When holding the iShares S&P 500 Utilities Sector UCITS (IUSU.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~32 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 131 months (from July 1993 to May 2004).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 132 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares S&P 500 Utilities Sector UCITS (IUSU.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 11.66%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-38.54%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003 |
+9.19% |
+54.77%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2016 |
25.40%
95 out of 374 |
-39.47%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003 |
+6.55% |
+54.07%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2016 |
30.75%
115 out of 374 |
-27.03%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2002 |
+9.44% |
+31.54%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2016 |
13.54%
49 out of 362 |
-27.96%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2002 |
+6.43% |
+31.07%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2016 |
20.17%
73 out of 362 |
-15.62%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2003 |
+9.32% |
+24.34%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2017 |
12.29%
43 out of 350 |
-16.64%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2003 |
+6.51% |
+23.27%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2017 |
21.71%
76 out of 350 |
-8.66%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2004 |
+9.29% |
+20.61%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2016 |
12.43%
42 out of 338 |
-9.82%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2004 |
+5.99% |
+19.31%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2016 |
17.75%
60 out of 338 |
-4.77%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2003 |
+8.69% |
+18.80%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2019 |
11.04%
36 out of 326 |
-5.94%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2003 |
+6.32% |
+16.95%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2019 |
15.03%
49 out of 326 |
-1.83%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2003 |
+8.46% |
+18.43%
Oct 2013 - Sep 2019 |
6.37%
20 out of 314 |
-3.07%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2003 |
+5.40% |
+16.65%
Oct 2013 - Sep 2019 |
11.46%
36 out of 314 |
-2.55%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2003 |
+9.04% |
+17.33%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2016 |
2.65%
8 out of 302 |
-3.90%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2003 |
+6.00% |
+14.86%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2016 |
7.62%
23 out of 302 |
-0.84%
Jun 2001 - May 2009 |
+8.85% |
+16.59%
Jun 2009 - May 2017 |
0.69%
2 out of 290 |
-2.75%
Jun 2001 - May 2009 |
+5.68% |
+14.02%
Jun 2009 - May 2017 |
7.24%
21 out of 290 |
-2.07%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2002 |
+9.45% |
+15.30%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2019 |
2.88%
8 out of 278 |
-3.65%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2002 |
+6.45% |
+13.07%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2020 |
7.55%
21 out of 278 |
-0.64%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2003 |
+10.25% |
+15.13%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2019 |
1.50%
4 out of 266 |
-2.21%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2003 |
+7.38% |
+12.63%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2019 |
4.51%
12 out of 266 |
+0.04%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2004 |
+10.29% |
+14.41%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 254 |
-1.52%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2004 |
+7.43% |
+11.77%
Jun 2009 - May 2020 |
2.76%
7 out of 254 |
+2.69%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2005 |
+10.22% |
+13.89%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 242 |
+0.64%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2012 |
+7.35% |
+11.17%
Jul 2004 - Jun 2016 |
0.00%
0 out of 242 |
+2.84%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2006 |
+10.03% |
+14.09%
Sep 2009 - Aug 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 230 |
+1.11%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2006 |
+7.49% |
+11.15%
Jun 2009 - May 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 230 |
+3.20%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2007 |
+9.41% |
+13.91%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 218 |
+1.46%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2007 |
+7.08% |
+11.43%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 218 |
+3.01%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2008 |
+8.81% |
+13.20%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 206 |
+1.08%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2008 |
+6.52% |
+10.61%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 206 |
+2.78%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2009 |
+7.93% |
+12.91%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 194 |
+0.88%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2009 |
+5.73% |
+10.41%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 194 |
+3.55%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2010 |
+8.39% |
+13.26%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 182 |
+1.56%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2010 |
+6.11% |
+10.82%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 182 |
+3.83%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2011 |
+8.28% |
+12.59%
Sep 2004 - Aug 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 170 |
+1.70%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2011 |
+6.09% |
+9.75%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 170 |
+4.39%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2012 |
+8.37% |
+12.46%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 158 |
+2.22%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2012 |
+6.25% |
+9.87%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 158 |
+4.55%
Oct 1993 - Sep 2013 |
+8.44% |
+12.11%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 146 |
+2.35%
Oct 1993 - Sep 2013 |
+6.26% |
+9.32%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 146 |
+6.63%
Oct 1993 - Sep 2018 |
+8.33% |
+9.67%
Sep 1997 - Aug 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 86 |
+4.52%
Sep 1993 - Aug 2018 |
+6.00% |
+7.24%
Sep 1997 - Aug 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 86 |
+6.64%
Oct 1993 - Sep 2023 |
+8.25% |
+8.90%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 26 |
+4.14%
Oct 1993 - Sep 2023 |
+5.68% |
+6.32%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 26 |
iShares S&P 500 Utilities Sector UCITS (IUSU.L) ETF: Historical Returns