iShares Core EURO STOXX 50 Acc (CS51.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: February 1972 - November 2025 (~54 years)
Initial Amount: 1ÂŁ
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares Core EURO STOXX 50 Acc (CS51.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~54 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 152 months (from January 2000 to August 2012).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 153 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES CORE EURO STOXX 50 ACC (CS51.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 December 1995 - 30 November 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1972 - 30 November 2025 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1995/12 - 2025/11)
All Data
(1972/02 - 2025/11)

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As of Nov 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 10.52%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES CORE EURO STOXX 50 ACC (CS51.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 December 1995 - 30 November 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1972 - 30 November 2025 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1995/12 - 2025/11)
All Data
(1972/02 - 2025/11)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES CORE EURO STOXX 50 ACC (CS51.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 1972 - 30 November 2025 (~54 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-33.12%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+10.81% +84.81%
Sep 1985 - Aug 1986
29.29%
186 out of 635
-35.93%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008
+6.09% +80.46%
Sep 1985 - Aug 1986
37.80%
240 out of 635
-27.58%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+8.79% +46.45%
Sep 1984 - Aug 1986
24.72%
154 out of 623
-28.41%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+3.80% +40.44%
Sep 1984 - Aug 1986
39.33%
245 out of 623
-19.72%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2003
+8.56% +35.00%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1986
14.73%
90 out of 611
-20.74%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2003
+3.79% +29.17%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1986
34.53%
211 out of 611
-9.62%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004
+8.18% +34.85%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1986
11.52%
69 out of 599
-14.69%
Jul 1978 - Jun 1982
+3.78% +29.00%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1986
32.22%
193 out of 599
-7.51%
Jun 2007 - May 2012
+8.40% +28.51%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
11.24%
66 out of 587
-11.86%
Aug 1977 - Jul 1982
+3.56% +23.03%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
33.73%
198 out of 587
-2.77%
Aug 1998 - Jul 2004
+7.74% +22.25%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1987
6.26%
36 out of 575
-11.34%
Jul 1976 - Jun 1982
+3.83% +16.02%
Jun 1981 - May 1987
29.57%
170 out of 575
+0.29%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2012
+7.49% +21.84%
Oct 1982 - Sep 1989
0.00%
0 out of 563
-8.69%
Jul 1975 - Jun 1982
+3.65% +16.42%
Oct 1982 - Sep 1989
22.91%
129 out of 563
-2.14%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+7.49% +20.74%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1990
0.91%
5 out of 551
-8.05%
Nov 1973 - Oct 1981
+4.06% +15.17%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1990
19.42%
107 out of 551
-3.21%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+7.42% +17.91%
Jun 1981 - May 1990
1.48%
8 out of 539
-8.55%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1981
+4.12% +11.94%
Jun 1981 - May 1990
16.88%
91 out of 539
-0.58%
Jul 2000 - Jun 2010
+7.87% +15.96%
May 1980 - Apr 1990
0.76%
4 out of 527
-8.45%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1982
+4.15% +10.10%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2001
14.42%
76 out of 527
-0.70%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+8.09% +15.69%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1993
0.97%
5 out of 515
-5.51%
Jun 1972 - May 1983
+4.10% +10.36%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1993
11.65%
60 out of 515
-1.69%
Jun 2000 - May 2012
+8.08% +16.50%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1986
1.59%
8 out of 503
-4.71%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1984
+4.13% +10.16%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000
8.95%
45 out of 503
+0.66%
Jun 1999 - May 2012
+7.83% +15.57%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987
0.00%
0 out of 491
-3.60%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1985
+4.02% +10.24%
Aug 1985 - Jul 1998
7.54%
37 out of 491
+0.42%
Jun 1998 - May 2012
+7.79% +14.53%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1998
0.00%
0 out of 479
-1.67%
Jun 1998 - May 2012
+3.70% +10.27%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1998
2.92%
14 out of 479
+1.59%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+7.49% +14.65%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1989
0.00%
0 out of 467
-1.11%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1988
+3.55% +10.32%
Aug 1985 - Jul 2000
3.21%
15 out of 467
+1.34%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+7.25% +15.37%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998
0.00%
0 out of 455
-0.69%
Apr 1972 - Mar 1988
+3.64% +11.02%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998
3.74%
17 out of 455
+2.78%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2017
+7.11% +14.44%
Jun 1983 - May 2000
0.00%
0 out of 443
+0.49%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1990
+3.25% +10.42%
Jun 1983 - May 2000
0.00%
0 out of 443
+2.94%
Jun 1998 - May 2016
+6.90% +15.14%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2000
0.00%
0 out of 431
+0.00%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1990
+3.42% +11.10%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2000
0.00%
0 out of 431
+2.79%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019
+7.10% +14.00%
Jun 1981 - May 2000
0.00%
0 out of 419
-0.07%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1991
+3.71% +9.68%
Jun 1981 - May 2000
0.24%
1 out of 419
+2.22%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+7.36% +12.99%
May 1980 - Apr 2000
0.00%
0 out of 407
-0.13%
Sep 1972 - Aug 1992
+3.78% +8.44%
Feb 1981 - Jan 2001
0.49%
2 out of 407
+4.42%
Jun 1987 - May 2012
+6.98% +12.77%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 347
+1.54%
Jun 1987 - May 2012
+3.90% +8.10%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2007
0.00%
0 out of 347
+4.92%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2020
+7.97% +9.83%
Oct 1974 - Sep 2004
0.00%
0 out of 287
+0.97%
Oct 1972 - Sep 2002
+4.09% +5.69%
Jul 1981 - Jun 2011
0.00%
0 out of 287
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