When holding the VanEck Africa Index ETF (AFK) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~18 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 208 months (from August 2008 to November 2025).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 209 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
VanEck Africa Index ETF (AFK) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-37.46%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020 |
+3.45% |
+87.59%
Mar 2025 - Feb 2026 |
44.00%
88 out of 200 |
|
-38.40%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020 |
+0.35% |
+83.19%
Mar 2025 - Feb 2026 |
49.00%
98 out of 200 |
|
-26.91%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020 |
+0.17% |
+53.23%
Mar 2024 - Feb 2026 |
48.94%
92 out of 188 |
|
-28.13%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020 |
-1.88% |
+49.33%
Mar 2024 - Feb 2026 |
57.45%
108 out of 188 |
|
-16.61%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016 |
+0.57% |
+24.80%
Mar 2023 - Feb 2026 |
46.59%
82 out of 176 |
|
-17.32%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016 |
-1.85% |
+21.40%
Mar 2023 - Feb 2026 |
65.34%
115 out of 176 |
|
-10.78%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016 |
-1.88% |
+17.52%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2013 |
61.59%
101 out of 164 |
|
-11.64%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016 |
-4.27% |
+14.93%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2013 |
72.56%
119 out of 164 |
|
-10.13%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020 |
-1.92% |
+14.37%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
63.16%
96 out of 152 |
|
-11.73%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020 |
-4.09% |
+12.06%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
72.37%
110 out of 152 |
|
-11.35%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020 |
-1.29% |
+12.45%
Mar 2020 - Feb 2026 |
67.14%
94 out of 140 |
|
-12.66%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020 |
-4.19% |
+8.15%
Mar 2020 - Feb 2026 |
82.14%
115 out of 140 |
|
-9.15%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
-1.68% |
+8.20%
Mar 2019 - Feb 2026 |
81.25%
104 out of 128 |
|
-10.51%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
-3.91% |
+4.30%
Mar 2019 - Feb 2026 |
92.19%
118 out of 128 |
|
-7.32%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020 |
-1.00% |
+5.20%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2026 |
64.66%
75 out of 116 |
|
-8.71%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020 |
-3.34% |
+3.05%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2017 |
92.24%
107 out of 116 |
|
-7.44%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
-1.41% |
+7.23%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2026 |
67.31%
70 out of 104 |
|
-8.93%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
-3.21% |
+5.09%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2018 |
86.54%
90 out of 104 |
|
-6.07%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 |
-1.61% |
+8.97%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2026 |
76.09%
70 out of 92 |
|
-7.98%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2024 |
-3.81% |
+5.51%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2026 |
86.96%
80 out of 92 |
|
-4.59%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
-1.77% |
+4.34%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2026 |
81.25%
65 out of 80 |
|
-7.02%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
-4.05% |
+1.65%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2020 |
91.25%
73 out of 80 |
|
-4.53%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2020 |
-1.59% |
+4.13%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
63.24%
43 out of 68 |
|
-6.14%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2024 |
-4.07% |
+2.29%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
91.18%
62 out of 68 |
|
-3.93%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2023 |
-1.06% |
+4.25%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
69.64%
39 out of 56 |
|
-6.39%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2023 |
-3.54% |
+1.95%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
89.29%
50 out of 56 |
|
-3.30%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2022 |
-1.50% |
+3.09%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2025 |
68.18%
30 out of 44 |
|
-5.37%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024 |
-4.02% |
+0.46%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2025 |
90.91%
40 out of 44 |
|
-3.60%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2023 |
-0.59% |
+2.36%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2026 |
53.13%
17 out of 32 |
|
-5.74%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2023 |
-3.07% |
-0.26%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2026 |
100.00%
32 out of 32 |
|
-2.91%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2024 |
+1.37% |
+3.14%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026 |
15.00%
3 out of 20 |
|
-5.07%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2024 |
-1.17% |
+0.53%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026 |
90.00%
18 out of 20 |
|
-1.29%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2025 |
+2.56% |
+5.88%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026 |
25.00%
2 out of 8 |
|
-3.51%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2025 |
+0.16% |
+3.23%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026 |
37.50%
3 out of 8 |
VanEck Africa Index ETF (AFK) ETF: Historical Returns

