Last Update: 31 March 2021

Holding a position in the Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all 3 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 100.00% of times

Considering all 1 year rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 90.50% of times

All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from January 1987 until March 2021.

In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF: historical returns page.

Rolling Returns

Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns

Swipe left to see all data
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Rolling Period Average Best Worst
1 Year
+6.10% +18.18%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1995
-3.73%
Nov 1993 - Oct 1994
9.50%
2 Years
+6.04% +13.88%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1992
-0.88%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2018
1.29%
3 Years
+5.95% +12.82%
May 1990 - Apr 1993
+0.94%
May 2015 - Apr 2018
0.00%
4 Years
+5.93% +12.12%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1993
+1.17%
Dec 2014 - Nov 2018
0.00%
5 Years
+5.90% +11.58%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1992
+1.35%
May 2013 - Apr 2018
0.00%
6 Years
+5.87% +11.34%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1993
+1.15%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2018
0.00%
7 Years
+5.83% +9.80%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1995
+1.69%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2018
0.00%
8 Years
+5.83% +9.68%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1995
+2.08%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2018
0.00%
9 Years
+5.85% +9.18%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1998
+2.63%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2018
0.00%
10 Years
+5.87% +9.20%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1997
+3.08%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2018
0.00%
11 Years
+5.87% +9.39%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1998
+3.26%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2018
0.00%
12 Years
+5.86% +8.59%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2001
+3.50%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2018
0.00%
13 Years
+5.85% +8.55%
Sep 1988 - Aug 2001
+3.60%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2018
0.00%
14 Years
+5.85% +8.73%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2001
+3.47%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2018
0.00%
15 Years
+5.83% +8.59%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2002
+3.57%
Jun 2003 - May 2018
0.00%

* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+6.10% +18.18%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1995
-3.73%
Nov 1993 - Oct 1994
9.50%
38 out of 400

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+6.04% +13.88%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1992
-0.88%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2018
1.29%
5 out of 388

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.95% +12.82%
May 1990 - Apr 1993
+0.94%
May 2015 - Apr 2018
0.00%
0 out of 376

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.93% +12.12%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1993
+1.17%
Dec 2014 - Nov 2018
0.00%
0 out of 364

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.90% +11.58%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1992
+1.35%
May 2013 - Apr 2018
0.00%
0 out of 352

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.87% +11.34%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1993
+1.15%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2018
0.00%
0 out of 340

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.83% +9.80%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1995
+1.69%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2018
0.00%
0 out of 328

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.83% +9.68%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1995
+2.08%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2018
0.00%
0 out of 316

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.85% +9.18%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1998
+2.63%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2018
0.00%
0 out of 304

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.87% +9.20%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1997
+3.08%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2018
0.00%
0 out of 292

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.87% +9.39%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1998
+3.26%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2018
0.00%
0 out of 280

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.86% +8.59%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2001
+3.50%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2018
0.00%
0 out of 268

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.85% +8.55%
Sep 1988 - Aug 2001
+3.60%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2018
0.00%
0 out of 256

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.85% +8.73%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2001
+3.47%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2018
0.00%
0 out of 244

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+5.83% +8.59%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2002
+3.57%
Jun 2003 - May 2018
0.00%
0 out of 232

In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF: historical returns page.

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