iShares Core EURO STOXX 50 Acc (CS51.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: February 1972 - July 2025 (~54 years)
Initial Amount: 1ÂŁ
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares Core EURO STOXX 50 Acc (CS51.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~54 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 152 months (from January 2000 to August 2012).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 153 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES CORE EURO STOXX 50 ACC (CS51.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1972 - 31 July 2025 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1972/02 - 2025/07)

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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 9.32%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES CORE EURO STOXX 50 ACC (CS51.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1972 - 31 July 2025 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1972/02 - 2025/07)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES CORE EURO STOXX 50 ACC (CS51.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 1972 - 31 July 2025 (~54 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-33.12%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+10.68% +84.81%
Sep 1985 - Aug 1986
29.48%
186 out of 631
-35.93%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008
+6.05% +80.46%
Sep 1985 - Aug 1986
38.03%
240 out of 631
-27.58%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+8.77% +46.45%
Sep 1984 - Aug 1986
24.88%
154 out of 619
-28.41%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+3.63% +40.44%
Sep 1984 - Aug 1986
39.58%
245 out of 619
-19.72%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2003
+8.53% +35.00%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1986
14.83%
90 out of 607
-20.74%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2003
+3.57% +29.17%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1986
34.76%
211 out of 607
-9.62%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004
+8.17% +34.85%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1986
11.60%
69 out of 595
-14.69%
Jul 1978 - Jun 1982
+3.76% +29.00%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1986
32.44%
193 out of 595
-7.51%
Jun 2007 - May 2012
+8.36% +28.51%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
11.32%
66 out of 583
-11.86%
Aug 1977 - Jul 1982
+3.45% +23.03%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
33.96%
198 out of 583
-2.77%
Aug 1998 - Jul 2004
+7.65% +22.25%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1987
6.30%
36 out of 571
-11.34%
Jul 1976 - Jun 1982
+3.78% +16.02%
Jun 1981 - May 1987
29.77%
170 out of 571
+0.29%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2012
+7.44% +21.84%
Oct 1982 - Sep 1989
0.00%
0 out of 559
-8.69%
Jul 1975 - Jun 1982
+3.57% +16.42%
Oct 1982 - Sep 1989
23.08%
129 out of 559
-2.14%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+7.44% +20.74%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1990
0.91%
5 out of 547
-8.05%
Nov 1973 - Oct 1981
+4.02% +15.17%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1990
19.56%
107 out of 547
-3.21%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+7.41% +17.91%
Jun 1981 - May 1990
1.50%
8 out of 535
-8.55%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1981
+4.11% +11.94%
Jun 1981 - May 1990
17.01%
91 out of 535
-0.58%
Jul 2000 - Jun 2010
+7.85% +15.96%
May 1980 - Apr 1990
0.76%
4 out of 523
-8.45%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1982
+4.10% +10.10%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2001
14.53%
76 out of 523
-0.70%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+8.07% +15.69%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1993
0.98%
5 out of 511
-5.51%
Jun 1972 - May 1983
+4.10% +10.36%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1993
11.74%
60 out of 511
-1.69%
Jun 2000 - May 2012
+8.06% +16.50%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1986
1.60%
8 out of 499
-4.71%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1984
+4.12% +10.16%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000
9.02%
45 out of 499
+0.66%
Jun 1999 - May 2012
+7.80% +15.57%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987
0.00%
0 out of 487
-3.60%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1985
+3.99% +10.24%
Aug 1985 - Jul 1998
7.60%
37 out of 487
+0.42%
Jun 1998 - May 2012
+7.76% +14.53%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1998
0.00%
0 out of 475
-1.67%
Jun 1998 - May 2012
+3.70% +10.27%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1998
2.95%
14 out of 475
+1.59%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+7.42% +14.65%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1989
0.00%
0 out of 463
-1.11%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1988
+3.53% +10.32%
Aug 1985 - Jul 2000
3.24%
15 out of 463
+1.34%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+7.24% +15.37%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998
0.00%
0 out of 451
-0.69%
Apr 1972 - Mar 1988
+3.62% +11.02%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1998
3.77%
17 out of 451
+2.78%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2017
+7.09% +14.44%
Jun 1983 - May 2000
0.00%
0 out of 439
+0.49%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1990
+3.24% +10.42%
Jun 1983 - May 2000
0.00%
0 out of 439
+2.94%
Jun 1998 - May 2016
+7.01% +15.14%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2000
0.00%
0 out of 427
+0.00%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1990
+3.45% +11.10%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2000
0.00%
0 out of 427
+2.79%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019
+7.12% +14.00%
Jun 1981 - May 2000
0.00%
0 out of 415
-0.07%
Dec 1972 - Nov 1991
+3.71% +9.68%
Jun 1981 - May 2000
0.24%
1 out of 415
+2.22%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+7.38% +12.99%
May 1980 - Apr 2000
0.00%
0 out of 403
-0.13%
Sep 1972 - Aug 1992
+3.76% +8.44%
Feb 1981 - Jan 2001
0.50%
2 out of 403
+4.42%
Jun 1987 - May 2012
+7.14% +12.77%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 343
+1.54%
Jun 1987 - May 2012
+3.91% +8.10%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2007
0.00%
0 out of 343
+4.92%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2020
+7.99% +9.83%
Oct 1974 - Sep 2004
0.00%
0 out of 283
+0.97%
Oct 1972 - Sep 2002
+4.09% +5.69%
Jul 1981 - Jun 2011
0.00%
0 out of 283
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