Last Update: 31 Aug 2021

Category: Commodities
ETF: United States Oil Fund (USO)

In the last 10 years, the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF obtained a -16.04% compound annual return, with a 38.89% standard deviation.

The ETF is related to the following investment themes:

  • Asset Class: Commodity
  • Commodity: Crude Oil

Capital Growth and Historical Returns

Capital growth, returns, stats are calculated assuming a reinvestment of dividends.

Capital Growth:
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Period Returns
Aug 2021
Standard
Deviation *
Max
Drawdown
Months
Pos - Neg
1M
-5.17%
-5.17%
Aug 2021 - Aug 2021
0 - 1
3M
+5.77%
-5.17%
Aug 2021 - Aug 2021
2 - 1
6M
+16.29%
-5.17%
Aug 2021 - Aug 2021
4 - 2
YTD
+45.53%
-5.17%
Aug 2021 - Aug 2021
6 - 2
1Y
+57.10%
32.51%
-17.43%
Sep 2020 - Oct 2020
8 - 4
3Y
-25.82%
annualized
56.51%
-84.60%
Oct 2018 - Apr 2020
21 - 15
5Y
-10.33%
annualized
45.55%
-84.60%
Oct 2018 - Apr 2020
35 - 25
10Y
-16.04%
annualized
38.89%
-94.16%
Mar 2012 - Apr 2020
60 - 60
MAX
01 Jan 2007
-13.64%
annualized
38.01%
-97.90%
Jul 2008 - Apr 2020
90 - 86

* Annualized St.Dev. of monthly returns

Drawdowns

Drawdonws Chart:

Rolling Returns ( more details)

United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns

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Return (*) Negative
Periods
Rolling Period Average Best Worst
1 Year
-7.19% +126.31%
May 2020 - Apr 2021
-82.02%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
59.39%
2 Years
-15.22% +25.58%
May 2009 - Apr 2011
-58.38%
May 2018 - Apr 2020
74.51%
3 Years
-14.61% +14.80%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
-38.43%
May 2017 - Apr 2020
82.98%
5 Years
-15.42% +6.31%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
-34.95%
May 2015 - Apr 2020
94.02%
7 Years
-16.67% -3.67%
Jun 2007 - May 2014
-31.32%
May 2013 - Apr 2020
100.00%
10 Years
-15.56% -7.39%
May 2009 - Apr 2019
-24.80%
May 2010 - Apr 2020
100.00%

* Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality and Yearly/Monthly Returns

In the table below, for the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF, the average monthly return is represented.

Below each return, it's also mentioned the probability of obtaining a positive monthly result (Win %).

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

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Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Win %
-2.73
27%
1.93
67%
-1.82
60%
1.50
60%
0.92
40%
3.24
60%
-1.58
60%
-1.34
40%
-0.82
43%
-2.30
43%
-2.61
50%
-1.05
64%
Best
Year
17.5
2019
17.4
2021
8.7
2011
21.8
2015
35.4
2020
11.1
2018
10.4
2007
9.8
2012
12.1
2007
17.2
2011
22.7
2020
10.2
2019
Worst
Year
-15.4
2020
-12.8
2020
-55.5
2020
-43.2
2020
-17.8
2012
-8.1
2011
-21.6
2015
-9.7
2010
-11.7
2008
-32.2
2008
-24.3
2008
-21.4
2008

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Investing in United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: detail of monthly returns

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Months
Year Return Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2021
+45.53% 6.6 17.4 -1.9 6.8 5.0 9.8 1.6 -5.2
2020
-67.79% -15.4 -12.8 -55.5 -43.2 35.4 8.4 3.6 5.2 -7.5 -10.8 22.7 6.6
2019
+32.61% 17.5 5.3 4.6 6.3 -16.5 8.5 0.0 -4.8 -1.1 -0.4 2.8 10.2
2018
-19.57% 8.1 -4.7 5.8 5.4 -1.8 11.1 -5.2 3.0 5.5 -11.2 -22.2 -10.0
2017
+2.47% -3.4 1.2 -7.1 -3.8 -2.7 -4.6 8.2 -6.3 8.3 4.8 4.9 4.7
2016
+6.55% -12.3 -6.7 7.8 16.5 5.0 -2.5 -15.6 6.2 5.5 -3.7 3.8 7.2
2015
-45.97% -12.5 1.6 -7.0 21.8 -1.0 -2.1 -21.6 1.9 -7.6 0.9 -12.7 -14.9
2014
-42.36% -1.5 5.6 -0.4 -0.7 3.7 3.2 -6.6 -1.5 -3.8 -11.0 -16.5 -20.4
2013
+5.84% 5.7 -6.3 5.1 -4.6 -1.7 4.8 9.3 3.0 -4.2 -5.9 -3.6 5.6
2012
-12.44% -0.8 8.2 -4.1 1.2 -17.8 -2.4 2.7 9.8 -4.9 -6.9 2.5 2.5
2011
-2.28% -1.0 1.5 8.7 6.0 -10.3 -8.1 0.5 -7.8 -11.7 17.2 8.5 -1.7
2010
-0.71% -9.3 8.9 3.8 2.6 -17.6 -0.2 4.1 -9.7 9.2 1.0 2.5 8.2
2009
+18.67% -11.7 -7.4 7.4 -1.5 27.1 4.2 -3.0 -2.1 0.4 8.7 -0.4 0.3
2008
-56.31% -4.5 11.2 1.2 13.7 11.4 10.3 -12.0 -7.1 -11.7 -32.2 -24.3 -21.4
2007
+46.82% -6.5 6.1 4.2 -4.0 -4.5 8.3 10.4 -4.7 12.1 17.1 -4.6 8.4
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