Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2023
In the last 30 Years, the United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF obtained a 4.42% compound annual return, with a 25.11% standard deviation.
The ETF is related to the following investment themes:
- Asset Class: Commodity
- Commodity: Copper
Historical Returns as of Feb 28, 2023
Historical returns and Metrics of United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
ETF Returns, up to December 2011, are retrieved using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
Metrics as of Feb 28, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~35Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) |
-3.12 | 8.85 | 17.56 | -9.34 | 16.08 | 4.47 | 0.00 | 7.80 | 4.42 | 3.97 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 6.04 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 2.63 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 2.73 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) |
-3.66 | 7.72 | 15.73 | -14.50 | 10.38 | 0.59 | -2.55 | 5.15 | 1.87 | 1.20 |
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 24.42 | 23.77 | 21.36 | 19.86 | 26.35 | 25.11 | 25.23 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.47 | 0.65 | 0.15 | -0.03 | 0.25 | 0.09 | 0.00 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -0.70 | 0.90 | 0.22 | -0.05 | 0.36 | 0.13 | 0.00 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -29.12 | -29.46 | -30.56 | -45.15 | -64.54 | -64.54 | -64.54 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 04 | 2021 06 | 2018 03 | 2013 03 | 2008 05 | 2008 05 | 2008 05 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2020 03 | 2016 01 | 2008 12 | 2008 12 | 2008 12 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 7 | 17 | 25 | 35 | 8 | 8 | 8 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 11
|
> 21
|
33
|
96
|
32
|
32
|
32
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 146.94 | 68.27 | 40.63 | 20.77 | 9.41 | 4.88 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -60.38 | -19.55 | -15.26 | -8.16 | -0.54 | 1.32 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 49% | 53% | 52% | 55% | 99% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | 131 | 192 | 217 |
Negative | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 60 | 109 | 168 | 198 |
% Positive | 0% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 56% | 53% | 50% | 55% | 53% | 52% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 46.75 | 19.36 | 7.19 | 12.75 | 4.03 | 3.03 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 9.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 4.90 | 1.83 | 1.19 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the ETF
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the ETF. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the ETF over the risk-free rate by the ETF standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the ETF. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the ETF downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Correlations as of Feb 28, 2023
Monthly correlations of United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF vs the main Asset Classes, over different timeframes.
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
Columns are sortable (click on table header to sort).
Correlation vs CPER | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
||||||
Asset Class | 1 Year | 5 Years | 10 Years | 30 Years | Since Jan 1992 |
|
US Total Stock Market VTI |
0.64
|
0.64
|
0.51
|
0.41
|
0.41
|
|
US Large Cap SPY |
0.64
|
0.64
|
0.49
|
0.41
|
0.41
|
|
US Small Cap IJR |
0.55
|
0.63
|
0.50
|
0.37
|
0.36
|
|
US REITs VNQ |
0.67
|
0.57
|
0.32
|
0.28
|
0.28
|
|
US Technology QQQ |
0.64
|
0.55
|
0.41
|
0.30
|
0.29
|
|
Preferred Stocks PFF |
0.72
|
0.50
|
0.30
|
0.20
|
0.20
|
|
EAFE Stocks EFA |
0.81
|
0.74
|
0.52
|
0.44
|
0.43
|
|
World All Countries VT |
0.74
|
0.71
|
0.55
|
0.47
|
0.46
|
|
Emerging Markets EEM |
0.76
|
0.68
|
0.55
|
0.47
|
0.44
|
|
Europe VGK |
0.79
|
0.73
|
0.51
|
0.44
|
0.43
|
|
Pacific VPL |
0.81
|
0.71
|
0.52
|
0.39
|
0.37
|
|
Latin America FLLA |
0.68
|
0.50
|
0.42
|
0.41
|
0.41
|
|
US Total Bond Market BND |
0.62
|
0.25
|
0.10
|
-0.04
|
-0.03
|
|
Long Term Treasuries TLT |
0.62
|
-0.05
|
-0.16
|
-0.25
|
-0.24
|
|
US Cash BIL |
0.48
|
-0.15
|
-0.04
|
-0.01
|
-0.01
|
|
TIPS TIP |
0.48
|
0.29
|
0.17
|
0.10
|
0.10
|
|
Invest. Grade Bonds LQD |
0.69
|
0.40
|
0.23
|
0.07
|
0.07
|
|
High Yield Bonds HYG |
0.64
|
0.54
|
0.42
|
0.30
|
0.29
|
|
International Bonds BNDX |
0.53
|
0.19
|
0.03
|
0.06
|
0.07
|
|
Emerg. Market Bonds EMB |
0.81
|
0.55
|
0.38
|
0.25
|
0.25
|
|
Gold GLD |
0.78
|
0.30
|
0.23
|
0.27
|
0.27
|
|
Commodities DBC |
0.39
|
0.59
|
0.54
|
0.46
|
0.46
|
Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 1741.09$, with a net total return of 74.11% (1.87% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 1512.60$, with a net total return of 51.26% (1.20% annualized).
