WisdomTree Physical Gold - GBP Daily Hedged (GBSP.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1793 - March 2026 (~233 years)
Initial Amount: 1£
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the WisdomTree Physical Gold - GBP Daily Hedged (GBSP.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~233 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 1680 months (from January 1793 to December 1932).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 1681 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

WISDOMTREE PHYSICAL GOLD - GBP DAILY HEDGED (GBSP.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1793 - 31 March 2026 (~233 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1793/01 - 2026/03)

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As of Mar 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -29.47%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

WISDOMTREE PHYSICAL GOLD - GBP DAILY HEDGED (GBSP.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1793 - 31 March 2026 (~233 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1793/01 - 2026/03)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

WISDOMTREE PHYSICAL GOLD - GBP DAILY HEDGED (GBSP.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1793 - 31 March 2026 (~233 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-98.54%
Apr 2025 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +185.69%
Feb 1979 - Jan 1980
40.03%
1116 out of 2788
-98.58%
Apr 2025 - Mar 2026
-0.21% +141.32%
Feb 1979 - Jan 1980
53.62%
1495 out of 2788
-85.75%
Apr 2024 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +96.02%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980
36.42%
1011 out of 2776
-86.11%
Apr 2024 - Mar 2026
-0.42% +72.96%
Apr 1972 - Mar 1974
54.90%
1524 out of 2776
-71.76%
Apr 2023 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +73.09%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
33.94%
938 out of 2764
-72.53%
Apr 2023 - Mar 2026
-0.36% +53.90%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
55.28%
1528 out of 2764
-61.30%
Apr 2022 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +60.96%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1980
32.99%
908 out of 2752
-63.00%
Apr 2022 - Mar 2026
-0.24% +41.09%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1980
53.56%
1474 out of 2752
-52.14%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2026
+0.00% +40.73%
Jan 1970 - Dec 1974
31.13%
853 out of 2740
-54.45%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2026
-0.19% +27.04%
Jan 1970 - Dec 1974
53.47%
1465 out of 2740
-45.38%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +34.05%
Feb 1974 - Jan 1980
30.54%
833 out of 2728
-47.65%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
-0.21% +23.23%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2011
53.23%
1452 out of 2728
-38.91%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +42.22%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
29.86%
811 out of 2716
-41.21%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2026
-0.18% +23.11%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
53.02%
1440 out of 2716
-35.49%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +42.19%
Feb 1972 - Jan 1980
29.66%
802 out of 2704
-37.77%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2026
-0.11% +24.15%
Feb 1972 - Jan 1980
51.44%
1391 out of 2704
-32.08%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +40.20%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980
30.57%
823 out of 2692
-34.40%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2026
-0.19% +23.20%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980
52.93%
1425 out of 2692
-29.47%
Apr 2016 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +36.85%
Oct 1970 - Sep 1980
29.18%
782 out of 2680
-31.80%
Apr 2016 - Mar 2026
-0.16% +20.68%
Feb 1970 - Jan 1980
53.36%
1430 out of 2680
-27.06%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +32.29%
Dec 1969 - Nov 1980
28.71%
766 out of 2668
-29.28%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026
-0.10% +16.79%
Dec 1969 - Nov 1980
52.36%
1397 out of 2668
-25.72%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +29.73%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1980
27.94%
742 out of 2656
-27.79%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2026
-0.04% +15.98%
Sep 1999 - Aug 2011
50.83%
1350 out of 2656
-25.35%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +27.59%
Oct 1967 - Sep 1980
26.97%
713 out of 2644
-27.36%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2026
+0.04% +14.44%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980
49.17%
1300 out of 2644
-24.04%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +25.53%
Oct 1966 - Sep 1980
26.86%
707 out of 2632
-26.09%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2026
+0.12% +13.16%
Feb 1966 - Jan 1980
47.61%
1253 out of 2632
-21.87%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026
+0.02% +23.71%
Oct 1965 - Sep 1980
26.60%
697 out of 2620
-24.01%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026
+0.16% +12.03%
Feb 1965 - Jan 1980
46.60%
1221 out of 2620
-19.40%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2026
+0.01% +22.27%
Oct 1964 - Sep 1980
26.80%
699 out of 2608
-21.67%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2026
+0.20% +11.07%
Feb 1964 - Jan 1980
45.48%
1186 out of 2608
-17.47%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2026
+0.01% +20.92%
Oct 1963 - Sep 1980
27.85%
723 out of 2596
-19.81%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2026
+0.19% +10.31%
Feb 1963 - Jan 1980
45.15%
1172 out of 2596
-16.50%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +19.68%
Oct 1962 - Sep 1980
27.94%
722 out of 2584
-18.87%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2026
+0.19% +9.62%
Feb 1962 - Jan 1980
43.61%
1127 out of 2584
-14.24%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +18.67%
Oct 1961 - Sep 1980
28.38%
730 out of 2572
-16.65%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2026
+0.25% +9.00%
Feb 1961 - Jan 1980
42.53%
1094 out of 2572
-13.07%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2026
+0.00% +17.69%
Oct 1960 - Sep 1980
29.18%
747 out of 2560
-15.52%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2026
+0.23% +8.38%
Feb 1960 - Jan 1980
40.94%
1048 out of 2560
-7.33%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2026
+0.01% +14.53%
Oct 1955 - Sep 1980
29.92%
748 out of 2500
-9.72%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2026
+0.06% +8.00%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2025
45.12%
1128 out of 2500
-7.42%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2026
+0.01% +11.71%
Oct 1950 - Sep 1980
30.12%
735 out of 2440
-9.61%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2026
+0.10% +5.23%
Jan 1996 - Dec 2025
45.98%
1122 out of 2440
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