When holding the iShares $ TIPS UCITS (Acc) (ITPS.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 68 months (from November 2001 to June 2007).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 69 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares $ TIPS UCITS (Acc) (ITPS.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Apr 30, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 3.40%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-23.27%
Dec 1986 - Nov 1987 |
+5.77% |
+59.72%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1993 |
29.48%
143 out of 485 |
|
-26.31%
Dec 1986 - Nov 1987 |
+2.93% |
+55.19%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1993 |
38.56%
187 out of 485 |
|
-9.47%
Dec 1986 - Nov 1988 |
+5.52% |
+34.15%
Mar 1991 - Feb 1993 |
17.12%
81 out of 473 |
|
-13.14%
Dec 1986 - Nov 1988 |
+2.81% |
+28.24%
Mar 1991 - Feb 1993 |
36.58%
173 out of 473 |
|
-2.97%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1987 |
+5.90% |
+27.84%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1993 |
9.11%
42 out of 461 |
|
-7.50%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2023 |
+3.29% |
+22.86%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1993 |
31.24%
144 out of 461 |
|
-1.52%
Nov 1986 - Oct 1990 |
+6.42% |
+20.19%
Mar 1989 - Feb 1993 |
5.12%
23 out of 449 |
|
-6.76%
Nov 1986 - Oct 1990 |
+3.83% |
+13.90%
Mar 1989 - Feb 1993 |
20.49%
92 out of 449 |
|
-0.73%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2025 |
+6.64% |
+18.40%
Dec 1988 - Nov 1993 |
1.14%
5 out of 437 |
|
-5.49%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2025 |
+4.46% |
+13.45%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1996 |
20.14%
88 out of 437 |
|
+0.27%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2007 |
+6.99% |
+16.84%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 425 |
|
-3.70%
May 2020 - Apr 2026 |
+4.70% |
+11.32%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993 |
14.12%
60 out of 425 |
|
+1.42%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+6.94% |
+14.39%
Dec 1988 - Nov 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 413 |
|
-2.36%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+4.74% |
+10.13%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2001 |
8.23%
34 out of 413 |
|
+1.50%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2024 |
+7.03% |
+13.71%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 401 |
|
-2.09%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2024 |
+4.45% |
+10.03%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
5.99%
24 out of 401 |
|
+1.73%
Feb 2017 - Jan 2026 |
+6.87% |
+12.50%
Jul 1992 - Jun 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 389 |
|
-1.84%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2025 |
+4.22% |
+10.47%
Jul 1992 - Jun 2001 |
3.34%
13 out of 389 |
|
+3.19%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026 |
+6.70% |
+12.62%
Dec 1990 - Nov 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 377 |
|
-0.24%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026 |
+4.26% |
+9.99%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2001 |
1.06%
4 out of 377 |
|
+2.91%
Mar 2013 - Feb 2024 |
+6.91% |
+12.86%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 365 |
|
-0.04%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026 |
+4.52% |
+10.30%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2001 |
0.27%
1 out of 365 |
|
+2.88%
Jun 2012 - May 2024 |
+7.02% |
+11.99%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 353 |
|
+0.01%
May 2013 - Apr 2025 |
+4.59% |
+9.42%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 353 |
|
+2.61%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
+7.08% |
+12.06%
Jun 1988 - May 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 341 |
|
-0.24%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
+4.57% |
+8.91%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2003 |
0.59%
2 out of 341 |
|
+2.95%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026 |
+7.12% |
+11.50%
Jun 1988 - May 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 329 |
|
+0.13%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026 |
+4.71% |
+8.29%
Jun 1988 - May 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 329 |
|
+3.26%
Jun 2010 - May 2025 |
+7.00% |
+11.04%
Jun 1988 - May 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 317 |
|
+0.29%
Jun 2010 - May 2025 |
+4.58% |
+7.96%
Jun 1988 - May 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 317 |
|
+3.68%
May 2010 - Apr 2026 |
+6.88% |
+10.12%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 305 |
|
+0.76%
May 2010 - Apr 2026 |
+4.60% |
+7.07%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 305 |
|
+3.66%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2026 |
+6.87% |
+9.71%
Jun 1988 - May 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 293 |
|
+0.67%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2026 |
+4.69% |
+7.14%
Apr 1992 - Mar 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 293 |
|
+4.94%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2021 |
+6.93% |
+9.90%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 281 |
|
+2.10%
Dec 2005 - Nov 2023 |
+4.62% |
+7.54%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 281 |
|
+4.93%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2024 |
+6.88% |
+9.40%
Mar 1991 - Feb 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 269 |
|
+2.02%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2024 |
+4.60% |
+7.00%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 269 |
|
+4.71%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2025 |
+6.79% |
+9.66%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 257 |
|
+1.74%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2025 |
+4.54% |
+7.17%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 257 |
|
+4.50%
May 2001 - Apr 2026 |
+7.08% |
+9.26%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 197 |
|
+1.81%
May 2001 - Apr 2026 |
+4.69% |
+6.25%
May 1988 - Apr 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 197 |
|
+5.21%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026 |
+7.34% |
+8.22%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 137 |
|
+2.71%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026 |
+4.74% |
+5.89%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 137 |
iShares $ TIPS UCITS (Acc) (ITPS.L) ETF: Historical Returns

