Last Update: 31 December 2022

Holding a position in the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from April 1983 until December 2022.

In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: historical returns page.

Rolling Returns

United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns

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Rolling
Period
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Average (%) Best (%) Worst (%)
1 Year
4.43 148.00
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000
-82.02
May 2019 - Apr 2020
50.00%
2 Years
-0.16 100.89
May 2020 - Apr 2022
-58.38
May 2018 - Apr 2020
53.08%
3 Years
-2.10 40.71
May 2003 - Apr 2006
-38.43
May 2017 - Apr 2020
56.11%
4 Years
-1.76 38.03
Jul 2004 - Jun 2008
-32.18
May 2016 - Apr 2020
55.12%
5 Years
-1.58 34.82
Jul 2003 - Jun 2008
-34.94
May 2015 - Apr 2020
57.42%
6 Years
-1.44 30.79
Jul 2002 - Jun 2008
-36.46
May 2014 - Apr 2020
57.64%
7 Years
-1.45 26.99
Feb 1999 - Jan 2006
-31.32
May 2013 - Apr 2020
52.54%
8 Years
-1.37 24.10
Dec 1998 - Nov 2006
-29.62
May 2012 - Apr 2020
51.05%
9 Years
-1.04 25.56
Mar 1999 - Feb 2008
-27.86
May 2011 - Apr 2020
46.76%
10 Years
-0.78 25.23
Jul 1998 - Jun 2008
-24.80
May 2010 - Apr 2020
44.41%
11 Years
-0.50 19.02
Jul 1997 - Jun 2008
-20.49
Nov 2009 - Oct 2020
44.80%
12 Years
-0.22 16.77
Jul 1996 - Jun 2008
-26.26
May 2008 - Apr 2020
44.61%
13 Years
0.00 17.03
Jul 1995 - Jun 2008
-21.49
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020
41.30%
14 Years
0.14 14.84
Jul 1994 - Jun 2008
-20.63
May 2006 - Apr 2020
42.58%
15 Years
0.49 14.00
Jul 1993 - Jun 2008
-17.40
May 2005 - Apr 2020
40.60%
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+4.43% +148.00%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000
-82.02%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
50.00%
233 out of 466
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns over time
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-0.16% +100.89%
May 2020 - Apr 2022
-58.38%
May 2018 - Apr 2020
53.08%
241 out of 454
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-2.10% +40.71%
May 2003 - Apr 2006
-38.43%
May 2017 - Apr 2020
56.11%
248 out of 442
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-1.76% +38.03%
Jul 2004 - Jun 2008
-32.18%
May 2016 - Apr 2020
55.12%
237 out of 430
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-1.58% +34.82%
Jul 2003 - Jun 2008
-34.94%
May 2015 - Apr 2020
57.42%
240 out of 418
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-1.44% +30.79%
Jul 2002 - Jun 2008
-36.46%
May 2014 - Apr 2020
57.64%
234 out of 406
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-1.45% +26.99%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2006
-31.32%
May 2013 - Apr 2020
52.54%
207 out of 394
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-1.37% +24.10%
Dec 1998 - Nov 2006
-29.62%
May 2012 - Apr 2020
51.05%
195 out of 382
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-1.04% +25.56%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2008
-27.86%
May 2011 - Apr 2020
46.76%
173 out of 370
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-0.78% +25.23%
Jul 1998 - Jun 2008
-24.80%
May 2010 - Apr 2020
44.41%
159 out of 358
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-0.50% +19.02%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2008
-20.49%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2020
44.80%
155 out of 346
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
-0.22% +16.77%
Jul 1996 - Jun 2008
-26.26%
May 2008 - Apr 2020
44.61%
149 out of 334
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+0.00% +17.03%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2008
-21.49%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020
41.30%
133 out of 322
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+0.14% +14.84%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2008
-20.63%
May 2006 - Apr 2020
42.58%
132 out of 310
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+0.49% +14.00%
Jul 1993 - Jun 2008
-17.40%
May 2005 - Apr 2020
40.60%
121 out of 298
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: historical returns page.

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