When holding the iShares Physical Silver (SSLN.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~111 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 513 months (from February 1980 to October 2022).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 514 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares Physical Silver (SSLN.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 10.92%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-64.42%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1981 |
+1.30% |
+390.56%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979 |
41.95%
552 out of 1316 |
-68.53%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1981 |
-1.43% |
+318.43%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979 |
55.17%
726 out of 1316 |
-47.48%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982 |
+2.59% |
+147.72%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980 |
39.57%
516 out of 1304 |
-53.00%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982 |
-0.54% |
+117.73%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980 |
52.30%
682 out of 1304 |
-27.35%
May 2011 - Apr 2014 |
+3.69% |
+81.69%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980 |
38.16%
493 out of 1292 |
-29.76%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1982 |
-0.13% |
+61.54%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980 |
50.31%
650 out of 1292 |
-23.13%
May 2011 - Apr 2015 |
+3.92% |
+67.51%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980 |
35.47%
454 out of 1280 |
-27.07%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1984 |
+0.34% |
+47.61%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980 |
49.30%
631 out of 1280 |
-19.44%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
+3.80% |
+54.94%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980 |
32.33%
410 out of 1268 |
-25.28%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
+0.20% |
+34.27%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980 |
49.37%
626 out of 1268 |
-20.61%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986 |
+3.75% |
+47.53%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1979 |
29.30%
368 out of 1256 |
-26.05%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986 |
+0.35% |
+36.63%
May 2005 - Apr 2011 |
48.09%
604 out of 1256 |
-19.03%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987 |
+4.15% |
+51.64%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
29.66%
369 out of 1244 |
-24.23%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987 |
+0.45% |
+31.49%
May 2004 - Apr 2011 |
48.07%
598 out of 1244 |
-17.49%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1991 |
+4.18% |
+51.45%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980 |
28.57%
352 out of 1232 |
-21.87%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988 |
+0.54% |
+32.11%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1979 |
46.92%
578 out of 1232 |
-15.71%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1989 |
+3.93% |
+42.17%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1980 |
26.64%
325 out of 1220 |
-20.76%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1989 |
+0.48% |
+24.89%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980 |
46.48%
567 out of 1220 |
-14.93%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990 |
+4.09% |
+34.74%
Mar 1970 - Feb 1980 |
27.73%
335 out of 1208 |
-19.91%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990 |
+0.41% |
+22.03%
May 2001 - Apr 2011 |
46.27%
559 out of 1208 |
-17.12%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1991 |
+4.05% |
+31.54%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1980 |
26.51%
317 out of 1196 |
-22.04%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1991 |
+0.58% |
+19.11%
May 2000 - Apr 2011 |
45.07%
539 out of 1196 |
-14.79%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1991 |
+4.26% |
+27.80%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1980 |
26.94%
319 out of 1184 |
-20.11%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1991 |
+0.61% |
+16.84%
May 1999 - Apr 2011 |
42.91%
508 out of 1184 |
-13.12%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1993 |
+4.79% |
+30.89%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980 |
27.99%
328 out of 1172 |
-18.11%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1993 |
+0.68% |
+17.72%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980 |
40.02%
469 out of 1172 |
-10.19%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994 |
+5.26% |
+28.55%
Mar 1966 - Feb 1980 |
26.98%
313 out of 1160 |
-15.14%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994 |
+1.36% |
+16.16%
Feb 1966 - Jan 1980 |
39.14%
454 out of 1160 |
-10.62%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995 |
+6.00% |
+26.40%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1980 |
27.35%
314 out of 1148 |
-15.31%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995 |
+1.98% |
+14.67%
Feb 1965 - Jan 1980 |
39.37%
452 out of 1148 |
-8.69%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996 |
+6.14% |
+24.58%
Mar 1964 - Feb 1980 |
25.88%
294 out of 1136 |
-13.51%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1995 |
+1.84% |
+13.40%
Feb 1964 - Jan 1980 |
37.06%
421 out of 1136 |
-9.16%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1996 |
+6.18% |
+23.70%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979 |
23.49%
264 out of 1124 |
-13.82%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1996 |
+1.72% |
+13.24%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979 |
37.46%
421 out of 1124 |
-7.45%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1998 |
+6.48% |
+23.35%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979 |
22.21%
247 out of 1112 |
-11.89%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1997 |
+1.50% |
+13.31%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979 |
37.86%
421 out of 1112 |
-7.94%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1999 |
+6.47% |
+22.47%
Mar 1961 - Feb 1980 |
19.91%
219 out of 1100 |
-12.20%
Jan 1980 - Dec 1998 |
+1.37% |
+12.59%
Feb 1961 - Jan 1980 |
39.64%
436 out of 1100 |
-7.55%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000 |
+6.26% |
+21.32%
Mar 1960 - Feb 1980 |
18.75%
204 out of 1088 |
-11.58%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000 |
+1.31% |
+11.88%
Feb 1960 - Jan 1980 |
38.69%
421 out of 1088 |
-5.67%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005 |
+5.96% |
+16.84%
Mar 1955 - Feb 1980 |
10.02%
103 out of 1028 |
-9.27%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005 |
+1.12% |
+8.88%
Feb 1955 - Jan 1980 |
37.65%
387 out of 1028 |
-1.44%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2010 |
+5.42% |
+14.56%
Mar 1950 - Feb 1980 |
4.03%
39 out of 968 |
-5.00%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2010 |
+0.54% |
+7.11%
Jan 1950 - Dec 1979 |
43.90%
425 out of 968 |
iShares Physical Silver (SSLN.L) ETF: Historical Returns