JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-3 Months UCITS (BBM3.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1871 - February 2026 (~155 years)
Initial Amount: 1£
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-3 Months UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~155 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 202 months (from February 1932 to November 1948).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 203 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

JPM BETABUILDERS US TREASURY BOND 0-3 MONTHS UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 March 1996 - 28 February 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 28 February 2026 (~155 years)
30 Years
(1996/03 - 2026/02)
All Data
(1871/01 - 2026/02)

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As of Feb 28, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 2.44%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

JPM BETABUILDERS US TREASURY BOND 0-3 MONTHS UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 1996 - 28 February 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 28 February 2026 (~155 years)
30 Years
(1996/03 - 2026/02)
All Data
(1871/01 - 2026/02)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

JPM BETABUILDERS US TREASURY BOND 0-3 MONTHS UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 28 February 2026 (~155 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-20.06%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986
+4.44% +52.00%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1981
16.69%
309 out of 1851
-23.95%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986
+2.68% +43.62%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1985
38.74%
717 out of 1851
-15.72%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1934
+4.61% +40.51%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1983
12.78%
235 out of 1839
-16.83%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1978
+2.34% +29.61%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1983
39.26%
722 out of 1839
-9.95%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1988
+4.77% +32.61%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1984
10.07%
184 out of 1827
-14.70%
Feb 1915 - Jan 1918
+2.21% +23.86%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1985
37.27%
681 out of 1827
-7.77%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1936
+4.98% +33.45%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
8.43%
153 out of 1815
-14.53%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980
+2.53% +25.04%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
35.87%
651 out of 1815
-6.12%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1937
+4.95% +28.75%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
6.54%
118 out of 1803
-9.08%
Jan 1914 - Dec 1918
+2.66% +19.41%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
34.89%
629 out of 1803
-4.92%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1938
+4.95% +23.10%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1985
4.52%
81 out of 1791
-8.15%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1980
+2.15% +13.20%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1986
32.77%
587 out of 1791
-2.90%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1939
+4.94% +20.03%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985
3.15%
56 out of 1779
-7.61%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1980
+1.73% +10.73%
Feb 1925 - Jan 1932
29.85%
531 out of 1779
-0.72%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1940
+4.97% +16.30%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1985
1.08%
19 out of 1767
-7.33%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1980
+1.48% +9.07%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1881
29.60%
523 out of 1767
-1.20%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1941
+4.96% +17.14%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1985
0.63%
11 out of 1755
-6.30%
Sep 1971 - Aug 1980
+1.35% +8.77%
Feb 1923 - Jan 1932
30.14%
529 out of 1755
-1.09%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1942
+4.89% +18.06%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
0.63%
11 out of 1743
-6.47%
Nov 1970 - Oct 1980
+1.26% +8.67%
Feb 1922 - Jan 1932
31.27%
545 out of 1743
-0.96%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1943
+4.84% +16.51%
Mar 1974 - Feb 1985
0.64%
11 out of 1731
-5.90%
Nov 1969 - Oct 1980
+1.24% +8.65%
Feb 1921 - Jan 1932
32.47%
562 out of 1731
-0.85%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1944
+4.80% +16.48%
Mar 1973 - Feb 1985
0.64%
11 out of 1719
-5.37%
Nov 1968 - Oct 1980
+1.20% +8.92%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1932
32.52%
559 out of 1719
-0.74%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1945
+4.78% +15.89%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1985
0.59%
10 out of 1707
-4.73%
Nov 1967 - Oct 1980
+1.05% +9.07%
Feb 1919 - Jan 1932
29.64%
506 out of 1707
-0.66%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1946
+4.75% +14.39%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1985
0.53%
9 out of 1695
-4.22%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1946
+0.98% +8.67%
Feb 1918 - Jan 1932
28.91%
490 out of 1695
-0.60%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1947
+4.76% +13.78%
Mar 1970 - Feb 1985
0.53%
9 out of 1683
-4.36%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1947
+0.91% +7.67%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1888
27.27%
459 out of 1683
-0.52%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1948
+4.76% +13.32%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1985
0.42%
7 out of 1671
-4.30%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1948
+0.94% +7.44%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1889
25.61%
428 out of 1671
+0.09%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1949
+4.78% +12.85%
Mar 1968 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1659
-3.75%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1949
+0.96% +7.29%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1890
22.97%
381 out of 1659
+1.55%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1938
+4.79% +13.17%
Mar 1967 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1647
-2.63%
Nov 1962 - Oct 1980
+0.93% +7.13%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1891
24.04%
396 out of 1647
+1.26%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2021
+4.78% +12.87%
Mar 1966 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1635
-2.50%
Nov 1961 - Oct 1980
+0.99% +7.06%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1892
25.20%
412 out of 1635
+1.21%
Jun 2001 - May 2021
+4.81% +12.44%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1623
-2.60%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1952
+1.11% +7.00%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1893
26.49%
430 out of 1623
+1.70%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1957
+4.89% +10.49%
Mar 1960 - Feb 1985
0.00%
0 out of 1563
-2.48%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1957
+1.14% +6.63%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1898
18.55%
290 out of 1563
+1.85%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1962
+4.89% +9.13%
Mar 1963 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1503
-2.25%
Sep 1950 - Aug 1980
+1.01% +5.98%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1903
19.16%
288 out of 1503
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