Data Source: from August 1988 to February 2023 (~35 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
Category: Commodities
ETF: United States Copper Index Fund (CPER)

In the last 30 Years, the United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF obtained a 4.42% compound annual return, with a 25.11% standard deviation.

The ETF is related to the following investment themes:

  • Asset Class: Commodity
  • Commodity: Copper

Historical Returns as of Feb 28, 2023

Historical returns and Metrics of United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF.

Returns and metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • No fees or capital gain taxes

ETF Returns, up to December 2011, are retrieved using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
UNITED STATES COPPER INDEX FUND (CPER) ETF
Portfolio Metrics
Data Source: 1 August 1988 - 28 February 2023 (~35 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~35Y)
Portfolio
Return (%)
-3.12 8.85 17.56 -9.34 16.08 4.47 0.00 7.80 4.42 3.97
US Inflation (%) 0.56 1.05 1.58 6.04 5.16 3.86 2.63 2.51 2.51 2.73
Infl. Adjusted
Return (%)
-3.66 7.72 15.73 -14.50 10.38 0.59 -2.55 5.15 1.87 1.20
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 24.42 23.77 21.36 19.86 26.35 25.11 25.23
Sharpe Ratio -0.47 0.65 0.15 -0.03 0.25 0.09 0.00
Sortino Ratio -0.70 0.90 0.22 -0.05 0.36 0.13 0.00
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN
Drawdown Depth (%) -29.12 -29.46 -30.56 -45.15 -64.54 -64.54 -64.54
Start (yyyy mm) 2022 04 2021 06 2018 03 2013 03 2008 05 2008 05 2008 05
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2022 10 2022 10 2020 03 2016 01 2008 12 2008 12 2008 12
Start to Bottom (# months) 7 17 25 35 8 8 8
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress
> 11
> 21
33
96
32
32
32
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized
Best Return (%) 146.94 68.27 40.63 20.77 9.41 4.88
Worst Return (%) -60.38 -19.55 -15.26 -8.16 -0.54 1.32
% Positive Periods 49% 53% 52% 55% 99% 100%
MONTHS
Positive 0 2 3 4 20 32 60 131 192 217
Negative 1 1 3 8 16 28 60 109 168 198
% Positive 0% 67% 50% 33% 56% 53% 50% 55% 53% 52%
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
Safe WR (%) 46.75 19.36 7.19 12.75 4.03 3.03
Perpetual WR (%) 9.41 0.59 0.00 4.90 1.83 1.19
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the ETF
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the ETF. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the ETF over the risk-free rate by the ETF standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the ETF. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the ETF downside standard deviation).
  • Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
  • Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
  • Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).

Correlations as of Feb 28, 2023

Monthly correlations of United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF vs the main Asset Classes, over different timeframes.

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1.

If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.

Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.

Columns are sortable (click on table header to sort).

UNITED STATES COPPER INDEX FUND (CPER) ETF
Monthly correlations as of 28 February 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Correlation vs CPER
 
Asset Class 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 30 Years Since
Jan 1992
US Total Stock Market
VTI
0.64
0.64
0.51
0.41
0.41
US Large Cap
SPY
0.64
0.64
0.49
0.41
0.41
US Small Cap
IJR
0.55
0.63
0.50
0.37
0.36
US REITs
VNQ
0.67
0.57
0.32
0.28
0.28
US Technology
QQQ
0.64
0.55
0.41
0.30
0.29
Preferred Stocks
PFF
0.72
0.50
0.30
0.20
0.20
EAFE Stocks
EFA
0.81
0.74
0.52
0.44
0.43
World All Countries
VT
0.74
0.71
0.55
0.47
0.46
Emerging Markets
EEM
0.76
0.68
0.55
0.47
0.44
Europe
VGK
0.79
0.73
0.51
0.44
0.43
Pacific
VPL
0.81
0.71
0.52
0.39
0.37
Latin America
FLLA
0.68
0.50
0.42
0.41
0.41
US Total Bond Market
BND
0.62
0.25
0.10
-0.04
-0.03
Long Term Treasuries
TLT
0.62
-0.05
-0.16
-0.25
-0.24
US Cash
BIL
0.48
-0.15
-0.04
-0.01
-0.01
TIPS
TIP
0.48
0.29
0.17
0.10
0.10
Invest. Grade Bonds
LQD
0.69
0.40
0.23
0.07
0.07
High Yield Bonds
HYG
0.64
0.54
0.42
0.30
0.29
International Bonds
BNDX
0.53
0.19
0.03
0.06
0.07
Emerg. Market Bonds
EMB
0.81
0.55
0.38
0.25
0.25
Gold
GLD
0.78
0.30
0.23
0.27
0.27
Commodities
DBC
0.39
0.59
0.54
0.46
0.46

Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023

An investment of 1000$, since March 1993, now would be worth 3660.30$, with a total return of 266.03% (4.42% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 1741.09$, with a net total return of 74.11% (1.87% annualized).
An investment of 1000$, since August 1988, now would be worth 3840.09$, with a total return of 284.01% (3.97% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 1512.60$, with a net total return of 51.26% (1.20% annualized).

Drawdowns

Worst drawdowns since March 1993.

Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-64.54% May 2008 Dec 2008 8 Dec 2010 24 32
-57.40% Mar 2011 Jan 2016 59 in progress 85 144
-55.68% Jan 1995 Mar 1999 51 Nov 2004 68 119
-30.49% Jun 2006 Jan 2007 8 Feb 2008 13 21
-23.72% Apr 1993 Oct 1993 7 May 1994 7 14
-2.66% Sep 1994 Sep 1994 1 Oct 1994 1 2
-2.24% Feb 2006 Feb 2006 1 Mar 2006 1 2
-1.67% Jan 2011 Jan 2011 1 Feb 2011 1 2
-1.61% Jan 2005 Jan 2005 1 Feb 2005 1 2
-1.16% Apr 2005 Apr 2005 1 Jun 2005 2 3

Worst drawdowns since August 1988.

Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-64.54% May 2008 Dec 2008 8 Dec 2010 24 32
-60.00% Jan 1989 Mar 1999 123 Jul 2005 76 199
-57.40% Mar 2011 Jan 2016 59 in progress 85 144
-30.49% Jun 2006 Jan 2007 8 Feb 2008 13 21
-2.24% Feb 2006 Feb 2006 1 Mar 2006 1 2
-1.67% Jan 2011 Jan 2011 1 Feb 2011 1 2

Rolling Returns ( more details)

