iShares JP Morgan EM Local Ccy Bd (LEMB): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 2012 - October 2025 (~14 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the iShares JP Morgan EM Local Ccy Bd (LEMB) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~14 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 161 months (from March 2012 to July 2025).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 162 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES JP MORGAN EM LOCAL CCY BD (LEMB) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 November 2015 - 31 October 2025 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2012 - 31 October 2025 (~14 years)
All Data
(2012/01 - 2025/10)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES JP MORGAN EM LOCAL CCY BD (LEMB) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2012 - 31 October 2025 (~14 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-20.72%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+1.45% +15.62%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2016
46.45%
72 out of 155
-26.73%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
-1.76% +13.86%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2016
54.84%
85 out of 155
-10.40%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022
-0.46% +12.54%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018
52.45%
75 out of 143
-16.19%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
-2.62% +9.97%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018
67.13%
96 out of 143
-8.48%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022
-1.19% +9.51%
Nov 2022 - Oct 2025
62.60%
82 out of 131
-12.85%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022
-2.75% +6.43%
Nov 2022 - Oct 2025
77.10%
101 out of 131
-4.66%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
-1.34% +5.19%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2020
65.55%
78 out of 119
-8.83%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
-3.63% +2.96%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2020
86.55%
103 out of 119
-4.90%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
-0.70% +4.71%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2021
62.62%
67 out of 107
-8.34%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
-2.70% +2.64%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2021
91.59%
98 out of 107
-3.30%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
-0.71% +2.97%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2021
63.16%
60 out of 95
-6.57%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
-3.30% +0.64%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021
96.84%
92 out of 95
-2.63%
May 2013 - Apr 2020
-0.43% +1.95%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2025
69.88%
58 out of 83
-5.49%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025
-2.94% -0.29%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2021
100.00%
83 out of 83
-3.08%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2022
-0.18% +0.98%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2023
69.01%
49 out of 71
-5.76%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
-3.04% -0.67%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2019
100.00%
71 out of 71
-2.81%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
-0.57% +1.57%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2024
57.63%
34 out of 59
-5.39%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
-3.29% -0.40%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2020
100.00%
59 out of 59
-2.72%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
-0.92% +2.11%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2025
80.85%
38 out of 47
-5.14%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
-3.65% -1.02%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2025
100.00%
47 out of 47
-1.86%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-0.88% +0.23%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2025
94.29%
33 out of 35
-4.51%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-3.46% -2.58%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2025
100.00%
35 out of 35
-1.39%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
-0.77% +0.51%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2025
78.26%
18 out of 23
-3.96%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
-3.29% -2.18%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2025
100.00%
23 out of 23
-0.62%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025
-0.08% +0.31%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
63.64%
7 out of 11
-3.16%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025
-2.68% -2.27%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
100.00%
11 out of 11
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