Last Update: 31 March 2023
Holding a position in the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?
Considering all 6 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 93.62% of times
All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from January 1871 until March 2023.
In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: historical returns page.
Rolling Returns
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
10.73 |
160.57 Jul 1932 - Jun 1933 |
-67.84 Jul 1931 - Jun 1932 |
27.37% |
2 Years |
9.90 |
55.64 Jul 1932 - Jun 1934 |
-54.64 Jun 1930 - May 1932 |
20.07% |
3 Years |
9.55 |
42.43 Mar 1933 - Feb 1936 |
-42.65 Jul 1929 - Jun 1932 |
16.13% |
4 Years |
9.40 |
41.06 Jul 1932 - Jun 1936 |
-27.87 Jun 1928 - May 1932 |
13.43% |
5 Years |
9.31 |
35.15 Jun 1932 - May 1937 |
-17.97 Sep 1929 - Aug 1934 |
10.80% |
6 Years |
9.24 |
30.77 Sep 1923 - Aug 1929 |
-12.68 Apr 1929 - Mar 1935 |
6.38% |
7 Years |
9.22 |
25.75 Feb 1922 - Jan 1929 |
-7.76 Jul 1925 - Jun 1932 |
3.90% |
8 Years |
9.21 |
28.16 Sep 1921 - Aug 1929 |
-8.26 Apr 1930 - Mar 1938 |
2.89% |
9 Years |
9.20 |
22.86 Sep 1920 - Aug 1929 |
-7.16 Apr 1929 - Mar 1938 |
2.67% |
10 Years |
9.17 |
21.28 Jun 1949 - May 1959 |
-5.38 Sep 1929 - Aug 1939 |
3.57% |
11 Years |
9.13 |
20.03 Sep 1918 - Aug 1929 |
-4.92 Sep 1929 - Aug 1940 |
2.54% |
12 Years |
9.10 |
19.33 Jun 1949 - May 1961 |
-4.40 May 1930 - Apr 1942 |
1.72% |
13 Years |
9.07 |
19.73 Aug 1942 - Jul 1955 |
-4.60 Sep 1929 - Aug 1942 |
1.61% |
14 Years |
9.05 |
20.46 May 1942 - Apr 1956 |
-1.72 Sep 1929 - Aug 1943 |
1.20% |
15 Years |
9.05 |
19.24 Aug 1982 - Jul 1997 |
-0.72 Sep 1929 - Aug 1944 |
0.24% |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+10.73% |
+160.57% Jul 1932 - Jun 1933 |
-67.84% Jul 1931 - Jun 1932 |
27.37% 497 out of 1816 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.90% |
+55.64% Jul 1932 - Jun 1934 |
-54.64% Jun 1930 - May 1932 |
20.07% 362 out of 1804 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.55% |
+42.43% Mar 1933 - Feb 1936 |
-42.65% Jul 1929 - Jun 1932 |
16.13% 289 out of 1792 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.40% |
+41.06% Jul 1932 - Jun 1936 |
-27.87% Jun 1928 - May 1932 |
13.43% 239 out of 1780 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.31% |
+35.15% Jun 1932 - May 1937 |
-17.97% Sep 1929 - Aug 1934 |
10.80% 191 out of 1768 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.24% |
+30.77% Sep 1923 - Aug 1929 |
-12.68% Apr 1929 - Mar 1935 |
6.38% 112 out of 1756 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.22% |
+25.75% Feb 1922 - Jan 1929 |
-7.76% Jul 1925 - Jun 1932 |
3.90% 68 out of 1744 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.21% |
+28.16% Sep 1921 - Aug 1929 |
-8.26% Apr 1930 - Mar 1938 |
2.89% 50 out of 1732 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.20% |
+22.86% Sep 1920 - Aug 1929 |
-7.16% Apr 1929 - Mar 1938 |
2.67% 46 out of 1720 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.17% |
+21.28% Jun 1949 - May 1959 |
-5.38% Sep 1929 - Aug 1939 |
3.57% 61 out of 1708 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.13% |
+20.03% Sep 1918 - Aug 1929 |
-4.92% Sep 1929 - Aug 1940 |
2.54% 43 out of 1696 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.10% |
+19.33% Jun 1949 - May 1961 |
-4.40% May 1930 - Apr 1942 |
1.72% 29 out of 1684 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.07% |
+19.73% Aug 1942 - Jul 1955 |
-4.60% Sep 1929 - Aug 1942 |
1.61% 27 out of 1672 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.05% |
+20.46% May 1942 - Apr 1956 |
-1.72% Sep 1929 - Aug 1943 |
1.20% 20 out of 1660 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+9.05% |
+19.24% Aug 1982 - Jul 1997 |
-0.72% Sep 1929 - Aug 1944 |
0.24% 4 out of 1648 |
In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: historical returns page.