iShares US Mortgage Backed Securities UCITS GBP Hedged (Dist) (IMGP.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1985 - July 2025 (~41 years)
Initial Amount: 1ÂŁ
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares US Mortgage Backed Securities UCITS GBP Hedged (Dist) (IMGP.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 149 months (from June 2011 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 150 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES US MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES UCITS GBP HEDGED (DIST) (IMGP.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 July 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/07)

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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.20%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES US MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES UCITS GBP HEDGED (DIST) (IMGP.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 July 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/07)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES US MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES UCITS GBP HEDGED (DIST) (IMGP.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 July 2025 (~41 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-15.44%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+5.72% +24.56%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986
14.08%
67 out of 476
-23.86%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.42% +18.88%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986
23.95%
114 out of 476
-9.10%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+5.67% +19.47%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1986
9.27%
43 out of 464
-15.66%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+3.54% +14.29%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987
22.84%
106 out of 464
-6.56%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+6.07% +18.04%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1991
9.07%
41 out of 452
-12.32%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+3.70% +11.10%
May 1990 - Apr 1993
20.13%
91 out of 452
-4.17%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+6.10% +16.48%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1993
8.86%
39 out of 440
-8.79%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+3.16% +10.33%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1993
21.82%
96 out of 440
-2.23%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
+5.68% +15.61%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1992
9.35%
40 out of 428
-6.42%
Jun 2020 - May 2025
+2.67% +9.52%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1992
17.06%
73 out of 428
-2.24%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+5.38% +14.58%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1993
9.13%
38 out of 416
-6.01%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+3.07% +9.03%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1991
17.07%
71 out of 416
-2.02%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+5.70% +15.18%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991
8.17%
33 out of 404
-5.66%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+3.54% +9.26%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991
17.08%
69 out of 404
-1.44%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
+6.10% +14.65%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1992
8.67%
34 out of 392
-4.77%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
+3.98% +9.22%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1993
16.07%
63 out of 392
-1.03%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+6.06% +14.04%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1993
7.37%
28 out of 380
-4.00%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+4.15% +8.86%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1993
16.05%
61 out of 380
-0.53%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+6.09% +13.03%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995
3.26%
12 out of 368
-3.34%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+4.25% +8.25%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995
13.04%
48 out of 368
-0.56%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+6.25% +13.27%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1995
1.97%
7 out of 356
-3.31%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+4.23% +8.56%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1995
14.04%
50 out of 356
-0.26%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
+6.29% +12.63%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1996
0.87%
3 out of 344
-3.00%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
+4.07% +8.12%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1996
13.37%
46 out of 344
+0.08%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+6.14% +12.43%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1997
0.00%
0 out of 332
-2.82%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+3.93% +8.14%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998
12.95%
43 out of 332
+0.50%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+6.08% +12.07%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 320
-2.43%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+3.83% +7.96%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998
12.81%
41 out of 320
+0.98%
Aug 2010 - Jul 2025
+6.04% +11.36%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 308
-1.95%
Aug 2010 - Jul 2025
+3.81% +7.53%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2002
13.31%
41 out of 308
+1.35%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024
+6.10% +11.32%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2000
0.00%
0 out of 296
-1.56%
Jun 2009 - May 2025
+3.86% +7.69%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2001
13.51%
40 out of 296
+1.32%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+5.82% +11.16%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2001
0.00%
0 out of 284
-1.58%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+3.61% +7.67%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2002
14.08%
40 out of 284
+1.51%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023
+5.79% +11.17%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2002
0.00%
0 out of 272
-1.37%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023
+3.64% +7.72%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2003
14.34%
39 out of 272
+1.59%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+5.80% +10.89%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2003
0.00%
0 out of 260
-1.26%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+3.70% +7.58%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004
13.85%
36 out of 260
+1.90%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
+6.01% +10.70%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004
0.00%
0 out of 248
-0.94%
Jun 2005 - May 2025
+3.83% +7.44%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004
14.11%
35 out of 248
+3.02%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+5.70% +9.43%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2009
0.00%
0 out of 188
+0.53%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+3.59% +6.30%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2009
0.00%
0 out of 188
+3.87%
Jun 1995 - May 2025
+6.32% +8.43%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2014
0.00%
0 out of 128
+1.39%
Aug 1995 - Jul 2025
+3.89% +5.38%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2014
0.00%
0 out of 128
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