JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-3 Months UCITS (BBM3.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1871 - March 2026 (~155 years)
Initial Amount: 1£
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-3 Months UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~155 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 202 months (from February 1932 to November 1948).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 203 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

JPM BETABUILDERS US TREASURY BOND 0-3 MONTHS UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2026 (~155 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1871/01 - 2026/03)

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As of Mar 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 2.99%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

JPM BETABUILDERS US TREASURY BOND 0-3 MONTHS UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2026 (~155 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1871/01 - 2026/03)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

JPM BETABUILDERS US TREASURY BOND 0-3 MONTHS UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2026 (~155 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-20.06%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986
+4.44% +52.00%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1981
16.68%
309 out of 1852
-23.95%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986
+2.67% +43.62%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1985
38.77%
718 out of 1852
-15.72%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1934
+4.60% +40.51%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1983
12.77%
235 out of 1840
-16.83%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1978
+2.34% +29.61%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1983
39.29%
723 out of 1840
-9.95%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1988
+4.77% +32.61%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1984
10.07%
184 out of 1828
-14.70%
Feb 1915 - Jan 1918
+2.20% +23.86%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1985
37.31%
682 out of 1828
-7.77%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1936
+4.97% +33.45%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
8.43%
153 out of 1816
-14.53%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980
+2.51% +25.04%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
35.90%
652 out of 1816
-6.12%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1937
+4.95% +28.75%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
6.54%
118 out of 1804
-9.08%
Jan 1914 - Dec 1918
+2.66% +19.41%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
34.92%
630 out of 1804
-4.92%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1938
+4.94% +23.10%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1985
4.52%
81 out of 1792
-8.15%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1980
+2.14% +13.20%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1986
32.81%
588 out of 1792
-2.90%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1939
+4.94% +20.03%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985
3.15%
56 out of 1780
-7.61%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1980
+1.72% +10.73%
Feb 1925 - Jan 1932
29.89%
532 out of 1780
-0.72%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1940
+4.97% +16.30%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1985
1.07%
19 out of 1768
-7.33%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1980
+1.48% +9.07%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1881
29.64%
524 out of 1768
-1.20%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1941
+4.96% +17.14%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1985
0.63%
11 out of 1756
-6.30%
Sep 1971 - Aug 1980
+1.33% +8.77%
Feb 1923 - Jan 1932
30.18%
530 out of 1756
-1.09%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1942
+4.89% +18.06%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
0.63%
11 out of 1744
-6.47%
Nov 1970 - Oct 1980
+1.25% +8.67%
Feb 1922 - Jan 1932
31.31%
546 out of 1744
-0.96%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1943
+4.84% +16.51%
Mar 1974 - Feb 1985
0.64%
11 out of 1732
-5.90%
Nov 1969 - Oct 1980
+1.23% +8.65%
Feb 1921 - Jan 1932
32.51%
563 out of 1732
-0.85%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1944
+4.80% +16.48%
Mar 1973 - Feb 1985
0.64%
11 out of 1720
-5.37%
Nov 1968 - Oct 1980
+1.19% +8.92%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1932
32.50%
559 out of 1720
-0.74%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1945
+4.78% +15.89%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1985
0.59%
10 out of 1708
-4.73%
Nov 1967 - Oct 1980
+1.05% +9.07%
Feb 1919 - Jan 1932
29.68%
507 out of 1708
-0.66%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1946
+4.75% +14.39%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1985
0.53%
9 out of 1696
-4.22%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1946
+0.98% +8.67%
Feb 1918 - Jan 1932
28.89%
490 out of 1696
-0.60%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1947
+4.76% +13.78%
Mar 1970 - Feb 1985
0.53%
9 out of 1684
-4.36%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1947
+0.91% +7.67%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1888
27.32%
460 out of 1684
-0.52%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1948
+4.76% +13.32%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1985
0.42%
7 out of 1672
-4.30%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1948
+0.94% +7.44%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1889
25.66%
429 out of 1672
+0.09%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1949
+4.78% +12.85%
Mar 1968 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1660
-3.75%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1949
+0.95% +7.29%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1890
23.01%
382 out of 1660
+1.55%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1938
+4.79% +13.17%
Mar 1967 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1648
-2.63%
Nov 1962 - Oct 1980
+0.93% +7.13%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1891
24.03%
396 out of 1648
+1.26%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2021
+4.78% +12.87%
Mar 1966 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1636
-2.50%
Nov 1961 - Oct 1980
+0.99% +7.06%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1892
25.18%
412 out of 1636
+1.21%
Jun 2001 - May 2021
+4.81% +12.44%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1624
-2.60%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1952
+1.11% +7.00%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1893
26.54%
431 out of 1624
+1.70%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1957
+4.89% +10.49%
Mar 1960 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1564
-2.48%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1957
+1.12% +6.63%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1898
18.61%
291 out of 1564
+1.85%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1962
+4.89% +9.13%
Mar 1963 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1504
-2.25%
Sep 1950 - Aug 1980
+1.00% +5.98%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1903
19.15%
288 out of 1504
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