When holding the Xtrackers Physical Silver EUR Hedged (XAD2) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~76 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 548 months (from December 1979 to July 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Xtrackers Physical Silver EUR Hedged (XAD2) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 5.99%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-66.34%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1981 |
+2.20% |
+405.80%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979 |
41.63%
373 out of 896 |
-68.08%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1981 |
+0.09% |
+379.88%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979 |
49.67%
445 out of 896 |
-55.57%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982 |
+2.62% |
+153.60%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980 |
35.52%
314 out of 884 |
-57.96%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982 |
+1.57% |
+144.03%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980 |
43.89%
388 out of 884 |
-35.41%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1983 |
+2.98% |
+91.48%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980 |
36.47%
318 out of 872 |
-38.56%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1983 |
+1.11% |
+84.83%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980 |
43.69%
381 out of 872 |
-32.93%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1984 |
+4.45% |
+66.75%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980 |
32.56%
280 out of 860 |
-36.00%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1984 |
+1.98% |
+60.82%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980 |
38.02%
327 out of 860 |
-33.73%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
+4.19% |
+49.35%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980 |
30.07%
255 out of 848 |
-36.34%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
+2.17% |
+43.62%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980 |
36.32%
308 out of 848 |
-29.38%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986 |
+4.39% |
+42.95%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1979 |
29.07%
243 out of 836 |
-31.80%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986 |
+2.05% |
+36.98%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1979 |
36.36%
304 out of 836 |
-26.22%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987 |
+3.95% |
+47.19%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
28.40%
234 out of 824 |
-28.34%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987 |
+1.57% |
+40.49%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
39.08%
322 out of 824 |
-22.24%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988 |
+3.62% |
+45.84%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980 |
29.93%
243 out of 812 |
-24.29%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988 |
+1.61% |
+38.81%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980 |
40.02%
325 out of 812 |
-20.94%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1989 |
+3.76% |
+38.81%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980 |
29.00%
232 out of 800 |
-23.07%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1989 |
+1.51% |
+32.17%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980 |
41.50%
332 out of 800 |
-20.21%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990 |
+4.12% |
+32.21%
Mar 1970 - Feb 1980 |
27.54%
217 out of 788 |
-22.29%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990 |
+1.68% |
+25.91%
Feb 1970 - Jan 1980 |
42.01%
331 out of 788 |
-20.85%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1991 |
+4.74% |
+29.10%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1980 |
29.25%
227 out of 776 |
-23.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1991 |
+2.62% |
+23.17%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1980 |
40.34%
313 out of 776 |
-18.39%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992 |
+5.19% |
+25.35%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1980 |
29.97%
229 out of 764 |
-20.72%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992 |
+3.00% |
+20.00%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1980 |
37.83%
289 out of 764 |
-17.63%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993 |
+5.04% |
+27.15%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980 |
28.86%
217 out of 752 |
-20.01%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993 |
+2.97% |
+22.00%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980 |
36.17%
272 out of 752 |
-14.07%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994 |
+5.09% |
+25.05%
Mar 1966 - Feb 1980 |
27.97%
207 out of 740 |
-16.60%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994 |
+2.67% |
+20.08%
Feb 1966 - Jan 1980 |
32.97%
244 out of 740 |
-13.87%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995 |
+5.81% |
+23.17%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1980 |
25.00%
182 out of 728 |
-16.33%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995 |
+2.85% |
+18.29%
Feb 1965 - Jan 1980 |
32.14%
234 out of 728 |
-12.00%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996 |
+5.70% |
+21.64%
Mar 1964 - Feb 1980 |
24.44%
175 out of 716 |
-14.49%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996 |
+3.38% |
+16.98%
Feb 1964 - Jan 1980 |
31.42%
225 out of 716 |
-11.95%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1997 |
+5.66% |
+20.88%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979 |
23.01%
162 out of 704 |
-14.44%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1997 |
+3.12% |
+16.29%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979 |
33.10%
233 out of 704 |
-10.23%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1998 |
+5.29% |
+20.73%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979 |
22.25%
154 out of 692 |
-12.68%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1998 |
+2.86% |
+16.23%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979 |
29.34%
203 out of 692 |
-10.58%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1999 |
+5.02% |
+20.19%
Mar 1961 - Feb 1980 |
21.03%
143 out of 680 |
-12.93%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1999 |
+2.74% |
+15.78%
Feb 1961 - Jan 1980 |
31.76%
216 out of 680 |
-10.37%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000 |
+4.98% |
+19.28%
Mar 1960 - Feb 1980 |
19.46%
130 out of 668 |
-12.65%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000 |
+2.47% |
+15.03%
Feb 1960 - Jan 1980 |
32.93%
220 out of 668 |
-7.31%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005 |
+4.40% |
+15.72%
Mar 1955 - Feb 1980 |
15.13%
92 out of 608 |
-9.61%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005 |
+1.95% |
+12.02%
Feb 1955 - Jan 1980 |
37.17%
226 out of 608 |
-3.48%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2010 |
+3.25% |
+14.27%
Feb 1950 - Jan 1980 |
3.10%
17 out of 548 |
-5.78%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2010 |
+0.35% |
+10.89%
Feb 1950 - Jan 1980 |
42.15%
231 out of 548 |
Xtrackers Physical Silver EUR Hedged (XAD2) ETF: Historical Returns