Drawdowns
Worst drawdowns since March 1993.
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-64.54% | May 2008 | Dec 2008 | 8 | Dec 2010 | 24 | 32 |
-57.40% | Mar 2011 | Jan 2016 | 59 | in progress | 85 | 144 |
-55.68% | Jan 1995 | Mar 1999 | 51 | Nov 2004 | 68 | 119 |
-30.49% | Jun 2006 | Jan 2007 | 8 | Feb 2008 | 13 | 21 |
-23.72% | Apr 1993 | Oct 1993 | 7 | May 1994 | 7 | 14 |
-2.66% | Sep 1994 | Sep 1994 | 1 | Oct 1994 | 1 | 2 |
-2.24% | Feb 2006 | Feb 2006 | 1 | Mar 2006 | 1 | 2 |
-1.67% | Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 1 | Feb 2011 | 1 | 2 |
-1.61% | Jan 2005 | Jan 2005 | 1 | Feb 2005 | 1 | 2 |
-1.16% | Apr 2005 | Apr 2005 | 1 | Jun 2005 | 2 | 3 |
Worst drawdowns since August 1988.
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-64.54% | May 2008 | Dec 2008 | 8 | Dec 2010 | 24 | 32 |
-60.00% | Jan 1989 | Mar 1999 | 123 | Jul 2005 | 76 | 199 |
-57.40% | Mar 2011 | Jan 2016 | 59 | in progress | 85 | 144 |
-30.49% | Jun 2006 | Jan 2007 | 8 | Feb 2008 | 13 | 21 |
-2.24% | Feb 2006 | Feb 2006 | 1 | Mar 2006 | 1 | 2 |
-1.67% | Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 1 | Feb 2011 | 1 | 2 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
7.10 |
146.94 Jun 2005 - May 2006 |
-60.38 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
51.49% |
2 Years |
5.30 |
78.39 Jan 2009 - Dec 2010 |
-30.09 Jan 2007 - Dec 2008 |
53.32% |
3 Years |
4.43 |
68.27 Jun 2003 - May 2006 |
-19.55 Feb 2013 - Jan 2016 |
46.84% |
5 Years |
3.98 |
40.63 Oct 2002 - Sep 2007 |
-15.26 Feb 2011 - Jan 2016 |
48.03% |
7 Years |
3.85 |
29.03 Jun 1999 - May 2006 |
-10.01 Jan 1995 - Dec 2001 |
51.51% |
10 Years |
4.13 |
20.77 Aug 2001 - Jul 2011 |
-8.16 Jan 1989 - Dec 1998 |
44.93% |
15 Years |
5.83 |
11.08 Mar 1999 - Feb 2014 |
-3.20 Dec 1988 - Nov 2003 |
6.78% |
20 Years |
5.62 |
9.41 Nov 2001 - Oct 2021 |
-0.54 Jan 1989 - Dec 2008 |
1.14% |
30 Years |
3.18 |
4.88 Jun 1991 - May 2021 |
1.32 Jan 1989 - Dec 2018 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF: in which months is it better to invest?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.98
60% |
4.29
80% |
-2.83
20% |
2.44
60% |
-0.41
60% |
-2.96
40% |
0.27
40% |
-2.05
20% |
-0.96
40% |
1.05
60% |
5.53
80% |
1.32
80% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.98
|
105.31
|
102.33
|
104.83
|
104.40
|
101.31
|
101.58
|
99.50
|
98.54
|
99.58
|
105.08
|
106.46
|
Best |
11.0 2023 |
14.6 2021 |
4.8 2022 |
11.4 2021 |
5.2 2021 |
10.1 2020 |
5.2 2020 |
5.6 2020 |
5.1 2018 |
7.1 2021 |
12.7 2020 |
5.3 2019 |
Worst |
-10.0 2020 |
-3.1 2023 |
-12.7 2020 |
-7.9 2022 |
-9.4 2019 |
-14.4 2022 |
-4.3 2018 |
-6.6 2018 |
-6.2 2021 |
-5.1 2018 |
-2.3 2021 |
-5.6 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
-1.24
40% |
2.95
70% |
-1.71
30% |
0.89
50% |
-0.87
50% |
-1.62
50% |
0.38
60% |
-1.09
30% |
-0.86
40% |
1.01
60% |
2.34
50% |
1.81
70% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