United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns

Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Average (%) Best (%) Worst (%)
1 Year
7.10 146.94
Jun 2005 - May 2006
-60.38
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
51.49%
2 Years
5.30 78.39
Jan 2009 - Dec 2010
-30.09
Jan 2007 - Dec 2008
53.32%
3 Years
4.43 68.27
Jun 2003 - May 2006
-19.55
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016
46.84%
5 Years
3.98 40.63
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007
-15.26
Feb 2011 - Jan 2016
48.03%
7 Years
3.85 29.03
Jun 1999 - May 2006
-10.01
Jan 1995 - Dec 2001
51.51%
10 Years
4.13 20.77
Aug 2001 - Jul 2011
-8.16
Jan 1989 - Dec 1998
44.93%
15 Years
5.83 11.08
Mar 1999 - Feb 2014
-3.20
Dec 1988 - Nov 2003
6.78%
20 Years
5.62 9.41
Nov 2001 - Oct 2021
-0.54
Jan 1989 - Dec 2008
1.14%
30 Years
3.18 4.88
Jun 1991 - May 2021
1.32
Jan 1989 - Dec 2018
0.00%
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF: in which months is it better to invest?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.98
60%
4.29
80%
-2.83
20%
2.44
60%
-0.41
60%
-2.96
40%
0.27
40%
-2.05
20%
-0.96
40%
1.05
60%
5.53
80%
1.32
80%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
100.98
105.31
102.33
104.83
104.40
101.31
101.58
99.50
98.54
99.58
105.08
106.46
Best 11.0
2023
14.6
2021
4.8
2022
11.4
2021
5.2
2021
10.1
2020
5.2
2020
5.6
2020
5.1
2018
7.1
2021
12.7
2020
5.3
2019
Worst -10.0
2020
-3.1
2023
-12.7
2020
-7.9
2022
-9.4
2019
-14.4
2022
-4.3
2018
-6.6
2018
-6.2
2021
-5.1
2018
-2.3
2021
-5.6
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Mar 2018 - Feb 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
-1.24
40%
2.95
70%
-1.71
30%
0.89
50%
-0.87
50%
-1.62
50%
0.38
60%
-1.09
30%
-0.86
40%
1.01
60%
2.34
50%
1.81
70%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
98.76
101.67
99.94
100.82
99.95
98.33
98.70
97.62
96.78
97.75
100.04
101.84
Best 11.0
2023
14.6
2021
4.8
2022
11.4
2021
5.2
2021
10.1
2020
6.8
2017
6.2
2017
5.8
2016
7.1
2021
16.9
2016
7.1
2017
Worst -12.3
2015
-3.1
2023
-12.7
2020
-8.4
2013
-9.4
2019
-14.4
2022
-8.7
2015
-6.6
2018
-6.2
2021
-5.1
2018
-11.2
2015
-5.6
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Mar 2013 - Feb 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
-0.31
49%
2.54
63%
1.20
53%
1.51
47%
-1.16
50%
-0.25
56%
2.50
71%
0.00
49%
-1.16
46%
0.06
43%
1.59
49%
0.59
54%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
99.69
102.22
103.45
105.01
103.79
103.53
106.12
106.12
104.89
104.95
106.62
107.26
Best 11.0
2023
19.9
2004
20.5
2009
34.1
2006
13.8
1994
21.7
1999
15.9
2009
18.9
1989
9.3
2004
25.3
1988
19.2
1996
16.1
2010
Worst -12.3
2015
-6.8
2000
-12.7
2020
-12.5
1993
-17.7
1989
-22.4
1996
-11.7
2002
-8.9
1997
-24.9
2011
-36.1
2008
-12.0
2008
-14.1
2008
Monthly Seasonality over the period Aug 1988 - Feb 2023

Monthly/Yearly Returns

United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF data source starts from August 1988: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.

