WisdomTree Physical Gold - GBP Daily Hedged (GBSP.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1950 - October 2025 (~76 years)
Initial Amount: 1ÂŁ
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the WisdomTree Physical Gold - GBP Daily Hedged (GBSP.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~76 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 304 months (from February 1980 to May 2005).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 305 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

WISDOMTREE PHYSICAL GOLD - GBP DAILY HEDGED (GBSP.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 November 1995 - 31 October 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 October 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/11 - 2025/10)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/10)

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As of Oct 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 10.98%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

WISDOMTREE PHYSICAL GOLD - GBP DAILY HEDGED (GBSP.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 November 1995 - 31 October 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 October 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/11 - 2025/10)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/10)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

WISDOMTREE PHYSICAL GOLD - GBP DAILY HEDGED (GBSP.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 October 2025 (~76 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-39.24%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1982
+2.38% +185.69%
Feb 1979 - Jan 1980
31.70%
285 out of 899
-44.94%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1982
-1.02% +141.32%
Feb 1979 - Jan 1980
54.06%
486 out of 899
-31.24%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1982
+2.34% +96.02%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980
31.12%
276 out of 887
-37.62%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1982
-1.25% +72.96%
Apr 1972 - Mar 1974
55.24%
490 out of 887
-16.32%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1983
+2.72% +73.09%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
27.31%
239 out of 875
-22.39%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1983
-0.98% +53.90%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
56.00%
490 out of 875
-16.17%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984
+4.01% +60.96%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1980
24.22%
209 out of 863
-21.73%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984
-0.10% +41.09%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1980
50.87%
439 out of 863
-14.92%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
+3.66% +40.73%
Jan 1970 - Dec 1974
20.92%
178 out of 851
-21.09%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
-0.07% +27.04%
Jan 1970 - Dec 1974
51.23%
436 out of 851
-9.71%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986
+3.52% +34.05%
Feb 1974 - Jan 1980
18.95%
159 out of 839
-15.91%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1986
-0.26% +23.23%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2011
53.16%
446 out of 839
-7.50%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2018
+3.31% +42.22%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
18.02%
149 out of 827
-12.19%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1987
-0.44% +23.11%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980
55.26%
457 out of 827
-5.54%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988
+3.27% +42.19%
Feb 1972 - Jan 1980
15.71%
128 out of 815
-10.66%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988
-0.39% +24.15%
Feb 1972 - Jan 1980
52.52%
428 out of 815
-5.42%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1989
+3.31% +40.20%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980
16.06%
129 out of 803
-10.50%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1989
-0.19% +23.20%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980
51.93%
417 out of 803
-4.57%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1990
+3.85% +36.85%
Oct 1970 - Sep 1980
13.15%
104 out of 791
-9.88%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1990
+0.16% +20.68%
Feb 1970 - Jan 1980
49.18%
389 out of 791
-3.81%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1991
+4.65% +32.29%
Dec 1969 - Nov 1980
11.68%
91 out of 779
-9.27%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1991
+0.47% +16.79%
Dec 1969 - Nov 1980
44.80%
349 out of 779
-3.20%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1992
+4.99% +29.73%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1980
8.74%
67 out of 767
-8.87%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1992
+1.16% +15.98%
Sep 1999 - Aug 2011
43.29%
332 out of 767
-2.95%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1993
+5.81% +27.59%
Oct 1967 - Sep 1980
5.56%
42 out of 755
-8.52%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1993
+1.43% +14.44%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980
40.53%
306 out of 755
-2.11%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2001
+6.80% +25.53%
Oct 1966 - Sep 1980
4.98%
37 out of 743
-7.07%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994
+1.90% +13.16%
Feb 1966 - Jan 1980
37.82%
281 out of 743
-1.66%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1995
+7.32% +23.71%
Oct 1965 - Sep 1980
4.65%
34 out of 731
-6.77%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1995
+2.74% +12.03%
Feb 1965 - Jan 1980
33.52%
245 out of 731
-1.61%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1996
+7.75% +22.27%
Oct 1964 - Sep 1980
3.34%
24 out of 719
-6.23%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1996
+3.01% +11.07%
Feb 1964 - Jan 1980
31.85%
229 out of 719
-2.46%
Dec 1980 - Nov 1997
+8.12% +20.92%
Oct 1963 - Sep 1980
5.09%
36 out of 707
-6.81%
Dec 1980 - Nov 1997
+3.20% +10.31%
Feb 1963 - Jan 1980
30.27%
214 out of 707
-2.79%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1998
+7.88% +19.68%
Oct 1962 - Sep 1980
5.04%
35 out of 695
-7.04%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1998
+3.62% +9.62%
Feb 1962 - Jan 1980
26.19%
182 out of 695
-2.98%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1999
+7.89% +18.67%
Oct 1961 - Sep 1980
4.54%
31 out of 683
-7.12%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1999
+3.83% +9.00%
Feb 1961 - Jan 1980
22.55%
154 out of 683
-2.78%
Oct 1980 - Sep 2000
+7.93% +17.69%
Oct 1960 - Sep 1980
3.58%
24 out of 671
-6.70%
Oct 1980 - Sep 2000
+3.55% +8.38%
Feb 1960 - Jan 1980
20.72%
139 out of 671
-0.06%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005
+7.28% +14.53%
Oct 1955 - Sep 1980
0.16%
1 out of 611
-3.87%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005
+2.85% +7.84%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2025
17.02%
104 out of 611
+3.17%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2010
+7.50% +11.71%
Oct 1950 - Sep 1980
0.00%
0 out of 551
-1.34%
May 1974 - Apr 2004
+2.22% +5.00%
Nov 1995 - Oct 2025
5.08%
28 out of 551
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