iShares $ High Yield Corp Bond UCITS GBP Hedged (Dist) (IHHG.L): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1950 - July 2025 (~76 years)
Initial Amount: 1ÂŁ
Currency: GBP
Inflation: UK
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When holding the iShares $ High Yield Corp Bond UCITS GBP Hedged (Dist) (IHHG.L) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~76 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 65 months (from July 2003 to November 2008).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 66 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES $ HIGH YIELD CORP BOND UCITS GBP HEDGED (DIST) (IHHG.L) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 July 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/07)

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As of Jul 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 3.42%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES $ HIGH YIELD CORP BOND UCITS GBP HEDGED (DIST) (IHHG.L) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1995 - 31 July 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 July 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/08 - 2025/07)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/07)
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES $ HIGH YIELD CORP BOND UCITS GBP HEDGED (DIST) (IHHG.L) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 July 2025 (~76 years)
Over Time
Histogram
UK Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-27.41%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008
+7.20% +45.17%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2009
10.94%
98 out of 896
-30.24%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008
+2.99% +42.46%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2009
29.80%
267 out of 896
-13.68%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2008
+7.34% +28.87%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1993
5.20%
46 out of 884
-16.25%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2008
+3.37% +24.78%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2010
26.70%
236 out of 884
-7.10%
Dec 2005 - Nov 2008
+7.34% +26.84%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1993
2.64%
23 out of 872
-10.75%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1981
+3.00% +21.89%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1993
24.66%
215 out of 872
-4.39%
Dec 2004 - Nov 2008
+7.70% +20.98%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
1.05%
9 out of 860
-8.04%
Oct 1977 - Sep 1981
+2.55% +15.71%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
22.33%
192 out of 860
-1.22%
Dec 2003 - Nov 2008
+7.77% +21.10%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1986
0.59%
5 out of 848
-5.83%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1981
+2.73% +15.21%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1986
22.76%
193 out of 848
+0.30%
Jun 2017 - May 2023
+7.45% +18.73%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1987
0.00%
0 out of 836
-4.95%
Apr 1974 - Mar 1980
+3.04% +13.72%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1996
23.09%
193 out of 836
+1.40%
Jun 2017 - May 2024
+7.07% +18.17%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988
0.00%
0 out of 824
-4.90%
Apr 1973 - Mar 1980
+3.47% +13.43%
Nov 1990 - Oct 1997
21.00%
173 out of 824
+1.04%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2022
+7.00% +17.09%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989
0.00%
0 out of 812
-5.34%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1981
+3.41% +12.37%
Dec 1990 - Nov 1998
17.86%
145 out of 812
+1.14%
Jun 2014 - May 2023
+7.16% +16.89%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
0.00%
0 out of 800
-5.00%
Oct 1972 - Sep 1981
+3.58% +11.40%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
18.00%
144 out of 800
+1.84%
Jun 2014 - May 2024
+7.21% +16.14%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1992
0.00%
0 out of 788
-3.83%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1981
+3.58% +10.53%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1992
19.92%
157 out of 788
+2.36%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2023
+7.45% +16.96%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
0.00%
0 out of 776
-2.92%
Oct 1970 - Sep 1981
+3.50% +11.26%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1993
18.81%
146 out of 776
+2.77%
Jun 2011 - May 2023
+7.67% +17.06%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993
0.00%
0 out of 764
-3.20%
Oct 1969 - Sep 1981
+3.40% +11.46%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1993
16.75%
128 out of 764
+3.19%
Jun 2011 - May 2024
+7.56% +15.87%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1994
0.00%
0 out of 752
-3.25%
Oct 1968 - Sep 1981
+3.30% +10.55%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1994
15.03%
113 out of 752
+3.75%
May 2011 - Apr 2025
+7.85% +15.86%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995
0.00%
0 out of 740
-2.94%
Oct 1967 - Sep 1981
+3.11% +10.68%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995
15.00%
111 out of 740
+3.70%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022
+8.46% +15.45%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996
0.00%
0 out of 728
-2.48%
Oct 1966 - Sep 1981
+3.04% +10.47%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996
12.36%
90 out of 728
+3.53%
Jun 2007 - May 2023
+8.58% +15.38%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
0.00%
0 out of 716
-2.60%
Oct 1965 - Sep 1981
+3.01% +10.58%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
9.50%
68 out of 716
+3.80%
Jun 2007 - May 2024
+8.67% +14.87%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
0.00%
0 out of 704
-2.33%
Oct 1964 - Sep 1981
+3.13% +10.27%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
8.38%
59 out of 704
+3.98%
Jun 2005 - May 2023
+8.68% +14.85%
Jul 1975 - Jun 1993
0.00%
0 out of 692
-2.05%
Oct 1963 - Sep 1981
+3.49% +9.79%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999
8.67%
60 out of 692
+4.05%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+8.74% +15.07%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1994
0.00%
0 out of 680
-1.59%
Oct 1962 - Sep 1981
+3.59% +9.42%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2000
8.82%
60 out of 680
+4.45%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024
+8.92% +14.27%
Jun 1975 - May 1995
0.00%
0 out of 668
-1.27%
Oct 1961 - Sep 1981
+3.49% +8.70%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2001
6.89%
46 out of 668
+4.53%
Jun 1998 - May 2023
+9.53% +13.41%
Jan 1971 - Dec 1995
0.00%
0 out of 608
-0.23%
Oct 1956 - Sep 1981
+4.00% +8.45%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2006
0.49%
3 out of 608
+5.41%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+10.15% +12.49%
Sep 1970 - Aug 2000
0.00%
0 out of 548
+0.02%
Oct 1951 - Sep 1981
+4.33% +7.40%
Nov 1981 - Oct 2011
0.00%
0 out of 548
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