When holding the iShares Physical Silver (SSLN.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~111 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 706 months (from June 1967 to March 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares Physical Silver (SSLN.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Mar 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -25.80%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-97.88%
Apr 2025 - Mar 2026 |
+1.32% |
+390.56%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979 |
41.92%
555 out of 1324 |
|
-97.95%
Apr 2025 - Mar 2026 |
-1.43% |
+318.43%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979 |
55.06%
729 out of 1324 |
|
-83.17%
Apr 2024 - Mar 2026 |
+2.59% |
+147.72%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980 |
39.56%
519 out of 1312 |
|
-83.66%
Apr 2024 - Mar 2026 |
-0.52% |
+117.73%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980 |
52.21%
685 out of 1312 |
|
-69.43%
Apr 2023 - Mar 2026 |
+3.71% |
+81.69%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980 |
38.15%
496 out of 1300 |
|
-70.34%
Apr 2023 - Mar 2026 |
-0.08% |
+61.54%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980 |
50.23%
653 out of 1300 |
|
-58.68%
Apr 2022 - Mar 2026 |
+3.98% |
+67.51%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980 |
35.48%
457 out of 1288 |
|
-60.55%
Apr 2022 - Mar 2026 |
+0.36% |
+47.61%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980 |
49.22%
634 out of 1288 |
|
-49.96%
Apr 2021 - Mar 2026 |
+3.80% |
+54.94%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980 |
32.37%
413 out of 1276 |
|
-52.44%
Apr 2021 - Mar 2026 |
+0.21% |
+34.27%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980 |
49.29%
629 out of 1276 |
|
-39.65%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026 |
+3.75% |
+47.53%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1979 |
29.35%
371 out of 1264 |
|
-42.22%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026 |
+0.38% |
+36.63%
May 2005 - Apr 2011 |
48.02%
607 out of 1264 |
|
-35.36%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2026 |
+4.16% |
+51.64%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
29.71%
372 out of 1252 |
|
-37.86%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2026 |
+0.50% |
+31.49%
May 2004 - Apr 2011 |
48.00%
601 out of 1252 |
|
-31.76%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2026 |
+4.18% |
+51.45%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980 |
28.63%
355 out of 1240 |
|
-34.23%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2026 |
+0.55% |
+32.11%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1979 |
46.85%
581 out of 1240 |
|
-30.57%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2026 |
+3.93% |
+42.17%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1980 |
26.71%
328 out of 1228 |
|
-32.99%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2026 |
+0.48% |
+24.89%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980 |
46.42%
570 out of 1228 |
|
-25.80%
Apr 2016 - Mar 2026 |
+4.11% |
+34.74%
Mar 1970 - Feb 1980 |
27.80%
338 out of 1216 |
|
-28.29%
Apr 2016 - Mar 2026 |
+0.42% |
+22.03%
May 2001 - Apr 2011 |
46.22%
562 out of 1216 |
|
-24.13%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026 |
+4.06% |
+31.54%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1980 |
26.58%
320 out of 1204 |
|
-26.48%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026 |
+0.59% |
+19.11%
May 2000 - Apr 2011 |
45.02%
542 out of 1204 |
|
-22.72%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2026 |
+4.28% |
+27.80%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1980 |
27.01%
322 out of 1192 |
|
-24.92%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2026 |
+0.62% |
+16.84%
May 1999 - Apr 2011 |
42.87%
511 out of 1192 |
|
-23.91%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2026 |
+4.79% |
+30.89%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980 |
28.05%
331 out of 1180 |
|
-26.00%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2026 |
+0.68% |
+17.72%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980 |
40.08%
473 out of 1180 |
|
-22.86%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2026 |
+5.23% |
+28.55%
Mar 1966 - Feb 1980 |
27.05%
316 out of 1168 |
|
-24.98%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2026 |
+1.34% |
+16.16%
Feb 1966 - Jan 1980 |
39.21%
458 out of 1168 |
|
-22.41%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026 |
+5.95% |
+26.40%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1980 |
27.42%
317 out of 1156 |
|
-24.57%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026 |
+2.00% |
+14.67%
Feb 1965 - Jan 1980 |
39.36%
455 out of 1156 |
|
-17.60%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2026 |
+6.14% |
+24.58%
Mar 1964 - Feb 1980 |
25.96%
297 out of 1144 |
|
-19.95%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2026 |
+1.84% |
+13.40%
Feb 1964 - Jan 1980 |
37.06%
424 out of 1144 |
|
-15.49%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2026 |
+6.24% |
+23.70%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979 |
23.59%
267 out of 1132 |
|
-17.93%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2026 |
+1.72% |
+13.24%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979 |
37.46%
424 out of 1132 |
|
-14.52%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2026 |
+6.48% |
+23.35%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979 |
22.32%
250 out of 1120 |
|
-16.98%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2026 |
+1.51% |
+13.31%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979 |
37.86%
424 out of 1120 |
|
-12.73%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2026 |
+6.47% |
+22.47%
Mar 1961 - Feb 1980 |
20.04%
222 out of 1108 |
|
-15.22%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2026 |
+1.39% |
+12.59%
Feb 1961 - Jan 1980 |
39.62%
439 out of 1108 |
|
-12.01%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2026 |
+6.27% |
+21.32%
Mar 1960 - Feb 1980 |
18.89%
207 out of 1096 |
|
-14.53%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2026 |
+1.32% |
+11.88%
Feb 1960 - Jan 1980 |
38.69%
424 out of 1096 |
|
-6.88%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2026 |
+5.96% |
+16.84%
Mar 1955 - Feb 1980 |
10.23%
106 out of 1036 |
|
-9.30%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2026 |
+1.13% |
+8.88%
Feb 1955 - Jan 1980 |
37.64%
390 out of 1036 |
|
-6.32%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2026 |
+5.42% |
+14.56%
Mar 1950 - Feb 1980 |
4.30%
42 out of 976 |
|
-8.55%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2026 |
+0.55% |
+7.11%
Jan 1950 - Dec 1979 |
43.85%
428 out of 976 |
iShares Physical Silver (SSLN.L) ETF: Historical Returns

