iShares $ High Yield Corp Bond UCITS GBP Hedged (Dist) (IHHG.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: February 1919 - May 2026 (~107 years)
Initial Amount: 1£
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares $ High Yield Corp Bond UCITS GBP Hedged (Dist) (IHHG.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~107 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 66 months (from January 1927 to June 1932).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 67 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES $ HIGH YIELD CORP BOND UCITS GBP HEDGED (DIST) (IHHG.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1919 - 31 May 2026 (~107 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1919/02 - 2026/05)

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As of May 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 3.94%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES $ HIGH YIELD CORP BOND UCITS GBP HEDGED (DIST) (IHHG.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 June 1996 - 31 May 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1919 - 31 May 2026 (~107 years)
30 Years
(1996/06 - 2026/05)
All Data
(1919/02 - 2026/05)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES $ HIGH YIELD CORP BOND UCITS GBP HEDGED (DIST) (IHHG.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 1919 - 31 May 2026 (~107 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-27.41%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008
+7.51% +53.26%
Aug 1932 - Jul 1933
9.95%
127 out of 1277
-30.24%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008
+3.93% +55.20%
Aug 1932 - Jul 1933
27.41%
350 out of 1277
-13.68%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2008
+7.77% +32.99%
Jun 1932 - May 1934
5.22%
66 out of 1265
-16.25%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2008
+3.94% +33.97%
Jun 1932 - May 1934
24.66%
312 out of 1265
-7.10%
Dec 2005 - Nov 2008
+7.67% +26.84%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1993
2.87%
36 out of 1253
-10.75%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1981
+3.56% +24.79%
Mar 1920 - Feb 1923
24.10%
302 out of 1253
-4.39%
Dec 2004 - Nov 2008
+7.84% +21.72%
Jun 1932 - May 1936
1.37%
17 out of 1241
-8.04%
Oct 1977 - Sep 1981
+3.02% +21.47%
Jun 1932 - May 1936
24.25%
301 out of 1241
-1.22%
Jun 1927 - May 1932
+7.79% +21.10%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1986
0.81%
10 out of 1229
-5.83%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1981
+3.14% +19.66%
Mar 1920 - Feb 1925
22.70%
279 out of 1229
+0.30%
Jun 2017 - May 2023
+7.57% +18.73%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1987
0.00%
0 out of 1217
-4.95%
Apr 1974 - Mar 1980
+3.16% +18.74%
Jun 1920 - May 1926
20.21%
246 out of 1217
+1.40%
Jun 2017 - May 2024
+7.24% +18.17%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988
0.00%
0 out of 1205
-4.90%
Apr 1973 - Mar 1980
+3.42% +18.08%
May 1920 - Apr 1927
18.76%
226 out of 1205
+1.04%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2022
+7.18% +17.09%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989
0.00%
0 out of 1193
-5.34%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1981
+3.37% +16.96%
Mar 1920 - Feb 1928
18.36%
219 out of 1193
+1.14%
Jun 2014 - May 2023
+7.35% +16.89%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1181
-5.00%
Oct 1972 - Sep 1981
+3.54% +15.69%
Mar 1920 - Feb 1929
19.05%
225 out of 1181
+1.84%
Jun 2014 - May 2024
+7.28% +16.14%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1992
0.00%
0 out of 1169
-3.83%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1981
+3.55% +15.28%
Jun 1920 - May 1930
18.39%
215 out of 1169
+2.36%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2023
+7.45% +16.96%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
0.00%
0 out of 1157
-2.92%
Oct 1970 - Sep 1981
+3.48% +14.08%
Mar 1920 - Feb 1931
15.56%
180 out of 1157
+2.77%
Jun 2011 - May 2023
+7.56% +17.06%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1145
-3.20%
Oct 1969 - Sep 1981
+3.35% +12.69%
Oct 1920 - Sep 1932
13.45%
154 out of 1145
+3.19%
Jun 2011 - May 2024
+7.54% +15.87%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1994
0.00%
0 out of 1133
-3.25%
Oct 1968 - Sep 1981
+3.26% +13.68%
Aug 1920 - Jul 1933
12.80%
145 out of 1133
+3.75%
May 2011 - Apr 2025
+7.55% +15.86%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995
0.00%
0 out of 1121
-2.94%
Oct 1967 - Sep 1981
+3.07% +13.77%
May 1920 - Apr 1934
10.35%
116 out of 1121
+3.70%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022
+7.84% +15.45%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996
0.00%
0 out of 1109
-2.48%
Oct 1966 - Sep 1981
+2.96% +13.27%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1935
8.30%
92 out of 1109
+3.53%
Jun 2007 - May 2023
+7.98% +15.38%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
0.00%
0 out of 1097
-2.60%
Oct 1965 - Sep 1981
+2.86% +13.52%
Mar 1920 - Feb 1936
6.20%
68 out of 1097
+3.80%
Jun 2007 - May 2024
+7.94% +14.87%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
0.00%
0 out of 1085
-2.33%
Oct 1964 - Sep 1981
+3.04% +12.97%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1937
5.44%
59 out of 1085
+3.98%
Jun 2005 - May 2023
+7.94% +14.85%
Jul 1975 - Jun 1993
0.00%
0 out of 1073
-2.05%
Oct 1963 - Sep 1981
+2.91% +11.69%
Mar 1919 - Feb 1937
5.59%
60 out of 1073
+4.05%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+7.95% +15.07%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1994
0.00%
0 out of 1061
-1.59%
Oct 1962 - Sep 1981
+2.98% +11.64%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1939
5.66%
60 out of 1061
+4.45%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024
+8.01% +14.27%
Jun 1975 - May 1995
0.00%
0 out of 1049
-1.27%
Oct 1961 - Sep 1981
+3.14% +10.66%
Jan 1920 - Dec 1939
4.39%
46 out of 1049
+4.53%
Jun 1998 - May 2023
+8.05% +13.41%
Jan 1971 - Dec 1995
0.00%
0 out of 989
-0.23%
Oct 1956 - Sep 1981
+3.09% +9.10%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1945
0.30%
3 out of 989
+5.41%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+8.04% +12.49%
Sep 1970 - Aug 2000
0.00%
0 out of 929
+0.02%
Oct 1951 - Sep 1981
+3.22% +7.48%
Feb 1920 - Jan 1950
0.00%
0 out of 929
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