In the last 30 Years, the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF obtained a -2.11% compound annual return, with a 34.38% standard deviation.
The ETF is related to the following investment themes:
- Asset Class: Commodity
- Commodity: Crude Oil
Historical Returns as of Jul 31, 2022
Historical returns and stats of United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF. Total Returns and Inflation Adjusted Returns are both mentioned.
Period | Return (%) as of Jul 2022 |
Return (%) Infl.Adj. |
Standard Deviation (%) |
Max Drawdown (%) |
Months Pos - Neg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M
Jul 2022
|
-2.86
|
-2.85
|
-2.86
Jul 2022 - Jul 2022
|
0 - 1
|
|
3M
|
1.15
|
-1.29
|
-8.68
Jun 2022 - Jul 2022
|
1 - 2
|
|
6M
|
24.92
|
18.54
|
-8.68
Jun 2022 - Jul 2022
|
4 - 2
|
|
YTD
|
43.58
|
35.11
|
-8.68
Jun 2022 - Jul 2022
|
5 - 2
|
|
1Y
|
54.07
|
41.96
|
31.54
|
-16.17
Nov 2021 - Nov 2021
|
8 - 4
67% pos
|
3Y(*)
|
-6.77
|
-11.14
|
55.52
|
-81.34
Jan 2020 - Apr 2020
|
22 - 14
61% pos
|
5Y(*)
|
-1.04
|
-4.75
|
47.32
|
-84.60
Oct 2018 - Apr 2020
|
38 - 22
63% pos
|
10Y(*)
|
-11.39
|
-13.64
|
39.27
|
-93.85
Jul 2014 - Apr 2020
|
63 - 57
53% pos
|
15Y(*)
|
-11.26
|
-13.32
|
38.37
|
-97.90
Jul 2008 - Apr 2020
|
94 - 86
52% pos
|
20Y(*)
|
-4.16
|
-6.52
|
36.31
|
-97.90
Jul 2008 - Apr 2020
|
130 - 110
54% pos
|
25Y(*)
|
-2.20
|
-4.57
|
36.49
|
-97.90
Jul 2008 - Apr 2020
|
161 - 139
54% pos
|
30Y(*)
|
-2.11
|
-4.51
|
34.38
|
-97.90
Jul 2008 - Apr 2020
|
193 - 167
54% pos
|
MAX(*)
01 Apr 1983
|
-2.34
|
-5.05
|
35.14
|
-97.90
Jul 2008 - Apr 2020
|
251 - 221
53% pos
|
US Inflation is updated to Jul 2022. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 8.52% , 5Y: 3.89% , 10Y: 2.60% , 30Y: 2.52%
ETF Returns, up to December 2006, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
Correlations as of Jul 31, 2022
Monthly correlations of United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF vs the main Asset Classes, over different timeframes.
Columns are sortable (click on table header to sort).
Correlation vs USO | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
||||||
Asset Class | 1 Year | 5 Years | 10 Years | 30 Years | Since Jan 1992 |
|
US Total Stock Market VTI |
0.01
|
0.38
|
0.34
|
0.26
|
0.26
|
|
US Large Cap SPY |
0.02
|
0.36
|
0.33
|
0.25
|
0.25
|
|
US Small Cap IJR |
0.06
|
0.48
|
0.41
|
0.32
|
0.32
|
|
US REITs VNQ |
0.05
|
0.36
|
0.18
|
0.16
|
0.16
|
|
US Technology QQQ |
-0.19
|
0.22
|
0.21
|
0.19
|
0.19
|
|
Preferred Stocks PFF |
0.10
|
0.29
|
0.21
|
0.15
|
0.15
|
|
EAFE Stocks EFA |
0.28
|
0.54
|
0.46
|
0.35
|
0.34
|
|
World All Countries VT |
0.11
|
0.45
|
0.41
|
0.32
|
0.32
|
|
Emerging Markets EEM |
0.30
|
0.42
|
0.36
|
0.30
|
0.30
|
|
Europe VGK |
0.27
|
0.54
|
0.47
|
0.32
|
0.32
|
|
Pacific VPL |
0.25
|
0.47
|
0.38
|
0.33
|
0.32
|
|
Latin America FLLA |
0.42
|
0.51
|
0.44
|
0.34
|
0.34
|
|
US Total Bond Market BND |
-0.27
|
-0.17
|
-0.20
|
-0.10
|
-0.10
|
|
Long Term Treasuries TLT |
-0.48
|
-0.40
|
-0.41
|
-0.26
|
-0.26
|
|
US Cash BIL |
-0.03
|
-0.28
|
-0.12
|
0.03
|
0.03
|
|
TIPS TIP |
-0.22
|
-0.06
|
-0.05
|
0.07
|
0.07
|
|
Investment Grade Bonds LQD |
-0.15
|
0.12
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
High Yield Bonds HYG |
0.09
|
0.40
|
0.40
|
0.23
|
0.23
|
|
International Bond Market BNDX |
-0.44
|
-0.11
|
-0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Emerging Market Bonds EMB |
0.04
|
0.40
|
0.31
|
0.15
|
0.16
|
|
Gold GLD |
0.20
|
-0.14
|
-0.03
|
0.10
|
0.10
|
|
Commodities DBC |
0.94
|
0.85
|
0.86
|
0.82
|
0.82
|
Capital Growth as of Jul 31, 2022
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 250.29$, with a net total return of -74.97% (-4.51% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 130.31$, with a net total return of -86.97% (-5.05% annualized).
