Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2010 to March 2024 (~14 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024

Holding the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~14 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 93 months (from February 2016 to October 2023).

This means that every rolling period of 94 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TREASURY (VGIT) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 2014 - 31 March 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2010 - 31 March 2024 (~14 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.72% +11.97%
May 2019 - Apr 2020 		-12.06%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 		38.13%
61 out of 160
US Inflation Adjusted +0.04% +11.58%
May 2019 - Apr 2020 		-18.72%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 		49.38%
79 out of 160
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.63% +8.87%
Aug 2018 - Jul 2020 		-7.38%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 		26.35%
39 out of 148
US Inflation Adjusted -0.01% +7.39%
May 2018 - Apr 2020 		-13.42%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 		50.00%
74 out of 148
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.94% +6.40%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012 		-4.95%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 		16.91%
23 out of 136
US Inflation Adjusted +0.42% +4.23%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012 		-10.10%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 		41.18%
56 out of 136
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.01% +4.20%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2020 		-2.55%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2024 		10.48%
13 out of 124
US Inflation Adjusted +0.41% +2.49%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2015 		-7.07%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2024 		37.90%
47 out of 124
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.15% +4.24%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015 		-0.22%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 		1.79%
2 out of 112
US Inflation Adjusted +0.11% +2.66%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015 		-3.92%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 		45.54%
51 out of 112
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.19% +3.94%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016 		-0.35%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 		4.00%
4 out of 100
US Inflation Adjusted +0.23% +2.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016 		-3.77%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 		47.00%
47 out of 100
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.93% +3.46%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020 		-0.27%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 		4.55%
4 out of 88
US Inflation Adjusted +0.29% +1.92%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020 		-3.66%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 		40.91%
36 out of 88
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.19% +3.11%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017 		+0.18%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 76
US Inflation Adjusted +0.40% +1.46%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020 		-2.99%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 		39.47%
30 out of 76
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.14% +3.66%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 		+0.45%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 64
US Inflation Adjusted +0.25% +1.99%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 		-2.39%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 		45.31%
29 out of 64
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.81% +3.78%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 		+0.52%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 52
US Inflation Adjusted -0.38% +2.01%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 		-2.10%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 		53.85%
28 out of 52
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.20% +3.63%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020 		+0.48%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 40
US Inflation Adjusted -1.23% +1.89%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020 		-2.07%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 		62.50%
25 out of 40
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.49% +3.10%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021 		+0.76%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 28
US Inflation Adjusted -1.02% +0.92%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021 		-1.77%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023 		85.71%
24 out of 28
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.71% +2.04%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023 		+1.06%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 16
US Inflation Adjusted -0.89% -0.49%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2022 		-1.55%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 		100.00%
16 out of 16
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.93% +2.12%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023 		+1.85%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2024 		0.00%
0 out of 4
US Inflation Adjusted -0.67% -0.40%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023 		-0.73%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2024 		100.00%
4 out of 4
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF: Historical Returns page.