When holding the JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-3 Months UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~155 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 202 months (from February 1932 to November 1948).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 203 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-3 Months UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 3.59%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-20.06%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986 |
+4.45% |
+52.00%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1981 |
16.59%
306 out of 1844 |
-23.95%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986 |
+2.71% |
+43.62%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1985 |
38.56%
711 out of 1844 |
-15.72%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1934 |
+4.62% |
+40.51%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1983 |
12.77%
234 out of 1832 |
-16.83%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1978 |
+2.37% |
+29.61%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1983 |
39.03%
715 out of 1832 |
-9.95%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1988 |
+4.79% |
+32.61%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1984 |
10.00%
182 out of 1820 |
-14.70%
Feb 1915 - Jan 1918 |
+2.26% |
+23.86%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1985 |
37.03%
674 out of 1820 |
-7.77%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1936 |
+4.98% |
+33.45%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985 |
8.46%
153 out of 1808 |
-14.53%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1980 |
+2.57% |
+25.04%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985 |
35.62%
644 out of 1808 |
-6.12%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1937 |
+4.97% |
+28.75%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
6.57%
118 out of 1796 |
-9.08%
Jan 1914 - Dec 1918 |
+2.67% |
+19.41%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
34.63%
622 out of 1796 |
-4.92%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1938 |
+4.96% |
+23.10%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1985 |
4.54%
81 out of 1784 |
-8.15%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1980 |
+2.16% |
+13.20%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1986 |
32.51%
580 out of 1784 |
-2.90%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1939 |
+4.94% |
+20.03%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985 |
3.16%
56 out of 1772 |
-7.61%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1980 |
+1.73% |
+10.73%
Feb 1925 - Jan 1932 |
29.57%
524 out of 1772 |
-0.72%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1940 |
+4.99% |
+16.30%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1985 |
1.08%
19 out of 1760 |
-7.33%
Nov 1972 - Oct 1980 |
+1.49% |
+9.07%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1881 |
29.32%
516 out of 1760 |
-1.20%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1941 |
+4.97% |
+17.14%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1985 |
0.63%
11 out of 1748 |
-6.30%
Sep 1971 - Aug 1980 |
+1.42% |
+8.77%
Feb 1923 - Jan 1932 |
29.86%
522 out of 1748 |
-1.09%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1942 |
+4.90% |
+18.06%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985 |
0.63%
11 out of 1736 |
-6.47%
Nov 1970 - Oct 1980 |
+1.27% |
+8.67%
Feb 1922 - Jan 1932 |
31.05%
539 out of 1736 |
-0.96%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1943 |
+4.85% |
+16.51%
Mar 1974 - Feb 1985 |
0.64%
11 out of 1724 |
-5.90%
Nov 1969 - Oct 1980 |
+1.24% |
+8.65%
Feb 1921 - Jan 1932 |
32.54%
561 out of 1724 |
-0.85%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1944 |
+4.80% |
+16.48%
Mar 1973 - Feb 1985 |
0.64%
11 out of 1712 |
-5.37%
Nov 1968 - Oct 1980 |
+1.23% |
+8.92%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1932 |
32.59%
558 out of 1712 |
-0.74%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1945 |
+4.78% |
+15.89%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1985 |
0.59%
10 out of 1700 |
-4.73%
Nov 1967 - Oct 1980 |
+1.06% |
+9.07%
Feb 1919 - Jan 1932 |
29.59%
503 out of 1700 |
-0.66%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1946 |
+4.75% |
+14.39%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1985 |
0.53%
9 out of 1688 |
-4.22%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1946 |
+0.99% |
+8.67%
Feb 1918 - Jan 1932 |
28.67%
484 out of 1688 |
-0.60%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1947 |
+4.77% |
+13.78%
Mar 1970 - Feb 1985 |
0.54%
9 out of 1676 |
-4.36%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1947 |
+0.91% |
+7.67%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1888 |
26.97%
452 out of 1676 |
-0.52%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1948 |
+4.76% |
+13.32%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1985 |
0.42%
7 out of 1664 |
-4.30%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1948 |
+0.95% |
+7.44%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1889 |
25.30%
421 out of 1664 |
+0.09%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1949 |
+4.78% |
+12.85%
Mar 1968 - Feb 1985 |
0.00%
0 out of 1652 |
-3.75%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1949 |
+0.96% |
+7.29%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1890 |
22.70%
375 out of 1652 |
+1.55%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1938 |
+4.80% |
+13.17%
Mar 1967 - Feb 1985 |
0.00%
0 out of 1640 |
-2.63%
Nov 1962 - Oct 1980 |
+0.94% |
+7.13%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1891 |
24.15%
396 out of 1640 |
+1.26%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2021 |
+4.78% |
+12.87%
Mar 1966 - Feb 1985 |
0.00%
0 out of 1628 |
-2.50%
Nov 1961 - Oct 1980 |
+1.01% |
+7.06%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1892 |
25.31%
412 out of 1628 |
+1.21%
Jun 2001 - May 2021 |
+4.82% |
+12.44%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1985 |
0.00%
0 out of 1616 |
-2.60%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1952 |
+1.13% |
+7.00%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1893 |
26.49%
428 out of 1616 |
+1.70%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1957 |
+4.89% |
+10.49%
Mar 1960 - Feb 1985 |
0.00%
0 out of 1556 |
-2.48%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1957 |
+1.16% |
+6.63%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1898 |
18.19%
283 out of 1556 |
+1.85%
Feb 1932 - Jan 1962 |
+4.90% |
+9.13%
Mar 1963 - Feb 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 1496 |
-2.25%
Sep 1950 - Aug 1980 |
+1.01% |
+5.98%
Feb 1873 - Jan 1903 |
19.25%
288 out of 1496 |
JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-3 Months UCITS (BBM3.L) ETF: Historical Returns