When holding the VanEck Africa Index ETF (AFK) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~18 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 215 months (from August 2008 to June 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANECK AFRICA INDEX ETF (AFK) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 2016 - 30 June 2026 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 2008 - 30 June 2026 (~18 years)
All Data
(2008/08 - 2026/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

VANECK AFRICA INDEX ETF (AFK) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 2008 - 30 June 2026 (~18 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait
Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-37.46%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020
+3.49% +87.59%
Mar 2025 - Feb 2026
43.14%
88 out of 204
-38.40%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020
+1.01% +83.19%
Mar 2025 - Feb 2026
48.04%
98 out of 204
-26.91%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020
+0.60% +53.23%
Mar 2024 - Feb 2026
47.92%
92 out of 192
-28.13%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020
-1.69% +49.33%
Mar 2024 - Feb 2026
56.25%
108 out of 192
-16.61%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016
+0.75% +24.80%
Mar 2023 - Feb 2026
45.56%
82 out of 180
-17.32%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016
-1.64% +21.40%
Mar 2023 - Feb 2026
63.89%
115 out of 180
-10.78%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016
-1.85% +17.52%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2013
60.12%
101 out of 168
-11.64%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016
-4.13% +14.93%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2013
70.83%
119 out of 168
-10.13%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020
-1.73% +14.37%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
61.54%
96 out of 156
-11.73%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020
-3.90% +12.06%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
70.51%
110 out of 156
-11.35%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020
-1.24% +15.41%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
65.28%
94 out of 144
-12.66%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020
-4.13% +10.76%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
79.86%
115 out of 144
-9.15%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
-1.61% +8.20%
Mar 2019 - Feb 2026
78.79%
104 out of 132
-10.51%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
-3.78% +4.30%
Mar 2019 - Feb 2026
89.39%
118 out of 132
-7.32%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020
-0.93% +5.20%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2026
62.50%
75 out of 120
-8.71%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020
-3.29% +3.05%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2017
90.00%
108 out of 120
-7.44%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
-1.32% +7.23%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2026
64.81%
70 out of 108
-8.93%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
-3.16% +5.09%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2018
83.33%
90 out of 108
-6.07%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
-1.48% +8.97%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2026
72.92%
70 out of 96
-7.98%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2024
-3.73% +5.51%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2026
83.33%
80 out of 96
-4.59%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
-1.68% +4.34%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2026
77.38%
65 out of 84
-7.02%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
-3.75% +1.65%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2020
89.29%
75 out of 84
-4.53%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2020
-1.43% +4.13%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
59.72%
43 out of 72
-6.14%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2024
-4.05% +2.29%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
91.67%
66 out of 72
-3.93%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2023
-1.06% +4.25%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
65.00%
39 out of 60
-6.39%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2023
-3.45% +1.95%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
90.00%
54 out of 60
-3.30%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2022
-1.28% +3.09%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2025
62.50%
30 out of 48
-5.37%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024
-3.77% +0.46%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2025
89.58%
43 out of 48
-3.60%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2023
+0.02% +2.36%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2026
47.22%
17 out of 36
-5.74%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2023
-2.47% -0.26%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2026
100.00%
36 out of 36
-2.91%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2024
+1.47% +3.14%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026
12.50%
3 out of 24
-5.07%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2024
-1.15% +0.53%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026
91.67%
22 out of 24
-1.29%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2025
+2.59% +5.88%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026
16.67%
2 out of 12
-3.51%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2025
+0.16% +3.23%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026
41.67%
5 out of 12
LazyPortfolioETF.com Logo
Your practical guide to Building Wealth.
Master ETF Investing & maximize profits with Lazy Portfolios & Passive Strategies.