Drawdowns
Worst drawdowns since August 1992.
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-97.90% | Jul 2008 | Apr 2020 | 142 | in progress | 27 | 169 |
-56.71% | Jan 1997 | Nov 1998 | 23 | Jan 2000 | 14 | 37 |
-42.52% | Dec 2000 | Nov 2001 | 12 | Feb 2003 | 15 | 27 |
-35.21% | Aug 1992 | Dec 1993 | 17 | Aug 1996 | 32 | 49 |
-29.51% | Mar 2003 | Apr 2003 | 2 | Apr 2004 | 12 | 14 |
-23.29% | Aug 2006 | Jan 2007 | 6 | Oct 2007 | 9 | 15 |
-16.86% | Sep 2005 | Nov 2005 | 3 | Apr 2006 | 5 | 8 |
-16.05% | Nov 2004 | Dec 2004 | 2 | Mar 2005 | 3 | 5 |
-15.60% | Jul 2000 | Jul 2000 | 1 | Aug 2000 | 1 | 2 |
-15.41% | Mar 2000 | Apr 2000 | 2 | Jun 2000 | 2 | 4 |
-10.25% | Apr 2005 | Apr 2005 | 1 | Jun 2005 | 2 | 3 |
-7.10% | Jun 2004 | Jun 2004 | 1 | Jul 2004 | 1 | 2 |
-6.88% | Sep 2000 | Sep 2000 | 1 | Nov 2000 | 2 | 3 |
-4.59% | Nov 2007 | Nov 2007 | 1 | Dec 2007 | 1 | 2 |
-4.50% | Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | Feb 2008 | 1 | 2 |
-4.22% | Oct 1996 | Oct 1996 | 1 | Dec 1996 | 2 | 3 |
-3.84% | Aug 2004 | Aug 2004 | 1 | Sep 2004 | 1 | 2 |
-0.82% | May 2006 | May 2006 | 1 | Jun 2006 | 1 | 2 |
Worst drawdowns since April 1983.
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-97.90% | Jul 2008 | Apr 2020 | 142 | in progress | 27 | 169 |
-71.60% | Oct 1990 | Nov 1998 | 98 | May 2004 | 66 | 164 |
-67.44% | Aug 1983 | Mar 1986 | 32 | Sep 1990 | 54 | 86 |
-23.29% | Aug 2006 | Jan 2007 | 6 | Oct 2007 | 9 | 15 |
-16.86% | Sep 2005 | Nov 2005 | 3 | Apr 2006 | 5 | 8 |
-16.05% | Nov 2004 | Dec 2004 | 2 | Mar 2005 | 3 | 5 |
-10.25% | Apr 2005 | Apr 2005 | 1 | Jun 2005 | 2 | 3 |
-7.10% | Jun 2004 | Jun 2004 | 1 | Jul 2004 | 1 | 2 |
-4.59% | Nov 2007 | Nov 2007 | 1 | Dec 2007 | 1 | 2 |
-4.50% | Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | Feb 2008 | 1 | 2 |
-3.84% | Aug 2004 | Aug 2004 | 1 | Sep 2004 | 1 | 2 |
-1.24% | May 1983 | May 1983 | 1 | Jun 1983 | 1 | 2 |
-0.82% | May 2006 | May 2006 | 1 | Jun 2006 | 1 | 2 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
4.09 |
148.00 Mar 1999 - Feb 2000 |
-82.02 May 2019 - Apr 2020 |
50.54% |
2 Years |
-0.77 |
100.89 May 2020 - Apr 2022 |
-58.38 May 2018 - Apr 2020 |
53.67% |
3 Years |
-2.02 |
40.71 May 2003 - Apr 2006 |
-38.43 May 2017 - Apr 2020 |
55.61% |
5 Years |
-1.55 |
34.82 Jul 2003 - Jun 2008 |
-34.94 May 2015 - Apr 2020 |
56.90% |
7 Years |
-1.38 |
26.99 Feb 1999 - Jan 2006 |
-31.32 May 2013 - Apr 2020 |
51.93% |
10 Years |
-0.61 |
25.23 Jul 1998 - Jun 2008 |
-24.80 May 2010 - Apr 2020 |
43.63% |
15 Years |
0.72 |
14.00 Jul 1993 - Jun 2008 |
-17.40 May 2005 - Apr 2020 |
39.59% |
20 Years |
1.46 |
11.53 Jul 1988 - Jun 2008 |
-10.46 May 2000 - Apr 2020 |
34.33% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: in which months is it better to invest?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Win % |
-0.60 51% |
-0.15 56% |
1.48 67% |
2.20 60% |
1.16 48% |
0.84 50% |
0.10 68% |
2.35 54% |
1.73 51% |
-2.35 41% |
-2.95 36% |
0.24 56% |
Best Year |
17.5 2019 |
17.4 2021 |
36.6 1999 |
28.0 1986 |
35.4 2020 |
14.5 1999 |
21.2 1990 |
42.6 1986 |
44.6 1990 |
17.2 2011 |
22.7 2020 |
19.6 1986 |
Worst Year |
-28.4 1986 |
-29.6 1986 |
-55.4 2020 |
-43.2 2020 |
-17.8 2012 |
-13.4 1988 |
-21.6 2015 |
-11.2 1994 |
-13.9 2001 |
-32.2 2008 |
-24.3 2008 |
-21.4 2008 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF monthly and yearly returns: how is the distribution of the returns recorded so far?
