iShares US Property Yield UCITS (Dist) (IUSP.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1928 - July 2025 (~98 years)
Initial Amount: 1ÂŁ
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares US Property Yield UCITS (Dist) (IUSP.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~98 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 191 months (from September 1929 to July 1945).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 192 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES US PROPERTY YIELD UCITS (DIST) (IUSP.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1928 - 31 July 2025 (~98 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1928/01 - 2025/07)

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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 5.45%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES US PROPERTY YIELD UCITS (DIST) (IUSP.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1928 - 31 July 2025 (~98 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1928/01 - 2025/07)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES US PROPERTY YIELD UCITS (DIST) (IUSP.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1928 - 31 July 2025 (~98 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-52.61%
Jul 1931 - Jun 1932
+8.31% +96.08%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2010
28.45%
330 out of 1160
-51.43%
Jul 1931 - Jun 1932
+3.58% +89.66%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2010
40.52%
470 out of 1160
-35.09%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+6.75% +55.79%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1976
21.95%
252 out of 1148
-36.87%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+2.64% +47.44%
Oct 1982 - Sep 1984
39.72%
456 out of 1148
-22.09%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2009
+6.91% +52.84%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1985
14.96%
170 out of 1136
-24.21%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2009
+2.68% +45.18%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1985
37.94%
431 out of 1136
-16.30%
Apr 1931 - Mar 1935
+7.79% +44.81%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
12.81%
144 out of 1124
-16.21%
Jan 1971 - Dec 1974
+2.91% +35.68%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
34.43%
387 out of 1124
-13.02%
Apr 1930 - Mar 1935
+7.23% +39.78%
May 1980 - Apr 1985
9.35%
104 out of 1112
-13.10%
Jan 1970 - Dec 1974
+2.63% +30.06%
May 1980 - Apr 1985
35.34%
393 out of 1112
-9.97%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1935
+7.46% +36.80%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1985
8.00%
88 out of 1100
-11.09%
Dec 1968 - Nov 1974
+2.68% +24.79%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1985
34.27%
377 out of 1100
-8.64%
Apr 1931 - Mar 1938
+8.26% +33.12%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985
6.62%
72 out of 1088
-9.37%
Jan 1968 - Dec 1974
+3.39% +21.44%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985
34.93%
380 out of 1088
-7.44%
Apr 1930 - Mar 1938
+8.71% +29.49%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1983
5.67%
61 out of 1076
-7.38%
Nov 1967 - Oct 1975
+3.30% +20.48%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
31.32%
337 out of 1076
-5.27%
Apr 1929 - Mar 1938
+8.76% +31.78%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1984
4.89%
52 out of 1064
-6.84%
Jul 1933 - Jun 1942
+3.88% +19.26%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1984
28.01%
298 out of 1064
-4.04%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1939
+8.83% +32.74%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
3.99%
42 out of 1052
-6.31%
Sep 1932 - Aug 1942
+4.57% +19.03%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
28.04%
295 out of 1052
-3.52%
Sep 1931 - Aug 1942
+9.21% +28.59%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1985
3.46%
36 out of 1040
-6.98%
Sep 1931 - Aug 1942
+4.78% +16.88%
Nov 1975 - Oct 1986
26.83%
279 out of 1040
-3.23%
May 1930 - Apr 1942
+9.51% +27.73%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1986
3.31%
34 out of 1028
-5.98%
May 1930 - Apr 1942
+4.90% +15.35%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1986
27.43%
282 out of 1028
-3.08%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1942
+9.38% +24.53%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987
2.17%
22 out of 1016
-5.54%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1942
+4.95% +13.40%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2022
26.77%
272 out of 1016
-1.11%
May 1928 - Apr 1942
+9.47% +22.49%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1988
1.10%
11 out of 1004
-4.76%
Jan 1961 - Dec 1974
+4.79% +12.30%
Nov 1975 - Oct 1989
25.40%
255 out of 1004
-0.52%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1944
+9.40% +22.32%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1989
0.20%
2 out of 992
-4.50%
Jan 1960 - Dec 1974
+4.83% +12.51%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2005
23.89%
237 out of 992
+0.03%
Sep 1929 - Aug 1945
+9.23% +19.58%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1986
0.00%
0 out of 980
-4.22%
Jan 1959 - Dec 1974
+4.79% +13.20%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2006
21.94%
215 out of 980
+1.06%
Sep 1957 - Aug 1974
+9.15% +19.42%
Dec 1975 - Nov 1992
0.00%
0 out of 968
-4.04%
Jan 1958 - Dec 1974
+4.64% +11.55%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2007
19.63%
190 out of 968
+1.17%
Jan 1957 - Dec 1974
+9.16% +20.74%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1993
0.00%
0 out of 956
-3.97%
Jun 1957 - May 1975
+4.42% +11.75%
Nov 1975 - Oct 1993
17.68%
169 out of 956
+1.17%
Jan 1956 - Dec 1974
+9.08% +20.68%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1993
0.00%
0 out of 944
-3.85%
Jan 1956 - Dec 1974
+4.39% +11.12%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1993
15.15%
143 out of 944
+1.10%
Jan 1955 - Dec 1974
+9.14% +18.55%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1994
0.00%
0 out of 932
-3.94%
Jan 1955 - Dec 1974
+4.38% +9.97%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2002
14.48%
135 out of 932
+2.04%
Jan 1950 - Dec 1974
+9.12% +16.11%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1999
0.00%
0 out of 872
-3.05%
Jan 1950 - Dec 1974
+3.94% +10.67%
Feb 1982 - Jan 2007
12.50%
109 out of 872
+3.99%
Oct 1929 - Sep 1959
+9.85% +16.23%
Jan 1975 - Dec 2004
0.00%
0 out of 812
-1.53%
Jun 1950 - May 1980
+3.45% +10.15%
Dec 1975 - Nov 2005
7.51%
61 out of 812
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