When holding the iShares S&P 500 Value ETF (IVE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~25 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 128 months (from February 2001 to September 2011).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 129 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares S&P 500 Value ETF (IVE) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-49.26%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+12.17% |
+59.14%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
22.97%
65 out of 283 |
-49.27%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+8.88% |
+55.79%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
28.62%
81 out of 283 |
-31.16%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+10.68% |
+39.57%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
14.76%
40 out of 271 |
-32.55%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+7.75% |
+36.65%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
18.82%
51 out of 271 |
-18.09%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+10.13% |
+25.46%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
16.22%
42 out of 259 |
-19.83%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+7.51% |
+22.53%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
19.31%
50 out of 259 |
-11.73%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
+10.00% |
+22.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
17.41%
43 out of 247 |
-13.92%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
+6.70% |
+20.23%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
20.65%
51 out of 247 |
-7.68%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+9.35% |
+22.75%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
16.60%
39 out of 235 |
-10.06%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+6.82% |
+20.27%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
22.55%
53 out of 235 |
-1.15%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2011 |
+9.03% |
+21.14%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.90%
2 out of 223 |
-3.28%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2011 |
+5.96% |
+19.12%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
21.52%
48 out of 223 |
-3.96%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+8.78% |
+16.43%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016 |
3.32%
7 out of 211 |
-6.38%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+6.19% |
+14.62%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016 |
9.00%
19 out of 211 |
-5.08%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+8.50% |
+17.83%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
4.02%
8 out of 199 |
-7.30%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+5.74% |
+15.82%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
9.05%
18 out of 199 |
-0.51%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2010 |
+8.17% |
+16.75%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
1.07%
2 out of 187 |
-2.85%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2010 |
+5.66% |
+14.70%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
4.81%
9 out of 187 |
+1.46%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2011 |
+7.91% |
+15.25%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 175 |
-0.85%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2011 |
+5.75% |
+13.25%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
4.00%
7 out of 175 |
+1.38%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2011 |
+8.28% |
+14.23%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 163 |
-1.01%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2011 |
+5.86% |
+12.19%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 |
2.45%
4 out of 163 |
+2.64%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2012 |
+7.36% |
+14.67%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 151 |
+0.27%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2012 |
+5.45% |
+12.64%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 151 |
+3.94%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2014 |
+7.56% |
+14.78%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 139 |
+1.63%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2014 |
+5.46% |
+12.24%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 139 |
+4.47%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2015 |
+7.74% |
+13.75%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 127 |
+2.33%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2015 |
+5.58% |
+10.95%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 127 |
+3.90%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016 |
+7.50% |
+14.25%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 115 |
+1.82%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016 |
+5.33% |
+11.39%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 115 |
+5.06%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2017 |
+7.59% |
+14.12%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 103 |
+2.93%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2017 |
+5.32% |
+11.24%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 103 |
+5.63%
Jun 2001 - May 2018 |
+7.61% |
+9.36%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 91 |
+3.50%
May 2001 - Apr 2018 |
+5.28% |
+7.05%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 91 |
+4.98%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2018 |
+7.82% |
+9.79%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 79 |
+2.84%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2018 |
+5.21% |
+7.59%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 79 |
+4.96%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020 |
+8.11% |
+9.92%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 67 |
+2.87%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2020 |
+5.47% |
+7.37%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 67 |
+5.66%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2021 |
+8.37% |
+9.38%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 55 |
+3.55%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2021 |
+5.67% |
+6.71%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 55 |
iShares S&P 500 Value ETF (IVE) ETF: Historical Returns