.78%
Feb 1961 - Jan 1980
31.58%
216 out of 684
-10.37%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000
+5.01% +19.28%
Mar 1960 - Feb 1980
19.35%
130 out of 672
-12.65%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000
+2.50% +15.03%
Feb 1960 - Jan 1980
32.74%
220 out of 672
-7.31%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005
+4.42% +15.72%
Mar 1955 - Feb 1980
15.03%
92 out of 612
-9.61%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005
+1.97% +12.02%
Feb 1955 - Jan 1980
36.93%
226 out of 612
-3.48%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2010
+3.29% +14.27%
Feb 1950 - Jan 1980
3.08%
17 out of 552
-5.78%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2010
+0.36% +10.89%
Feb 1950 - Jan 1980
41.85%
231 out of 552
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