When holding the SPDR Bloomberg Sterling Corporate Bond UCITS (Dist) (UKCO.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~172 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 92 months (from February 2015 to September 2022).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 93 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
SPDR Bloomberg Sterling Corporate Bond UCITS (Dist) (UKCO.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Apr 30, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.66%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-24.18%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
+4.24% |
+42.74%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982 |
4.28%
88 out of 2056 |
|
-31.13%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
+3.18% |
+33.60%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982 |
23.20%
477 out of 2056 |
|
-12.94%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022 |
+4.33% |
+27.24%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1983 |
2.15%
44 out of 2044 |
|
-18.28%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022 |
+3.50% |
+24.73%
Sep 1920 - Aug 1922 |
21.33%
436 out of 2044 |
|
-7.43%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2022 |
+4.35% |
+28.22%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1977 |
2.02%
41 out of 2032 |
|
-16.07%
Feb 1915 - Jan 1918 |
+3.32% |
+20.10%
May 1920 - Apr 1923 |
19.88%
404 out of 2032 |
|
-4.13%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
+4.41% |
+22.53%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1978 |
2.18%
44 out of 2020 |
|
-14.39%
May 1914 - Apr 1918 |
+3.33% |
+15.58%
May 1920 - Apr 1924 |
19.26%
389 out of 2020 |
|
-2.61%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
+4.43% |
+19.73%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1979 |
2.24%
45 out of 2008 |
|
-12.98%
Jan 1915 - Dec 1919 |
+3.42% |
+13.53%
Apr 1920 - Mar 1925 |
19.37%
389 out of 2008 |
|
-2.23%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
+4.43% |
+19.32%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1980 |
1.55%
31 out of 1996 |
|
-11.99%
Feb 1914 - Jan 1920 |
+3.43% |
+12.09%
May 1920 - Apr 1926 |
21.09%
421 out of 1996 |
|
-1.12%
Sep 2016 - Aug 2023 |
+4.45% |
+18.01%
Dec 1975 - Nov 1982 |
0.35%
7 out of 1984 |
|
-10.10%
Apr 1913 - Mar 1920 |
+3.50% |
+11.42%
May 1920 - Apr 1927 |
21.77%
432 out of 1984 |
|
+0.21%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2024 |
+4.44% |
+19.68%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1982 |
0.00%
0 out of 1972 |
|
-8.47%
Apr 1912 - Mar 1920 |
+3.47% |
+11.12%
May 1990 - Apr 1998 |
22.97%
453 out of 1972 |
|
+0.52%
Sep 2016 - Aug 2025 |
+4.45% |
+19.11%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1983 |
0.00%
0 out of 1960 |
|
-7.52%
Apr 1911 - Mar 1920 |
+3.37% |
+11.02%
May 1990 - Apr 1999 |
24.03%
471 out of 1960 |
|
+1.28%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025 |
+4.43% |
+18.44%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1984 |
0.00%
0 out of 1948 |
|
-6.54%
Apr 1910 - Mar 1920 |
+3.35% |
+10.07%
May 1920 - Apr 1930 |
24.08%
469 out of 1948 |
|
+1.56%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026 |
+4.39% |
+17.96%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1985 |
0.00%
0 out of 1936 |
|
-5.84%
Apr 1909 - Mar 1920 |
+3.30% |
+9.92%
May 1920 - Apr 1931 |
24.33%
471 out of 1936 |
|
+2.18%
May 2013 - Apr 2025 |
+4.43% |
+17.29%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1986 |
0.00%
0 out of 1924 |
|
-5.21%
Apr 1908 - Mar 1920 |
+3.36% |
+10.58%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1994 |
22.92%
441 out of 1924 |
|
+2.27%
May 2013 - Apr 2026 |
+4.50% |
+17.15%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1987 |
0.00%
0 out of 1912 |
|
-4.61%
Apr 1907 - Mar 1920 |
+3.12% |
+10.13%
Sep 1920 - Aug 1933 |
22.28%
426 out of 1912 |
|
+2.52%
Aug 1896 - Jul 1910 |
+4.59% |
+16.65%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1988 |
0.00%
0 out of 1900 |
|
-4.18%
Apr 1906 - Mar 1920 |
+2.94% |
+9.94%
Apr 1920 - Mar 1934 |
21.32%
405 out of 1900 |
|
+2.55%
Mar 1902 - Feb 1917 |
+4.59% |
+15.93%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1989 |
0.00%
0 out of 1888 |
|
-3.77%
May 1905 - Apr 1920 |
+2.80% |
+9.54%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1997 |
20.92%
395 out of 1888 |
|
+2.57%
Mar 1901 - Feb 1917 |
+4.59% |
+15.73%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1990 |
0.00%
0 out of 1876 |
|
-3.30%
Apr 1904 - Mar 1920 |
+2.82% |
+9.71%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1998 |
19.03%
357 out of 1876 |
|
+2.56%
Mar 1900 - Feb 1917 |
+4.55% |
+15.89%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1991 |
0.00%
0 out of 1864 |
|
-3.00%
Apr 1903 - Mar 1920 |
+2.78% |
+9.90%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1999 |
17.81%
332 out of 1864 |
|
+2.52%
Mar 1899 - Feb 1917 |
+4.55% |
+15.87%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1992 |
0.00%
0 out of 1852 |
|
-2.75%
Apr 1902 - Mar 1920 |
+2.79% |
+9.32%
Dec 1981 - Nov 1999 |
15.12%
280 out of 1852 |
|
+2.48%
Mar 1898 - Feb 1917 |
+4.55% |
+16.27%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 1840 |
|
-2.48%
Apr 1901 - Mar 1920 |
+2.75% |
+9.21%
Feb 1982 - Jan 2001 |
12.83%
236 out of 1840 |
|
+2.47%
Mar 1897 - Feb 1917 |
+4.53% |
+15.41%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 1828 |
|
-2.24%
Apr 1900 - Mar 1920 |
+2.78% |
+9.10%
Nov 1981 - Oct 2001 |
12.69%
232 out of 1828 |
|
+2.60%
Sep 1895 - Aug 1920 |
+4.65% |
+14.50%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 1768 |
|
-1.60%
Apr 1895 - Mar 1920 |
+2.73% |
+8.30%
Nov 1981 - Oct 2006 |
10.07%
178 out of 1768 |
|
+2.75%
Sep 1890 - Aug 1920 |
+4.61% |
+13.38%
Jan 1975 - Dec 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 1708 |
|
-0.76%
Jan 1945 - Dec 1974 |
+2.68% |
+7.56%
Nov 1981 - Oct 2011 |
7.96%
136 out of 1708 |
SPDR Bloomberg Sterling Corporate Bond UCITS (Dist) (UKCO.L) ETF: Historical Returns