98.76
|
101.67
|
99.94
|
100.82
|
99.95
|
98.33
|
98.70
|
97.62
|
96.78
|
97.75
|
100.04
|
101.84
|
Best |
11.0 2023 |
14.6 2021 |
4.8 2022 |
11.4 2021 |
5.2 2021 |
10.1 2020 |
6.8 2017 |
6.2 2017 |
5.8 2016 |
7.1 2021 |
16.9 2016 |
7.1 2017 |
Worst |
-12.3 2015 |
-3.1 2023 |
-12.7 2020 |
-8.4 2013 |
-9.4 2019 |
-14.4 2022 |
-8.7 2015 |
-6.6 2018 |
-6.2 2021 |
-5.1 2018 |
-11.2 2015 |
-5.6 2018 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
-0.31
49% |
2.54
63% |
1.20
53% |
1.51
47% |
-1.16
50% |
-0.25
56% |
2.50
71% |
0.00
49% |
-1.16
46% |
0.06
43% |
1.59
49% |
0.59
54% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
99.69
|
102.22
|
103.45
|
105.01
|
103.79
|
103.53
|
106.12
|
106.12
|
104.89
|
104.95
|
106.62
|
107.26
|
Best |
11.0 2023 |
19.9 2004 |
20.5 2009 |
34.1 2006 |
13.8 1994 |
21.7 1999 |
15.9 2009 |
18.9 1989 |
9.3 2004 |
25.3 1988 |
19.2 1996 |
16.1 2010 |
Worst |
-12.3 2015 |
-6.8 2000 |
-12.7 2020 |
-12.5 1993 |
-17.7 1989 |
-22.4 1996 |
-11.7 2002 |
-8.9 1997 |
-24.9 2011 |
-36.1 2008 |
-12.0 2008 |
-14.1 2008 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) ETF data source starts from August 1988: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+7.58 | +6.13 | 11.0 | -3.1 | ||||||||||
2022 |
-15.14 | -20.29 | -2.6 | 3.4 | 4.8 | -7.9 | -1.8 | -14.4 | -2.3 | -2.6 | -3.2 | -0.5 | 12.1 | 1.2 |
2021 |
+25.22 | +16.99 | 0.8 | 14.6 | -1.9 | 11.4 | 5.2 | -9.1 | 4.4 | -2.5 | -6.2 | 7.1 | -2.3 | 3.8 |
2020 |
+23.89 | +22.22 | -10.0 | 0.6 | -12.7 | 7.9 | 3.7 | 10.1 | 5.2 | 5.6 | -1.4 | 1.2 | 12.7 | 1.9 |
2019 |
+6.69 | +4.31 | 5.7 | 6.0 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -9.4 | 3.0 | -1.5 | -4.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 5.3 |
2018 |
-21.94 | -23.40 | -2.9 | -2.4 | -3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | -4.3 | -4.3 | -6.6 | 5.1 | -5.1 | 4.4 | -5.6 |
2017 |
+28.81 | +26.15 | 8.7 | -1.1 | -1.6 | -2.4 | -0.8 | 4.2 | 6.8 | 6.2 | -4.3 | 5.0 | -1.2 | 7.1 |
2016 |
+14.58 | +12.25 | -4.6 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 3.6 | -7.6 | 4.2 | 0.8 | -6.2 | 5.8 | -0.3 | 16.9 | -3.2 |
2015 |
-24.97 | -25.52 | -12.3 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 4.2 | -4.5 | -4.4 | -8.7 | -2.5 | -0.9 | -1.2 | -11.2 | 4.2 |
2014 |
-16.94 | -17.57 | -6.3 | 0.3 | -4.6 | -0.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 2.5 | -1.5 | -6.1 | 1.0 | -5.9 | -1.5 |
2013 |
-8.44 | -9.79 | 4.6 | -5.1 | -3.3 | -8.4 | 3.1 | -7.0 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -2.9 | 4.8 |
2012 |
+2.08 | +0.33 | 11.0 | 0.1 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -12.1 | -0.8 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 6.9 | -4.8 | 2.4 | -1.0 |
2011 |
-22.71 | -24.93 | -1.7 | 2.6 | -4.0 | -3.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 4.7 | -6.4 | -24.9 | 15.4 | -1.8 | -3.7 |
2010 |
+33.42 | +31.45 | -8.5 | 7.3 | 8.5 | -5.9 | -7.2 | -5.2 | 12.6 | 1.6 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 16.1 |
