Last Update: 30 April 2022

Holding a position in the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all 12 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 100.00% of times

Considering all 6 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 97.75% of times

All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from January 1972 until April 2022.

In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: historical returns page.

Rolling Returns

SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns

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Rolling
Period
Return (*) Negative
Periods
Average (%) Best (%) Worst (%)
1 Year
12.03 58.83
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983
-43.44
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
20.07%
2 Years
11.31 37.08
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
-26.04
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
14.80%
3 Years
11.22 32.80
Aug 1984 - Jul 1987
-16.28
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
13.18%
4 Years
11.22 30.60
Feb 1995 - Jan 1999
-9.79
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
12.57%
5 Years
11.20 28.95
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
-6.67
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
10.09%
6 Years
11.16 24.61
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
-1.22
Jan 2000 - Dec 2005
2.25%
7 Years
11.18 22.44
Aug 1982 - Jul 1989
-3.91
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
1.34%
8 Years
11.23 20.63
Jan 1991 - Dec 1998
-4.59
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
2.55%
9 Years
11.23 20.83
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
-5.20
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
3.22%
10 Years
11.19 19.27
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000
-3.45
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
4.95%
11 Years
11.18 19.12
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999
-1.59
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
1.69%
12 Years
11.12 19.05
Dec 1987 - Nov 1999
0.48
Jan 2000 - Dec 2011
0.00%
13 Years
11.06 18.62
Aug 1984 - Jul 1997
1.60
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012
0.00%
14 Years
11.00 18.64
Aug 1984 - Jul 1998
2.84
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012
0.00%
15 Years
11.01 19.24
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
3.67
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
0.00%
(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+12.03% +58.83%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983
-43.44%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
20.07%
119 out of 593
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns over time
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.31% +37.08%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
-26.04%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
14.80%
86 out of 581
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.22% +32.80%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1987
-16.28%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
13.18%
75 out of 569
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.22% +30.60%
Feb 1995 - Jan 1999
-9.79%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
12.57%
70 out of 557
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.20% +28.95%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
-6.67%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
10.09%
55 out of 545
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.16% +24.61%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
-1.22%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2005
2.25%
12 out of 533
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.18% +22.44%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1989
-3.91%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
1.34%
7 out of 521
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.23% +20.63%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1998
-4.59%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
2.55%
13 out of 509
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.23% +20.83%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1999
-5.20%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
3.22%
16 out of 497
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.19% +19.27%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000
-3.45%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
4.95%
24 out of 485
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.18% +19.12%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1999
-1.59%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
1.69%
8 out of 473
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.12% +19.05%
Dec 1987 - Nov 1999
+0.48%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2011
0.00%
0 out of 461
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.06% +18.62%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1997
+1.60%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012
0.00%
0 out of 449
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.00% +18.64%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1998
+2.84%
Jan 1999 - Dec 2012
0.00%
0 out of 437
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Average
Return
Best
Return
Worst
Return
Negative
Periods
+11.01% +19.24%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
+3.67%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
0.00%
0 out of 425
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: historical returns page.

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