When holding the iShares Physical Silver (SSLN.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~111 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 704 months (from July 1967 to February 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares Physical Silver (SSLN.L) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Feb 28, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -24.13%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-97.29%
Feb 2025 - Jan 2026 |
+1.33% |
+390.56%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979 |
41.87%
554 out of 1323 |
|
-97.37%
Feb 2025 - Jan 2026 |
-1.41% |
+318.43%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1979 |
55.03%
728 out of 1323 |
|
-80.59%
Feb 2024 - Jan 2026 |
+2.60% |
+147.72%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980 |
39.51%
518 out of 1311 |
|
-81.16%
Feb 2024 - Jan 2026 |
-0.50% |
+117.73%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980 |
52.17%
684 out of 1311 |
|
-67.12%
Feb 2023 - Jan 2026 |
+3.76% |
+81.69%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980 |
38.11%
495 out of 1299 |
|
-68.18%
Feb 2023 - Jan 2026 |
-0.06% |
+61.54%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980 |
50.19%
652 out of 1299 |
|
-55.88%
Mar 2022 - Feb 2026 |
+4.10% |
+67.51%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980 |
35.43%
456 out of 1287 |
|
-57.89%
Mar 2022 - Feb 2026 |
+0.38% |
+47.61%
Feb 1976 - Jan 1980 |
49.18%
633 out of 1287 |
|
-49.00%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2026 |
+3.81% |
+54.94%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980 |
32.31%
412 out of 1275 |
|
-51.45%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2026 |
+0.23% |
+34.27%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1980 |
49.25%
628 out of 1275 |
|
-39.40%
Feb 2020 - Jan 2026 |
+3.75% |
+47.53%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1979 |
29.30%
370 out of 1263 |
|
-41.91%
Feb 2020 - Jan 2026 |
+0.41% |
+36.63%
May 2005 - Apr 2011 |
47.98%
606 out of 1263 |
|
-33.87%
Feb 2019 - Jan 2026 |
+4.16% |
+51.64%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
29.66%
371 out of 1251 |
|
-36.39%
Feb 2019 - Jan 2026 |
+0.52% |
+31.49%
May 2004 - Apr 2011 |
47.96%
600 out of 1251 |
|
-30.34%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2026 |
+4.19% |
+51.45%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980 |
28.57%
354 out of 1239 |
|
-32.81%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2026 |
+0.58% |
+32.11%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1979 |
46.81%
580 out of 1239 |
|
-29.06%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2026 |
+3.94% |
+42.17%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1980 |
26.65%
327 out of 1227 |
|
-31.48%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2026 |
+0.50% |
+24.89%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1980 |
46.37%
569 out of 1227 |
|
-24.13%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2026 |
+4.12% |
+34.74%
Mar 1970 - Feb 1980 |
27.74%
337 out of 1215 |
|
-26.62%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2026 |
+0.44% |
+22.03%
May 2001 - Apr 2011 |
46.17%
561 out of 1215 |
|
-22.79%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026 |
+4.06% |
+31.54%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1980 |
26.52%
319 out of 1203 |
|
-25.14%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026 |
+0.59% |
+19.11%
May 2000 - Apr 2011 |
44.97%
541 out of 1203 |
|
-21.77%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2026 |
+4.32% |
+27.80%
Feb 1968 - Jan 1980 |
26.95%
321 out of 1191 |
|
-23.94%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2026 |
+0.63% |
+16.84%
May 1999 - Apr 2011 |
42.82%
510 out of 1191 |
|
-23.04%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2026 |
+4.79% |
+30.89%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980 |
27.99%
330 out of 1179 |
|
-25.15%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2026 |
+0.68% |
+17.72%
Feb 1967 - Jan 1980 |
40.03%
472 out of 1179 |
|
-21.99%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2026 |
+5.23% |
+28.55%
Mar 1966 - Feb 1980 |
26.99%
315 out of 1167 |
|
-24.09%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2026 |
+1.34% |
+16.16%
Feb 1966 - Jan 1980 |
39.16%
457 out of 1167 |
|
-20.66%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2026 |
+5.96% |
+26.40%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1980 |
27.36%
316 out of 1155 |
|
-22.83%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2026 |
+2.00% |
+14.67%
Feb 1965 - Jan 1980 |
39.31%
454 out of 1155 |
|
-16.12%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026 |
+6.14% |
+24.58%
Mar 1964 - Feb 1980 |
25.90%
296 out of 1143 |
|
-18.49%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026 |
+1.85% |
+13.40%
Feb 1964 - Jan 1980 |
37.01%
423 out of 1143 |
|
-14.46%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026 |
+6.26% |
+23.70%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979 |
23.52%
266 out of 1131 |
|
-16.88%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026 |
+1.72% |
+13.24%
Jan 1963 - Dec 1979 |
37.40%
423 out of 1131 |
|
-14.17%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2026 |
+6.49% |
+23.35%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979 |
22.25%
249 out of 1119 |
|
-16.61%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2026 |
+1.51% |
+13.31%
Jan 1962 - Dec 1979 |
37.80%
423 out of 1119 |
|
-12.01%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2026 |
+6.48% |
+22.47%
Mar 1961 - Feb 1980 |
19.96%
221 out of 1107 |
|
-14.49%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2026 |
+1.39% |
+12.59%
Feb 1961 - Jan 1980 |
39.57%
438 out of 1107 |
|
-10.29%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2026 |
+6.28% |
+21.32%
Mar 1960 - Feb 1980 |
18.81%
206 out of 1095 |
|
-12.82%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2026 |
+1.32% |
+11.88%
Feb 1960 - Jan 1980 |
38.63%
423 out of 1095 |
|
-6.37%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2026 |
+5.96% |
+16.84%
Mar 1955 - Feb 1980 |
10.14%
105 out of 1035 |
|
-9.27%
Feb 1980 - Jan 2005 |
+1.14% |
+8.88%
Feb 1955 - Jan 1980 |
37.58%
389 out of 1035 |
|
-5.72%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026 |
+5.44% |
+14.56%
Mar 1950 - Feb 1980 |
4.21%
41 out of 975 |
|
-7.96%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026 |
+0.57% |
+7.11%
Jan 1950 - Dec 1979 |
43.79%
427 out of 975 |
iShares Physical Silver (SSLN.L) ETF: Historical Returns

