UBS Core BBG US Liquid Corp UCITS USD dis (UC84.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1871 - July 2025 (~155 years)
Initial Amount: 1ÂŁ
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the UBS Core BBG US Liquid Corp UCITS USD dis (UC84.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~155 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 113 months (from March 2016 to July 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

UBS CORE BBG US LIQUID CORP UCITS USD DIS (UC84.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 July 2025 (~155 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1871/01 - 2025/07)

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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.20%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

UBS CORE BBG US LIQUID CORP UCITS USD DIS (UC84.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 July 2025 (~155 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1871/01 - 2025/07)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

UBS CORE BBG US LIQUID CORP UCITS USD DIS (UC84.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 July 2025 (~155 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-23.42%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1980
+3.63% +69.87%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1983
23.75%
438 out of 1844
-35.70%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1980
+2.11% +61.26%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1983
38.50%
710 out of 1844
-13.83%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980
+3.76% +50.09%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1983
12.12%
222 out of 1832
-24.58%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980
+2.08% +39.68%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1983
31.99%
586 out of 1832
-11.42%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980
+3.85% +44.34%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
7.64%
139 out of 1820
-21.35%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980
+2.34% +37.43%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
29.18%
531 out of 1820
-9.22%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980
+4.14% +41.01%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
4.87%
88 out of 1808
-20.06%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980
+2.36% +32.12%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
29.76%
538 out of 1808
-5.96%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2025
+4.60% +33.65%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
4.12%
74 out of 1796
-13.56%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1981
+2.52% +23.96%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
27.62%
496 out of 1796
-3.67%
Aug 2019 - Jul 2025
+4.66% +28.72%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1986
2.30%
41 out of 1784
-11.17%
Mar 1974 - Feb 1980
+2.40% +21.28%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1986
25.78%
460 out of 1784
-2.65%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+4.82% +23.79%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
1.35%
24 out of 1772
-10.85%
Dec 1973 - Nov 1980
+2.46% +15.83%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
24.15%
428 out of 1772
-2.11%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2024
+4.88% +19.68%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1988
0.80%
14 out of 1760
-10.54%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1980
+2.41% +13.77%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1989
22.22%
391 out of 1760
-1.60%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
+4.94% +20.25%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1989
0.23%
4 out of 1748
-9.31%
Nov 1971 - Oct 1980
+2.48% +13.78%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1989
22.08%
386 out of 1748
+0.58%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+4.91% +18.65%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1736
-8.64%
Apr 1971 - Mar 1981
+2.43% +10.94%
May 1981 - Apr 1991
24.60%
427 out of 1736
+1.63%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
+4.92% +17.32%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1724
-7.70%
Nov 1969 - Oct 1980
+2.41% +11.72%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1993
25.70%
443 out of 1724
+1.17%
Jun 2013 - May 2025
+4.77% +18.48%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1712
-7.65%
Nov 1968 - Oct 1980
+2.30% +12.30%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1993
26.23%
449 out of 1712
+1.46%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2025
+4.77% +18.13%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1700
-7.11%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1981
+2.37% +11.98%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1993
25.00%
425 out of 1700
+2.18%
Apr 1950 - Mar 1964
+4.76% +16.80%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
0.00%
0 out of 1688
-5.83%
May 1967 - Apr 1981
+2.22% +10.43%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
23.52%
397 out of 1688
+2.13%
Sep 1951 - Aug 1966
+4.71% +16.22%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1996
0.00%
0 out of 1676
-5.35%
Nov 1965 - Oct 1980
+2.30% +10.76%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1996
25.00%
419 out of 1676
+2.05%
Sep 1950 - Aug 1966
+4.83% +15.37%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
0.00%
0 out of 1664
-5.17%
Nov 1964 - Oct 1980
+2.42% +9.67%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1997
21.75%
362 out of 1664
+2.46%
Dec 1949 - Nov 1966
+4.88% +14.48%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1998
0.00%
0 out of 1652
-4.87%
Nov 1963 - Oct 1980
+2.33% +9.49%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1998
21.07%
348 out of 1652
+2.43%
Aug 1895 - Jul 1913
+4.87% +14.30%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1640
-4.60%
Nov 1962 - Oct 1980
+2.33% +9.25%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1999
19.21%
315 out of 1640
+2.48%
Jan 1889 - Dec 1907
+4.82% +13.84%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1628
-4.31%
Nov 1961 - Oct 1980
+2.27% +8.98%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2000
18.37%
299 out of 1628
+2.61%
Jan 1888 - Dec 1907
+4.72% +13.77%
Apr 1981 - Mar 2001
0.00%
0 out of 1616
-4.14%
Nov 1960 - Oct 1980
+2.30% +9.48%
May 1981 - Apr 2001
19.55%
316 out of 1616
+2.64%
Jan 1883 - Dec 1907
+4.75% +11.59%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 1556
-3.35%
Nov 1955 - Oct 1980
+2.25% +7.73%
Jan 1981 - Dec 2005
15.23%
237 out of 1556
+2.87%
Nov 1883 - Oct 1913
+4.79% +11.07%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2010
0.00%
0 out of 1496
-3.42%
Nov 1950 - Oct 1980
+2.07% +7.34%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2010
11.43%
171 out of 1496
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