When holding the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~26 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 224 months (from November 2007 to June 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL ETF (EWZ) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 2006 - 30 June 2026 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2001 - 30 June 2026 (~26 years)
All Data
(2001/01 - 2026/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL ETF (EWZ) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2001 - 30 June 2026 (~26 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-56.84%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+9.71% +129.55%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2009
41.69%
123 out of 295
-56.84%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+6.21% +125.24%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2009
45.08%
133 out of 295
-33.01%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2003
+3.87% +87.02%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2005
42.40%
120 out of 283
-34.31%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2003
+1.08% +82.69%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2005
48.76%
138 out of 283
-27.34%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016
+4.47% +82.36%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2005
38.38%
104 out of 271
-27.96%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016
+1.63% +76.69%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2005
45.76%
124 out of 271
-23.92%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016
+3.48% +65.77%
Jun 2004 - May 2008
39.77%
103 out of 259
-24.65%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016
+0.18% +60.31%
Jun 2004 - May 2008
49.42%
128 out of 259
-20.93%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2015
+3.83% +69.29%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007
37.25%
92 out of 247
-22.11%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2015
+0.50% +64.52%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007
48.18%
119 out of 247
-16.74%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2015
+2.55% +53.37%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2008
37.45%
88 out of 235
-17.98%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2015
-0.45% +48.43%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2008
51.91%
122 out of 235
-11.78%
Jun 2008 - May 2015
+2.23% +45.47%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2009
40.36%
90 out of 223
-12.98%
Jun 2008 - May 2015
-0.82% +41.83%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2009
53.81%
120 out of 223
-13.16%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2016
+2.50% +41.70%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2010
36.97%
78 out of 211
-14.35%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2016
-0.46% +38.40%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2010
52.61%
111 out of 211
-9.99%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
+2.07% +32.96%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2011
44.22%
88 out of 199
-11.44%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
-0.41% +29.68%
Aug 2002 - Jul 2011
52.26%
104 out of 199
-8.23%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
+1.07% +28.55%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2012
43.32%
81 out of 187
-9.79%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
-1.34% +25.44%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2012
57.22%
107 out of 187
-5.85%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2021
+1.69% +24.60%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2013
41.71%
73 out of 175
-7.90%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2021
-0.36% +21.74%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2013
51.43%
90 out of 175
-7.41%
May 2008 - Apr 2020
+1.98% +21.68%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2014
37.42%
61 out of 163
-8.79%
May 2008 - Apr 2020
-0.21% +18.95%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2014
50.31%
82 out of 163
-5.67%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020
+2.45% +15.89%
Sep 2001 - Aug 2014
37.75%
57 out of 151
-7.24%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020
+0.54% +13.32%
Sep 2001 - Aug 2014
48.34%
73 out of 151
-4.61%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2022
+1.65% +16.60%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2016
33.09%
46 out of 139
-6.84%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024
-0.58% +14.23%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2016
52.52%
73 out of 139
-4.14%
Jun 2008 - May 2023
+3.11% +17.22%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2017
33.07%
42 out of 127
-6.31%
Jun 2008 - May 2023
+1.03% +14.82%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2017
44.88%
57 out of 127
-3.37%
Jun 2008 - May 2024
+2.98% +14.73%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2018
18.26%
21 out of 115
-5.61%
Jun 2008 - May 2024
+0.65% +12.39%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2019
46.09%
53 out of 115
-3.22%
Jun 2008 - May 2025
+5.21% +15.49%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2019
15.53%
16 out of 103
-5.46%
Jun 2008 - May 2025
+2.60% +13.14%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2019
30.10%
31 out of 103
-1.32%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025
+6.04% +12.09%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2020
9.89%
9 out of 91
-3.70%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2025
+3.63% +9.85%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2020
26.37%
24 out of 91
+1.26%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2025
+6.53% +12.43%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021
0.00%
0 out of 79
-1.23%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2025
+4.18% +10.00%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021
12.66%
10 out of 79
+3.61%
Jul 2006 - Jun 2026
+7.55% +11.99%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2022
0.00%
0 out of 67
+1.06%
Jul 2006 - Jun 2026
+4.89% +9.26%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2022
0.00%
0 out of 67
+6.63%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2025
+7.61% +7.92%
May 2001 - Apr 2026
0.00%
0 out of 7
+4.00%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2025
+4.95% +5.22%
May 2001 - Apr 2026
0.00%
0 out of 7
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