SPDR S&P 500 (SPY): Rolling Returns

Last Update: 31 March 2023

Holding a position in the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all 6 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 93.62% of times

All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from January 1871 until March 2023.

In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: historical returns page.

Rolling Returns

SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: annualized rolling and average returns

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Rolling Period	*Return ()**			Negative Periods
Rolling Period	Average (%)	Best (%)	Worst (%)	Negative Periods
1 Year	10.73	160.57 Jul 1932 - Jun 1933	-67.84 Jul 1931 - Jun 1932	27.37%
2 Years	9.90	55.64 Jul 1932 - Jun 1934	-54.64 Jun 1930 - May 1932	20.07%
3 Years	9.55	42.43 Mar 1933 - Feb 1936	-42.65 Jul 1929 - Jun 1932	16.13%
4 Years	9.40	41.06 Jul 1932 - Jun 1936	-27.87 Jun 1928 - May 1932	13.43%
5 Years	9.31	35.15 Jun 1932 - May 1937	-17.97 Sep 1929 - Aug 1934	10.80%
6 Years	9.24	30.77 Sep 1923 - Aug 1929	-12.68 Apr 1929 - Mar 1935	6.38%
7 Years	9.22	25.75 Feb 1922 - Jan 1929	-7.76 Jul 1925 - Jun 1932	3.90%
8 Years	9.21	28.16 Sep 1921 - Aug 1929	-8.26 Apr 1930 - Mar 1938	2.89%
9 Years	9.20	22.86 Sep 1920 - Aug 1929	-7.16 Apr 1929 - Mar 1938	2.67%
10 Years	9.17	21.28 Jun 1949 - May 1959	-5.38 Sep 1929 - Aug 1939	3.57%
11 Years	9.13	20.03 Sep 1918 - Aug 1929	-4.92 Sep 1929 - Aug 1940	2.54%
12 Years	9.10	19.33 Jun 1949 - May 1961	-4.40 May 1930 - Apr 1942	1.72%
13 Years	9.07	19.73 Aug 1942 - Jul 1955	-4.60 Sep 1929 - Aug 1942	1.61%
14 Years	9.05	20.46 May 1942 - Apr 1956	-1.72 Sep 1929 - Aug 1943	1.20%
15 Years	9.05	19.24 Aug 1982 - Jul 1997	-0.72 Sep 1929 - Aug 1944	0.24%

(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+10.73%	+160.57% Jul 1932 - Jun 1933	-67.84% Jul 1931 - Jun 1932	27.37% 497 out of 1816

1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns over time

1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.90%	+55.64% Jul 1932 - Jun 1934	-54.64% Jun 1930 - May 1932	20.07% 362 out of 1804

2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.55%	+42.43% Mar 1933 - Feb 1936	-42.65% Jul 1929 - Jun 1932	16.13% 289 out of 1792

3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.40%	+41.06% Jul 1932 - Jun 1936	-27.87% Jun 1928 - May 1932	13.43% 239 out of 1780

4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.31%	+35.15% Jun 1932 - May 1937	-17.97% Sep 1929 - Aug 1934	10.80% 191 out of 1768

5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.24%	+30.77% Sep 1923 - Aug 1929	-12.68% Apr 1929 - Mar 1935	6.38% 112 out of 1756

6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.22%	+25.75% Feb 1922 - Jan 1929	-7.76% Jul 1925 - Jun 1932	3.90% 68 out of 1744

7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.21%	+28.16% Sep 1921 - Aug 1929	-8.26% Apr 1930 - Mar 1938	2.89% 50 out of 1732

8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.20%	+22.86% Sep 1920 - Aug 1929	-7.16% Apr 1929 - Mar 1938	2.67% 46 out of 1720

9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.17%	+21.28% Jun 1949 - May 1959	-5.38% Sep 1929 - Aug 1939	3.57% 61 out of 1708

10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.13%	+20.03% Sep 1918 - Aug 1929	-4.92% Sep 1929 - Aug 1940	2.54% 43 out of 1696

11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.10%	+19.33% Jun 1949 - May 1961	-4.40% May 1930 - Apr 1942	1.72% 29 out of 1684

12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.07%	+19.73% Aug 1942 - Jul 1955	-4.60% Sep 1929 - Aug 1942	1.61% 27 out of 1672

13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.05%	+20.46% May 1942 - Apr 1956	-1.72% Sep 1929 - Aug 1943	1.20% 20 out of 1660

14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.05%	+19.24% Aug 1982 - Jul 1997	-0.72% Sep 1929 - Aug 1944	0.24% 4 out of 1648

15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

In order to have complete information about the ETF, please refer to the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF: historical returns page.