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2022 |
+43.58 | +35.11 | 14.9 | 8.0 | 9.8 | 4.1 | 10.8 | -6.0 | -2.9 | |||||
2021 |
+64.68 | +53.85 | 6.6 | 17.4 | -1.9 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 9.8 | 1.6 | -5.2 | 9.4 | 8.7 | -16.2 | 13.5 |
2020 |
-67.79 | -68.22 | -15.4 | -12.8 | -55.4 | -43.2 | 35.4 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 5.2 | -7.5 | -10.7 | 22.7 | 6.6 |
2019 |
+32.61 | +29.65 | 17.5 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 6.3 | -16.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | -4.8 | -1.0 | -0.4 | 2.8 | 10.2 |
2018 |
-19.57 | -21.07 | 8.1 | -4.7 | 5.8 | 5.4 | -1.8 | 11.1 | -5.2 | 3.0 | 5.5 | -11.1 | -22.2 | -10.0 |
2017 |
+2.47 | +0.36 | -3.4 | 1.1 | -7.1 | -3.8 | -2.7 | -4.6 | 8.2 | -6.3 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 4.7 |
2016 |
+6.55 | +4.38 | -12.3 | -6.7 | 7.8 | 16.5 | 5.0 | -2.5 | -15.6 | 6.1 | 5.5 | -3.7 | 3.8 | 7.2 |
2015 |
-45.97 | -46.36 | -12.5 | 1.6 | -7.0 | 21.8 | -1.0 | -2.1 | -21.6 | 1.9 | -7.6 | 0.9 | -12.7 | -14.9 |
2014 |
-42.36 | -42.79 | -1.5 | 5.6 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 3.7 | 3.2 | -6.6 | -1.5 | -3.8 | -11.0 | -16.5 | -20.4 |
2013 |
+5.84 | +4.28 | 5.7 | -6.3 | 5.1 | -4.6 | -1.7 | 4.8 | 9.3 | 3.0 | -4.2 | -5.9 | -3.5 | 5.6 |
2012 |
-12.44 | -13.94 | -0.8 | 8.2 | -4.1 | 1.1 | -17.8 | -2.4 | 2.7 | 9.8 | -4.9 | -6.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
2011 |
-2.28 | -5.09 | -1.0 | 1.5 | 8.7 | 6.0 | -10.3 | -8.0 | 0.5 | -7.8 | -11.6 | 17.2 | 8.5 | -1.7 |
2010 |
-0.71 | -2.18 | -9.3 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | -17.6 | -0.2 | 4.1 | -9.7 | 9.1 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 8.2 |
2009 |
+18.67 | +15.53 | -11.7 | -7.4 | 7.4 | -1.4 | 27.1 | 4.2 | -3.0 | -2.1 | 0.4 | 8.6 | -0.4 | 0.3 |
2008 |
-56.31 | -56.35 | -4.5 | 11.2 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 11.4 | 10.3 | -12.0 | -7.1 | -11.7 | -32.2 | -24.3 | -21.4 |
2007 |
+46.82 | +41.06 | -6.5 | 6.1 | 4.2 | -4.0 | -4.4 | 8.3 | 10.4 | -4.7 | 12.1 | 17.1 | -4.6 | 8.4 |
2006 |
+0.02 | -2.46 | 11.3 | -9.6 | 8.5 | 7.9 | -0.8 | 3.7 | 0.6 | -5.6 | -10.5 | -6.6 | 7.5 | -3.3 |
2005 |
+40.48 | +35.84 | 10.9 | 7.4 | 7.1 | -10.3 | 4.5 | 8.7 | 7.2 | 13.8 | -3.9 | -9.8 | -4.1 | 6.5 |
2004 |
+33.61 | +29.40 | 1.6 | 9.4 | -1.1 | 4.5 | 6.7 | -7.1 | 18.2 | -3.8 | 17.9 | 4.3 | -5.1 | -11.6 |
2003 |
+4.23 | +2.31 | 7.4 | 9.2 | -15.2 | -16.9 | 14.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3.4 | -7.5 | -0.3 | 4.5 | 6.9 |
