When holding the SPDR Russell 2000 US Small Cap UCITS (R2SC.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~99 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 165 months (from December 1928 to August 1942).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 166 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
SPDR Russell 2000 US Small Cap UCITS (R2SC.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 9.15%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-65.53%
Jul 1931 - Jun 1932 |
+14.21% |
+154.64%
Jul 1932 - Jun 1933 |
26.79%
314 out of 1172 |
-64.67%
Jul 1931 - Jun 1932 |
+9.04% |
+158.40%
Jul 1932 - Jun 1933 |
34.04%
399 out of 1172 |
-51.91%
Jun 1930 - May 1932 |
+13.84% |
+76.32%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1976 |
19.31%
224 out of 1160 |
-50.44%
Jun 1930 - May 1932 |
+9.41% |
+65.31%
Jul 1932 - Jun 1934 |
27.33%
317 out of 1160 |
-43.21%
Jul 1929 - Jun 1932 |
+13.45% |
+55.56%
Jul 1980 - Jun 1983 |
14.90%
171 out of 1148 |
-41.42%
Jul 1929 - Jun 1932 |
+9.03% |
+50.64%
Mar 1933 - Feb 1936 |
23.78%
273 out of 1148 |
-29.68%
Jun 1928 - May 1932 |
+13.41% |
+48.32%
Jul 1932 - Jun 1936 |
10.56%
120 out of 1136 |
-27.72%
Jun 1928 - May 1932 |
+9.00% |
+47.82%
Jul 1932 - Jun 1936 |
18.40%
209 out of 1136 |
-19.62%
Jul 1927 - Jun 1932 |
+13.37% |
+40.31%
Jun 1932 - May 1937 |
7.65%
86 out of 1124 |
-18.38%
Oct 1969 - Sep 1974 |
+9.43% |
+39.29%
Jun 1932 - May 1937 |
15.84%
178 out of 1124 |
-11.63%
Mar 1927 - Feb 1933 |
+13.48% |
+37.05%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1985 |
6.65%
74 out of 1112 |
-19.21%
Jan 1969 - Dec 1974 |
+9.24% |
+26.31%
Jun 1980 - May 1986 |
12.59%
140 out of 1112 |
-6.23%
Jan 1968 - Dec 1974 |
+13.47% |
+34.64%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985 |
4.82%
53 out of 1100 |
-14.12%
Jan 1968 - Dec 1974 |
+9.14% |
+22.82%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985 |
12.36%
136 out of 1100 |
-5.47%
Apr 1930 - Mar 1938 |
+13.26% |
+35.71%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1982 |
1.38%
15 out of 1088 |
-8.38%
Jan 1968 - Dec 1975 |
+8.94% |
+23.80%
May 1942 - Apr 1950 |
8.82%
96 out of 1088 |
-6.42%
Apr 1929 - Mar 1938 |
+13.38% |
+37.06%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1983 |
1.39%
15 out of 1076 |
-6.81%
Feb 1969 - Jan 1978 |
+8.79% |
+23.90%
May 1942 - Apr 1951 |
8.83%
95 out of 1076 |
-3.20%
Apr 1928 - Mar 1938 |
+13.52% |
+35.10%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1984 |
1.50%
16 out of 1064 |
-6.27%
Nov 1968 - Oct 1978 |
+9.01% |
+20.85%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985 |
7.14%
76 out of 1064 |
-1.80%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1940 |
+13.32% |
+32.34%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1985 |
0.48%
5 out of 1052 |
-5.23%
May 1969 - Apr 1980 |
+9.23% |
+18.92%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1985 |
6.18%
65 out of 1052 |
-1.20%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1941 |
+13.23% |
+30.24%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1986 |
1.06%
11 out of 1040 |
-4.07%
May 1968 - Apr 1980 |
+9.25% |
+18.79%
May 1942 - Apr 1954 |
5.29%
55 out of 1040 |
-1.79%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1942 |
+13.40% |
+28.98%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987 |
1.07%
11 out of 1028 |
-4.29%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1942 |
+9.20% |
+19.83%
May 1942 - Apr 1955 |
5.35%
55 out of 1028 |
+0.32%
May 1928 - Apr 1942 |
+13.72% |
+25.37%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1988 |
0.00%
0 out of 1016 |
-1.87%
Dec 1928 - Nov 1942 |
+9.00% |
+19.69%
May 1942 - Apr 1956 |
3.05%
31 out of 1016 |
+2.60%
Oct 1927 - Sep 1942 |
+13.70% |
+25.76%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1989 |
0.00%
0 out of 1004 |
-0.70%
Jan 1960 - Dec 1974 |
+8.79% |
+18.04%
May 1942 - Apr 1957 |
0.20%
2 out of 1004 |
+4.76%
Dec 1928 - Nov 1944 |
+13.71% |
+22.00%
Jan 1943 - Dec 1958 |
0.00%
0 out of 992 |
+0.41%
Jan 1959 - Dec 1974 |
+8.63% |
+16.91%
Dec 1942 - Nov 1958 |
0.00%
0 out of 992 |
+6.11%
Oct 1929 - Sep 1946 |
+14.02% |
+23.18%
May 1942 - Apr 1959 |
0.00%
0 out of 980 |
+2.13%
Nov 1961 - Oct 1978 |
+8.33% |
+18.23%
May 1942 - Apr 1959 |
0.00%
0 out of 980 |
+5.65%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1947 |
+14.52% |
+23.45%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 968 |
+1.78%
Jan 1957 - Dec 1974 |
+8.21% |
+17.14%
May 1942 - Apr 1960 |
0.00%
0 out of 968 |
+5.82%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1948 |
+14.41% |
+23.34%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 956 |
+1.18%
Dec 1968 - Nov 1987 |
+8.22% |
+17.35%
May 1942 - Apr 1961 |
0.00%
0 out of 956 |
+6.24%
Dec 1928 - Nov 1948 |
+14.00% |
+21.79%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 944 |
+2.15%
Dec 1968 - Nov 1988 |
+8.24% |
+16.45%
Apr 1942 - Mar 1962 |
0.00%
0 out of 944 |
+8.39%
Feb 1985 - Jan 2010 |
+14.52% |
+20.73%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 884 |
+3.53%
Nov 1965 - Oct 1990 |
+8.40% |
+15.79%
Oct 1942 - Sep 1967 |
0.00%
0 out of 884 |
+9.46%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+14.71% |
+19.18%
Apr 1938 - Mar 1968 |
0.00%
0 out of 824 |
+4.66%
Sep 1968 - Aug 1998 |
+8.28% |
+14.03%
Jun 1932 - May 1962 |
0.00%
0 out of 824 |
SPDR Russell 2000 US Small Cap UCITS (R2SC.L) ETF: Historical Returns