We are providing two different views:
  • Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
  • Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
Aug 1988 - Feb 2023
217 Positive Months (52%) - 198 Negative Months (48%)
MONTHLY RETURNS TABLE
Aug 1988 - Feb 2023
(Scroll down to see all data)
Swipe left to see all data
Yearly Return(%)
Monthly Return(%)
Year Total Infl.Adj Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2023
+7.58 +6.13 11.0 -3.1
2022
-15.14 -20.29 -2.6 3.4 4.8 -7.9 -1.8 -14.4 -2.3 -2.6 -3.2 -0.5 12.1 1.2
2021
+25.22 +16.99 0.8 14.6 -1.9 11.4 5.2 -9.1 4.4 -2.5 -6.2 7.1 -2.3 3.8
2020
+23.89 +22.22 -10.0 0.6 -12.7 7.9 3.7 10.1 5.2 5.6 -1.4 1.2 12.7 1.9
2019
+6.69 +4.31 5.7 6.0 -0.5 -0.8 -9.4 3.0 -1.5 -4.2 0.8 2.5 0.7 5.3
2018
-21.94 -23.40 -2.9 -2.4 -3.8 1.6 0.3 -4.3 -4.3 -6.6 5.1 -5.1 4.4 -5.6
2017
+28.81 +26.15 8.7 -1.1 -1.6 -2.4 -0.8 4.2 6.8 6.2 -4.3 5.0 -1.2 7.1
2016
+14.58 +12.25 -4.6 3.5 3.1 3.6 -7.6 4.2 0.8 -6.2 5.8 -0.3 16.9 -3.2
2015
-24.97 -25.52 -12.3 7.8 3.4 4.2 -4.5 -4.4 -8.7 -2.5 -0.9 -1.2 -11.2 4.2
2014
-16.94 -17.57 -6.3 0.3 -4.6 -0.4 3.1 1.6 2.5 -1.5 -6.1 1.0 -5.9 -1.5
2013
-8.44 -9.79 4.6 -5.1 -3.3 -8.4 3.1 -7.0 1.1 3.4 1.7 0.3 -2.9 4.8
2012
+2.08 +0.33 11.0 0.1 -0.4 -0.6 -12.1 -0.8 2.9 0.0 6.9 -4.8 2.4 -1.0
2011
-22.71 -24.93 -1.7 2.6 -4.0 -3.1 0.2 2.4 4.7 -6.4 -24.9 15.4 -1.8 -3.7
2010
+33.42 +31.45 -8.5 7.3 8.5 -5.9 -7.2 -5.2 12.6 1.6 8.5 2.4 2.4 16.1
2009
+138.53 +132.21 3.9 5.2 20.5 11.6 7.0 2.8 15.9 7.3 -3.3 8.6 6.8 5.7
2008
-53.97 -54.01 8.5 17.1 0.3 1.8 -7.8 7.4 -4.6 -7.7 -15.8 -36.1 -12.0 -14.1
2007
+6.18 +2.02 -9.5 5.8 15.0 12.7 -6.6 4.5 5.8 -6.6 6.4 -4.5 -9.0 -4.0
2006
+31.85 +28.59 3.3 -2.2 13.8 34.1 11.4 -6.8 4.3 -3.9 -0.3 -3.6 -4.9 -10.0
2005
+45.56 +40.75 -1.6 2.5 0.7 -1.2 0.8 3.2 8.6 1.3 5.4 5.2 9.4 4.3
2004
+42.71 +38.21 7.5 19.9 1.2 -11.0 5.7 -5.7 8.5 -2.1 9.3 -3.8 7.1 3.0
2003
+49.07 +46.32 9.1 1.6 -8.1 1.8 7.6 -4.1 9.4 -1.8 1.2 15.3 -3.2 14.9
2002
+4.17 +1.75 3.4 2.9 4.8 -2.1 4.0 0.8 -11.7 1.4 -3.9 8.2 3.1 -5.0
2001
-20.73 -21.94 0.2 -4.5 -6.4 1.1 -1.9 -6.3 -3.8 0.1 -4.8 -3.7 16.1 -7.1
2000
-0.70 -3.96 -1.0 -6.8 1.7 -1.3 2.7 0.6 6.8 1.6 3.4 -8.0 -0.2 0.7
1999
+28.49 +25.13 -3.3 -2.8 -0.2 15.2 -12.9 21.7 -0.2 2.5 5.2 -1.8 -0.4 6.6
1998
-13.72 -15.09 2.4 -3.7 4.6 4.2 -6.7 -4.8 4.3 -5.8 1.7 -1.6 -2.9 -5.3
1997
-25.23 -26.48 3.0 7.4 0.7 -1.8 5.4 -4.2 -4.3 -8.9 -3.5 -5.2 -7.3 -8.5
1996
-18.44 -21.06 -8.2 0.9 0.0 3.8 -2.3 -22.4 2.3 2.7 -5.6 1.6 19.2 -6.8
1995
-10.15 -12.38 -1.8 -5.6 7.2 -7.4 2.5 4.8 -2.6 -1.8 0.2 -3.2 2.8 -4.7
1994
+69.20 +64.79 4.8 -0.7 0.3 5.5 13.8 3.1 3.8 4.8 -2.7 9.3 10.7 2.3
1993
-19.31 -21.47 -4.2 -3.5 0.7 -12.5 -5.0 7.9 2.5 -2.7 -13.3 -1.7 1.7 11.7
1992
+6.31 +3.31 1.5 4.9 -1.3 -1.8 1.3 8.3 2.5 -2.4 -5.2 -2.8 -3.3 5.3
1991
-18.26 -20.69 -9.3 6.9 -7.2 -0.5 -8.7 4.4 0.0 3.3 3.1 -1.0 -3.6 -5.8
1990
+10.61 +4.25 -7.1 14.5 8.5 -5.3 -4.2 3.1 8.5 3.8 -2.7 -7.4 -5.2 6.5
1989
-31.22 -34.28 -5.5 -5.4 -3.0 5.1 -17.7 -6.9 5.1 18.9 -4.8 -10.2 -4.0 -3.9
1988
- - 11.7 7.5 25.3 8.4 5.2

ETF Returns, up to December 2011, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.

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