2002 |
+57.26 | +53.61 | -1.8 | 11.6 | 21.0 | 3.7 | -7.3 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 7.3 | 5.1 | -10.6 | -1.2 | 16.0 |
2001 |
-25.97 | -27.10 | 6.9 | -4.4 | -4.0 | 8.3 | -0.3 | -7.5 | 0.4 | 3.2 | -13.9 | -9.6 | -8.2 | 2.1 |
2000 |
+4.69 | +1.26 | 8.0 | 10.1 | -11.6 | -4.3 | 12.7 | 12.0 | -15.6 | 20.7 | -6.9 | 6.0 | 3.4 | -20.8 |
1999 |
+112.45 | +106.89 | 5.8 | -3.8 | 36.6 | 11.3 | -9.8 | 14.5 | 6.4 | 7.7 | 10.9 | -11.3 | 13.1 | 4.1 |
1998 |
-31.69 | -32.77 | -2.4 | -10.3 | 1.1 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -6.7 | 0.2 | -6.1 | 21.0 | -10.7 | -22.2 | 7.4 |
1997 |
-31.94 | -33.08 | -6.8 | -15.9 | 0.5 | -1.0 | 3.3 | -5.2 | 1.7 | -2.6 | 8.0 | -0.5 | -9.2 | -7.9 |
1996 |
+32.58 | +28.32 | -9.3 | 10.1 | 9.9 | -1.3 | -6.8 | 5.9 | -2.4 | 9.0 | 9.6 | -4.2 | 1.7 | 9.1 |
1995 |
+10.08 | +7.35 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 6.3 | -7.3 | -7.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | -1.7 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 7.5 |
1994 |
+25.34 | +22.07 | 7.2 | -4.7 | 2.1 | 14.3 | 8.3 | 5.8 | 2.1 | -11.2 | 4.7 | -1.1 | -0.8 | -1.6 |
1993 |
-27.33 | -29.28 | 3.9 | 1.7 | -0.8 | 0.4 | -2.5 | -5.8 | -5.1 | 2.3 | 2.7 | -10.0 | -8.8 | -8.2 |
1992 |
+1.99 | -0.89 | -1.2 | -1.2 | 4.1 | 7.3 | 6.0 | -2.3 | 1.3 | -1.8 | 1.1 | -5.0 | -3.5 | -2.0 |
1991 |
-32.77 | -34.77 | -24.3 | -11.0 | 2.5 | 6.8 | 0.8 | -2.7 | 5.4 | 2.7 | -0.1 | 5.1 | -8.1 | -11.0 |
1990 |
+30.34 | +22.84 | 3.9 | -5.0 | -5.8 | -8.6 | -6.1 | -1.9 | 21.2 | 32.0 | 44.6 | -10.8 | -18.1 | -1.4 |
1989 |
+26.57 | +20.95 | -1.2 | 6.6 | 11.2 | 1.1 | -2.5 | 1.9 | -9.7 | 2.8 | 6.9 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 9.7 |
1988 |
+3.23 | -1.14 | 1.4 | -5.5 | 6.7 | 5.3 | -2.7 | -13.4 | 7.6 | -6.9 | -11.9 | 1.6 | 12.8 | 12.5 |
1987 |
-6.91 | -10.86 | 4.5 | -11.5 | 13.4 | -0.5 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 5.3 | -7.7 | -0.7 | 1.9 | -7.3 | -9.8 |
1986 |
-31.79 | -32.53 | -28.4 | -29.6 | -21.4 | 28.0 | 7.2 | -10.6 | -12.8 | 42.6 | -7.1 | 3.4 | -1.8 | 19.6 |
1985 |
-0.42 | -4.06 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.8 | -2.3 | 0.8 | -3.5 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.5 | -2.1 | -11.6 |
1984 |
-10.78 | -14.17 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -1.9 | 1.9 | -3.5 | -7.2 | 5.9 | 1.5 | -4.0 | -4.0 | -3.3 |
1983 |
- | - | 4.6 | -1.2 | 3.7 | 2.0 | -1.3 | -3.9 | 0.0 | -3.8 | 1.3 |
ETF Returns, up to December 2006, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.