2009 |
+138.53 | +132.21 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 20.5 | 11.6 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 15.9 | 7.3 | -3.3 | 8.6 | 6.8 | 5.7 |
2008 |
-53.97 | -54.01 | 8.5 | 17.1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | -7.8 | 7.4 | -4.6 | -7.7 | -15.8 | -36.1 | -12.0 | -14.1 |
2007 |
+6.18 | +2.02 | -9.5 | 5.8 | 15.0 | 12.7 | -6.6 | 4.5 | 5.8 | -6.6 | 6.4 | -4.5 | -9.0 | -4.0 |
2006 |
+31.85 | +28.59 | 3.3 | -2.2 | 13.8 | 34.1 | 11.4 | -6.8 | 4.3 | -3.9 | -0.3 | -3.6 | -4.9 | -10.0 |
2005 |
+45.56 | +40.75 | -1.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | -1.2 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 9.4 | 4.3 |
2004 |
+42.71 | +38.21 | 7.5 | 19.9 | 1.2 | -11.0 | 5.7 | -5.7 | 8.5 | -2.1 | 9.3 | -3.8 | 7.1 | 3.0 |
2003 |
+49.07 | +46.32 | 9.1 | 1.6 | -8.1 | 1.8 | 7.6 | -4.1 | 9.4 | -1.8 | 1.2 | 15.3 | -3.2 | 14.9 |
2002 |
+4.17 | +1.75 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 4.8 | -2.1 | 4.0 | 0.8 | -11.7 | 1.4 | -3.9 | 8.2 | 3.1 | -5.0 |
2001 |
-20.73 | -21.94 | 0.2 | -4.5 | -6.4 | 1.1 | -1.9 | -6.3 | -3.8 | 0.1 | -4.8 | -3.7 | 16.1 | -7.1 |
2000 |
-0.70 | -3.96 | -1.0 | -6.8 | 1.7 | -1.3 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 6.8 | 1.6 | 3.4 | -8.0 | -0.2 | 0.7 |
1999 |
+28.49 | +25.13 | -3.3 | -2.8 | -0.2 | 15.2 | -12.9 | 21.7 | -0.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | -1.8 | -0.4 | 6.6 |
1998 |
-13.72 | -15.09 | 2.4 | -3.7 | 4.6 | 4.2 | -6.7 | -4.8 | 4.3 | -5.8 | 1.7 | -1.6 | -2.9 | -5.3 |
1997 |
-25.23 | -26.48 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 0.7 | -1.8 | 5.4 | -4.2 | -4.3 | -8.9 | -3.5 | -5.2 | -7.3 | -8.5 |
1996 |
-18.44 | -21.06 | -8.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -2.3 | -22.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | -5.6 | 1.6 | 19.2 | -6.8 |
1995 |
-10.15 | -12.38 | -1.8 | -5.6 | 7.2 | -7.4 | 2.5 | 4.8 | -2.6 | -1.8 | 0.2 | -3.2 | 2.8 | -4.7 |
1994 |
+69.20 | +64.79 | 4.8 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 13.8 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 4.8 | -2.7 | 9.3 | 10.7 | 2.3 |
1993 |
-19.31 | -21.47 | -4.2 | -3.5 | 0.7 | -12.5 | -5.0 | 7.9 | 2.5 | -2.7 | -13.3 | -1.7 | 1.7 | 11.7 |
1992 |
+6.31 | +3.31 | 1.5 | 4.9 | -1.3 | -1.8 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 2.5 | -2.4 | -5.2 | -2.8 | -3.3 | 5.3 |
1991 |
-18.26 | -20.69 | -9.3 | 6.9 | -7.2 | -0.5 | -8.7 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 3.1 | -1.0 | -3.6 | -5.8 |
1990 |
+10.61 | +4.25 | -7.1 | 14.5 | 8.5 | -5.3 | -4.2 | 3.1 | 8.5 | 3.8 | -2.7 | -7.4 | -5.2 | 6.5 |
1989 |
-31.22 | -34.28 | -5.5 | -5.4 | -3.0 | 5.1 | -17.7 | -6.9 | 5.1 | 18.9 | -4.8 | -10.2 | -4.0 | -3.9 |
1988 |
- | - | 11.7 | 7.5 | 25.3 | 8.4 | 5.2 |
ETF Returns, up to December 2011, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.