Last Update: 30 April 2022
Holding a position in the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?
Considering all 12 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 100.00% of times
Considering all 6 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 97.75% of times
All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from January 1972 until April 2022.
In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: historical returns page.
Rolling Returns
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns
Rolling Period |
Return (*) | Negative Periods |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average (%) | Best (%) | Worst (%) | ||
1 Year |
12.03 |
58.83 Jul 1982 - Jun 1983 |
-43.44 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
20.07% |
2 Years |
11.31 |
37.08 Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-26.04 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
14.80% |
3 Years |
11.22 |
32.80 Aug 1984 - Jul 1987 |
-16.28 Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
13.18% |
4 Years |
11.22 |
30.60 Feb 1995 - Jan 1999 |
-9.79 Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
12.57% |
5 Years |
11.20 |
28.95 Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
-6.67 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
10.09% |
6 Years |
11.16 |
24.61 Apr 1994 - Mar 2000 |
-1.22 Jan 2000 - Dec 2005 |
2.25% |
7 Years |
11.18 |
22.44 Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 |
-3.91 Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
1.34% |
8 Years |
11.23 |
20.63 Jan 1991 - Dec 1998 |
-4.59 Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
2.55% |
9 Years |
11.23 |
20.83 Nov 1990 - Oct 1999 |
-5.20 Apr 2000 - Mar 2009 |
3.22% |
10 Years |
11.19 |
19.27 Sep 1990 - Aug 2000 |
-3.45 Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
4.95% |
11 Years |
11.18 |
19.12 Jan 1989 - Dec 1999 |
-1.59 Mar 1998 - Feb 2009 |
1.69% |
12 Years |
11.12 |
19.05 Dec 1987 - Nov 1999 |
0.48 Jan 2000 - Dec 2011 |
0.00% |
13 Years |
11.06 |
18.62 Aug 1984 - Jul 1997 |
1.60 Jan 2000 - Dec 2012 |
0.00% |
14 Years |
11.00 |
18.64 Aug 1984 - Jul 1998 |
2.84 Jan 1999 - Dec 2012 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
11.01 |
19.24 Aug 1982 - Jul 1997 |
3.67 Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
0.00% |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+12.03% |
+58.83% Jul 1982 - Jun 1983 |
-43.44% Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
20.07% 119 out of 593 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.31% |
+37.08% Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-26.04% Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
14.80% 86 out of 581 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.22% |
+32.80% Aug 1984 - Jul 1987 |
-16.28% Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
13.18% 75 out of 569 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.22% |
+30.60% Feb 1995 - Jan 1999 |
-9.79% Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
12.57% 70 out of 557 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.20% |
+28.95% Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
-6.67% Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
10.09% 55 out of 545 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.16% |
+24.61% Apr 1994 - Mar 2000 |
-1.22% Jan 2000 - Dec 2005 |
2.25% 12 out of 533 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.18% |
+22.44% Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 |
-3.91% Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
1.34% 7 out of 521 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.23% |
+20.63% Jan 1991 - Dec 1998 |
-4.59% Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
2.55% 13 out of 509 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.23% |
+20.83% Nov 1990 - Oct 1999 |
-5.20% Apr 2000 - Mar 2009 |
3.22% 16 out of 497 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.19% |
+19.27% Sep 1990 - Aug 2000 |
-3.45% Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
4.95% 24 out of 485 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.18% |
+19.12% Jan 1989 - Dec 1999 |
-1.59% Mar 1998 - Feb 2009 |
1.69% 8 out of 473 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.12% |
+19.05% Dec 1987 - Nov 1999 |
+0.48% Jan 2000 - Dec 2011 |
0.00% 0 out of 461 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.06% |
+18.62% Aug 1984 - Jul 1997 |
+1.60% Jan 2000 - Dec 2012 |
0.00% 0 out of 449 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.00% |
+18.64% Aug 1984 - Jul 1998 |
+2.84% Jan 1999 - Dec 2012 |
0.00% 0 out of 437 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)
Average Return |
Best Return |
Worst Return |
Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
+11.01% |
+19.24% Aug 1982 - Jul 1997 |
+3.67% Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
0.00% 0 out of 425 |
In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: historical returns page.