UBS Core BBG US Liquid Corp UCITS USD dis (UC84.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1793 - May 2026 (~233 years)
Initial Amount: 1£
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the UBS Core BBG US Liquid Corp UCITS USD dis (UC84.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~233 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 134 months (from December 1852 to January 1864).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 135 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

UBS CORE BBG US LIQUID CORP UCITS USD DIS (UC84.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1793 - 31 May 2026 (~233 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1793/01 - 2026/05)

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As of May 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -0.24%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

UBS CORE BBG US LIQUID CORP UCITS USD DIS (UC84.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1793 - 31 May 2026 (~233 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1793/01 - 2026/05)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

UBS CORE BBG US LIQUID CORP UCITS USD DIS (UC84.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1793 - 31 May 2026 (~233 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-25.32%
Feb 1863 - Jan 1864
+4.86% +69.87%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1983
19.78%
552 out of 2790
-35.70%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1980
+3.26% +61.26%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1983
33.55%
936 out of 2790
-19.61%
Feb 1862 - Jan 1864
+4.73% +50.09%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1983
11.27%
313 out of 2778
-24.58%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980
+3.13% +39.68%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1983
27.79%
772 out of 2778
-14.63%
Feb 1861 - Jan 1864
+4.90% +44.34%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
8.10%
224 out of 2766
-21.35%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980
+3.21% +37.43%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
24.15%
668 out of 2766
-9.22%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980
+5.29% +41.01%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
5.85%
161 out of 2754
-20.06%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980
+3.76% +32.12%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
23.46%
646 out of 2754
-7.50%
Feb 1859 - Jan 1864
+5.45% +33.65%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
4.63%
127 out of 2742
-13.56%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1981
+3.76% +23.96%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
20.79%
570 out of 2742
-5.66%
Feb 1858 - Jan 1864
+5.49% +28.72%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1986
3.04%
83 out of 2730
-11.17%
Mar 1974 - Feb 1980
+3.90% +21.28%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1986
18.94%
517 out of 2730
-3.41%
Feb 1857 - Jan 1864
+5.44% +23.79%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
2.28%
62 out of 2718
-10.85%
Dec 1973 - Nov 1980
+4.03% +15.83%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
17.33%
471 out of 2718
-2.23%
Feb 1856 - Jan 1864
+5.41% +19.68%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1988
1.55%
42 out of 2706
-10.54%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1980
+3.97% +13.77%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1989
14.89%
403 out of 2706
-1.90%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2025
+5.44% +20.25%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1989
1.00%
27 out of 2694
-9.31%
Nov 1971 - Oct 1980
+3.97% +13.78%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1989
14.70%
396 out of 2694
-0.76%
Feb 1854 - Jan 1864
+5.40% +18.65%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
0.45%
12 out of 2682
-8.64%
Apr 1971 - Mar 1981
+3.82% +11.00%
Mar 1864 - Feb 1874
16.29%
437 out of 2682
-0.07%
Feb 1853 - Jan 1864
+5.31% +17.32%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1993
0.04%
1 out of 2670
-7.70%
Nov 1969 - Oct 1980
+3.90% +11.72%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1993
17.00%
454 out of 2670
+0.37%
Feb 1852 - Jan 1864
+5.24% +18.48%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 2658
-7.65%
Nov 1968 - Oct 1980
+3.96% +12.30%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1993
17.42%
463 out of 2658
+0.89%
May 2013 - Apr 2026
+5.17% +18.13%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1993
0.00%
0 out of 2646
-7.11%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1981
+3.96% +11.98%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1993
16.44%
435 out of 2646
+1.22%
Feb 1850 - Jan 1864
+5.30% +16.80%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
0.00%
0 out of 2634
-5.83%
May 1967 - Apr 1981
+4.06% +11.27%
Feb 1864 - Jan 1878
15.45%
407 out of 2634
+1.61%
Feb 1849 - Jan 1864
+5.41% +16.22%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1996
0.00%
0 out of 2622
-5.35%
Nov 1965 - Oct 1980
+4.07% +11.20%
Feb 1864 - Jan 1879
16.36%
429 out of 2622
+2.01%
Feb 1848 - Jan 1864
+5.36% +15.37%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
0.00%
0 out of 2610
-5.17%
Nov 1964 - Oct 1980
+4.06% +10.50%
Mar 1864 - Feb 1880
14.06%
367 out of 2610
+2.46%
Dec 1949 - Nov 1966
+5.30% +14.48%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1998
0.00%
0 out of 2598
-4.87%
Nov 1963 - Oct 1980
+3.94% +10.31%
Feb 1864 - Jan 1881
13.51%
351 out of 2598
+2.43%
Aug 1895 - Jul 1913
+5.21% +14.30%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 2586
-4.60%
Nov 1962 - Oct 1980
+3.95% +9.77%
Feb 1864 - Jan 1882
12.18%
315 out of 2586
+2.48%
Jan 1889 - Dec 1907
+5.16% +13.84%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1993
0.00%
0 out of 2574
-4.31%
Nov 1961 - Oct 1980
+4.05% +9.43%
Feb 1864 - Jan 1883
11.62%
299 out of 2574
+2.61%
Jan 1888 - Dec 1907
+5.12% +13.77%
Apr 1981 - Mar 2001
0.00%
0 out of 2562
-4.14%
Nov 1960 - Oct 1980
+4.10% +9.48%
May 1981 - Apr 2001
12.33%
316 out of 2562
+2.64%
Jan 1883 - Dec 1907
+5.27% +11.59%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 2502
-3.35%
Nov 1955 - Oct 1980
+4.03% +8.49%
Feb 1797 - Jan 1822
9.47%
237 out of 2502
+2.87%
Nov 1883 - Oct 1913
+5.23% +11.07%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2010
0.00%
0 out of 2442
-3.42%
Nov 1950 - Oct 1980
+3.71% +8.16%
Feb 1794 - Jan 1824
7.00%
171 out of 2442
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